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> Sunday Chart Predictions, Bandits vs. Bandaids
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liamk97
post Nov 17 2014, 08:59 PM
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Sunday Chart Predictions
Predicting the 23/11 to 29/11 chart



Bandits vs. Bandaids
It's been 30 years since the release of the original Band Aid, so to both celebrate this and to fight the current African crisis of Ebola, a fourth edition of 'Do They Know It's Christmas?' is released this week and there's little question of it not going to #1. Depending on whether the Children in Need single by Gareth Malone holds up well, this week could see a brand new Top 4, as Clean Bandit & Jess Glynne's 'Real Love, Olly Murs/Travie McCoy's 'Wrapped Up' and David Guetta/Sam Martin's 'Dangerous' are all released. Elsewhere in the Top 10, new entries may come from Wretch 32's '6 Words' and Rixton's 'Wait On Me', with further Top 40 entries including Noel Gallagher's High Flying Birds, Pitbull and Andy C & Fiora, plus a re-entry for 5 Seconds of Summer.

In the albums, last week's huge #1 of Pink Floyd should be replaced by another - in the shape of One Direction with their fourth studio album FOUR. The Top 4 albums from last week are continuing to sell well so may complete the rest of the Top 5, so long as they can shake off competition from Bette Midler's 14th studio album It's the Girls!, David Bowie's Nothing has changed. - a compilation of new, rare, and much loved material - Katherine Jenkins' Home Sweet Home and Shirley Bassey's Hello Like Before. Other releases this week come from Nickelback, Michael Ball, Alfie Boe, Bryan Ferry, Daniel O'Donnell, Depeche Mode, The New Basement Tapes and Thompson. Kasabian's #1 album 48:13 is re-released this week so may return to the Top 40, along with S Club 7's greatest hits album Best following their Children in Need performance.

=======================================================

Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday, however they may come from other sources - this is not always guaranteed. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards. Sales info is a separate issue will be available from 2pm onwards if available.

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.
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liamk97
post Nov 17 2014, 08:59 PM
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Tuesday Update Top 40 Only

Singles

1 Band Aid 30 - Do They Know It's Christmas? (2014) (205.6k) *
2 Clean Bandit and Jess Glynne - Real Love (41.6k) *
3 Olly Murs feat. Travie McCoy - Wrapped Up (34.3k) *
4 Gareth Malone's All Star Choir - Wake Me Up (27.1k)
5 David Guetta feat. Sam Martin - Dangerous (25.3k) *

6-10
7 Wretch 32 - 6 Words *
9 Rixton - Wait On Me *
10 5 Seconds Of Summer - Good Girls ^

11-20
16 Noel Gallagher's High Flying Birds - In The Heat Of The Moment *
18 One Direction - Night Changes *

21-30
21 Nicole Scherzinger - Run *
22 Pitbull feat. John Ryan - Fireball *
24 Idina Menzel - Let It Go
25 Andy C and Fiora - Heartbeat Loud *

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Albums

1 One Direction - FOUR (75.3k) *
2 Pink Floyd - The Endless River (13.3k)
3 Ed Sheeran - x (12.1k)
4 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (11.0k)
5 Foo Fighters - Sonic Highways (8.5k)

6-10
6 Nickelback - No Fixed Address *
7 David Bowie - Nothing has changed. *
9 Alfie Boe - Serenata *
10 Bryan Ferry - Avonmore *

11-20
11 Katherine Jenkins - Home Sweet Home *
12 Bette Midler - It's The Girls! *
15 Michael Ball - If Everyone Was Listening... *
17 Shirley Bassey - Hello Like Before *

21-30
22 Daniel O'Donnell - Stand Beside Me - Live In Concert *
24 Kasabian - 48:13 ^
27 Luther Vandross - The Greatest Hits *
29 Amy Winehouse - Back To Black ^ (99p on Google Play)

31-40
33 Depeche Mode - Live In Berlin *
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liamk97
post Nov 17 2014, 08:59 PM
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Wednesday Update Top 40 Only
Source: Radio 1/OCC

Top 40 Singles

1 Band Aid 30 - Do They Know It's Christmas? (2014) (252.4k) *
2 Clean Bandit and Jess Glynne - Real Love (50k) *
3 Olly Murs feat. Travie McCoy - Wrapped Up (43.4k) *
4 Gareth Malone's All Star Choir - Wake Me Up (32.2k)
5 David Guetta feat. Sam Martin - Dangerous (31.1k) *

6-10
8 Wretch 32 - 6 Words *
9 Rixton - Wait On Me *
10 Taylor Swift - Blank Space

11-20
14 5 Seconds Of Summer - Good Girls ^
17 Noel Gallagher's High Flying Birds - In The Heat Of The Moment *

21-30
21 One Direction - Night Changes *
22 Idina Menzel - Let It Go
23 Nicole Scherzinger - Run *
27 Pitbull feat. John Ryan - Fireball *

31-40
31 Andy C and Fiora - Heartbeat Loud *

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatesingles/print

===================================================

Top 40 Albums

1 One Direction - FOUR (93.5k) *
2 Ed Sheeran - x (19.5k)
3 Pink Floyd - The Endless River (19.2k)
4 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (16.9k)
5 Foo Fighters - Sonic Highways (11.9k)

6-10
6 Nickelback - No Fixed Address *
7 David Bowie - Nothing has changed. *
9 Bette Midler - It's The Girls! *
10 Alfie Boe - Serenata *

11-20
11 Katherine Jenkins - Home Sweet Home *
14 Bryan Ferry - Avonmore *
17 Michael Ball - If Everyone Was Listening... *
20 Shirley Bassey - Hello Like Before *

21-30
22 Daniel O'Donnell - Stand Beside Me - Live In Concert *
24 Kasabian - 48:13 ^
27 Luther Vandross - The Greatest Hits *
28 Amy Winehouse - Back To Black ^ (99p on Google Play)

31-40
34 U2 - Songs Of Innocence + *

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatealbums/print
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liamk97
post Nov 17 2014, 08:59 PM
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Thursday Update Top 40 Only

Singles

1 Band Aid 30 - Do They Know It's Christmas? (2014) (272.5k) *
2 Clean Bandit and Jess Glynne - Real Love (57.8k) *
3 Olly Murs feat. Travie McCoy - Wrapped Up (50.6k) *
4 David Guetta feat. Sam Martin - Dangerous (36.7k) *
5 Gareth Malone's All Star Choir - Wake Me Up (35.8k)

6-10
8 Wretch 32 - 6 Words *
9 Rixton - Wait On Me *
10 Taylor Swift - Blank Space

11-20
15 5 Seconds Of Summer - Good Girls ^
19 Noel Gallagher's High Flying Birds - In The Heat Of The Moment *

21-30
21 Idina Menzel - Let It Go
22 One Direction - Night Changes *
26 Nicole Scherzinger - Run *

31-40
31 Pitbull feat. John Ryan - Fireball *
36 Andy C and Fiora - Heartbeat Loud *


++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


Albums

1 One Direction - FOUR (105.8k) *
2 Ed Sheeran - x (25.9k)
3 Pink Floyd - The Endless River (24k)
4 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (22.2k)
5 Foo Fighters - Sonic Highways (15.5k)

6-10
7 Bette Midler - It's The Girls! *
8 Nickelback - No Fixed Address *
9 David Bowie - Nothing has changed. *
10 Alfie Boe - Serenata *

11-20
12 Katherine Jenkins - Home Sweet Home *
15 Bryan Ferry - Avonmore *
18 Michael Ball - If Everyone Was Listening... *

21-30
21 Daniel O'Donnell - Stand Beside Me - Live In Concert *
22 Shirley Bassey - Hello Like Before *
26 Luther Vandross - The Greatest Hits *
27 Amy Winehouse - Back To Black ^ (99p on Google Play)
28 Kasabian - 48:13 ^

31-40
35 Hans Zimmer - Interstellar - Original Motion Picture Soundtrack *
37 U2 - Songs Of Innocence + *
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liamk97
post Nov 17 2014, 08:59 PM
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Friday Update Top 40 Only

Singles

1 Band Aid 30 - Do They Know It's Christmas? (2014) (284.5k) *
2 Clean Bandit and Jess Glynne - Real Love (64.7k) *
3 Olly Murs feat. Travie McCoy - Wrapped Up (57.2k) *
4 David Guetta feat. Sam Martin - Dangerous (42.2k) *
5 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud (37.6k)

6-10
8 Wretch 32 - 6 Words *
9 Rixton - Wait On Me *
10 Taylor Swift - Blank Space

11-20
17 5 Seconds Of Summer - Good Girls ^
20 Noel Gallagher's High Flying Birds - In The Heat Of The Moment *

21-30
21 Idina Menzel - Let It Go
23 One Direction - Night Changes *
30 Nicole Scherzinger - Run *

31-40
36 Pitbull feat. John Ryan - Fireball *
40 Andy C and Fiora - Heartbeat Loud *

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Albums

1 One Direction - FOUR (113.4k) *
2 Ed Sheeran - x (30.1k)
3 Pink Floyd - The Endless River (26.8k)
4 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (25.5k)
5 Foo Fighters - Sonic Highways (17.7k)

6-10
7 Bette Midler - It's The Girls! *
8 Nickelback - No Fixed Address *
9 David Bowie - Nothing has changed. *
10 Alfie Boe - Serenata *

11-20
12 Katherine Jenkins - Home Sweet Home *
16 Bryan Ferry - Avonmore *
18 Michael Ball - If Everyone Was Listening... *

21-30
21 Daniel O'Donnell - Stand Beside Me - Live In Concert *
22 Shirley Bassey - Hello Like Before *
25 Luther Vandross - The Greatest Hits *
27 Amy Winehouse - Back To Black ^ (99p on Google Play)
29 Kasabian - 48:13 ^

31-40
36 Hans Zimmer - Interstellar - Original Motion Picture Soundtrack *
39 U2 - Songs Of Innocence + *
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SevenSeize
post Nov 17 2014, 09:01 PM
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Wretch 32 4 le top 15 biggrin.gif (using every number between 1 and 5 ain't i cleva :3)

week of huge sales by the looks of things~ i'm predicting:

Band Aid 30 - somewhere between 400-500k
One Direction - around 250k
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liamk97
post Nov 17 2014, 09:02 PM
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It's probably worth saying, make sure this thread doesn't go down the same route as the last one! tongue.gif

And perhaps keep any Band Aid discussion down to chart stuff, there's a separate topic for anything else Band Aid-related, although I appreciate discussion can drift a little.
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ChristmasEve201
post Nov 17 2014, 09:28 PM
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QUOTE(SavenSeize @ Nov 17 2014, 09:01 PM) *
Wretch 32 4 le top 15 biggrin.gif (using every number between 1 and 5 ain't i cleva :3)

week of huge sales by the looks of things~ i'm predicting:

Band Aid 30 - somewhere between 400-500k
One Direction - around 250k


How much did last years 1D album sell in its opening week?
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Jester
post Nov 17 2014, 09:32 PM
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QUOTE(steve201 @ Nov 17 2014, 09:28 PM) *
How much did last years 1D album sell in its opening week?


07-Dec Midnight Memories One Direction 237,388
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liamk97
post Nov 17 2014, 09:36 PM
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I wouldn't be surprised if One Direction failed to beat Ed Sheeran's first week sales. I think they'll at least be able to beat Coldplay's though.
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gavindeejay
post Nov 17 2014, 09:37 PM
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QUOTE(liamk97 @ Nov 17 2014, 09:36 PM) *
I wouldn't be surprised if One Direction failed to beat Ed Sheeran's first week sales. I think they'll at least be able to beat Coldplay's though.


Dammit! sad.gif I'm hoping they stall at around 150k.
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ChristmasEve201
post Nov 17 2014, 09:40 PM
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QUOTE(Jester @ Nov 17 2014, 09:32 PM) *
07-Dec Midnight Memories One Direction 237,388


Thanks I didn't realise it was as much as that, hopefully they can do close to that this week. I suppose SOML was huge this time last year - had a real xmasy feel!
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girl_from_oz
post Nov 17 2014, 09:58 PM
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Nickelback last time I checked were doing quite well on itunes so they could make the album top ten
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slowdown73
post Nov 18 2014, 12:30 AM
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I don't think Poo Direction will sell 250k this week of their album. Their single hasn't performed that well - I suspect somewhere between 150-200k. I hope much less though but one can only dream!!
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MrIndependent
post Nov 18 2014, 12:44 AM
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QUOTE(slowdown73 @ Nov 18 2014, 12:30 AM) *
I don't think Poo Direction will sell 250k this week of their album. Their single hasn't performed that well - I suspect somewhere between 150-200k. I hope much less though but one can only dream!!


If you insist on giving them a critical name can you think of something more creative than Poo Direction, please? tongue.gif

I think they'll be somewhere in between 175-200k. Is their any information on how it's done on pre-orders?
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vidsanta
post Nov 18 2014, 06:54 AM
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QUOTE(gavindeejay @ Nov 17 2014, 10:37 PM) *
Dammit! sad.gif I'm hoping they stall at around 150k.


I'd prefer they stall at 150 copies! w00t.gif
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gavindeejay
post Nov 18 2014, 07:40 AM
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QUOTE(Vidcapper @ Nov 18 2014, 06:54 AM) *
I'd prefer they stall at 150 copies! w00t.gif


Me too, but this is the real world tongue.gif
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SKOB
post Nov 18 2014, 08:17 AM
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This week is HUGE ohmy.gif
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Rudolph
post Nov 18 2014, 09:24 AM
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Can't wait for the mids today if we get any, I'm hoping Band Aid to clear 100k+ on todays' mids ohmy.gif
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omrimayo
post Nov 18 2014, 09:28 AM
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QUOTE(▬Mart!n▬ @ Nov 18 2014, 12:24 PM) *
Can't wait for the mids today if we get any, I'm hoping Band Aid to clear 100k+ on todays' mids ohmy.gif


My Guess? They will do it easily but maybe it's just me. Still 92% lead. INSANE.
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