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> Sunday Chart Predictions, We have a Friday update, no sales
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liamk97
post Dec 29 2014, 10:35 PM
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Sunday Chart Predictions
Predicting the 04/01 to 10/01 chart



The effect of the iTunes gift cards is set to dominate the chart again this week. The only new release to trouble the Top 10 and indeed the Top 40 will probably just come from Philip George's 'Wish You Were Mine', however Mark and Bruno's hold at #1 with 'Uptown Funk' should remain theirs for a third non-consecutive week.

The album chart will be even more sparse for new entries, with Ed Sheeran probably remaining at #1 unless Sam Smith or George Ezra can return there. Expect big climbs from albums old and recent to shoot back up the chart due to sale discounts.

=======================================================

Some minor adjustments this week due to lack of chart info and sales content

Unfortunately MW will probably not publish anything this week due to the Christmas & New Year's break, we are also not expecting any chart info from other sources. OCC could publish the odd report Tues/mid week, for now please follow the iTunes thread topic for the latest chart info.

http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=172974

Chart update on Radio 1 is not transmitted this Wednesday. sad.gif

========================================================
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liamk97
post Dec 29 2014, 10:35 PM
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Top 40 Friday Update Only

Singles

1 Mark Ronson feat. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk
2 Philip George - Wish You Were Mine *
3 Ed Sheeran - Thinking Out Loud
4 Ben Haenow - Something I Need
5 Taylor Swift - Blank Space

11-20
13 Hozier - Take Me To Church
14 Clean Bandit and Jess Glynne - Real Love
17 George Ezra - Budapest
19 George Ezra - Blame It On Me

21-30
22 David Guetta feat. Sam Martin - Dangerous
25 Sia - Chandelier
28 Ella Henderson - Ghost
29 Calvin Harris feat. John Newman - Blame
30 Clean Bandit feat. Jess Glynne - Rather Be ^

31-40
31 Blonde feat. Melissa Steel - I Loved You
32 Mr Probz - Waves
33 Pharrell - Happy ^
34 Sigma feat. Paloma Faith - Changing ^
37 John Legend - All Of Me ^
39 The Script - Superheroes ^

==========================

Albums

1 Ed Sheeran - x
2 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage
3 Sam Smith - In The Lonely Hour
4 Taylor Swift - 1989
5 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction

6-10
7 Calvin Harris - Motion
9 The Script - No Sound Without Silence
10 Foo Fighters - Sonic Highways

11-20
13 Paolo Nutini - Caustic Love
14 Royal Blood - Royal Blood
16 Hozier - Hozier
17 Bastille - Bad Blood ^
20 John Legend - Love In The Future

21-30
21 OneRepublic - Native
22 Lana Del Rey - Ultraviolence ^
23 AC/DC - Back In Black ^
26 Ben Howard - I Forget Where We Were
28 Arctic Monkeys - AM

31-40
33 Kasabian - 48:13 ^
34 Catfish And The Bottlemen - The Balcony ^
35 The Vamps - Meet The Vamps ^
38 5 Seconds Of Summer - 5 Seconds Of Summer ^
40 Oasis - Time Flies... 1994-2009 ^

NO SALES
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Rudolph
post Dec 29 2014, 10:56 PM
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If anyone loves a good chart rundown join us Wednesday (31st Dec) from 6:30 am to 4 pm for the revealing of the year to date chart 2014 transmitted live from Radio 1.

http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=173122
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Robbie
post Dec 29 2014, 11:05 PM
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Music Week did publish a midweeks update on the Friday after the New Year at the start of this year and if I recall also did so for the previous two years on the first Friday of the year. So whether we get an update from Music Week on Friday 2 January 2015 will depend on whether someone is in the Music Week office on Friday and if so whether the member of staff gets around to publishing the midweeks. Fingers crossed...
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Rudolph
post Dec 30 2014, 10:41 AM
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QUOTE(Robbie @ Dec 29 2014, 11:05 PM) *
Music Week did publish a midweeks update on the Friday after the New Year at the start of this year and if I recall also did so for the previous two years on the first Friday of the year. So whether we get an update from Music Week on Friday 2 January 2015 will depend on whether someone is in the Music Week office on Friday and if so whether the member of staff gets around to publishing the midweeks. Fingers crossed...



Yeah we got one last year, towards the end of the week

Here is the link

http://www.buzzjack.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=161235

Mind you Paul Williams is longer with MW, and since he left no one has written further reports, and usually Friday's MW data section goes ga ga, so I'm not entirely sure we get anything.
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ChristmasEve201
post Dec 30 2014, 11:51 AM
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Hope Mark/Bruno can break 100k again this week smile.gif
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florenceminogue
post Dec 30 2014, 12:12 PM
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QUOTE(steve201 @ Dec 30 2014, 11:51 AM) *
Hope Mark/Bruno can break 100k again this week smile.gif


I would think it should clear 100K again quite easily this week as iTunes Giftcard/Hits of The Year/NYE party sales contribute as well as it's Streaming dominance - next week might tell a different story though
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Doctor Blind
post Dec 30 2014, 12:19 PM
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I think it'll have at least another 2 weeks above 100K. Streaming is certainly going to be adding around 20K/week for a while now.
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Rudolph
post Dec 30 2014, 01:11 PM
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Some facts and figures for 2014 from OCC

http://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/2...s-of-2014-3383/

12 other tracks joined the million-sellers club this year:

Pharrell Williams’ Happy
Adele’s Rolling In The Deep
Rihanna’s Diamonds
Pitbull’s Give Me Everything FT Ne-Yo, Afrojack and Nayer
Katy Perry’s Firework
Naughty Boy’s La La La FT Sam Smith
UB40’s Red Red Wine
Journey’s Don’t Stop Believin’
Take That’s Rule The World
OneRepublic’s Counting Stars
Kylie Minogue & Jason Donovan’s Especially For You
Lou Bega’s Mambo No. 5 (A Little Bit Of…)
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Rudolph
post Dec 30 2014, 01:17 PM
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QUOTE(Doctor Blind @ Dec 30 2014, 12:19 PM) *
I think it'll have at least another 2 weeks above 100K. Streaming is certainly going to be adding around 20K/week for a while now.


I'm hoping 2015 will have less #1 singles, having Mark Ronson staying put for a couple of weeks, seems to be heading in the right direction funky.gif when at the beginning of the year it changed every week until Clean Bandit released Rather Be.
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slowdown73
post Dec 30 2014, 03:22 PM
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I'm going to predict that Mark Ronson will sell about 130k this week.
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gooddelta
post Dec 30 2014, 03:29 PM
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QUOTE(Mart!n @ Dec 30 2014, 01:17 PM) *
I'm hoping 2015 will have less #1 singles, having Mark Ronson staying put for a couple of weeks, seems to be heading in the right direction funky.gif when at the beginning of the year it changed every week until Clean Bandit released Rather Be.


I think that's a given, no doubt it won't be long before the streaming #1 'sells' 25-30k a week on average. I'm sure we'll see loads of sales #1's miss out officially in 2015 and I wouldn't be at all surprised if we get a long running #1 next year of the 6+ weeks variety.
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Ne Plus Ultra
post Dec 30 2014, 03:31 PM
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Wow at Kylie having 2 million sellers. Now joining Rihanna and Adele for having multiple million sellers for a female!

And Olivia Newton John too.


This post has been edited by Ne Plus Ultra: Dec 30 2014, 03:32 PM
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Hadji
post Dec 30 2014, 03:40 PM
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QUOTE(Mart!n @ Dec 30 2014, 01:11 PM) *
Some facts and figures for 2014 from OCC

http://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/2...s-of-2014-3383/

12 other tracks joined the million-sellers club this year:

Pharrell Williams’ Happy
Adele’s Rolling In The Deep
Rihanna’s Diamonds
Pitbull’s Give Me Everything FT Ne-Yo, Afrojack and Nayer
Katy Perry’s Firework
Naughty Boy’s La La La FT Sam Smith
UB40’s Red Red Wine
Journey’s Don’t Stop Believin’
Take That’s Rule The World
OneRepublic’s Counting Stars
Kylie Minogue & Jason Donovan’s Especially For You
Lou Bega’s Mambo No. 5 (A Little Bit Of…)


They haven't mentioned John Legend and Mr Probz
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dancember
post Dec 30 2014, 03:50 PM
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QUOTE(Hadji @ Dec 30 2014, 03:40 PM) *
They haven't mentioned John Legend and Mr Probz

They only announce songs as million sellers when they've sold one million copies (without streaming)
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MrIndependent
post Dec 30 2014, 04:00 PM
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If we don't get something from Music Week then I'm hoping Mint Royale will slip us something, even if it's just the sales of the #1s.
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Jester
post Dec 30 2014, 04:02 PM
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QUOTE(Hadji @ Dec 30 2014, 03:40 PM) *
They haven't mentioned John Legend and Mr Probz

Thats because they aren't official million sellers yet biggrin.gif
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t=SpunderfulXmas
post Dec 30 2014, 04:53 PM
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I wasn't sure where to look but while I'm here does anyone know how close Happy is to 2 million yet? IIRC it was about 1.5m a few months ago thinking.gif

And I think it will be the first 2m seller of 21st century! (still overrated as hell though dry.gif)

The Million Sellers thread says 1,955,000 including streaming but if it's possible I'd like to know the physical sales and how old that update was biggrin.gif
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Hadji
post Dec 30 2014, 04:59 PM
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QUOTE(SPINNING ADAM @ Dec 30 2014, 04:53 PM) *
I wasn't sure where to look but while I'm here does anyone know how close Happy is to 2 million yet? IIRC it was about 1.5m a few months ago thinking.gif

And I think it will be the first 2m seller of 21st century! (still overrated as hell though dry.gif)

The Million Sellers thread says 1,955,000 including streaming but if it's possible I'd like to know the physical sales and how old that update was biggrin.gif


We'll have to wait till Thursday when they publish the 2014 EOY chart where they will reveal how many copies "Happy" sold in 2014 and in total
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Doctor Blind
post Dec 30 2014, 05:01 PM
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QUOTE(SPINNING ADAM @ Dec 30 2014, 04:53 PM) *
I wasn't sure where to look but while I'm here does anyone know how close Happy is to 2 million yet? IIRC it was about 1.5m a few months ago thinking.gif

And I think it will be the first 2m seller of 21st century! (still overrated as hell though dry.gif)

The Million Sellers thread says 1,955,000 including streaming but if it's possible I'd like to know the physical sales and how old that update was biggrin.gif


This probably isn't the best thread to ask this question - however, since the OCC will be giving us pretty much nothing this week we may as well discuss this here.

The last OCC figure we have is 2,054,862 up to 7 December, however that includes streams. The streams are ~27 million so using a bit of rough maths gives a total download/physical sale of about 1.784 million. It has likely sold a few hundred physical copies within that total, there was a 12" vinyl released earlier this year which I saw in HMV recently too.
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