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> Predict : Different combined/sales-only #1's
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Different combined/sales-only #1's
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vidcapper
post Jul 2 2014, 06:21 AM
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When will we have the first #1 on combined streams/sales, that wouldn't have been #1 on sales alone?
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p a v
post Jul 2 2014, 06:39 AM
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Whenever this happens

a+b*100 > c+d*100
a < c

a = sales of song 1
c = sales of song 2
b = streams of song 1
d = streams of song 2
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JosephBoone
post Jul 2 2014, 07:12 AM
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Surely won't be too far away, would've happened a couple of times this year already (Gecko wouldn't have been #1 had streams been included, for example), so it just depends on when the next fairly low-selling sales #1 is gonna happen.
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p a v
post Jul 2 2014, 07:15 AM
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QUOTE(JosephStyles @ Jul 2 2014, 11:12 AM) *
Surely won't be too far away, would've happened a couple of times this year already (Gecko wouldn't have been #1 had streams been included, for example), so it just depends on when the next fairly low-selling sales #1 is gonna happen.

Do you think Ella had 350k more streams than Gecko last week?
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vidcapper
post Jul 2 2014, 07:16 AM
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QUOTE(JosephStyles @ Jul 2 2014, 08:12 AM) *
Surely won't be too far away, would've happened a couple of times this year already (Gecko wouldn't have been #1 had streams been included, for example), so it just depends on when the next fairly low-selling sales #1 is gonna happen.


But it would need not only a low-selling #1, but also a #2 selling almost as much.
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JosephBoone
post Jul 2 2014, 07:18 AM
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QUOTE(Conderella @ Jul 2 2014, 08:15 AM) *
Do you think Ella had 350k more streams than Gecko last week?


It was confirmed, was it not? She'd have had an 8k lead over Gecko (despite being 3k behind in sales), I'm sure I read on here. And it's quite plausible anyway, new releases often have a slow start on streaming and going by Gecko's fall in the midweeks so far (1-6), it's evidently falling behind on streaming compared to the songs around it.
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AcerBen
post Jul 2 2014, 07:35 AM
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QUOTE(Conderella @ Jul 2 2014, 08:15 AM) *
Do you think Ella had 350k more streams than Gecko last week?


She had more than 900,000 more
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AcerBen
post Jul 2 2014, 07:38 AM
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Whenever a new release is fewer than 10,000 sales ahead of last week's #1 it's potentially going to be in trouble. If it's tight between two new releases probably the one that sells more will make it.
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danG
post Jul 2 2014, 08:09 AM
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It won't be long surely, it's already happened a few times this year (Gecko, I Wanna Feel, Tsunami, Summer), although looking at the release schedule I don't see any songs that could potentially go to #1 without doing well on streaming, so I'll predict September.
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vidcapper
post Jul 2 2014, 08:26 AM
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Will streams have a positive or negative impact on OAOS releases, I wonder?
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Steve201
post Jul 2 2014, 09:41 AM
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Itll happen the next time we have a big selling first week No1 with 120k plus sales as the streams will be huge the following week then if the following weeks pre order based No1 is poor like Gecko we will have a 2 week No1!
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Ryan.
post Jul 2 2014, 05:44 PM
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I wonder if Jess Glynne or will.i.am could go to #1 on sales next week by a small amount but then lose out due to the increasing number of streams Ariana will be getting. I voted July anyway as I think it's only a matter of time!
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Yorkie2
post Jul 2 2014, 05:55 PM
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QUOTE(Conderella @ Jul 2 2014, 07:39 AM) *
Whenever this happens

a+b*100 > c+d*100
a < c

a = sales of song 1
c = sales of song 2
b = streams of song 1
d = streams of song 2

Shouldn't this be:
a+b*0.01 > c+d*0.01
a < c

Unless I'm misunderstanding you?
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scratchy23
post Jul 2 2014, 06:02 PM
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QUOTE(Yorkie2 @ Jul 2 2014, 06:55 PM) *
Shouldn't this be:
a+b*0.01 > c+d*0.01
a < c

Unless I'm misunderstanding you?


I thought that too
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Abdul Fareek
post Jul 3 2014, 10:44 PM
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September
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Math!
post Jul 3 2014, 10:53 PM
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There is a chance, I think, that will.i.am will take #1 on Digital but take #2 on OCC's chart, because I think it'll be tight between Will and Ariana.
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zenon
post Oct 12 2014, 01:58 AM
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Three months later and we're yet to see a different chart topper as it would have been on sales alone. Any chance it might happen soon?
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Brer
post Oct 12 2014, 02:01 AM
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I don't think it's something that can be predicted weeks in advance. If (well, when, as it's fairly inevitable) it ever happens we'll probably only know midway through the week.
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Kylie Minogue
post Oct 12 2014, 04:57 PM
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Not until next year I don't think.
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Spinning Adam
post Oct 12 2014, 11:14 PM
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Interesting to see which will happen first:

#1 Sales and not combined, or

#1 Combined and not Sales... tongue.gif
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