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 OPINION POLLS 2018-2022, Strong and stable... |
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 12th July 2019, 09:02 PM
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#241
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 #38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,170 User: 7,561 
   
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Survation latest poll:
 LAB 29% (+3), CON 23% (-1), BXP 20% (nc), LD 19% (nc), SNP 4% (+1), GRN 3% (-2), OTH 2% (-1) (changes w/ 19th - 20th June 2019) |
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27th July 2019, 08:15 PM
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#242
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Howdy, disco citizens
Joined: 16 January 2010
Posts: 12,775 User: 10,455
   
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The first post-Boris opinion poll is out. As expected, a big bump to the Conservatives at the expense of the Brexit Party, although I imagine that the polls will calm down post-summer recess.
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28th July 2019, 02:31 AM
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#243
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is my brain across your walls?
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,071 User: 8,300
                
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Another poll has come out that has CON +10 and BXP -10. Really worried that we're going to get an early election that results in a huge Tory majority. But then that's what we thought would happen the last time there was an early election so...
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28th July 2019, 05:13 AM
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#244
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 Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-72...-Tories-PM.html
Boris Johnson gets his bounce: Poll finds 10% rise in support for Tories with him as PM - but delaying an election boosts Labour if party ditches Jeremy Corbyn The surge in support has given the Conservatives a five-point lead over Labour But if Labour ditched Corbyn, the Tories would trail them by six points The rise corresponds to a ten-point fall for Nigel Farage's Brexit Party Some 55 per cent think there will be an Election by the end of the year The poll came as Mr Johnson's majority could be wiped out by next week |
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28th July 2019, 07:44 AM
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#245
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 Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,150 User: 5,138
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I don't really know how anyone could predict a lead for labour if JC wasn't leader without knowing who the leader would be lol??
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28th July 2019, 08:27 AM
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#246
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Steve201 @ Jul 28 2019, 08:44 AM)  I don't really know how anyone could predict a lead for labour if JC wasn't leader without knowing who the leader would be lol?? How about on the 'ANYTHING'S better than Corbyn' basis...  I'd certainly be more likely to vote Labour without Corbyn in charge. |
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28th July 2019, 11:36 AM
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#247
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 WINTER IS COMING
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 45,597 User: 88
  
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Jul 28 2019, 09:27 AM) How about on the 'ANYTHING'S better than Corbyn' basis... I'd certainly be more likely to vote Labour without Corbyn in charge. If Corbyn leaves, it could just so easily be someone who is very left who takes the mantle. The problem Corbyn is going to have is Johnson will absolutely nail him in PMQs of that I have doubt. You can't really read a lot in the Polls - Johnson is riding on the optimism and good PR so it's no surprise he's seemingly gaining a lot of the Brexit votes. I think come an General Election right now, the Tories will gain a lot of extra votes, but not extra seats. Let's be honest if the rumours are right they are very soon to be facing a 'No Confidence' motion as it looks like they are going to lose their majority. I do wonder if Cummings and Johnson working together they have devised a strategy to target the millions of people who don't vote and tap in to their emotions. The Tories have little chance of crawling back the swing middle class voters. |
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28th July 2019, 01:40 PM
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#248
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,150 User: 5,138
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I think JC has proven that he can put forward a manifesto for change in 2017, it's about building on that. So the ideology doesn't look to be the issue.
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28th July 2019, 01:59 PM
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#249
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Steve201 @ Jul 28 2019, 02:40 PM) I think JC has proven that he can put forward a manifesto for change in 2017, it's about building on that. So the ideology doesn't look to be the issue. Proposing a manifesto for change is one thing - convincing people to vote for the enormous cost of it, is quite another... |
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28th July 2019, 02:20 PM
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#250
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WINTER IS COMING
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 45,597 User: 88
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QUOTE(Steve201 @ Jul 28 2019, 02:40 PM) I think JC has proven that he can put forward a manifesto for change in 2017, it's about building on that. So the ideology doesn't look to be the issue. This was 2.5 years ago and in the UK at least it was Labour vs Tories with Lib Dems still recovering from the last election. Suspect a lot of those voters that went Labour will now go to the Lib Dems. So much has changed since then. Problem is we have a hard-left and a hard-right party right now and there are so many liberal/middle ground voters. Then you've got think the Tories will likely lose the Scottish seats to the SNP as well. |
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28th July 2019, 02:30 PM
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#251
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,668 User: 3,272
  
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Jul 28 2019, 02:59 PM) Proposing a manifesto for change is one thing - convincing people to vote for the enormous cost of it, is quite another... If only the Tory leadership contenders had faced questions about how they planned to finance their multi-billion pound plans. |
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28th July 2019, 02:48 PM
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#252
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Jul 28 2019, 03:30 PM) If only the Tory leadership contenders had faced questions about how they planned to finance their multi-billion pound plans. That's easy. From all the money we won't pay the robbing EU. Go Boris!! Tory landslide at the next election. We have a new dynamic PM and a new energised Cabinet. Who'd want to vote for geriatric commie Corbyn, his ex dimwit Abbott, McDonald and Lady Nugent. Simply no contest at all. |
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28th July 2019, 05:56 PM
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#253
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,668 User: 3,272
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QUOTE(Trump2020 @ Jul 28 2019, 03:48 PM) That's easy. From all the money we won't pay the robbing EU. Go Boris!! Tory landslide at the next election. We have a new dynamic PM and a new energised Cabinet. Who'd want to vote for geriatric commie Corbyn, his ex dimwit Abbott, McDonald and Lady Nugent. Simply no contest at all. Grow up. |
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29th July 2019, 07:56 AM
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#254
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Queen of Soon
Joined: 24 May 2007
Posts: 74,081 User: 3,474
 
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Plaid on the march. Brexit is how the United Kingdom ends |
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29th July 2019, 08:40 AM
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#255
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,150 User: 5,138
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QUOTE(5 Silas Frøkner @ Jul 29 2019, 08:56 AM) Plaid on the march. Brexit is how the United Kingdom ends Let's hope it's a lot more democratic than the UK was! |
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29th July 2019, 08:41 AM
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#256
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,150 User: 5,138
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QUOTE(Rooney @ Jul 28 2019, 03:20 PM) This was 2.5 years ago and in the UK at least it was Labour vs Tories with Lib Dems still recovering from the last election. Suspect a lot of those voters that went Labour will now go to the Lib Dems. So much has changed since then. Problem is we have a hard-left and a hard-right party right now and there are so many liberal/middle ground voters. Then you've got think the Tories will likely lose the Scottish seats to the SNP as well. You call them hard left and right by the standards of 1990-2008 political thought. Perhaps they are now the centre? |
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30th July 2019, 03:05 PM
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#257
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Cur poids plume
Joined: 3 November 2007
Posts: 18,129 User: 4,718
  
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BJ's poll bounce is smaller than May's so far, but it has scope to go higher as something like 70-80% of the remaining BXP voters, 15% of likely voters, have a favourable opinion of BJ.
The overall Tory + BXP + UKIP total is at a maximum of around 45%, which is smaller than the 55% Tory + UKIP total that May inherited in 2016. |
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31st July 2019, 08:29 PM
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#258
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 22,001 User: 53
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Boris opens up 10 point lead.
Source: Daily Mail. YouGov Tories 32% Labour 22% Lib Dems 19% Down to rise in male support apparently. This post has been edited by Trump2020: 31st July 2019, 08:30 PM |
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31st July 2019, 08:53 PM
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#259
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#38BBE0 otherwise known as 'sky blue'
Joined: 27 October 2008
Posts: 16,170 User: 7,561
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Well there will be an electoral test of that lead tomorrow in Wales where he was on Tuesday being 'welcomed' by the locals, in the Brecon and Radnorshire By-election
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1st August 2019, 04:53 AM
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#260
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(Doctor Blind @ Jul 31 2019, 09:53 PM) It would have been far more surprising if he had been cheered...
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