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Posted by: Ryan. 12th March 2018, 10:14 PM

As isn't tradition, I bring you the predictions thread with this paragraph copied from last year with the required edits. I can't wait any longer just for Georgia to serve up something that is coming last anyway.

• Feel free to go into as much or as little depth and detail as you wish, from ‘I think the UK will come last’ to full predictions of everyone’s positions with points and justifications essays.
• You will make some predictions that turn out to be wrong, that's the name of the game. The challenge will be to see if you can end up with comparatively less egg on your face than everyone else, just make sure you've thought through your bold assertions before you make them.
• New information comes to light all the time between now and the live show so you can revise your predictions as often as you like (within reason though, obviously).
• If you're Ryan and you say something completely correct despite Lex saying such a prediction is laughable like "Salvador will win the semi 1 televote" as early as April 4th 2017 then prepare to brag about this forevermore.

BuzzJack, start predicting NOW!

Posted by: Ryan. 12th March 2018, 10:52 PM

These are VERY provisional as I'm aware I have an impossible 7:3 half split in semi 1 but I'm too tired now so will revisit these tomorrow and make a final version of this initial prediction.

Semi Final 1
Overall - Televote - Jury Vote

01 01 05 Estonia // Elina Nechayeva - La Forza
02 06 01 Bulgaria // Equinox - Bones
03 03 04 Czech Republic // Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me
04 02 06 Israel // Netta - Toy
05 04 11 Cyprus // Eleni Foureira - Fuego
06 05 10 Armenia // Sevak Khanagyan - Qami
07 14 02 Belgium // Sennek - A Matter Of Time
08 09 07 Lithuania // Ieva Zasimauskaitė - When We're Old
09 07 12 Finland // Saara Aalto - Monsters
10 11 08 Albania // Eugent Bushpepa - Mall
11 10 09 Azerbaijan // Aisel - X My Heart
12 17 03 Austria // Cesár Sampson - Nobody But You
13 08 15 Greece // Yianna Terzi - Oneiro Mou
14 12 14 Belarus // Alekseev - Forever
15 16 13 Switzerland // Zibbz - Stones
16 15 16 Ireland // Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together
17 13 19 Croatia // Franka - Crazy
18 18 17 F.Y.R. Macedonia // Eye Cue - Lost And Found
19 19 18 Iceland // Ari Ólafsson - Our Choice

Semi Final 2
Overall - Televote - Jury Vote

01 02 01 Sweden // Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off
02 03 02 Australia // Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love
03 01 05 Ukraine // Mélovin - Under The Ladder
04 06 03 The Netherlands // Waylon - Outlaw In 'Em
05 04 07 Norway // Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song
06 05 08 Poland // Gromee ft. Lukas Meijer - Light Me Up
07 12 04 Malta // Christabelle - Taboo
08 07 10 Moldova // DoReDos - My Lucky Day
09 13 06 Latvia // Laura Rizzotto - Funny Girl
10 08 13 Russia // Julia Samoylova - I Won't Break
11 11 09 Denmark // Rasmussen - Higher Ground
12 09 12 Serbia // Sanja Ilić & Balkanika - Nova deca
13 10 11 Montenegro // Vanja Radovanović - Inje
14 14 14 Romania // The Humans - Goodbye
15 16 15 San Marino // Jessika ft. Jenifer Brening - Who We Are
16 15 17 Georgia // Iriao - Sheni gulistvis
17 18 16 Slovenia // Lea Sirk - Hvala, ne!
18 17 18 Hungary // AWS - Viszlát nyár

Posted by: Ryan. 12th March 2018, 10:54 PM

Surely semi-final one is the highest quality semi-final ever, it's impossible to rank them.

Posted by: LexC 12th March 2018, 11:22 PM

LMAO that paragrah really doesn't read well in hindsight at all, EEP! (another important lesson though, own any and all of your bad takes!)

A few random/general thoughts I've been having about predictions at this point.

- Semi One has somehow got a HUGE bloc of SE Europe + Balkans (Greece, Cyprus, Albania, Bulgaria, Macedonia, Croatia and Armenia plus the diasporas in Austria & Switzerland) whilst there's precious little in the way of ex-Soviets which means that Belarus, Azerbaijan and Lithuania are all in very big trouble as their usual 'cushion' of friendily points isn't as big as it usually is. The flipside of that is that just by turning up Albania have probably got around about 50 televote points already.

- You'd expect the flip side of that to mean that Russia are swimming in allies in Semi 2 but...they wierdly aren't. They've got Georgia, Moldova, Latvia (televote only since their jury is one of the noted "zero because it's russia" baltic states) and...Ukraine (HA!) and that's pretty much it. Given that it's probably not a jury magnet either, then they're also probably the most at risk of losing their 100% record as well.

- That said I think the country most likely to lose their 100% qualification record this year is Romania, largely due to being garbage (If they don't qualify and Moldova does though, it'll be interesting to see if that diaspora vote moves over to Moldova in a big way though)

- The ex-Yugo countries have really dropped the ball competitively this year and I don't think it's impossible than none of them will qualify once again. Should that happen, countries like Bulgaria and Albania may well reap the benefit of the ex-Yugo televotes that have to find a new home to go to in the final

- Love him as I may, I disagree with my learned friend Ryan with the way he does his predictions at this stage because I think it's not so much about where you come position wise on each side as much as how may points you can get. As long as you can get around about 100 points then you'll probably be in the mix to qualify from the semis (and for what it's worth, in the final you're probably looking for something that can get about 500+ points combined to be in contention) and it's perfectly possible you can do an Anja Nissen and get pulled up into the top 10 despite coming 3rd last with the televote.

That's kinda why I think Cyprus is a more safe qualifier than people are giving it credit for as whilst I think it's maybe only got 30 or so jury votes maximum, given the friendly company and it being the lone pop banger in the second half, I think it can easily get 80-100 televotes which is plenty enough to qualify.

- Gun to my head, if I had to pick a winner that nobody's seen coming yet....Ukraine!

Posted by: ionderella 12th March 2018, 11:35 PM

russia and ukraine are still kind of allies in the televoting (Russia's televote 10 went to Jamala after all) but juries will obviously have to put the opposite side in the bottom 5 otherwise... off with their head

with bulgaria's song out this means all of my current Top 5 is in Semi 1 oops

Posted by: jafetsigfinns 13th March 2018, 10:59 AM

For me it's my top 7

Posted by: Midge 13th March 2018, 11:12 AM

Have I read that right: you're predicting Albania through... in the semi of death?

Posted by: Cameron 13th March 2018, 11:19 AM

Ryan’s Eurovision taste is questionable this year so I’d ignore it 🙈

Posted by: jafetsigfinns 13th March 2018, 11:42 AM

Yeah I think Lithuania and Albania's chances are slim at best. Greece, Austria and Azerbaijan I'd say have a far better chance of qualifying.

Posted by: J▲hq 13th March 2018, 11:55 AM

I would be GUTTED if this was the song to end Azerbaijan's 100% streak, it's one of my favourites of the year!

Posted by: jafetsigfinns 13th March 2018, 02:18 PM

ETA: the percentages given below reflect how likely I think the countries of semi 1 are to qualify.

Very Likely
100% Czech Republic
100% Estonia
90% Bulgaria
90% Israel
80% Belgium
80% Greece

Somewhat Likely
70% Cyprus
70% Finland
60% Armenia

Borderline
50% Austria
50% Azerbaijan
50% Croatia

Somewhat Unlikely
40% FYR Macedonia
40% Belarus
30% Switzerland

Very Unlikely
20% Lithuania
20% Ireland
10% Albania
0% Iceland

Posted by: sm1ffj 13th March 2018, 02:41 PM

With all this Brexit business at the mo will the UK repeat it's 2003 achievement and get "nil" points...

Posted by: LexC 13th March 2018, 02:42 PM

Honestly, I don't really think you can call anything in Semi One a 100% certain qualifier. The closest to 100% certain would probably be Armenia but in the way where it's virtually guarunteed to come between 6th and 9th in the semi rather than be in the semi's top 3.

Posted by: LexC 13th March 2018, 02:43 PM

DRINK!

Posted by: jafetsigfinns 13th March 2018, 02:47 PM

100% as in I'm 100% sure they'll qualify these are my predictions after all so I can call them what I want lol.

Posted by: Liаm 13th March 2018, 02:59 PM

Not gonna go as detailed as Ryan but I'd say something like:

Semi 1
01 Estonia
02 Israel
03 Bulgaria
04 Czech Republic
05 Cyprus
06 Finland
07 Belgium
08 Armenia
09 Azerbaijan
10 Albania
11 Austria
12 Belarus
13 Greece
14 Macedonia (I WISH this was semi 2 )
15 Ireland
16 Croatia
17 Lithuania
18 Switzerland
19 Iceland (surely this will appeal to a grand total of nobody)

Semi 2
01 Sweden
02 Netherlands
03 Australia
04 Poland (I could easily see this being the modern chart ready song that does really well like Hey Mamma, on a lesser scale ofc)
05 Norway (probably higher but I'm being hopeful)
06 Ukraine
07 Russia
08 Malta
09 Denmark
10 Moldova
11 Montenegro
12 Latvia
13 Serbia
14 Georgia
15 Hungary
16 Slovenia (this SHOULD be top 5 at least in this poor semi but it screams bottom few in the semi)
17 Romania
18San Marino

For the big 5 and Portugal:
Italy will probably do about as well as Francesca Michielin, the message is powerful so if they can get it across with the staging as ofc many people won't understand Italian, perhaps a few places higher.
Spain is probably my pick for a winner outside the obvious top few, especially if they have the same chemistry on stage come May and they kiss at the end or something.
United Kingdom won't get above 10 points, and will probably finish last as such.
France could be anywhere, like Italy it will depend on the staging being enough to complement the message. I'd say maybe around 15th.
Germany is most probably a solid low top 10.
Portugal I could see doing anything, from a solid top 10 to bottom few It's certainly their most modern offering so hopefully it works in their favour.

With it being SUCH a bloodbath I could easily see something shocking happening, I wouldn't like to say who'd be the victim of a shock DNQ but I'd hope it's Bulgaria if one happens I could see Saara or Eleni perhaps ending up as low as 9th r 10th but I really doubt either would DNQ... It's gonna come down to the staging and running order perhaps more than ever!

Posted by: LexC 13th March 2018, 03:08 PM

I could kinda see Belgium being the song that slips through the cracks in 11th/12th despite the fans loving it like Blackbird in 2017.

Posted by: Cameron 13th March 2018, 03:24 PM

Belgium could very easily do a Serbia 2017. Can we make a petition for Macedonia to be moved into semi 2 pls

Posted by: AdamAloud 13th March 2018, 03:39 PM

Considering we got our best result in 6 years in the contest directly after the EU referendum, "all this Brexit business" will make no difference.

Posted by: AdamAloud 13th March 2018, 03:44 PM

This drag though!!

Posted by: BillyH 13th March 2018, 04:34 PM

The UK will crash and burn and everyone outside this forum will solely blame the result on Brexit and no other reason.

They will also continue to blame Brexit for any non-winning result for the next decade (becoming the new "Iraq" c.2003-2008) until another convenient excuse arrives.

Posted by: ScottyEm 13th March 2018, 09:37 PM

I’ll give this a whirl.. always good to laugh at in two months time

Semi 1
01 Israel
02 Czech Republic
03 Estonia
04 Bulgaria
05 Austria
06 Belgium
07 Armenia
08 Cyprus
09 Azerbaijan
10 Lithuania
11 Belarus
12 Finland
13 Greece
14 Albania
15 FYR Macedonia
16 Ireland
17 Iceland
18 Croatia

Semi 2
01 Sweden
02 Australia
03 Ukraine
04 Poland
05 Netherlands
06 Norway
07 Serbia
08 Romania
09 Russia
10 Hungary
11 Malta
12 Denmark
13 Georgia
14 Moldova
15 Latvia
16 Slovenia
17 Montenegro
18 San Marino

There’s no denying Semi 1 is far, far superior but I feel there’s a marked difference between the quality entries and the remaining others. It felt easier to predict. My biggest fear is Finland - I think they are likely show closers and everything is being put in place to get a good result, but I’m worried this wont rise above the other bangers in the semi (also keeping myself emotionally prepared for Monsters to crash out). I expect big difference between jury and televotes between Belgium and Austria.

Semi 2 seemed far easier to predict. Hungary will gain enough support from televote and jury to get them in, not to mention strong dyaspora. Malta will likely just miss out but will receive the usual friendly jury votes albeit not quite enough. I think Sweden will walk this - Australia is a bit too safe to go all the way.

Posted by: Midge 14th March 2018, 01:09 AM

SF1

1. FINLAND
2. ESTONIA
3. ISRAEL
4. CZECH REPUBLIC
5. IRELAND
6. BULGARIA
7. CYPRUS
8. BELGIUM
9. AUSTRIA
10. AZERBAIJAN
11. ARMENIA
12. GREECE
13. CROATIA
14. MACEDONIA
15. BELARUS
16. LITHUANIA
17. ALBANIA
18. SWITZERLAND
19. ICELAND

I've gone for a 'shock' qualifier for Ireland - this is the one I'd gamble on doing well. It's beautiful and understated and I think draws comparisons to Tom Dice's "Me And My Guitar".
Azerbaijan pushing Armenia out by one place would hurt in their rivalry for sure. Ironically they'd both qualify if they didn't always give each other 0.
It'll be disappointing to see Macedonia go out having made so much effort for a 2nd year running.

SF2

1. SWEDEN
2. AUSTRALIA
3. UKRAINE
4. RUSSIA
5. NETHERLANDS
6. POLAND
7. MALTA
8. NORWAY
9. HUNGARY
10. DENMARK
11. MOLDOVA
12. MONTENEGRO
13. ROMANIA
14. SAN MARINO
15. LATVIA
16. SERBIA
17. GEORGIA
18. SLOVENIA

I'd say it's a bit more straightforward but Montenegro have the power to sneak in here I think - as do Romania even with this dross entry. Moldova hoping for a repeat of last year but will be disappointed - the first vocalist makes it incredibly cringe live. It sounds incredibly dated live.

FINAL

1. FINLAND
2. ISRAEL
3. ESTONIA
4. CZECH REPUBLIC
5. SWEDEN
6. BULGARIA
7. FRANCE
8. AUSTRALIA
9. RUSSIA
10. SPAIN
11. UKRAINE
12. IRELAND
13. NETHERLANDS
14. CYPRUS
15. PORTUGAL
16. GERMANY
17. BELGIUM
18. ITALY
19. NORWAY
20. POLAND
21. HUNGARY
22. AUSTRIA
23. MALTA
24. AZERBAIJAN
25. DENMARK
26. UNITED KINGDOM

I think the two things I'm gambling on really are me sticking to my guns with "Monsters" - it sounded like a winner when I first heard it - and Ireland sneaking a surprise. Israel could easily win this (as well as semi final 1) - but then so could Estonia. I've surprised myself in having Czech Republic as high as 4th. Spain on for their 3rd 10th place of the decade! Cyprus I hope will come higher than 14th. I think nothing is more nailed on than the UK in last place though this year - by quite some margin - and Denmark will fall very flat on stage having sneaked in to the final only just.

Posted by: jafetsigfinns 14th March 2018, 01:20 PM

Gonna make some very premature predictions. Will be very interesting to see how far off these may be come May. Semi 2 felt a lot more difficult to predict honestly because all of the best songs are in Semi 1 while the second one is a lot more underwhelming.

SEMI FINAL ONE
01 Estonia — "La Forza"
02 Czech Republic — "Lie To Me"
03 Bulgaria — "Bones"
04 Belgium — "A Matter Of Time"
05 Israel — "Toy"
06 Armenia — "Qami"
07 Greece — "Oneiro Mou"
08 Finland — "Monsters"
09 Cyprus — "Fuego"
10 Austria — "Nobody But You"
11 Croatia — "Crazy"
12 Azerbaijan — "X My Heart"
13 FYR Macedonia — "Lost & Found"
14 Belarus — "Forever"
15 Switzerland — "Stones"
16 Ireland — "Together"
17 Lithuania — "When We're Old"
18 Albania — "Mall"
19 Iceland — "Our Choice"

SEMI FINAL TWO
01 Sweden — "Dance You Off"
02 Ukraine — "Under the Ladder"
03 Netherlands — "Outlaw In 'Em"
04 Montenegro — "Inje"
05 Russia — "I Won't Break"
06 Hungary — "Viszlát Nyár"
07 Moldova — "My Lucky Day"
08 Denmark — "Higher Ground"
09 Norway — "That's How You Write A Song"
10 Poland — "Light Me Up"
11 Latvia — "Funny Girl"
12 Serbia — "Nova Deca"
13 Georgia — "For You"
14 Australia — "We Got Love"
15 Romania — "Goodbye"
16 Malta — "Taboo"
17 San Marino — "Who We Are"
18 Slovenia — "Hvala, Ne!"

Posted by: LexC 30th March 2018, 12:52 PM

Having had some time to think it over, this is what I'd predict from the semis at this stage;

Semi One

Safe

01 Israel
02 Belgium
03 Bulgaria
04 Finland
05 Czech Republic
06 Estonia
07 Armenia

Borderline IN

08 Cyprus
09 Lithuania
10 Austria

Borderline OUT

11 Azerbaijan
12 Macedonia
13 Greece
14 Albania

Struggling

15 Croatia
16 Ireland
17 Belarus
18 Switzerland
19 Iceland

Semi Two

Safe

01 Australia
02 Sweden
03 Ukraine

Solid

04 Netherlands
05 Poland
06 Moldova

Borderline IN

07 Denmark
08 Norway
09 Latvia
10 Malta

Borderline OUT

11 Russia
12 Romania
13 Serbia

Struggling

14 Montenegro
15 Georgia
16 Hungary
17 Slovenia

Dead on Arrival

18 San Marino

Posted by: ScottyEm 1st April 2018, 10:46 AM

Interesting to see a lot of ppl (and not just on here) are suggesting Azerbaijan will crash our? It’s far from groundbreaking but surely this will sail through even in this very dicey semi.

Posted by: cantthinkofaname 1st April 2018, 05:21 PM

Updated prediction:

SEMI FINAL ONE
01 Israel — "Toy"
02 Estonia — "La Forza"
03 Czech Republic — "Lie To Me"
04 Belgium — "A Matter Of Time"
05 Bulgaria — "Bones"
06 Cyprus — "Fuego"
07 Austria — "Nobody But You"
08 Greece — "Oneiro Mou"
09 Finland — "Monsters"
10 Armenia — "Qami"
11 Azerbaijan — "X My Heart"
12 Ireland — "Together"
13 Croatia — "Crazy"
14 Lithuania — "When We're Old"
15 Belarus — "Forever"
16 Switzerland — "Stones"
17 Albania — "Mall"
18 FYR Macedonia — "Lost & Found"
19 Iceland — "Our Choice"

SEMI FINAL TWO
01 Sweden — "Dance You Off"
02 Ukraine — "Under the Ladder"
03 Netherlands — "Outlaw In 'Em"
04 Montenegro — "Inje"
05 Norway — "That's How You Write A Song"
06 Denmark — "Higher Ground"
07 Russia — "I Won't Break"
08 Hungary — "Viszlát Nyár"
09 Australia — "We Got Love"
10 Poland — "Light Me Up"
11 Latvia — "Funny Girl"
12 Serbia — "Nova Deca"
13 Georgia — "For You"
14 Moldova — "My Lucky Day"
15 Romania — "Goodbye"
16 Slovenia — "Hvala, Ne!"
17 San Marino — "Who We Are"
18 Malta — "Taboo"

Not a lot of change but swapped Australia for Moldova, otherwise same qualifiers but different order in most places.

Posted by: AdamAloud 2nd April 2018, 10:17 AM

Wanna get some early predictions in before the running order announcement.

Semi 1

IN
Armenia
Austria
Bulgaria
Cyprus
Czech Republic
Estonia
Finland
Greece
Israel
Lithuania

OUT
Albania
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Belgium
Croatia
Iceland
Ireland
Macedonia
Switzerland


Semi 2

IN
Australia
Denmark
Hungary
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Romania
Russia
Sweden
Ukraine

OUT
Georgia
Latvia
Malta
Moldova
Montenegro
San Marino
Serbia
Slovenia

Posted by: LexC 2nd April 2018, 05:23 PM

Based on my qualifier predictions earlier in the thread, this is my first guess at the Final results

01 Israel
02 Australia
03 Sweden
04 Belgium
05 Ukraine
06 France
07 Bulgaria
08 Netherlands
09 Finland
10 Czech Republic

11 Moldova
12 Denmark
13 Poland
14 Armenia
15 Estonia
16 Spain
17 Germany
18 Cyprus
19 Norway
20 Italy

21 Lithuania
22 Austria
23 Latvia
24 Portugal
25 United Kingdom
26 Malta

Posted by: cantthinkofaname 3rd April 2018, 09:34 AM

01 Bulgaria — "Bones"
02 Israel — "Toy"
03 Sweden — "Dance You Off"
04 Estonia — "La Forza"
05 Czech Republic — "Lie To Me"
06 Belgium — "A Matter Of Time"
07 France — "Mercy"
08 Norway — "That's How You Write A Song"
09 Austria — "Nobody But You"
10 Italy — "Non Mi Avete Fatto Niente"
11 Finland — "Monsters"
12 Denmark — "Higher Ground"
13 Ukraine — "Under the Ladder"
14 Portugal — "O Jardim"
15 Netherlands — "Outlaw In 'Em"
16 Cyprus — "Fuego"
17 Montenegro — "Inje"
18 Greece — "Oneiro Mou"
19 Armenia — "Qami"
20 Russia — "I Won't Break"
21 Australia — "We Got Love"
22 United Kingdom — "Storm"
23 Hungary — "Viszlát Nyár"
24 Spain — "Tu Canción"
25 Germany — "You Let Me Walk Alone"
26 Poland — "Light Me Up"

I don't know why but my gut is really telling me Bulgaria will take it this year. I think it will all depend on their live performance though, so I'll update this once rehearsals start.

Posted by: Ryan. 3rd April 2018, 09:57 PM

Right here we go! While I've mostly stuck to the formula, Lex is right that dominating one vote or the other will gain more points than middling in both so I've reflected that in my overall positions.

Semi Final 1
Overall - Televote - Jury Vote

01 02 01 Israel // Netta - Toy
02 01 05 Estonia // Elina Nechayeva - La Forza
03 03 04 Czech Republic // Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me
04 04 08 Cyprus // Eleni Foureira - Fuego
05 07 06 Lithuania // Ieva Zasimauskaitė - When We're Old
06 13 03 Bulgaria // Equinox - Bones
07 16 02 Belgium // Sennek - A Matter Of Time
08 05 13 Greece // Yianna Terzi - Oneiro Mou
09 06 15 Finland // Saara Aalto - Monsters
10 11 09 Ireland // Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together
11 12 07 Albania // Eugent Bushpepa - Mall
12 09 12 Armenia // Sevak Khanagyan - Qami
13 10 14 Azerbaijan // Aisel - X My Heart
14 08 18 Belarus // Alekseev - Forever
15 17 10 Switzerland // Zibbz - Stones
16 18 11 Austria // Cesár Sampson - Nobody But You
17 14 17 Croatia // Franka - Crazy
18 15 16 F.Y.R. Macedonia // Eye Cue - Lost And Found
19 19 19 Iceland // Ari Ólafsson - Our Choice

Semi Final 2
Overall - Televote - Jury Vote

01 04 01 Australia // Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love
02 03 02 Sweden // Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off
03 02 04 Norway // Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song
04 01 06 Ukraine // Mélovin - Under The Ladder
05 05 03 The Netherlands // Waylon - Outlaw In 'Em
06 07 07 Poland // Gromee ft. Lukas Meijer - Light Me Up
07 06 09 Moldova // DoReDos - My Lucky Day
08 08 08 Denmark // Rasmussen - Higher Ground
09 14 05 Malta // Christabelle - Taboo
10 10 11 Montenegro // Vanja Radovanović - Inje
11 09 14 Russia // Julia Samoylova - I Won't Break
12 16 10 Latvia // Laura Rizzotto - Funny Girl
13 11 16 Hungary // AWS - Viszlát nyár
14 13 13 Slovenia // Lea Sirk - Hvala, ne!
15 12 15 Serbia // Sanja Ilić & Balkanika - Nova deca
16 15 12 Romania // The Humans - Goodbye
17 17 18 San Marino // Jessika ft. Jenifer Brening - Who We Are
18 18 17 Georgia // Ethno-Jazz Band Iriao - For You

And just for fun...

Final
Overall - Televote - Jury Vote

01 02 01 Israel // Netta - Toy
02 01 07 Estonia // Elina Nechayeva - La Forza
03 07 02 Australia // Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love
04 06 03 Sweden // Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off
05 08 04 France // Madame Monsieur - Mercy
06 03 10 Norway // Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song
07 05 09 Czech Republic // Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me
08 04 11 Ukraine // Mélovin - Under The Ladder
09 13 06 The Netherlands // Waylon - Outlaw In 'Em
10 21 05 Belgium // Sennek - A Matter Of Time
11 18 08 Bulgaria // Equinox - Bones
12 09 19 Poland // Gromee ft. Lukas Meijer - Light Me Up
13 10 21 Moldova // DoReDos - My Lucky Day
14 11 20 Finland // Saara Aalto - Monsters
15 14 16 Lithuania // Ieva Zasimauskaitė - When We're Old
16 16 14 Germany // Michael Schulte - You Let Me Walk Alone
17 15 17 Cyprus // Eleni Foureira - Fuego
18 12 23 Montenegro // Vanja Radovanović - Inje
19 19 15 Italy // Ermal Meta & Fabrizio Moro - Non Mi Avete Fatto Niente
20 24 12 Malta // Christabelle - Taboo
21 23 13 Portugal // Cláudia Pascoal - O Jardim
22 17 18 Greece // Yianna Terzi - Oneiro Mou
23 20 22 Denmark // Rasmussen - Higher Ground
24 22 25 Spain // Alfred & Amaia - Tu Canción
25 25 24 Ireland // Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together
26 26 26 United Kingdom // SuRie - Storm

Posted by: LexC 3rd April 2018, 10:53 PM

Interesting that you see Israel doing better with the jury than the televote, most people seem to have it the other way round.

Posted by: Ryan. 3rd April 2018, 11:01 PM

Indeed, Israel is more of a default jury winner in that there's no song that screams I will landslide the jury a la Dami, Salvador whereas I could easily pick out a stand-out in Estonia than the televoters will grasp on to.

Posted by: RobBob 7th April 2018, 01:35 AM

Semi 1 predictions:

01 Israel
02 Czech Republic
03 Estonia
04 Belgium
05 Austria
06 Cyprus
07 Bulgaria
08 Greece
09 Armenia
10 Finland
------
11 Azerbaijan
12 Lithuania
13 Albania
14 Belarus
15 Ireland
16 FYR Macedonia
17 Switzerland
18 Croatia
19 Iceland

Posted by: Jerick 7th April 2018, 12:58 PM

Semi Final 1

01 Azerbaijan - Aisel - X My Heart
02 Iceland - Ari Ólafsson - Our Choice
03 Albania - Eugent Bushpepa - Mall
04 Belgium - Sennek - A Matter of Time
05 Czech Republic - Mikolas Josef - Lie to Me
06 Lithuania - Ieva Zasimauskaitė - When We're Old
07 Israel - Netta - Toy
08 Belarus - Alekseev - Forever
09 Estonia - Elina Nechayeva - La forza
10 Bulgaria - Equinox - Bones
11 Macedonia - Eye Cue - Lost and Found
12 Croatia - Franka - Crazy
13 Austria - Cesár Sampson - Nobody but You
14 Greece - Yianna Terzi - Oneiro mou
15 Finland - Saara Aalto - Monsters
16 Armenia - Sevak Khanagyan - Qami
17 Switzerland - Zibbz - Stones
18 Ireland - Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together
19 Cyprus - Eleni Foureira - Fuego

Semi Final 2

01 Norway - Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write a Song
02 Romania - The Humans - Goodbye
03 Serbia - Sanja Ilić & Balkanika - Nova deca (Нова деца)
04 San Marino - Jessika feat. Jenifer Brening - Who We Are
05 Denmark - Rasmussen - Higher Ground
06 Russia - Julia Samoylova - I Won't Break
07 Moldova - DoReDos - My Lucky Day
08 Netherlands - Waylon - Outlaw in 'Em
09 Australia - Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love
10 Georgia - Iriao - For You
11 Poland - Gromee feat. Lukas Meijer - Light Me Up
12 Malta - Christabelle - Taboo
13 Hungary - AWS - Viszlát nyár
14 Latvia - Laura Rizzotto - Funny Girl
15 Sweden - Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off
16 Montenegro - Vanja Radovanović - Inje
17 Slovenia - Lea Sirk - Hvala, ne!
18 Ukraine - Mélovin - Under the Ladder

Bold = who I think will qualify

Posted by: AdamAloud 23rd April 2018, 03:44 PM

Less than a week till rehearsals kick off, here's some post running order, but pre rehearsals predictions.

Semi 1

01. Israel // Netta - TOY
02. Bulgaria // EQUINOX - Bones
03. Estonia // Elina Nechayeva - La Forza
04. Cyprus // Eleni Foureira - Fuego
05. Austria // Cesár Sampson - Nobody But You
06. Czech Republic // Mikolas Josef - Lie To Me
07. Greece // Yianna Terzi - Oneiro Mou
08. Armenia // Sevak Khanagyan - Qami
09. Finland // Saara Aalto - Monsters
10. Azerbaijan // Aisel - X My Heart
---
11. Belgium // Sennek - A Matter Of Time
12. Lithuania // Ieva Zasimauskaitė - When We're Old
13. Macedonia // Eye Cue - Lost & Found
14. Albania // Eugent Bushpepa - Mall
15. Belarus // ALEKSEEV - Forever
16. Switzerland // ZiBBZ - Stones
17. Ireland // Ryan O'Shaughnessy - Together
18. Croatia // Franka - Crazy
19. Iceland // Ari Ólafsson - Our Choice

The semi of death doesn't get any easier. I can see any combination of the top 15 here making it through. Switzerland, Ireland, Croatia and Iceland are all dead on arrival I believe.

Semi 2

01. Sweden // Benjamin Ingrosso - Dance You Off
02. Ukraine // MELOVIN - Under The Ladder
03. Australia // Jessica Mauboy - We Got Love
04. Hungary // AWS - Viszlát Nyár
05. The Netherlands // Waylon - Outlaw In 'Em
06. Norway // Alexander Rybak - That's How You Write A Song
07. Poland // Gromee ft. Lukas Meijer - Light Me Up
08. Denmark // Rasmussen - Higher Ground
09. Russia // Julia Samoylova - I Won't Break
10. Malta // Christabelle - Taboo
---
11. Romania // The Humans - Goodbye
12. Serbia // Sanja Ilić & Balkanika - Nova Deca
13. Montenegro // Vanja Radovanović - Inje
14. Moldova // DoReDos - My Lucky Day
15. Latvia // Laura Rizzotto - Funny Girl
16. San Marino // Jessika ft. Jenifer Brening - Who We Are
17. Georgia // Ethno-Jazz Band Iriao - For You
18. Slovenia // Lea Sirk - Hvala, Ne!

The top 8 I've put here feel certain to make it (devastatingly so in the case of #6), whereas the last two spots are pretty much up for grabs. Feeling San Marino, Georgia and Slovenia are definitely staying in the semi regardless.

Posted by: RobBob 24th April 2018, 05:46 PM

Semi 2 predictions:

01 Sweden
02 Australia
03 Ukraine
04 The Netherlands
05 Poland
06 Norway
07 Hungary
08 Romania
09 Denmark
10 Moldova
---------------------
11 Latvia
12 Russia
13 Georgia
14 Malta
15 Serbia
16 Montenegro
17 Slovenia
18 San Marino

Posted by: Hayzayy 26th April 2018, 11:50 AM

I'm actually gutted to see most of my faves are in semi finale 1 - like all of them.

I only have two songs from semi-finale 2 in my top 10 and they're 8th and 10th...

Posted by: mdh 28th April 2018, 12:41 PM

02 01 07 Estonia // Elina Nechayeva - La Forza

Oh f***ing CHRIST, why is this a thing I was hoping it'd be a 15th placer in the semi or something, I thought we'd suffered enough with last years winner.

Posted by: Liаm 28th April 2018, 12:47 PM

I had a dream Australia won and I was crying for hours, Mystic Liam's subconscious to be right plz xx

Posted by: Cameron 28th April 2018, 06:45 PM

I had a dream that Eleni was too ill to sing Fuego so Cyrpus sent Gravity again ew

Posted by: AdamAloud 4th May 2018, 01:34 PM

Semi One

01. Israel
02. Czech Republic
03. Estonia
04. Bulgaria
05. Cyprus
06. Lithuania
07. Finland
08. Austria
09. Greece
10. Albania
---
11. Belgium
12. Switzerland
13. Armenia
14. Croatia
15. Azerbaijan
16. Belarus
17. Macedonia
18. Ireland
19. Iceland

Jury Saves: Austria, Albania
Televote Saves: Finland, Greece

Semi Two

01. Sweden
02. Ukraine
03. Norway
04. Hungary
05. Australia
06. Moldova
07. Romania
08. Poland
09. Netherlands
10. Montenegro
---
11. Malta
12. Russia
13. Serbia
14. Denmark
15. Latvia
16. Georgia
17. San Marino
18. Slovenia

Jury Save: Netherlands
Televote Save: Poland

Posted by: ScottyEm 4th May 2018, 02:34 PM

Semi 1 Prediction

1 Israel
2 Bulgaria
3 Estonia
4 Czech Republic
5 Cyprus
6 Lithuania
7 Austria
8 Finland
9 Belgium
10 Azerbaijan
11 Switzerland
12 Albania
13 Belarus
14 Greece
15 Armenia
16 Croatia
17 Ireland
18 FYR Macedonia
19 Iceland

Some thoughts - Based on reactions and clips, which have helped in some instances (bye Macedonia), this is my prediction. I’ve gone bold with having Azerbaijan retaining their 100% records - just. I think the package is just about satisfactory to slip through. Finland I think will be pegged up by UK, Estonia and Ireland enough to make it but I’m flip-flopping over this, which is unnerving me as it’s my favourite this year. I also think Bulgaria could win the jury vote - it has everything they will love, like Love Injected but with an even thicker production. Armenia would’ve only gone through if they were able to create a mood, which apparently they haven’t have succeeded at.

I’ll decide on semi 2 once I’ve seen the footage to all.

Posted by: AdamAloud 11th May 2018, 12:36 PM

Think we're in for a fight to the death between Cyprus and Israel.

01. Cyprus
02. Israel
03. Moldova
04. Sweden
05. Lithuania
06. France
07. Ukraine
08. Bulgaria
09. Norway
10. Hungary
11. Estonia
12. Czech Republic
13. Ireland
14. Australia
15. Germany
16. Austria
17. Italy
18. Finland
19. The Netherlands
20. Denmark
21. Slovenia
22. Albania
23. Serbia
24. Spain
25. Portugal
26. United Kingdom

Posted by: Liаm 11th May 2018, 01:12 PM

Gonna take a stab at...

01 Cyprus
02 Israel (could see this being v close like 2016)
03 Sweden
04 France
05 Norway
06 Lithuania
07 Moldova
08 Germany
09 Estonia
10 Hungary

11 Ukraine
12 Ireland
13 Italy
14 Czech Republic
15 Albania (can kinda see this randomly being far higher than it should be/we realise)
16 Finland
17 Bulgaria
18 Australia
19 Austria
20 Netherlands

21 Denmark
22 Serbia
23 Portugal
24 Slovenia
25 Spain
26 United Kingdom

No f***ing idea tho I'm fairly sure on the top 2 (and us being last ) but that's about it. This is going to be a really exciting final results wise, even more than usual! We'll probably get some massive curveballs.


Also gonna make the not so bold prediction that SuRie won't crack double figure points.

Posted by: Herbs 11th May 2018, 01:56 PM

1. Israel
2. Cyprus
3. Czech Republic
4. Australia
5. Norway
6. France
7. Bulgaria
8. Italy
9. Lithuania
10. Sweden
11. Estonia
12. Finland
13. Germany
14. The Netherlands
15. Moldova
16. Ireland
17. Austria
18. Spain
19. Denmark
20. Ukraine
21. United Kingdom
22. Hungary
23. Portugal
24. Albania
25. Slovenia
26. Serbia

Posted by: Iz 11th May 2018, 04:53 PM

01. Cyprus
02. Sweden
03. Moldova
04. Lithuania
05. Hungary
06. Israel
07. Ukraine
08. Czech Republic
09. Bulgaria
10. Ireland
11. Finland
12. France
13. Norway
14. Estonia
15. Germany
16. Austria
17. The Netherlands
18. Slovenia
19. Italy
20. Albania
21. Portugal
22. Australia
23. United Kingdom
24. Spain
25. Serbia
26. Denmark

going to put Israel as low as #6, Czech Republic easing a top 10 and maybe Ireland scraping in given their odds rise.

Posted by: pippa 11th May 2018, 05:31 PM

01. Cyprus
02. Estonia
03. Moldova
04. Israel
05. Bulgaria
06. Sweden
07. Australia
08. Norway
09. Ireland
10. Finland

11. Lithuania
12. Ukraine
13. Czech Republic
14. France
15. The Netherlands
16. Austria
17. United Kingdom
18. Denmark
19. Hungary
20. Germany

21. Slovenia
22. Serbia
23. Portugal
24 Spain
25. Italy
26. Albania

Posted by: RobBob 12th May 2018, 12:00 AM

I don't even believe my own prediction but f*** it, this is impossible to predict. I remain with the right to edit this a million times in the next 12 hours or so.

01. Cyprus
02. France
03. Sweden
04. Israel
05. Germany
06. Norway
07. Ukraine
08. Norway
09. Czech Republic
10. Lithuania
11. Estonia
12. Ireland
13. Hungary
14. Bulgaria
15. Australia
16. Albania
17. The Netherlands
18. Italy
19. Finland
20. Austria
21. Portugal
22. Slovenia
23. Serbia
24. Spain
25. United Kingdom
26. Denmark

Posted by: Liаm 12th May 2018, 03:28 AM

I'll take Herbs and Pippa's predictions for Aus and Pippa's prediction for Estonia (the latter for my bank account)!

(Iz can be right about Hungary tho also for the sake f my bank account)

Posted by: Oliver 12th May 2018, 06:45 AM

You definitely need to, you’ve got Norway in twice! (in place of Moldova it seems)

Posted by: LexC 12th May 2018, 06:21 PM

Final Prediction:

01 Cyprus
02 Israel
03 France
04 Sweden
05 Moldova
06 Australia
07 Ukraine
08 Norway
09 Lithuania
10 Czech Republic

11 Germany
12 Ireland
13 Finland
14 Hungary
15 Portugal
16 Albania
17 Bulgaria
18 Estonia
19 Netherlands
20 Serbia

21 Austria
22 Italy
23 Spain
24 Slovenia
25 Denmark
26 United Kingdom

Posted by: UltraReputation 12th May 2018, 06:42 PM

Prediction:
1. Cyprus
2. Israel
3. Moldova
4. Norway
5. Lithuania
6. France
7. Hungary
8. Ireland
9. Estonia
10. Sweden

11. Germany
12. Australia
13. Finland
14. Czech Republic
15. Ukraine
16. Bulgaria
17. Austria
18. Spain
19. Netherlands
20. Italy

21. Slovenia
22. Albania
23. Serbia
24. Netherlands
25. UK
26. Denmark