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> Q4 Predictions 2018
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Yorkie3
post 9th August 2018, 09:21 PM
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Fair enough, I'm a little behind the times. I don't think it would be a terrible strategy for them to quit releasing albums altogether though since they have so much singles success when they don't oversaturate the market with their songs, and albums don't really sell well these days. I was also hoping they'd maintain their top 5 singles streak, which probably won't happen if they release an album tongue.gif
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777666jason
post 9th August 2018, 10:01 PM
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At this stage short of a surprise release from Adele/ ED etc. which seems unlikely Jess Glynne and Little mix seem to be the only potential "massive" candidates.
Ellie Goulding could do alright for a week or 2 but she hasn't had a hit in years and she featured a few times.
Olly murs could do ok if he promotes and releases Christmas time
Justin beiber could do well possibly


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JosephBoone
post 9th August 2018, 10:05 PM
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QUOTE(777666jason @ Aug 9 2018, 11:01 PM) *
Ellie Goulding could do alright for a week or 2 but she hasn't had a hit in years and she featured a few times.

In all fairness, she hasn't released a song of her own in 2 years (Still Falling For You) tongue.gif

QUOTE(777666jason @ Aug 9 2018, 11:01 PM) *
Justin beiber could do well possibly

I'd say this is on lock if he actually releases!

(tidied up these posts and moved them to the Q4 predictions topic)
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___∆___
post 10th August 2018, 11:17 AM
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Kylie Q4 predictions -

The repackage of Golden album will go Top 10.

She will have a Top 10 with Sigala

‘Santa Baby’ will reach a Top 30 peak and the Christmas album will return to the Top 75.
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danG
post 10th August 2018, 11:20 AM
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I can't see Santa Baby reaching a new peak, keep in mind it will be subject to ACR and because of the new rules it will not be reset this year.
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coi
post 10th August 2018, 11:41 AM
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I can't see Kylie having a top 10 single either.
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777666jason
post 10th August 2018, 11:47 AM
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Lots of Christmas tracks will return to the chart even with the new dodgy rules

Buzzjack will have its annual Mariah vs pogues debate Mariah will ultimately peak highest she always does
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PeteFromLeeds
post 10th August 2018, 11:50 AM
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Wonder if we'll get some more new Christmas tracks climbing the ranks? Santa's Coming For Us should certainly get a new peak since it was only released last year and should leapfrog some of the older songs ahead of it.
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Tangela
post 10th August 2018, 11:52 AM
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QUOTE(PeteFromLeeds @ Aug 10 2018, 12:50 PM) *
Wonder if we'll get some more new Christmas tracks climbing the ranks? Santa's Coming For Us should certainly get a new peak since it was only released last year and should leapfrog some of the older songs ahead of it.

It’d be great to see the best of Sia's Christmas album get some nice peaks. Go "Ho Ho Ho"!
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Jessie Where
post 10th August 2018, 12:02 PM
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QUOTE(danG @ Aug 10 2018, 12:20 PM) *
I can't see Santa Baby reaching a new peak, keep in mind it will be subject to ACR and because of the new rules it will not be reset this year.


Does this mean all the regular perennial Christmas standards won't reach as high this year as previously?
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Bjork
post 10th August 2018, 12:28 PM
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they will all have their streams cut in half, so if they get 1 million streams per day during xmas week, only 500,000 will count for the charts
they will still chart but lower I'd say
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Bjork
post 10th August 2018, 12:30 PM
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and yes it gives a very good chance to Sia's xmas tracks or anybody releasing new xmas music
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___∆___
post 10th August 2018, 04:06 PM
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^^ Even with the new rules Christmas songs will still be huge - streaming is only getting bigger and we now have the inclusion of YT into the mix. Plus Christmas this year falls on a Friday so will be a huge streaming week for Christmas songs in that chart.
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darrens94
post 10th August 2018, 04:26 PM
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QUOTE(___∆___ @ Aug 10 2018, 05:06 PM) *
^^ Even with the new rules Christmas songs will still be huge - streaming is only getting bigger and we now have the inclusion of YT into the mix. Plus Christmas this year falls on a Friday so will be a huge streaming week for Christmas songs in that chart.


Christmas is on a Tuesday this year not a Friday.
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N-S
post 10th August 2018, 04:39 PM
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Adele will surprise everyone by releasing "29"/"30".
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Jessie Where
post 10th August 2018, 04:44 PM
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QUOTE(N-S @ Aug 10 2018, 05:39 PM) *
Adele will surprise everyone by releasing "29"/"30".


The most surprising thing about that would be the title, as she's said 25 will be the last of its kind.
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ThePensmith
post 10th August 2018, 08:11 PM
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I reckon it won't be until end of next year or 2020 at the latest that we hear from either Adele or Ed Sheeran again. I think it'll certainly be a test for Ed when he comes back with new stuff, and I suspect he'll come back with something totally at odds with his last two albums - partly to change gear, but I also suspect to answer the heavy amount of backlash he recieved on the Divide campaign generally.
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Klaus
post 10th August 2018, 08:16 PM
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Ed Sheeran has said the next album is going to be purposefully uncommercial because he’ll never top Divide so he needs to lower the bar to smash just as hard with his fifth album
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digitalking
post 10th August 2018, 08:43 PM
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I feel like Ariana is hiding a massive banger in her new album which is waiting to smash later this year
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Steve201
post 10th August 2018, 11:47 PM
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Yeh Ed is big enough now to release something non commercial and still do well to regain his integrity after the inevitable backlash of his exposure/success - all artist like him do that by album 4!
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