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> Sunday Chart Predictions (Fri Update), Does Ben have that something you need to go all night?
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liamk97
post Dec 15 2014, 09:31 PM
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Sunday Chart Predictions
Predicting the 21/12 to 27/12 chart



Does Ben have that something you need to go all night?
It's Christmas Chart Week and following the announcement that Ben Haenow was the winner of the 11th series of X Factor, his cover of OneRepublic's 'Something I Need' is favourite to reach the famous Christmas #1. The race seems incredibly quiet in comparison to previous years, with charity single 'All Together Now' by The Peace Collective and Facebook campaign song 'Number of the Beast' by Iron Maiden not performing as well on iTunes as expected. Also, considering the amount of physicals shifted last week, it doesn't seem likely that Band Aid 30 will sell enough to beat Ben Haenow and return to #1. Mark Ronson and Bruno Mars' 'Uptown Funk' should only fall to #2 this week with further big sales whilst Olly Murs/Demi Lovato's 'Up' and Gorgon City/Jennifer Hudson's 'Go All Night' should accompany them in the Top 10. The former was performed on the X Factor final, along with Sam Smith's 'Stay With Me', One Direction's 'Where Do Broken Hearts Go?' and Ed Sheeran's 'Photograph' which all look set to climb/enter the Top 40.

In the albums, Ed Sheeran should remain at #1 with possibly over 200k sales - which would be a record high for 2014 replacing, well, himself. Last week's Top 10 should stay relatively the same with even bigger sales, with the highest new entry probably coming from Nicki Minaj's third album The Pinkprint followed by 5 Seconds of Summer's live album LIVESOS and D'Angelo & The Vanguard's Black Messiah.

=======================================================

Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday, however they may come from other sources - this is not always guaranteed. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards. Sales info is a separate issue will be available from 2pm onwards if available.

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.




Footnote: Due to office xmas party we might not get updates from MW on Friday morning/afternoon
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liamk97
post Dec 15 2014, 09:32 PM
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Tuesday Update Top 40 Only
Missing sales data from Amazon for Monday

Singles

1 Ben Haenow (74.7k) *
2 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars (51.4k)
3 Ed Sheeran (19.3k)
4 Olly Murs feat. Demi Lovato (16.6k) *
5 Take That (12.9k)

6-10
7 Gorgon City feat. Jennifer Hudson *
9 Meghan Trainor
10 The Pogues feat. Kirsty MacColl

11-20
16 Sam Smith [Stay With Me]
17 Labrinth
20 Ella Henderson [Ghost]

21-30
22 Ed Sheeran [Photograph] *
23 Taylor Swift [Shake It Off]
28 Imagine Dragons ^

31-40
31 Sia
34 Iron Maiden *
36 Sigma feat. Paloma Faith ^
38 Ed Sheeran [Sing]
39 One Direction [Where Do Broken Hearts Go] *

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


Albums

1 Ed Sheeran (54.6k)
2 Sam Smith (31.5k)
3 Olly Murs (21.8k)
4 Take That (19.8k)
5 George Ezra (19.3k)

6-10
7 Michael Buble
9 Ella Henderson

11-20
11 Paloma Faith
15 Nicki Minaj *
16 5 Seconds Of Summer *
19 Neil Diamond
20 Queen

21-30
25 Luther Vandross

31-40
31 Jools Holland
32 Paolo Nutini
34 Ed Sheeran [+] ^
37 Catfish & The Bottlemen ^
40 D'Angelo & The Vanguard *
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liamk97
post Dec 15 2014, 09:32 PM
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Wednesday Update Top 40 Only
Source: Radio 1/OCC

Top 40 Singles

1 Ben Haenow - Something I Need (107k) *
2 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk (74k)
3 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud
4 Olly Murs feat. Demi Lovato - Up *
5 Take That - These Days

6-10
8 Gorgon City feat. Jennifer Hudson - Go All Night *
9 Meghan Trainor - All About That Bass

11-20
16 Sam Smith - Stay With Me
18 Labrinth - Jealous
20 Hozier - Take Me to Church

21-30
23 Ella Henderson - Ghost
27 Sia - Chandelier

31-40
32 Ed Sheeran - Photograph ^
33 Imagine Dragons - Demons ^
36 Iron Maiden - The Number of the Beast ^
37 Wealdstone Raider - Got No Fans *
39 Sigma feat. Paloma Faith - Changing ^

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatesingles/print

===================================================

Top 40 Albums

1 Ed Sheeran - x (88,585)
2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour (53k)
3 Olly Murs - Never Been Better
4 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage
5 Take That - III

6-10
7 Michael Buble - Christmas
8 Taylor Swift - 1989
10 Ella Henderson - Chapter One

11-20
12 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction
17 Nicki Minaj - The Pinkprint *
18 Neil Diamond - Melody Road
20 Queen - Queen Forever

21-30
21 5 Seconds of Summer - LIVESOS *
23 Annie Lennox - Nostalgia
26 Luther Vandross - The Greatest Hits
28 Jools Holland - Sirens of Song
30 Paolo Nutini - Caustic Love

31-40
35 Royal Blood - Royal Blood
39 Ed Sheeran - + ^

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio1/chart/updatealbums/print
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liamk97
post Dec 15 2014, 09:32 PM
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Friday Update Top 40 Only

Singles

1 Ben Haenow - Something I Need *
2 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk
3 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud
4 Olly Murs feat. Demi Lovato - Up *
5 Wealdstone Raider - Got No Fans *

6-10
9 Gorgon City feat. Jennifer Hudson - Go All Night *
10 Meghan Trainor - All About That Bass

11-20
15 Sam smith - Like I Can
19 Sam Smith - Stay With Me

21-30
21 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You
27 Jessie J, Ariana Grande & Nicki Minaj - Bang Bang
29 Taylor Swift - Shake It Off

31-40
31 Sia - Chandelier
33 Ella Henderson - Ghost
35 Ed Sheeran - Photograph ^
37 Iron Maiden - The Number of the Beast ^


++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


Albums

1 Ed Sheeran - x
2 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour
3 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage
4 Olly Murs - Never Been Better
5 Take That - III

6-10
7 Michael Buble - Christmas
8 Taylor Swift - 1989
10 Barbra Striesand - Partners

11-20
14 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction
15 Dolly Parton - Blue Smoke
17 Neil Diamond - Melody Road
18 Queen - Queen Forever

21-30
21 Nicki Minaj - The Pinkprint *
22 Annie Lennox - Nostalgia
24 Jools Holland - Sirens of Song
25 Luther Vandross - The Greatest Hits
27 5 Seconds of Summer - LIVESOS *
28 Paolo Nutini - Caustic Love

31-40
34 Royal Blood - Royal Blood
38 John Legend - Love In The Future


NO SALES INFO
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The Hit Parade
post Dec 15 2014, 11:46 PM
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Is that an actual new album from D'Angelo then? I thought there'd have been more fuss about that.
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BuzzLightyear
post Dec 16 2014, 12:06 AM
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1. X Factor single
2. Uptown Funk
3. Up
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girl_from_oz
post Dec 16 2014, 12:11 AM
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Nicki Minaj is currently number 2 on itunes album charts but my guess is Ed Sheeran or Sam Smith will top the album charts
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Hadji
post Dec 16 2014, 01:19 AM
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QUOTE(girl_from_oz @ Dec 16 2014, 12:11 AM) *
Nicki Minaj is currently number 2 on itunes album charts but my guess is Ed Sheeran or Sam Smith will top the album charts


I hope it's Nicki Minaj or Sam Smith. I'm bored of seeing Ed Sheeran at number 1
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liamk97
post Dec 16 2014, 01:35 AM
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Unless Nicki's album is planning on being sold to 200k+ this week, it's not going to be #1! tongue.gif
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Tawdry Hepburn
post Dec 16 2014, 01:37 AM
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I don't see Nicki's album charting very high at all.
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ManicKangaroo
post Dec 16 2014, 02:45 AM
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QUOTE(The Hit Parade @ Dec 15 2014, 11:46 PM) *
Is that an actual new album from D'Angelo then? I thought there'd have been more fuss about that.


Yes, he released it with only a couple of days advance notice
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Abdul Fareek
post Dec 16 2014, 03:41 AM
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QUOTE(liamk97 @ Dec 15 2014, 09:31 PM) *
Footnote: Due to office xmas party we might not get updates from MW on Friday morning/afternoon

An office xmas party on an internet forum? how even?

Gorgon City should be safe for top 10 this week.
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Hadji
post Dec 16 2014, 09:20 AM
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I reckon NOW 89 could shift 200,000+ copies this week
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Dasher
post Dec 16 2014, 09:21 AM
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QUOTE(Merry Fareekmas! @ Dec 16 2014, 03:41 AM) *
An office xmas party on an Internet forum? How even?

No it's MW's office party. So no midweeks on Friday.
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MrIndependent
post Dec 16 2014, 12:02 PM
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Am I right in believing that Up's actual official release in terms of having a digital EP or whatever format it will be released in isn't actually until this Sunday/next week? I think it will climb to #4 this week; obviously Ben and Mark/Bruno will be in the top two but Ed has several versions of TOL charting as well as those ever high streams despite Up being higher on iTunes. These Days should complete the top five.

Ed Sheeran #1 in albums easily with way over 200k+ also easily; I actually think some members could be potentially surprised at how much he will sell. Sam #2; as previously stated this week's top ten will pretty much be the same as last week although I wouldn't count Paloma Faith climbing back in out.

Nicki will start off higher in midweeks and then erode as the week progresses. It's a shame -- her album is excellent and ten times better than the mess that was Roman Reloaded, but she couldn't have chosen a worse time to release and the album doesn't have a current hit to hype it. Low top twenty at best I think, potentially top thirty. Remember when Britney Jean was at 1 on iTunes last December yet it flopped badly in the end and mislead people into thinking it could chart higher than expected? I foresee a very similar situation here.


This post has been edited by MrIndependent: Dec 16 2014, 12:05 PM
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slowdown73
post Dec 16 2014, 12:08 PM
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I really hope Mark Ronson can hold on at number one but I think its incredibly unlikely. Nicki Minaj won't make album number one. She doesn't have enough widespread appeal. She will fade as the week progresses. I hope Take That can stay top 5 in the singles.
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madollar
post Dec 16 2014, 12:42 PM
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So we are looking at

Singles

1 Ben Haenow
2 Mark Ronson/Bruno Mars
3 Olly Murs/Demi Levato
4 Ed Sheeran
5 Take That

Albums

1 Ed Sheeran
2 Sam Smith
3 Olly Murs
4 One Direction
5 George Ezra
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TomJ1991
post Dec 16 2014, 12:59 PM
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Sam Smith's album In The Lonely Hour and single Stay With Me both set to pass 1 million before the end of the year, surely?
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Sunday
post Dec 16 2014, 01:02 PM
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Twitter Mint Royale

I wonder how many copies Ben Haenow has sold so far.

74,663 copies!

There's a chance the winners single might be pushed to no. 2 by a record that was only released because it was performed on the Xfactor.
Simon Cowell may have actually knackered his winner's chance of a number 1.

It all depends on how much of a first day bump Ben Haenow got, if he tails off Uptown Funk isn't that far behind and selling well.

Sheeran sold 54,647 albums yesterday,
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M4NG0
post Dec 16 2014, 01:03 PM
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QUOTE(TomJ1991 @ Dec 16 2014, 12:59 PM) *
Sam Smith's album In The Lonely Hour and single Stay With Me both set to pass 1 million before the end of the year, surely?


'In The Lonely Hour' should pass a million sometime this week.


This post has been edited by Mango Ho Ho: Dec 16 2014, 01:04 PM
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