Predict: Phoenix, Debut predictions |
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23rd September 2018, 01:41 PM
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#1
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931 |
Finally album 2 is coming! How will it do?
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23rd September 2018, 02:02 PM
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#2
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931 |
I’ve gone for #3 with around 32k
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23rd September 2018, 03:16 PM
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#3
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,565 User: 11,746 |
#2 with just over 30k (picked the 31-40 bracket). It's up against Take That so there's really not much chance of a #1 for Rita.
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23rd September 2018, 05:26 PM
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#4
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We're all Glitter and Tears in the Moonlight...
Joined: 24 September 2013
Posts: 10,022 User: 19,846 |
Gone for #1 debut with a 41-50k opening.
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23rd September 2018, 07:55 PM
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#5
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 4 November 2009
Posts: 938 User: 9,878 |
I went for #2 with 31-40K
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2nd October 2018, 01:55 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931 |
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2nd October 2018, 01:57 PM
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#7
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Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,958 User: 51 |
#6 with 23k
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2nd October 2018, 01:59 PM
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#8
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on a bench in coney island
Joined: 9 August 2007
Posts: 17,594 User: 4,089 |
It’s up against Yandhi now too. No idea how that’ll do but could be competition.
Looking like a huge week for releases. |
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2nd October 2018, 02:37 PM
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#9
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BUY Phoenix on Amazon / STREAM Phoenix on Spotify
Joined: 12 April 2009
Posts: 27,431 User: 8,661 |
So her competition to be top 10 that week, including albums already out, is:
A Star Is Born OST (depending how well the film holds up in the box office) Alfie Boe - As Time Goes By Cliff Richard - Rise Up Dua Lipa - Dua Lipa (depending how well the re-release holds up) Eminem - Kamikaze (possibly) The Greatest Showman OST (will definitely still be top 5/10 with the sing-along edition out) Jess Glynne - Always In Between (her debut album spent its first 39 weeks in the top 10) Kanye West - Yandhi Little Mix - TBA Michael Bublé - Love Mumford & Sons - Delta Muse - Simulation Theory (their last album spent its first two weeks at #1 and five weeks top 10 in total) Queen - Bohemian Rhapsody OST (ditto ASIB OST) Take That - Odyssey And I'm sure there are more albums to be released in November that haven't been announced yet. Little Mix, Take That, Michael Bublé and Mumford & Sons will all definitely chart above her (the latter two are released on the 17th and will likely be that week's top two). She should chart higher than Cliff and Kanye but the latter will likely have huge streaming numbers which may push her out of the top five So the highest that I think she can achieve in the first week is #5 with about 27k sold although hopefully the label won't be discouraged by its position and focus on pushing album sales in the New Year. Brits nominations will be announced at the end of January so fingers crossed she gets asked back to perform next year. |
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4th October 2018, 05:24 PM
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#10
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931 |
I think she can do about 35k with some good promo (She already has X Factor booked I'm told) and the fact her single will most likely smashed. I agree she might end up 4/5 but I think the sales might surprise people!
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4th October 2018, 08:05 PM
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#11
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"Jayrusaleminians" - Umi.
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 4 April 2007 Posts: 41,448 User: 3,217 |
Gosh it is looking set to be a busy release period. Hmm I agree with Joe, I'll predict #4 and sales in the region of 31 - 40k.
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5th October 2018, 01:55 AM
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#12
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BuzzJack Idol
Joined: 29 June 2006
Posts: 128,428 User: 845 |
Number 6 and less than 25000.
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25th October 2018, 11:10 AM
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#13
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It's still will be the return of the Mack 4eva
Joined: 1 February 2011
Posts: 53,690 User: 12,915 |
#7 with 23k first week sales.
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18th November 2018, 02:45 PM
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#14
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Jord
Joined: 12 March 2017
Posts: 10,771 User: 27,116 |
43,000
#4 debut behind Take That, Buble and Little Mix. |
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19th November 2018, 10:54 PM
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#15
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Break the tension
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 88,958 User: 51 |
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21st November 2018, 12:30 AM
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#16
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 3 August 2006
Posts: 8,209 User: 1,031 |
Might be optimistic but I’ve gone for no2 with sales of 40-50k. I think Take That will be no1 but Rita May sell more in the long run than them!
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30th December 2018, 02:21 PM
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#17
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Jord
Joined: 12 March 2017
Posts: 10,771 User: 27,116 |
Almost all of us over estimated her
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1st January 2019, 08:31 PM
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#18
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 3 August 2006
Posts: 8,209 User: 1,031 |
The album has drastically under-performed what many expected. Why do people think that might be? I think the release strategy has been wrong. The album should have come much sooner after the first single. It’s been a year since Anywhere and longer since your song. Clean Bandit have suffered a similar fate. Albums used to be released after the first or second single and even more of a need to do this now in the streaming era when albums are in less demand.
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3rd January 2019, 12:38 PM
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#19
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Jord
Joined: 12 March 2017
Posts: 10,771 User: 27,116 |
The album has drastically under-performed what many expected. Why do people think that might be? I think the release strategy has been wrong. The album should have come much sooner after the first single. It’s been a year since Anywhere and longer since your song. Clean Bandit have suffered a similar fate. Albums used to be released after the first or second single and even more of a need to do this now in the streaming era when albums are in less demand. With Clean Bandit they have other artists on nearly every song they release and they’re partly the reason why they have success. They’re kinda like David Guetta and Calvin where they’re just not album artists but will always be big on singles. With Rita I think the album should’ve came sooner. But maybe not in Q4 maybe if she released the album in February it could’ve done a bit better. It underperformed but it’s held up better than I imagined after seeing the week 2 drop, it’s set to climb further this week to just outside the top 20. I think the Xmas rush meant she got lost in the mix as housewives faves like Buble, Olly, Take That released then older acts like Cliff overshadowed her slightly. The album coming after so many singles though I don’t see many more being released unless she re releases the album later this year. |
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3rd January 2019, 01:02 PM
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#20
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 11 October 2013
Posts: 31,026 User: 19,931 |
Meh, i think the album is holding up just fine. It’ll be an easy 150k for her by this time next year at least I’d say. It’s back up to #20 in the mids today.
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