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> PREDICT: Arctic Monkeys - Tranquility Base Hotel & Casino
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Predict
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Brightest Blue
post May 4 2018, 09:23 PM
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Their album is out next week. Predictions please!

I’m going with 148k with a few tracks debuting top 50 on Spotify.
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danG
post May 4 2018, 09:27 PM
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most obvious #1 of the year
probably 100-110k including streaming (which will be big)
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Brightest Blue
post May 4 2018, 09:28 PM
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When I say ‘a few tracks debuting top 50 on Spotify’, I mean the whole album kink.gif
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perrobueno
post May 4 2018, 09:28 PM
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Definitely 100k+, maybe even more than that, I won't be surprised by 200k+ at all. And surely a #1.
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Brer
post May 4 2018, 09:30 PM
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It would be a bit of a disappointment if this doesn't crack 100k first week given their past form, although the lack of a lead single isn't going to help. I'll go with 100-150k but definitely wouldn't be surprised if they go a bit higher than that.
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Brightest Blue
post May 4 2018, 09:35 PM
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Ok who predicted a #3 debut with less than 25k sales
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Mart!n
post May 4 2018, 09:40 PM
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QUOTE(danG @ May 4 2018, 10:27 PM) *
most obvious #1 of the year


I echo that, it should walk it

I'm predicting around 125k
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Jordanlee
post May 4 2018, 09:57 PM
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130K and possibly #1 until Drake releases in June.
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SLlewellyn
post May 4 2018, 10:29 PM
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Wow, people are predicting bigger numbers tha I would’ve thought. I’m going to say #1 with 50-75k.
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Brightest Blue
post May 4 2018, 10:41 PM
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QUOTE(SLlewellyn @ May 4 2018, 11:29 PM) *
Wow, people are predicting bigger numbers tha I would’ve thought. I’m going to say #1 with 50-75k.

Their last album opened with over 150k
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GTH
post May 4 2018, 10:45 PM
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I can't see it being under 100k given their past performance, let alone how well some of their previous albums like AM have continued to sell.

Whether it does much more than that, I am not so sure. No lead single and streaming being so prominent (taking away former CD/download buyers) could be detrimental to its initial numbers. Their back catalogue seems to be doing well with streaming, so I am sure in the long run it will be a consistent streamer hit.
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Brightest Blue
post May 4 2018, 10:55 PM
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Their fan base are the type to buy CDs and vinyl though
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Mack.
post May 4 2018, 11:04 PM
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#1 with 132k. Not sure how they will do in streaming.
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Brightest Blue
post May 4 2018, 11:08 PM
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QUOTE(Mack. @ May 5 2018, 12:04 AM) *
#1 with 132k. Not sure how they will do in streaming.

Very well I imagine
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Brightest Blue
post May 11 2018, 11:02 PM
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This album is getting bad reviews everywhere.

I’ll be surprised to see it pass 100k.
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-Jay-
post May 12 2018, 04:30 PM
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QUOTE(ubɹǝɯbƆ @ May 12 2018, 12:02 AM) *
This album is getting bad reviews everywhere.

I’ll be surprised to see it pass 100k.

In terms of critical reception, it has a Metacritic score of 73, which indicates generally favourable reviews! 12 positive reviews, 6 mixed, 0 negative.
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T Boy
post May 12 2018, 04:38 PM
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As many as 4 people thinking this will miss no.1?

I plumped for 75-100k because I’m really not sure sales wise. Yes the last album was a huge success and is still high up in the charts but the albums market has taken an even bigger battering in the past 5 years, there’s no lead single and the reviews haven’t been great.
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WhoOdyssey
post May 12 2018, 04:40 PM
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QUOTE(ubɹǝɯbƆ @ May 12 2018, 12:02 AM) *
This album is getting bad reviews everywhere.

I’ll be surprised to see it pass 100k.

I've only seen one 'bad' review from a critic, most of them are positive or saying it's average.
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T Boy
post May 12 2018, 04:43 PM
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QUOTE(WhoOdyssey @ May 12 2018, 05:40 PM) *
I've only seen one 'bad' review from a critic, most of them are positive or saying it's average.


It is taking a flogging over social media though, and sometimes that can have influence on more casual ‘fans’. I’ve actually quite enjoyed the album after a few listens. But I liked Humbug and Suck It And See which some consider to be poor.
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mdh
post May 12 2018, 06:34 PM
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Critically, it's actually getting good reviews mostly! My friends are kind of 50:50, like some LOVE the album but some dislike it.
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