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> Strictly 2019 • Odds thread
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Jαsє
post Sep 9 2019, 09:28 PM
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4/1 Emma Barton
4/1 Karim Zeroual
9/2 Alex Scott
8/1 Catherine Tyldesley
10/1 Kelvin Fletcher
12/1 Saffron Barker
16/1 Dev Griffin
20/1 Emma Weymouth
20/1 Will Bayley
22/1 Chris Ramsey
50/1 James Cracknell
50/1 Michelle Visage
80/1 Anneka Rice
80/1 David James
80/1 Mike Bushell


This post has been edited by Jαsє: Sep 10 2019, 04:22 PM
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Jαsє
post Sep 29 2019, 11:24 PM
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7/4 Kelvin Fletcher
11/4 Karim Zeroual
15/2 Emma Barton
9/1 Alex Scott
10/1 Michelle Visage
14/1 Dev Griffin
16/1 Saffron Barker
25/1 Catherine Tyldesley
40/1 Emma Weymouth
40/1 Will Bayley
50/1 Mike Bushell
66/1 Chris Ramsey
200/1 Anneka Rice
200/1 David James
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Jordanlee
post Sep 30 2019, 12:08 AM
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25/1 for Catherine I’m tempted to bet on that!
Or Will on 40/1.

Karims only high bc he got high scores I can’t see him winning due to a mixture of him being amongst the least known and the fact quite a few people don’t seem to have been warned by his personality. He’s either Simon Webbe 2.0 (gets to final but survives a lot of dance offs) or the exit at some point before the final what’s classed as “the shock exit”.

The ones who are most likely to win in my opinion are

Alex
Catherine
Emma Barton
Will
Kelvin

If it’s anyone not from that list I’ll be stunned.


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Jαsє
post Sep 30 2019, 07:07 PM
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Michelle's shortening across the board, she's as low as 7/1 ohmy.gif

Just put £20 on Will @ 25/1 so my returns would be £520. I think he's gonna go down tremendously with the public and I think he'll have a real journey!

EDIT: He's just gone from 25/1 to 22/1 with William Hill after my bet laugh.gif


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Dan17F1
post Sep 30 2019, 07:58 PM
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QUOTE(Jordan Lee @ Sep 30 2019, 01:08 AM) *
25/1 for Catherine I’m tempted to bet on that!
Or Will on 40/1.

Karims only high bc he got high scores I can’t see him winning due to a mixture of him being amongst the least known and the fact quite a few people don’t seem to have been warned by his personality. He’s either Simon Webbe 2.0 (gets to final but survives a lot of dance offs) or the exit at some point before the final what’s classed as “the shock exit”.

The ones who are most likely to win in my opinion are

Alex
Catherine
Emma Barton
Will
Kelvin

If it’s anyone not from that list I’ll be stunned.

I’d probably also put Dev in that list, or is he maybe too good already so won’t have a proper journey?
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Liаm
post Sep 30 2019, 08:25 PM
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Will, Emma or Alex as journey winners I think, Karim will 100% get Ashton Merrygolded and Michelle I think will be the fan (read: gay) fave who doesn't quite get there like Alexandra/Debbie.
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Jordanlee
post Sep 30 2019, 11:52 PM
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QUOTE(Dan17F1 @ Sep 30 2019, 08:58 PM) *
I’d probably also put Dev in that list, or is he maybe too good already so won’t have a proper journey?


I think we’re gonna get a Dev vs Karim dance off at some point.

Like in the middle of the series when people get better and the leaderboard is stagnant with a few people each getting the same score. It’ll come to the dance on the night of who they save but I definitely have a hunch that’s gonna be the “shock” dance off.

I just don’t think either will have a fanbase vote. And I can’t see either winning as even though they’re good they’re just not like typically what Strictly viewers vote for if that makes sense.


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Jαsє
post Oct 6 2019, 10:28 PM
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11/8 Kelvin Fletcher
10/3 Karim Zeroual
8/1 Emma Barton
8/1 Michelle Visage
11/1 Dev Griffin
14/1 Catherine Tyldesley
18/1 Alex Scott
28/1 Saffron Barker
40/1 Will Bayley
66/1 Chris Ramsey
66/1 Emma Weymouth
100/1 Mike Bushell
250/1 David James
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Jαsє
post Oct 13 2019, 09:45 PM
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1/1 Kelvin Fletcher
7/2 Karim Zeroual
11/2 Emma Barton
16/1 Michelle Visage
22/1 Catherine Tyldesley
25/1 Saffron Barker
33/1 Alex Scott
100/1 Chris Ramsey
100/1 Emma Weymouth
100/1 Mike Bushell
100/1 Will Bayley
200/1 David James


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Jordanlee
post Oct 14 2019, 12:06 AM
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Thanks for updated odds.

I’m so tempted to bet on Catherine but I’d feel so silly going into a bookies betting on strictly laugh.gif

Dev going from 5th fave to being out though shows they don’t mean much.

I knew he had no chance of winning but can’t say I predicted him to finish 13th!
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Jαsє
post Oct 14 2019, 12:34 PM
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QUOTE(Jordan Lee @ Oct 14 2019, 01:06 AM) *
Thanks for updated odds.

I’m so tempted to bet on Catherine but I’d feel so silly going into a bookies betting on strictly laugh.gif

Dev going from 5th fave to being out though shows they don’t mean much.

I knew he had no chance of winning but can’t say I predicted him to finish 13th!


Sign up with one of the bookies online, that's how I do my bets happy.gif
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RobBot
post Oct 17 2019, 04:50 PM
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Emma is definitely worth a bet, if she can really pick up steam in a genuine contender manner, rather than a Katie Durham 'making up the final 4' kind of way, I could SO see a wave of support for a first Anton win. It'd be more of a journey than the two favourites aswell.

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Jαsє
post Oct 22 2019, 11:51 AM
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21/20 Kelvin Fletcher
3/1 Karim Zeroual
13/2 Emma Barton
20/1 Saffron Barker
22/1 Catherine Tyldesley
25/1 Alex Scott
33/1 Michelle Visage
66/1 Chris Ramsey
66/1 Emma Weymouth
66/1 Will Bayley
200/1 Mike Bushell
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Jordanlee
post Oct 22 2019, 11:58 AM
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Those are amazing odds for Will tbh if you betted that now.

Nobody considers him as a threat but if the winner this year is a male it’s definitely him or Kelvin.

Not only does have a journey element to him but there’s an emotion story there too whats genuine and not just Saffron’s nana crying on queue (she actually looked all over for her tissues this week when the camera panned on her lol).

Plus Will is likeable and is genuinely improving and you can see how much this genuinely means to him.

He’s definitely one of the ones more likely to win although the odds probably go off people who are thinking the judges faves / constant high scorers are the ones who will win it hasn’t worked out that way in ages.

I’m guessing Ashley was probably the favourite to win last year at this point?


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ElectroBoy
post Oct 22 2019, 12:24 PM
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I can't see Will winning - think he'll get to final 6/7 and then everyone else will be better and he'll just go

However I do think its very open this year and one bad or meh dance (like Dev) and you'll be out
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ElectroBoy
post Oct 22 2019, 12:25 PM
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QUOTE(Jordan Lee @ Oct 22 2019, 12:58 PM) *
I’m guessing Ashley was probably the favourite to win last year at this point?


I think Joe was before Stacey moved up - with Faye/ Ashley hovering around as other favourites
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Liаm
post Oct 22 2019, 12:28 PM
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Yeah it was Joe for a good while, I think Ashley got to about 3/1 in second or third and Faye similar but Stacey began to pull away towards the end when she improved and improved and Joe was stagnant for a bit.
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kye
post Oct 22 2019, 12:37 PM
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will is definitely not going to win - jonnie peacock was a much better dancer with a similar story + journey and he was never really a contender.
if they're the worst dancer, they're out.. and will's going to find himself bottom 2 over the coming weeks because i don't think he'll have the public support to lift him.
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Jαsє
post Oct 27 2019, 10:07 PM
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1/1 Kelvin Fletcher
3/1 Karim Zeroual
6/1 Emma Barton
12/1 Saffron Barker
16/1 Alex Scott
16/1 Michelle Visage
50/1 Emma Weymouth
66/1 Chris Ramsey
66/1 Will Bayley
100/1 Mike Bushell
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Jαsє
post Nov 4 2019, 02:23 PM
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5/6 Kelvin Fletcher
10/3 Karim Zeroual
16/1 Emma Barton
16/1 Michelle Visage
17/1 Alex Scott
17/1 Saffron Barker
66/1 Chris Ramsey
125/1 Mike Bushell
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