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BuzzJack Music Forum _ News and Politics _ GE Turnout prediction

Posted by: vidcapper 8th June 2017, 09:41 AM

What do you think it'll be?

NB it was 66.1% in 2015, and 72.2% for the Referendum.

Posted by: Silas 8th June 2017, 10:14 AM

As it's a pointless supplementary election, I've gone for a shite turn out.

Posted by: burbe 8th June 2017, 10:18 AM

I would've predicted an awful turnout at the start of the campaign, but I think renewed interest in Labour will persuade more people to vote as it's closer than originally thought. I think we could match 2015!

Posted by: Klaus 8th June 2017, 10:20 AM

67%, bit higher than last time.

Posted by: Willy's Tears 8th June 2017, 10:23 AM

I put 68% - arouns that and just up to 70 max

Posted by: Willy's Tears 8th June 2017, 01:20 PM

Dunno how accurate, bu some internet sites reporting huge queues across the country and especially in London.

Posted by: Steve201 8th June 2017, 01:32 PM

I assume that's in strong labour areas by what I read - only Mike Smithson stated they were big ques all the rest are pro Corbynites!

Posted by: Willy's Tears 8th June 2017, 01:35 PM

Now I REAALLY don't know if this is true, but a couple articles by fellow Corbynistas said there are reports of Tory voters avoiding eye contact with NHS staff in the queues laugh.gif

Posted by: LexC♀ 8th June 2017, 01:56 PM

I really don't know. I think there's certainly a lot more energy around this campaign than I thought there'd be but I just can't shake the feeling that most people will be a bit fatigued with voting (especially so in Scotland at this point) so I'd guess around 60-62%

Posted by: Harlot 8th June 2017, 02:04 PM

I think about 64%

Posted by: vidcapper 8th June 2017, 02:20 PM

ISTM a higher turnout would help Labour, as it would presumably mean the younger generation had voted in numbers for once... wink.gif

Posted by: danG 8th June 2017, 02:42 PM

QUOTE(Willy @ Jun 8 2017, 02:35 PM) *
Now I REAALLY don't know if this is true, but a couple articles by fellow Corbynistas said there are reports of Tory voters avoiding eye contact with NHS staff in the queues laugh.gif
Not true. It comes from my favourite satirical news website, NewsThump

http://newsthump.com/2017/06/08/tory-voters-avoiding-eye-contact-with-nhs-staff-in-polling-station-queues/

Posted by: Harve 8th June 2017, 04:53 PM

I'd expect 62-64% but I could be way off.

https://twitter.com/LordAshcroft/status/872816545277366273 that a high turnout favours Labour rather than the Tories. I would have expected it to be the other way round. Does anyone know wtf is going on?

Posted by: Willy's Tears 8th June 2017, 06:14 PM

Larger turnouts always favour the left wing, especially as it usually means more younger peple voted. The grey vote ALWAYS turns out.

Posted by: Suedehead2 8th June 2017, 07:51 PM

Historically, a higher turnout has tended to favour Labour. Tory supporters tend to be more likely to vote.

Posted by: vidcapper 9th June 2017, 05:46 AM

QUOTE(vidcapper @ Jun 8 2017, 03:20 PM) *
ISTM a higher turnout would help Labour, as it would presumably mean the younger generation had voted in numbers for once... wink.gif


QUOTE(Willy @ Jun 8 2017, 07:14 PM) *
Larger turnouts always favour the left wing, especially as it usually means more younger peple voted. The grey vote ALWAYS turns out.


QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Jun 8 2017, 08:51 PM) *
Historically, a higher turnout has tended to favour Labour. Tory supporters tend to be more likely to vote.


Hey, something we all agree on, at last! smile.gif

Posted by: Willy's Tears 9th June 2017, 06:07 AM

QUOTE(Willy @ Jun 8 2017, 11:23 AM) *
I put 68% - arouns that and just up to 70 max


#psychicf***inbeaver

Posted by: Harve 9th June 2017, 10:38 AM

QUOTE(Willy @ Jun 8 2017, 07:14 PM) *
Larger turnouts always favour the left wing, especially as it usually means more younger peple voted. The grey vote ALWAYS turns out.

Ah, you're right actually!

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