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[Spinning Adam]

Hi everyone, hopefully no one has had the same idea as me, but I have had this prediction game where players can predict the top 100 chart run for a single which has debuted in the top 100. Here are the basic rules:

Rules

• Predict any songs in the current top 100 which has debuted in the top 100 for the first week, but was not in the 1-100 range the previous week.
• You may only predict the songs between Sunday 4PM (top 100 published 7PM) until Tuesday 4PM (midweek chart). You may NOT predict after the 4PM, this includes editing your posts!
• You must predict the positions for each week you think the song will be at. You can predict as many weeks as you like.
• Every Sunday evening (sometimes through Monday), I will post in this thread the allowed single runs to predict. You may predict runs for all or some of them. As each week passes, the positions per week are compared and the scores are documented.

Scoring
Because the debut position is NOT predicted, the other weeks predicted are compared by position to the position the single was at on that week. A correct match is 50 points (meaning the same position predicted at and its resulting position on the same week), and each position difference is 1 point off of 50. For example, predicting song X to be at 63 on its 12th week when it actually ends on 80 awards the player 33 points, because the player was 17 positions off, so 50-17 is 33. Each position predicted per week is calculated this way, so when the run has been completed (it can take months), the scores are totalled by week to a grand total.
Also, predicting correctly when the song drops out awards 50 points. Each extra week predicted is -2 points and each week not predicted while it stays in the chart is also -2 points.

Example
It's always easier explaining games by example.

Song A is currently new at 5. You may predict the position in the chart it will be the following week, and consecutive weeks after that, until you predict it will drop out of the top 100. You have until 4:00PM on Tuesday to predict the song's ENTIRE top 100 chart run until it leaves the top 100. Remember you cannot change any of your predictions for that single after the deadline.

Each week you must compare the position you predicted the song to be at against the song's actual position. See the scoring section above for how to score. If you predict the song to drop out too early, each week the song stays in the chart after the predicted dropout week is minus 2 off your score. If the song you predict drops out earlier than predicted, each extra week you predicted in the chart is also minus 2. You must do the whole chart run predictions for that single BEFORE the Chart Update, and you have until then to alter your predictions as well.


If the song re-enters while your predict run is still predicted in the chart, you will still be given points for the matches. But if you predict it to dropout during that re-entry period, you still get -20!

Remember, the debut position (the first week) is NEVER predicted.

Week Predicted Position Actual Position [Collapse] Points taken
Week 1 N/A 4 N/A
Week 2 9 7 48
Week 3 10 7 47
Week 4 17 9 42
Week 5 20 16 46
Week 6 22 18 46
Week 7 28 24 46
Week 8 26 26 50
Week 9 26 31 45
Week 10 33 41 42
Week 11 39 47 42
Week 12 45 50 45
Week 13 56 65 40
Week 14 76 51 25
Week 15 OUT 39 -2
Week 16 OUT 53 -2
Week 17 89 78 39
Week 18 99 OUT -2
Total Score: 597

In this example, the single dropped out at W15, but the player didn't predict it to on that week, therefore, that week scored -2 points as well as the next week. However, it re-entered the next week while the player predicted, so points were earned on that week. Week 18 saw the player predict it to dropout but it was actually in the chart on that week, so that week also scores -2.

Player Scores


By Week
20/09/14
27/09/14
04/10/14
11/10/14
18/10/14
25/10/14
01/11/14 (current)

This post has been edited by SNOWING ADAM: 15th December 2014, 12:28 AM