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Liаm
post Aug 15 2010, 09:19 AM
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Looking at the releases for the next few months:
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?s...p;#entry3187154
What songs do you think have number 1 potential?
I'd say:
16th Aug

Roll Deep – Green Light - maybe

23rd Aug

Taio Cruz – Dynamite - basically certain imo

30th Aug

Eminem feat Rihanna - Love The Way You Lie - may get it this week but could go back
Katy Perry – Teenage Dream - most likely
Olly Murs - Please Don't Let Me Go - has a good chance

6th Sep

Alesha – Drummer Boy
McFly – Party Girl - the most likely
Stromae - Alors On Danse

HUGE GAP OF No MASSIVE RELEASES sad.gif
27th Sep

Kylie Minogue - Get Outta My Way - could be a shock
Labrinth – Let The Sunshine
Tinie Tempah - Written In The Stars - a massive chart battle between former collaborators

4th Oct

Robbie Williams & Gary Barlow – Shame - certain

11th Oct

Christian TV - When She Turns 18 - sounds like it could do well to me


Coming Soon

Alicia Keys – L.O.V.E. [25th Oct] she's been big this era
McFly – Shine A Light [8th Nov] It's McFly, bound to have a good chance
Pixie Lott and Jason Derulo – Coming Home - I know it hasn't leaked/premeired but she's quite big here, so is Jason
The Saturdays – Higher - maybe wishful thinking?


This post has been edited by Gagafan Perry: Aug 15 2010, 09:22 AM
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Mart!n
post Aug 15 2010, 09:28 AM
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This is where it starts getting dire you have the X Factor charity single around Oct/Nov.

I think Roll Deep might have a chance this week, but I think Eminem and Rihanna will peak at #1 next week, and stay there for a couple of weeks. Also Chase & Status might get a top 3 hit this week.

McFly will probably get a week and drop like a bomb the following week.
Olly Murs will get a X Factor boost, which more than likely get a #1 out of it. And if Kylie appears on the show, she might get a week.

The big single which might get a couple a weeks is the collaboration of Robbie and Gary.
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Dane
post Aug 15 2010, 09:29 AM
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I agree with all of them smile.gif wouldnt change a thing, to be honest it would be an amazing chart if all of them were number one :')
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L!am
post Aug 15 2010, 09:32 AM
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I predict gaga will have another number one at the end of the year and will knock of the christmas number one again! smile.gif
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Liаm
post Aug 15 2010, 09:40 AM
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The XF live shows start beginning of October, so Olly's 2nd single should be out by then. Kylie could push the release forward a couple of weeks so she can release straight after her XF performance and hopefully get a number 1. Alicia Keys is bound to perform when L.O.V.E. comes out, as is Pixie. Maybe The Sats too?
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gooddelta
post Aug 15 2010, 09:47 AM
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Yeah, I agree with your list Gagafan. Teenage Dream hasn't had as much hype (BuzzJack aside) as California Gurls though so I'm not 100% sure that it will debut at #1, it might pick up in the September gap though. Although Stromae may well be the most likely to benefit from those two dead weeks in mid-September. Then I reckon Tinie will beat Labrinth quite easily.

Robbie and Gary you'd assume would be a certain #1 but Robbie hasn't topped the chart since 2004 now ohmy.gif and Gary since 1997 solo wise...if some big American rap song surfaces out of nowhere, maybe they'll be beaten laugh.gif But yeah, unless the song's dreadful, it's going to do big big things, and probably would even if it was awful. Didn't Bodies open with 80k or something? That's rather huge for a #2, it was unlucky to be released on the same day as Bad Boys, that was always going to be huge.
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Soy Adrián
post Aug 15 2010, 09:51 AM
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Anyone think Maroon 5 have a shot on the 13th of September?
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vidcapper
post Aug 15 2010, 10:16 AM
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QUOTE(Gagafan Perry @ Aug 15 2010, 10:19 AM) *
Looking at the releases for the next few months:
http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?s...p;#entry3187154
What songs do you think have number 1 potential?
I'd say:
16th Aug

Roll Deep – Green Light - maybe


Really?

QUOTE


23rd Aug

Taio Cruz – Dynamite - basically certain imo
Based solely on the fact it is an urban song not yet on an album?

QUOTE


30th Aug

Katy Perry – Teenage Dream - most likely
Olly Murs - Please Don't Let Me Go - has a good chance


Katy Perry, I agree with - WTF *is* 'Oily' Murs anyway?

QUOTE


6th Sep

Alesha – Drummer Boy
McFly – Party Girl - the most likely
Stromae - Alors On Danse
McFly in 2010? ROFLMAO!

Their fanbase will surely have hit puberty now, therefore discovered *attainable* boys to fixate on... smile.gif

QUOTE


HUGE GAP OF No MASSIVE RELEASES sad.gif
27th Sep

Kylie Minogue - Get Outta My Way - could be a shock
Labrinth – Let The Sunshine
Tinie Tempah - Written In The Stars - a massive chart battle between former collaborators


While I'd love to see Kylie at #1, the rap drones will no doubt be out in force again. sad.gif

QUOTE


4th Oct

Robbie Williams & Gary Barlow – Shame - certain
Even before anyone has heard it? Isn't that what was said of Robie & Kylie's duet...? tongue.gif

QUOTE


11th Oct

Christian TV - When She Turns 18 - sounds like it could do well to me


If even Cliff can't get a religious sounding song to #1, then WTF else could?

QUOTE

Coming Soon

Alicia Keys – L.O.V.E. [25th Oct]she's been big this era
McFly – Shine A Light [8th Nov] It's McFly, bound to have a good chance
Pixie Lott and Jason Derulo – Coming Home - I know it hasn't leaked/premeired but she's quite big here, so is Jason
The Saturdays – Higher - maybe wishful thinking?


IMO Pixie & Derulo's fanbase will be totally incompatible, so it won't sell to either.
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vidcapper
post Aug 15 2010, 10:22 AM
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QUOTE(M!key @ Aug 15 2010, 10:28 AM) *
This is where it starts getting dire you have the X Factor charity single around Oct/Nov.

I think Roll Deep might have a chance this week, but I think Eminem and Rihanna will peak at #1 next week, and stay there for a couple of weeks.


I can't see that, myself - their sales will surely have fallen below 50k, and I can't see them having 2 weeks at #1 on that low, nowadays.

QUOTE

McFly will probably get a week and drop like a bomb the following week.
You do know this isn't 2004, right? w00t.gif

Seriously though, they are heavily reliant on physical sales, and even when that market was alive, they could only manage 30-40k. IMO they'll be lucky to get T5 now.

QUOTE

Olly Murs will get a X Factor boost, which more than likely get a #1 out of it. And if Kylie appears on the show, she might get a week.

The big single which might get a couple a weeks is the collaboration of Robbie and Gary.


From context, I assume this Murs guy is a former XF loser then?
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vidcapper
post Aug 15 2010, 10:23 AM
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QUOTE(MusicIsMyLife @ Aug 15 2010, 10:29 AM) *
I agree with all of them smile.gif wouldnt change a thing, to be honest it would be an amazing chart if all of them were number one :')


Kylie & KP are the only ones on that whole list I wouldn't mind seeing at #1.
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gooddelta
post Aug 15 2010, 10:24 AM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Aug 15 2010, 11:16 AM) *
Based solely on the fact it is an urban song not yet on an album?

While I'd love to see Kylie at #1, the rap drones will no doubt be out in force again. sad.gif

If even Cliff can't get a religious sounding song to #1, then WTF else could?

IMO Pixie & Derulo's fanbase will be totally incompatible, so it won't sell to either.


- It's not just any old new urban song, it's hugely hyped/has massive pent up demand and has already been successful worldwide, currently sitting at #1 on US iTunes. Impressive for Taio seeing as he hasn't got a US rent-a-rapper adding an extra verse on this one.

- It's the second single from a #1 album, whilst Tinie/Labrinth's songs are unavailable until that date. Had Get Outta My Way been the lead, it would have had a better chance at #1, but even though I absolutely love it (far more than Tinie/Labrinth) it will be as successful as Wow at best. I predict #7/8 for it.

- It's not a religious song at all, apart from the tongue in cheek band name. Electro-pop recommended by Britney Spears apparently ohmy.gif

- I disagree, they both sell to the teenage girl market. Open up Top of the Pops magazine and all you'll see is JLS/Justin Bieber/The Saturdays/Pixie Lott/Jason DeRulo. Any combination of these acts coming together are bound to sell by the bucketload.
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vidcapper
post Aug 15 2010, 10:24 AM
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QUOTE(L!am @ Aug 15 2010, 10:32 AM) *
I predict gaga will have another number one at the end of the year and will knock of the christmas number one again! smile.gif


On a side issue, what song will the anti-XF/Cowell sales unite behind, this Xmas? smile.gif
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vidcapper
post Aug 15 2010, 10:25 AM
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QUOTE(Jared Leto @ Aug 15 2010, 10:51 AM) *
Anyone think Maroon 5 have a shot on the 13th of September?


Just you, I suspect.
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Soy Adrián
post Aug 15 2010, 10:25 AM
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QUOTE(gooddelta @ Aug 15 2010, 11:24 AM) *
Open up Top of the Pops magazine and all you'll see is JLS/Justin Bieber/The Saturdays/Pixie Lott/Jason DeRulo. Any combination of these acts coming together are bound to sell by the bucketload.


I'm quite glad of any of the above it's those two that are collaborating then tongue.gif
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gooddelta
post Aug 15 2010, 10:27 AM
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QUOTE(Jared Leto @ Aug 15 2010, 11:25 AM) *
I'm quite glad of any of the above it's those two that are collaborating then tongue.gif


True. I wouldn't exactly be relishing the prospect of a Justin Bieber/JLS collaboration. But can you imagine how successful it would be, they're the two most marketable teen acts around at the moment surely? ohmy.gif
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marrb
post Aug 15 2010, 10:27 AM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Aug 15 2010, 11:16 AM) *
Really?

Based solely on the fact it is an urban song not yet on an album?
Katy Perry, I agree with - WTF *is* 'Oily' Murs anyway?

McFly in 2010? ROFLMAO!

Their fanbase will surely have hit puberty now, therefore discovered *attainable* boys to fixate on... smile.gif
While I'd love to see Kylie at #1, the rap drones will no doubt be out in force again. sad.gif

Even before anyone has heard it? Isn't that what was said of Robie & Kylie's duet...? tongue.gif
If even Cliff can't get a religious sounding song to #1, then WTF else could?
IMO Pixie & Derulo's fanbase will be totally incompatible, so it won't sell to either.


Have to agree vidcapper what terrible picks, I think the only one that is correct is Taio Cruz, the rest just no.Indeed we are not in 2006.
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Soy Adrián
post Aug 15 2010, 10:27 AM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Aug 15 2010, 11:25 AM) *
Just you, I suspect.


I somehow doubt it, but whatever. Also, new KoL single is bound to be a big contender and, since the album is out on the 18th of October, can't be long now w00t.gif
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slowdown73
post Aug 15 2010, 10:28 AM
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I think Roll Deep will be a one hit wonder.

The Saturdays Higher won't get to no1. Its not as good as missing.

Robbie Williams & Gary - almost certainly a no1 hit.
Katy Perry - next single - possibly no1 but not heard it yet.

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Soy Adrián
post Aug 15 2010, 10:29 AM
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QUOTE(gooddelta @ Aug 15 2010, 11:27 AM) *
True. I wouldn't exactly be relishing the prospect of a Justin Bieber/JLS collaboration. But can you imagine how successful it would be, they're the two most marketable teen acts around at the moment surely? ohmy.gif


:shudder: given that I can only stomach JLS when they're making vaguely mature R'n'B in the style of Beat Again/One Shot, a Bieber collaboration would kill any hopes of them improving on "The Club Is Alive" dead in the water puke.gif
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vidcapper
post Aug 15 2010, 10:30 AM
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QUOTE(gooddelta @ Aug 15 2010, 11:24 AM) *
- It's not just any old new urban song, it's hugely hyped/has massive pent up demand and has already been successful worldwide, currently sitting at #1 on US iTunes. Impressive for Taio seeing as he hasn't got a US rent-a-rapper adding an extra verse on this one.


Maybe I'm just cynical, but to me that sounds *exactly* like 'any old new urban song'. tongue.gif

QUOTE


- It's not a religious song at all, apart from the tongue in cheek band name. Electro-pop recommended by Britney Spears apparently ohmy.gif
I'd rather have Britney Spears herself (singing I meant) - though the double entendre meaning does have some appeal too... naughty.gif

QUOTE


- I disagree, they both sell to the teenage girl market. Open up Top of the Pops magazine and all you'll see is JLS/Justin Bieber/The Saturdays/Pixie Lott/Jason DeRulo. Any combination of these acts coming together are bound to sell by the bucketload.


I suspect the rest of us would want buckets nearby, too... rolleyes.gif


This post has been edited by vidcapper: Aug 15 2010, 10:38 AM
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