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> BJSC 119 | Odds and Predictions
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JackTheeStallion
post Oct 24 2019, 02:46 PM
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Well I will keep on sending until one breaks through - R&B needs to be HEARD.
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Cowboy Cody
post Oct 24 2019, 02:52 PM
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There’s Ben (St. Burbia) but he’s not in this contest sad.gif

I think in this case it’s not wrong semi syndrome bc it’s still in this with a handful of pop lovers but more of “wrong contest syndrome”, where it’s stuck with a bunch of strong songs that if it’s marginally weaker than them, it will have a much lower chance of qualifying. I like to think that a lot of DNQ’s would have smashed if they were sent in a different month.
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J00prstar
post Oct 24 2019, 03:46 PM
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Its BJSC not R&BJSC 😋
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Dobbo
post Oct 24 2019, 08:02 PM
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QUOTE(danG @ Oct 22 2019, 10:57 PM) *
Borderline out: Dobago, Deandria [would like these 2 in but they may be a bit too weird]


Too weird for BJSC? Impossible! tongue.gif

Oh and I'm not here for Arcodesia, Suedeonia & Tinnmark all not qualifying sleep.gif
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Linds.
post Oct 25 2019, 01:06 AM
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QUOTE(Jack @ Oct 24 2019, 03:46 PM) *
Well I will keep on sending until one breaks through - R&B needs to be HEARD.

me but with rock tbh (and even at that i try and go pop-rock to appeal more which doesnt really help lmao)

altho according to wiki, issues are classed as a metalcore band so we shall see about that :')
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Popchartfreak
post Oct 25 2019, 07:27 AM
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I say enter everything it's not just about winning! smile.gif

That said, virtually all my r&b entries DNQ'd (if what used to be called "soul" is now rebranded as r&b) and I admit I tend to opt for dance if it's a choice of the 2 just to occasionally get a qualifier laugh.gif
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danG
post Oct 25 2019, 10:30 AM
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QUOTE(danG @ Oct 21 2019, 11:00 PM) *
Borderline in: Ultraviolenceland, East Rukahavian
Borderline out: Rolloland, Niceland

and now that Cadelicia and KlumRep have failed to vote those borderline outs are now ins. can’t see either making it with deduction sadly.
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✖ leww ✖
post Oct 26 2019, 02:13 PM
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FINAL ODDS:

Aeroche: ∆XIUS LIИK - KØNSTANTA
Altyr Muunilinst: Kamferdrops - f*** You, Jag Älskar Dig
Bhangra: Four Of Diamonds - Eating Me Up
Cadelicia: Anabel Englund - So Hot (MK & Nightlapse Remix)
Cor Lupus: i_o - Ghost In The Machine
Cowtermont: HOWWLER - 9 Times
Danæviia: Richard Durand & Christina Novelli - Save You
Deandria: María Daniela Y Su Sonido Lasser - Zombie 2000
Dobago: SKYND - Elisa Lam
East Rukahavian: Nea - Some Say
Espen: Cerrone - The Impact
FARC: Tobtok, Simon Field & Oliver Nelson - Is It Real? (feat. Salena Mastroianni)
Fljótavik: Digitalism - Pogo (Shinichi Fljósawa Re-Edit)
Flynnonda: Jaira Burns - Sugarcoat
Hendinia: SKAAR - Five Times
Holland-Oats: BENEE - Find An Island
Hushkanukia: Gabrielle Aplin - Kintsugi
Jadakissnia: Ross From Friends - Epiphany
Jupiterdonia: Nicole Dollanganger - Lemonade
Kluminican Republic: Da Tweekaz - Jägermeister
Land of DW: Sub Urban - Cradles
Lotunia: NCT U - Yestoday (Extended Version)
New Lexico: Anja Kotar - Brain
Ojnoj: Ben Platt - RAIN
Persephonia: Amon Tobin - One Shy Morning
République d'Áskorza: Starley - Lovers + Strangers
Scherzland: Ralph - Last Time
Singerpurear: Silicone Soul - Right On! (feat. Louise Clare Marshall)
Summericia: Nobuo Uematsu - Toberu Mono (Thaehan Remix)
Séyetana: GHOST DATA - T O M I E
Taahino: Issues - Drink About It
Terra Avium: Nakhane - New Brighton (feat. ANOHNI)
Tinnmark: Fukkk Offf - Loudness War
Trifoski: Marianas Trench - Echoes Of You (feat. Roger Joseph Manning Jr.)
Ultraviolenceland: Club Yoko - I AM
Unovia: Franky Wah - Hide (feat. Robinson)
Vülkyria: RÜFÜS DU SOL - No Place
Wholune: The Struts - In Love With A Camera
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J00prstar
post Oct 26 2019, 06:57 PM
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Fwiw I have a number of R&B/rap entries lined up for next year. It does seem to get better crossover if it dips into another genre too though!
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Dexton
post Oct 27 2019, 11:50 AM
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QUOTE(Jess Glynne @ Oct 26 2019, 10:13 PM) *
FINAL ODDS:

Aeroche: ∆XIUS LIИK - KØNSTANTA
Altyr Muunilinst: Kamferdrops - f*** You, Jag Älskar Dig
Bhangra: Four Of Diamonds - Eating Me Up
Cadelicia: Anabel Englund - So Hot (MK & Nightlapse Remix)
Cor Lupus: i_o - Ghost In The Machine
Cowtermont: HOWWLER - 9 Times
Danæviia: Richard Durand & Christina Novelli - Save You
Deandria: María Daniela Y Su Sonido Lasser - Zombie 2000
Dobago: SKYND - Elisa Lam
East Rukahavian: Nea - Some Say
Espen: Cerrone - The Impact
FARC: Tobtok, Simon Field & Oliver Nelson - Is It Real? (feat. Salena Mastroianni)
Fljótavik: Digitalism - Pogo (Shinichi Fljósawa Re-Edit)
Flynnonda: Jaira Burns - Sugarcoat
Hendinia: SKAAR - Five Times
Hushkanukia: Gabrielle Aplin - Kintsugi
Jadakissnia: Ross From Friends - Epiphany
Jupiterdonia: Nicole Dollanganger - Lemonade
Kluminican Republic: Da Tweekaz - Jägermeister
Land of DW: Sub Urban - Cradles
Lotunia: NCT U - Yestoday (Extended Version)
New Lexico: Anja Kotar - Brain
Ojnoj: Ben Platt - RAIN
Persephonia: Amon Tobin - One Shy Morning
République d'Áskorza: Starley - Lovers + Strangers
Scherzland: Ralph - Last Time
Singerpurear: Silicone Soul - Right On! (feat. Louise Clare Marshall)
Summericia: Nobuo Uematsu - Toberu Mono (Thaehan Remix)
Séyetana: GHOST DATA - T O M I E
Taahino: Issues - Drink About It
Terra Avium: Nakhane - New Brighton (feat. ANOHNI)
Tinnmark: Fukkk Offf - Loudness War
Trifoski: Marianas Trench - Echoes Of You (feat. Roger Joseph Manning Jr.)
Ultraviolenceland: Club Yoko - I AM
Unovia: Franky Wah - Hide (feat. Robinson)
Vülkyria: RÜFÜS DU SOL - No Place
Wholune: The Struts - In Love With A Camera


excuse me
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✖ leww ✖
post Oct 27 2019, 12:27 PM
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SOZ DIVA!! added u in x
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gooddelta
post Oct 28 2019, 09:50 PM
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Odds for the final from RontBet:

2/1 Unovia: Franky Wah - Hide (feat. Robinson)
--------------------
6/1 Aeroche: ∆XIUS LIИK - KØNSTANTA
7/1 Altyr Muunilinst: Kamferdrops - f*** You, Jag Älskar Dig
7/1 Wholune: The Struts - In Love With A Camera
10/1 Jadakissnia: Ross From Friends - Epiphany
--------------------
12/1 Cowtermont: HOWWLER - 9 Times
12/1 Cor Lupus: i_o - Ghost In The Machine
14/1 Summericia: Nobuo Uematsu - Toberu Mono (Thaehan Remix)
14/1 Danæviia: Richard Durand & Christina Novelli - Save You
14/1 Cadelicia: Anabel Englund - So Hot (MK & Nightlapse Remix)
14/1 Hendinia: SKAAR - Five Times
14/1 Deandria: María Daniela Y Su Sonido Lasser - Zombie 2000
14/1 Ojnoj: Ben Platt - RAIN
15/1 Kluminican Republic: Da Tweekaz - Jägermeister
15/1 Taahino: Issues - Drink About It
15/1 Land of DW: Sub Urban - Cradles
18/1 Hushkanukia: Gabrielle Aplin - Kintsugi
18/1 Fljótavik: Digitalism - Pogo (Shinichi Fljósawa Re-Edit)
18/1 Scherzland: Ralph - Last Time
18/1 Holland-Oats: BENEE - Find An Island
20/1 Ultraviolenceland: Club Yoko - I AM
20/1 Trifoski: Marianas Trench - Echoes Of You (feat. Roger Joseph Manning Jr.)
20/1 Jupiterdonia: Nicole Dollanganger - Lemonade
20/1 Dobago: SKYND - Elisa Lam
20/1 FARC: Tobtok, Simon Field & Oliver Nelson - Is It Real? (feat. Salena Mastroianni)
20/1 Espen: Cerrone - The Impact
24/1 Flynnonda: Jaira Burns - Sugarcoat
24/1 East Rukahavian: Nea - Some Say
24/1 Persephonia: Amon Tobin - One Shy Morning
24/1 République d'Áskorza: Starley - Lovers + Strangers
24/1 Terra Avium: Nakhane - New Brighton (feat. ANOHNI)
25/1 Singerpurear: Silicone Soul - Right On! (feat. Louise Clare Marshall)
25/1 New Lexico: Anja Kotar - Brain
28/1 Vülkyria: RÜFÜS DU SOL - No Place
28/1 Bhangra: Four Of Diamonds - Eating Me Up
28/1 Séyetana: GHOST DATA - T O M I E
35/1 Tinnmark: Fukkk Offf - Loudness War
40/1 Lotunia: NCT U - Yestoday (Extended Version)

Hard to see past a Unovia win as it really just ticks all the boxes but I'm sure Aeroche, Altyr, Jadakissnia and (fingers crossed!) Wholune will all do very well too. Any of the 12/1 and 14/1 entries could sneak a top five finish too really, it's hard to separate them.


This post has been edited by gooddelta: Oct 28 2019, 09:51 PM
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Jade
post Oct 28 2019, 09:55 PM
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Woah ohmy.gif
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Klumzee
post Oct 28 2019, 10:27 PM
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the shade rich!
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✖ leww ✖
post Oct 28 2019, 10:35 PM
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EEEEEE!!

also thrilled at the prospect of a third consecutive top 5 jada hit x
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danG
post Oct 28 2019, 10:36 PM
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Oh wow, could it be Christina Novelli getting her deserved justice and going top ten? cheer.gif
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✖ leww ✖
post Oct 28 2019, 10:36 PM
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have to say it seems odd for rufus du sol to be so low in the odds when they have such a strong recent hit rate
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Brer
post Oct 28 2019, 10:40 PM
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RÜFÜS DU SOL will definitely do better than that! Not sure if it'll manage the same success as their last couple of entries but definitely seems like a safe top 20 or so at the very least. The idea of my song having a better chance of winning seems silly kink.gif I'll be happy if I can avoid the bottom 3 with this one!

Wholune as a dark horse pick is interesting, another good entry from them so hopefully it can do at least as well as their last entry again.

(I will defo aim to do odds btw after forgetting to get around to doing predictions)
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gooddelta
post Oct 28 2019, 10:52 PM
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I mean I've no idea below the top five or so, but I'd be surprised at RÜFÜS DU SOL being near the top 10 this time around. And if people penalise it for 'not being as strong as their previous entries', as has been mentioned, it could come a bit lower still. I don't think it will be bottom five, but I just see more active positive hype towards most of the other finalists which could lead many of them into a higher position with a bit of wind behind their sails.

I don't think you'll be anywhere near bottom three either Bré.

Wholune has a monster chorus and really stands out, I know times have changed since Shut Up and Dance came fourth, but it could mop up those sorts of votes, even though it's a bit rockier than that. Maybe wishful thinking, however.
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Jade
post Oct 28 2019, 11:13 PM
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QUOTE(Jess Glynne @ Oct 28 2019, 10:35 PM) *
EEEEEE!!

also thrilled at the prospect of a third consecutive top 5 jada hit x

Eep I've never had three consecutive top 10s before let alone top 5s! Keeping everything crossed that this can live up to the hype.

I was also thinking that Vülkyria seemed a bit low - Ojnoj too actually, could see that being a huge smash in a Leon Else kinda way!
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