Friday Chart Predictions, will the X Factor winner stitch up the #1 spot? |
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12th December 2015, 01:00 PM
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#1
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,804 User: 13,530 |
It's a slightly boring week for both charts this week unfortunately. The X Factor Winner 2015 will likely be a strong contender for #1 with their debut single, released Sunday night, but beyond that, it's all very limited. The 1975 will debut somewhere with instant grat 'Ugh!', with Wretch 32 featuring Anne-Marie and PRGRSHN aiming for a new entry with 'Alright With Me'. Shawn Mendes may finally enter the top 40 with 'Stitches' and Sia could re-enter with 'Alive', plus we could see continued climbs from Years & Years with 'Eyes Shut', 99 Souls featuring Destiny's Child & Brandy with 'The Girl Is Mine', and Robin Schulz featuring Francesco Yates with 'Sugar'. The album chart is even less interesting, with a top 2 of Adele and Coldplay looking very likely, with Justin Bieber, Elvis Presley, Jess Glynne and Little Mix following in some order. New albums released this week include 'Art Angels' by Grimes and 'The Buffet' by R. Kelly but high debuts for both look quite unlikely in this high sales period. X Factor performances could boost One Direction, Fleur East and Ben Haenow also. Breakdown of the week - Saturday and Sunday: Information on Twitter from MintRoyale only. Please do not make requests, we do not have any information other than what's posted. - Monday: OCC Top 100 + Radio 1 Chart Update 5:30pm to 5:45pm. - Tuesday: Top 40 update as and when we receive them with requests, this is NOT 100% guaranteed however. The OCC may publish sales flashes of their own accord but likewise, this is not guaranteed. Twitter and social media is your friend for today. Please post any information you find with a source. Do not nag for updates, we will post a top 40 update if we receive one. - Wednesday: Top 40 update from Music Week from 5:45, and potential top 5 sales but this is not guaranteed. - Thursday: See Tuesday. Other notes (please read) - Please do not demand a midweek update, one will be posted as and when we receive the information. Patience is a virtue. - Sales information will be given out as deemed necessary by a moderator, please bear this in mind when making requests. - To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action, please refer to the iTunes and Spotify threads. |
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12th December 2015, 01:00 PM
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#2
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,804 User: 13,530 |
Official Singles/Albums Chart Update Top 100 Source: OCC Missing Data: Apple Music (Sunday), Spotify (Sunday) Top 100 Singles 1 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (40.4k) 2 Justin Bieber - Sorry (29.3k) 3 Grace feat. G-Eazy - You Don't Own Me (23.4k) 4 Adele - Hello (21.6k) 5 Sigala feat. Bryn Christopher - Sweet Lovin' (17.6k) 6-10 7 Coldplay - Adventure of a Lifetime 10 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You 11-20 12 Sigma & Rita Ora - Coming Home 13 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale of New York 14 99 Souls feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy - The Girl Is Mine 17 Little Mix - Love Me Like You 20 One Direction - History ^ 21-30 25 Wham! - Last Christmas 27 The 1975 - Ugh! 29 Sia - Alive ^ 31-40 31 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday ^ 32 Shawn Mendes - Stitches * 35 Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone ^ 36 Stormzy - Shut Up * 40 Craig David & Big Narstie - When the Bassline Drops * ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Top 100 Albums 1 Adele - 25 (157.8k) 2 Elvis Presley - If I Can Dream (51.5k) 3 Coldplay - A Head Full of Dreams (51.0k) 4 Justin Bieber - Purpose (44.0k) 5 Jess Glynne - I Cry When I Laugh (29.9k) 6-10 10 Olly Murs - Never Been Better 11-20 13 James Bay - Chaos and the Calm 14 Cilla Black - The Very Best of Cilla Black 17 Sam Smith - In the Lonely Hour 19 Ellie Goulding - Delirium 21-30 21 Taylor Swift - 1989 26 Hozier - Hozier ^ 28 Years & Years - Communion 29 Stereophonics - Keep the Village Alive ^ 31-40 33 Paul Heaton & Jacqui Abbott - Wisdom, Laugher and Lines ^ 37 ELO - All Over the World: The Very Best of ELO 39 Ben Haenow - Ben Haenow ^ Click on the above relevant links. |
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12th December 2015, 01:00 PM
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#3
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,804 User: 13,530 |
Wednesday Update Top 40 Only Source: Music Week Missing Data: tba Singles 1 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (67,857) 2 Justin Bieber - Sorry (48,873) 3 Adele - Hello 4 Grace feat. G-Eazy - You Don't Own Me 5 Justin Bieber - What Do You Mean? 6-10 7 Coldplay - Adventure of a Lifetime 8 Louisa Johnson - Forever Young (24,752) * 10 Stormzy - Shut Up (19,836) * 11-20 11 One Direction - History ^ 15 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl - Fairytale of New York 19 99 Souls feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy - The Girl Is Mine 20 Little Mix - Love Me Like You 21-30 25 Wham! - Last Christmas 30 Shawn Mendes - Stitches * 31-40 33 The 1975 - Ugh! 34 Wizzard - I Wish It Could Be Christmas Everyday ^ 35 Sia - Alive ^ 36 Shakin' Stevens - Merry Christmas Everyone ^ ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Albums 1 Adele - 25 (269,358) 2 Elvis Presley - If I Can Dream (86,391) 3 Coldplay - A Head Full of Dreams (86,239) 4 Justin Bieber - Purpose 5 Jess Glynne - I Cry When I Laugh 6-10 8 One Direction - Made in the A.M. 11-20 13 Cilla Black - The Very Best of Cilla Black 14 James Bay - Chaos and the Calm 17 Sam Smith - In the Lonely Hour 19 Ellie Goulding - Delirium 21-30 21 Taylor Swift - 1989 25 Eva Cassidy - Nightbird 28 Years & Years - Communion 29 Hozier - Hozier ^ 31-40 32 Stereophonics - Keep the Village Alive ^ 34 Paul Heaton & Jacqui Abbott - Wisdom, Laugher and Lines ^ 37 ELO - All Over the World: The Very Best of ELO 39 Take That - III 40 Ben Haenow - Ben Haenow ^ |
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12th December 2015, 01:05 PM
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#4
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,804 User: 13,530 |
Keep an eye on MintRoyale for today guys, we don't get weekend updates other than what he posts!
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12th December 2015, 01:30 PM
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#5
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Infamy Infamy they all got it in for me
Joined: 5 March 2006
Posts: 129,135 User: 2 |
Thanks Joseph, I just like to add, please note the new breakdown of the week and other notes, in the opening post, notably for new comers to the forum, how things work.
Also I like to add, as from 21st Dec to the 4th Jan chart info will be very scarce with Xmas Day and New Years Day falling on a Friday, your best friend will be OCC and social media forums for any chart info. Hopefully in between Radio 1 will transmit a year to date chart at the end of the month. |
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12th December 2015, 01:37 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 January 2014
Posts: 13,459 User: 20,515 |
Hoping Kylie Christmas can move top 15 this week, but not selling too well yesterday and today... Hopefully Strictly promo can help.... I would love it to stay top 20 this week if it cant go top 20..... a lot of it depends on a few pricing strategies at the right time.
Album should go Silver this week and I am hoping she can try and get it to Gold by year end. |
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12th December 2015, 01:43 PM
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#7
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 5 February 2010
Posts: 613 User: 10,589 |
Fleur really needs the help from X Factor this weekend if she wants to manage half decent sales of her album.
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12th December 2015, 01:47 PM
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#8
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 25 March 2007
Posts: 21,311 User: 3,155 |
Really hope XF performances has some impact and shakes up the charts a bit - Adele to return to #2 and break the Bieber domination in the singles chart please!
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12th December 2015, 02:01 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 29 August 2009
Posts: 820 User: 9,520 |
I doubt that there's gonna be a huge boost for Hello. It lost a lot of sales this week and is now doing very ordinary numbers. It might return to #3 at best behind the winner's single and Love Yourself. I think even the boost for 25 is going to be less than people expect. She should be doing When We Were Young instead which has its whole chart life ahead of it, and I think doing a new song would make the album sell more than it will.
It will be interesting to see how the Thursday cutoff point this year will affect the total sales of the X Factor's winner single. I can't see it doing more than 150-200k, and I think even 150k is a stretch. The album chart will be stale but I find it much more interesting and satisfying to see sales wise at this time of the year. Hopefully Purpose will do +100k which will make four albums sell over that amount this week alongside Adele, who would be on roughly 400k-ish without The X Factor; hopefully her performance can take that supposed amount to 500k. Coldplay should do another 150-200k, with Elvis on maybe 100-125k and Justin as aforementioned above 100k too. |
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12th December 2015, 03:04 PM
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#10
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 3 August 2006
Posts: 8,209 User: 1,031 |
Adele will clearly be no1 and I suspect Coldplay will be no2. Sales figures will be interesting.
Singles wise, I wonder whether X Factor winner will have enough pulling power this year to reach number one given the shows further drop in ratings. |
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12th December 2015, 03:08 PM
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#11
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,804 User: 13,530 |
Adele will clearly be no1 and I suspect Coldplay will be no2. Sales figures will be interesting. Singles wise, I wonder whether X Factor winner will have enough pulling power this year to reach number one given the shows further drop in ratings. The drop in ratings isn't as big as the media make out so I imagine it will quite comfortably make #1 It will likely only have to do 120k to get #1. |
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12th December 2015, 03:52 PM
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#12
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 3 August 2006
Posts: 8,209 User: 1,031 |
The drop in ratings isn't as big as the media make out so I imagine it will quite comfortably make #1 It will likely only have to do 120k to get #1. The ratings drop isn't massive this year but I think it's significant when you compare this years ratings to 5 or 6 years ago which show there has been an audience drop of 50%. The show has clearly lost its grip but given the lack of competition apart from Bieber, I expect the winner will be number one next week but Bieber might claw it back in time for Christnas week. This post has been edited by slowdown73: 12th December 2015, 04:03 PM |
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12th December 2015, 04:56 PM
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#13
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Former iconic poster with no consistent posting style
Pronouns: Don't take em seriously tbh
Joined: 20 June 2014 Posts: 20,582 User: 21,005 |
Hoping all of the songs mentioned in the OP can get good climbs this week. Need to hear The 1975 song and I hope the X Factor winner one is good even though I don't follow it. It is usually good anyway
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12th December 2015, 04:58 PM
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#14
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,561 User: 10,030 |
Interested in how much Adele will sell this week. I think she could possibly hit the 500k mark. She has the UK X-factor final tomorrow, increased sales due to being closer to Christmas and then she'll have the NBC special on Monday in the US (I'm sure it'll have a small effect in the UK).
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12th December 2015, 05:03 PM
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#15
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BuzzJack Regular
Joined: 8 August 2011
Posts: 247 User: 14,581 |
I've asked this before, but why would the NBC performance have any effect on album sales in the UK? It's not on any UK TV channels.
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12th December 2015, 05:09 PM
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#16
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you never forget your first time...
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 19 April 2011 Posts: 121,804 User: 13,530 |
I've asked this before, but why would the NBC performance have any effect on album sales in the UK? It's not on any UK TV channels. Social media! James Corden's Carpool Karaoke is only shown on his Late Late Show in the US but through YouTube and Facebook/Twitter, it kickstarted the top 40 run for Iggy Azalea's Trouble, for example. |
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12th December 2015, 05:09 PM
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#17
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 21 November 2009
Posts: 8,561 User: 10,030 |
I've asked this before, but why would the NBC performance have any effect on album sales in the UK? It's not on any UK TV channels. The internet. Anything airing in the US you can watch via the internet. There'll likely be a lot of social media buzz around the special too, which'll have a small knock on effect in the UK. I'm pretty confident it'll be uploaded to youtube in some form or another (Whether it be performances on her vevo channel, or the whole program on NBC's youtube channel etc). |
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12th December 2015, 05:11 PM
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#18
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 26 January 2014
Posts: 13,459 User: 20,515 |
I am hoping Kylie Minogue can get some sales boost as 10.6m people watched the Strictly Results Show last Sunday.... All depends on the song she chooses too...... we will know when it is recorded today... hoping for Everyday's Like Christmas
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12th December 2015, 06:05 PM
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#19
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 3 August 2006
Posts: 8,209 User: 1,031 |
I am hoping Kylie Minogue can get some sales boost as 10.6m people watched the Strictly Results Show last Sunday.... All depends on the song she chooses too...... we will know when it is recorded today... hoping for Everyday's Like Christmas Kylie should certainly get a boost given Strictly is one of the most popular TV shows right now. |
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12th December 2015, 06:17 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 22 December 2009
Posts: 30,369 User: 10,275 |
LOL everybody who wants the new Grimes album has it already. Highly doubt that it will enter top 100, glad if I'm wrong though
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