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 Eurovision Song Contest 2018 · Odds, Top 5 | Cyprus - Israel - Ireland - France - Sweden |
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  15th March 2018, 03:42 PM
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#1
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 I was born 7 million years ago in Sweden, Africa
Joined: 4 October 2010
Posts: 13,253 User: 11,955 
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A little later than last year but it's once again time for the odds thread! Last year of course Italy were the hot favourites right up until the week of the contest, which shows that the odds means absolutely nothing yet! However let's take at the current list, these are the best prices you can currently get according to Eurovision World!
7/3 Israel 8/1 Estonia 9/1 Czech Republic 17/1 Australia 19/1 Bulgaria 20/1 Belgium 22/1 Netherlands 22/1 Sweden 26/1 Norway 29/1 Spain --- 33/1 France 41/1 Greece 49/1 Belarus 64/1 Finland 66/1 Austria 69/1 Italy 79/1 Germany 84/1 Portugal 94/1 Denmark 100/1 Armenia --- 109/1 Azerbaijan 109/1 Ukraine 139/1 Russia 159/1 Cyprus 229/1 Lithuania 259/1 Latvia 329/1 United Kingdom 349/1 Malta 409/1 Serbia 549/1 San Marino 559/1 Macedonia 559/1 Moldova 569/1 Romania 689/1 Hungary 709/1 Montenegro 719/1 Albania 719/1 Poland 719/1 Ireland 739/1 Slovenia 819/1 Croatia 889/1 Georgia 909/1 Switzerland 999/1 Iceland I'd already put a £10 each way on Sweden when Benjamin won Melodifestivalen at 12/1, annoying that they've already gone out but that's the name of the game! |
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15th March 2018, 03:56 PM
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#2
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 Brown cow, stunning!
Joined: 7 December 2009
Posts: 67,175 User: 10,139
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I got my £5 each way on Estonia when it was 12/1 or 10/1 icr
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15th March 2018, 04:02 PM
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#3
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Attack Dog/Sass Queen
Joined: 29 January 2008
Posts: 16,022 User: 5,342
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Ukraine being as far south as 100/1 is CRAZY good value!
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18th March 2018, 01:28 AM
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#4
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 10 July 2008
Posts: 2,146 User: 6,614
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Am I missing the reason why Finland is plummeting in the odds? I've placed bets on them and Ukraine with a safety bet on Israel.
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18th March 2018, 06:55 PM
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#5
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 29 April 2006
Posts: 3,392 User: 519
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QUOTE(BillyH @ Mar 18 2018, 01:28 AM)  Am I missing the reason why Finland is plummeting in the odds? I've placed bets on them and Ukraine with a safety bet on Israel. It worries me why it’s drifted SO MUCH in the odds. If the bookies are basing it on the NF performance, that’s stupid because it’s almosr certainly gonna be different in Lisbon. That aside, I have doubts on it qualifying? Feels like a lot can go wrong with it. I hope I’m wrong and she’ll slay the whole bloody thing but, for now, I have her down as not qualifying in that beast of a semi final. This post has been edited by ScottyEm: 18th March 2018, 06:55 PM |
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18th March 2018, 07:14 PM
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#6
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 I found the love, I found the love in me
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 13 December 2007 Posts: 87,449 User: 5,042
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I assume it's just a mix of Israel being the clear favourite and that more countries have confirmed with safer, guaranteed hits?
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18th March 2018, 07:19 PM
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#7
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Attack Dog/Sass Queen
Joined: 29 January 2008
Posts: 16,022 User: 5,342
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Plus, I think it’s easy to conflate where something is on the odds with where it’ll place. So Finland, for example, are pretty unlikely to win but that doesn’t mean that they’re unlikely to get, say, a top 10 or top 15.
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22nd March 2018, 02:57 PM
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#8
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Who's Daniel btw ?
Joined: 28 October 2006
Posts: 15,594 User: 1,804
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What was the odd same time last year? Is there any truth to them?
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25th March 2018, 05:30 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 23 December 2010
Posts: 24,411 User: 12,608
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Buzzjack getting that promo! https://www.escxtra.com/2018/03/25/eleven-y...urovision-odds/
But it is interesting how all of last year's top 5 favourites were in the eventual top 6. I can't see them being anywhere near as accurate this year despite how amazing that would be! |
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16th April 2018, 11:04 PM
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#10
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I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley.
Joined: 24 September 2008
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Current odds (following Eurovision In Concert) courtsey of Skybet:
01 · 7/4 · Israel: Netta - Toy 02 · 11/2 · Bulgaria: EQUINOX - Bones 03 · 13/2 · Czech Republic: Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me 04 · 8/1 · Australia: Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love 05 · 9/1 · Estonia: Elina Nechayeva - La forza 06 · 16/1 · Sweden: Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off 07 · 20/1 · France: Madame Monsieur - Mercy 08 · 20/1 · Norway: Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song 09 · 25/1 · Belgium: Sennek - A Matter Of Time 10 · 25/1 · Spain: Alfred & Amaia - Tu cancion 11 · 28/1 · Greece: Yianna Terzi - Oniro Mou 12 · 33/1 · Italy: Ermal Meta & Fabrizio Moro - Non mi avete fatto niente 13 · 40/1 · The Netherlands: Waylon - Outlaw In 'Em 14 · 50/1 · Finland: Saara Aalto - Monsters 15 · 66/1 · Austria: Cesar Sampson - Nobody But You 16 · 66/1 · Belarus: Alekseev - Forever 17 · 66/1 · Cyprus: Eleni Foureira - Fuego 18 · 66/1 · Germany: Michael Schulte - You Let Me Walk Alone 19 · 66/1 · Portugal: Claudia Pascoal - O jardim 20 · 80/1 · Armenia: Sevak Khanagyan - Qami 21 · 80/1 · Ukraine: MELOVIN - Under The Ladder ------ 100/1 · Azerbaijan, Lithuania, Moldova, Russia, United Kingdom 150/1 · Latvia 200/1 · FYR Macedonia, Hungary, Ireland, Malta 250/1 · Albania, Croatia, Georgia, Iceland, Montenegro, Poland, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovenia, Switzerland |
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17th April 2018, 12:56 AM
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#11
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I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley.
Joined: 24 September 2008
Posts: 35,876 User: 7,117
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Semi Final One - odds to qualify (courtsey of Unibet):
01 · 1/50 · Israel: Netta - Toy 02 · 1/14 · Czech Republic: Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me 03 · 1/9 · Estonia: Elina Nechayeva - La forza 04 · 1/7 · Bulgaria: Equinox - Bones 05 · 1/7 · Greece: Yianna Terzi - Oniro Mou 06 · 1/4 · Belgium: Sennek - A Matter Of Time 07 · 33/100 · Cyprus: Eleni Foureira - Fuego 08 · 2/5 · Armenia: Sevak Khanagyan - Qami 09 · 2/5 · Austria: Cesar Sampson - Nobody But You 10 · 13/20 · Azerbaijan: Aisel - X My Heart ______________________________________________________ 11 · 17/20 · Finland: Saara Aalto - Monsters 12 · Evens · Lithuania: Ieva Zasimauskaite - When We're Old 13 · 6/4 · Belarus: ALEKSEEV - Forever 14 · 7/4 · Ireland: Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together 15 · 5/2 · FYR Macedonia: Eye Cue - Lost and Found 16 · 3/1 · Albania: Eugent Bushpepa - Mall 17 · 3/1 · Switzerland: Zibbz - Stones 18 · 4/1 · Croatia: Franka - Crazy 19 · 10/1 · Iceland: Ari Olafsson - Our Choice Semi Final Two - odds to qualify (courtesy of Unibet): 01 · 1/20 · Sweden: Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off 02 · 1/14 · Australia: Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love 03 · 1/14 · Ukraine: MELOVIN - Under The Ladder 04 · 1/9 · Norway: Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song 05 · 1/7 · Netherlands: Waylon - Outlaw in 'Em 06 · 33/100 · Poland: Gromee (feat. Lukas Meijer) - Light Me Up 07 · 4/11 · Denmark: Rasmussen - Higher Ground 08 · 11/25 · Moldova: DoReDos - My Lucky Day 09 · 11/20 · Russia: Julia Samoylova - I Won't Break 10 · 13/20 · Latvia: Laura Rizzotto - Funny Girl ___________________________________________________________ 11 · 4/5 · Hungary: AWS - Viszlát Nyár 12 · 4/5 · Romania: The Humans - Goodbye 13 · 11/10 · Serbia: Sanja Ilić & Balkanika - Nova Deca 14 · 5/2 · Montenegro: Vanja Radovanovic - Inje 15 · 5/2 · Slovenia: Lea Sirk - Hvala ne 16 · 11/4 · Georgia: Iriao - For You 17 · 11/4 · Malta: Christabelle - Taboo 18 · 10/1 · San Marino: Jessika (feat. Jenifer Brening) - Who We Are |
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17th April 2018, 08:21 AM
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#12
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 29 April 2006
Posts: 3,392 User: 519
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Bookies are tipping Finland to miss out... I must provisionally book a place in the Betty Ford clinic for 9th May.
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1st May 2018, 11:26 AM
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#13
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I'm in a vewy bad mood, Bwadley.
Joined: 24 September 2008
Posts: 35,876 User: 7,117
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Norway have largely risen to second favourite. This is very unnerving.
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1st May 2018, 11:59 AM
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#14
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 29 April 2006
Posts: 3,392 User: 519
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QUOTE(RobBob @ May 1 2018, 12:26 PM) Norway have largely risen to second favourite. This is very unnerving. So bookies have largely forgotten about the 50% jury stake? But yes, my arse twitched a touch also... This post has been edited by ScottyEm: 1st May 2018, 12:00 PM |
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1st May 2018, 12:03 PM
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#15
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Brown cow, stunning!
Joined: 7 December 2009
Posts: 67,175 User: 10,139
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Part of me wants to say oh that's just name power, because honestly it is possiby the most embarrassing song I've ever heard in Eurovision, but I can't shake the feeling that it will do well :/ I just can't, it genuinely sounds like something that San Marino would send in 2007 and get 2 points in the semi. We shouldn't always give the bookies so much stock but I still can't help but be worried by it
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1st May 2018, 12:20 PM
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#16
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I was born 7 million years ago in Sweden, Africa
Joined: 4 October 2010
Posts: 13,253 User: 11,955
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Norway will do well, I don't think it's a winner because I don't see juries being particularly kind to it, definitely top 10 though - maybe it'll do a Michal Szpak.
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1st May 2018, 12:26 PM
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#17
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Attack Dog/Sass Queen
Joined: 29 January 2008
Posts: 16,022 User: 5,342
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I think people are getting a bit too enthusiastic based on the good reception he got in MGP (and don't seem to have gone by - he's the returning record breaking champion, it would be news if he DIDN'T get a huge reception with whatever he turned up with!).
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1st May 2018, 02:50 PM
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#18
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I've been looking for a Lasting Lover
Joined: 23 March 2007
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HA laughing at Rybak haters. I knew it would be great, it's a catchy song.
 By the way, Israel to win and Bulgaria to flop please. 
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1st May 2018, 02:58 PM
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#19
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
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Well if it does win at least Rybak will have one of the best and worst ever winners to his name and I'll be holding out for a Marie N masterpiece in 2019 to redress the balance.
But hopefully the juries will come through, or the public won't be as into it as the odds suggest, it really is a tacky, cringeworthy and just generally dire song. It's catchy but I'm hoping that can only take it so far... This post has been edited by gooddelta: 1st May 2018, 02:59 PM |
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1st May 2018, 03:12 PM
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#20
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Paradise With Ice Cream Skies♥
Joined: 31 August 2006
Posts: 24,567 User: 1,209
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Can’t cope with the thought of Saara not even getting to the final. Surely with the UK voting she will make it?
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