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BuzzJack Music Forum _ Madonna _ Madame X ● Final UK Chart Predictions

Posted by: Medellíam 7th June 2019, 01:05 PM

We're one week away from the release of Madame X. Hot new releases that week include Bruce Springsteen's Western Stars, Bastille's Doom Days and a 40th anniversary vinyl edition of Joy Division's Unknown Pleasures.

What's everyone's final chart predictions?

Posted by: Jordan Lee 7th June 2019, 03:34 PM

Initially I said 32K I think I did say over 30K and #2.

I’m sticking with #2 position but I think sales will be under 30K now. Around the 25-27K mark I’m thinking.

Hoping I’m wrong and she does more though!

Really hope it goes to #2 (well #1 would be even better) but I’d love to see all her albums from Like A Virgin being #1 or #2 peakers

Posted by: Medellíam 7th June 2019, 03:52 PM

#1 is absolutely out of the question but I think she will have #2 on lock. I'm anticipating sales to just sneak into the 25-29k bracket.

Posted by: slowdown73 7th June 2019, 05:48 PM

I’m predicting no2 and about 24-25k.

Posted by: HausofTove 8th June 2019, 09:33 AM

#2
20k - 24k


Posted by: slowdown73 8th June 2019, 11:38 AM

The album could even peak at no3 given Bastille is also out next week.

Posted by: Jordan Lee 8th June 2019, 01:34 PM

Lil Nas X is also releasing an EP i read but I think he’ll be much more of a US threat than a UK one.

Posted by: Common Sense 11th June 2019, 06:04 PM

No.2 behind Bob Dylan

Posted by: Tawdry Hepburn 11th June 2019, 06:23 PM

QUOTE(slowdown73 @ Jun 8 2019, 12:38 PM) *
The album could even peak at no3 given Bastille is also out next week.


I did think that might be the case a few weeks ago, but at this point I reckon they're not gonna be much competition.

I agree with about 23K at #2.

Posted by: vibe 11th June 2019, 06:27 PM

2 cd
3 cassettes
3 vinyl editions

Depending on where you purchased them from they won’t count towards chart but it’s a lot !!

Posted by: slowdown73 13th June 2019, 11:31 PM

QUOTE(Tawdry Hepburn @ Jun 11 2019, 07:23 PM) *
I did think that might be the case a few weeks ago, but at this point I reckon they're not gonna be much competition.

I agree with about 23K at #2.


Lewis Capaldi is still selling over 20k so might be close.

Posted by: HausofTove 15th June 2019, 09:48 AM

I'm thinking this may miss the top 2 tbh. I'm nervous for the first mids info, but regardless we have a solid album so I shouldn't care about commercial success at this stage!

Posted by: dandy* 15th June 2019, 10:32 AM

Yes I think both Bruce and Lewis at least will beat her.

But, as you say, chart positions don’t feel as important now the album has been generally well received.

Posted by: HausofTove 15th June 2019, 11:38 AM

When do we usually get first info for how the albums are doing? unsure.gif

Posted by: Nick Jonas 15th June 2019, 10:12 PM

#4 21k

Posted by: ___∆___ 16th June 2019, 03:24 PM

I really like the album - it’s a solid release but despite good reviews and promo there seems to be zero hype for it.

Posted by: Medellíam 16th June 2019, 03:33 PM

QUOTE(HausofTove @ Jun 15 2019, 12:38 PM) *
When do we usually get first info for how the albums are doing? unsure.gif

You can sometimes find info on Twitter at the weekend but I don't think anything was reported. Otherwise it's Monday when Music Week update at 6pm (unless us chart mods get anything from our source earlier).

Posted by: SKOB 16th June 2019, 04:22 PM

Judging by its predicted performance in the US and Rebel Heart's opening, I'd say 29k and #1

Could be less though in which case #2/3 isn't out of the question.

Posted by: SKOB 16th June 2019, 04:27 PM

QUOTE(Common Sense @ Jun 11 2019, 07:04 PM) *
No.2 behind Bob Dylan

huh.gif

You mean Bruce Springsteen, right?

Posted by: HausofTove 16th June 2019, 04:35 PM

QUOTE(SKOB @ Jun 16 2019, 05:22 PM) *
Judging by its predicted performance in the US and Rebel Heart's opening, I'd say 29k and #1

Very optimistic there! If only sad.gif

Posted by: SKOB 16th June 2019, 04:38 PM

Well she has one of the most devoted fanbases in the industry but we'll see.

Posted by: ___∆___ 16th June 2019, 05:14 PM

^^ The amount of posts I’ve seen on Insta, Twitter etc., with fans with multiple copies of each version makes me think she could be a challenger, she’s wheeled out so many physicals this time too.

Posted by: Medellíam 17th June 2019, 05:36 PM

First midweeks are in - sold 20,621 so far.

Results of the poll at this point:

QUOTE
Where will Madame X debut?
#1 [ 5 ] ** [16.67%]
#2 [ 17 ] ** [56.67%]
#3 [ 5 ] ** [16.67%]
Outside the Top 3 [ 3 ] ** [10.00%]

How much will Madame X sell in its first week?
Less than 20k [ 4 ] ** [13.33%]
20k-24k [ 10 ] ** [33.33%]
25k-29k [ 7 ] ** [23.33%]
30k-34k [ 8 ] ** [26.67%]
35k-39k [ 0 ] ** [0.00%]
40k+ [ 1 ] ** [3.33%]

Posted by: Mack. 18th June 2019, 02:45 PM

#2, with 31k for the first week.


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