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> Sunday Chart Predictions (Friday Update + Top 5 Sales), What I'd do for Madonna to go Top 10
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liamk97
post Feb 23 2015, 10:58 PM
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Sunday Chart Predictions
Predicting the 01/03 to 07/03 chart



What I'd do for Madonna to go Top 10
Following three weeks of 100k+ 'sales' and showing no signs of significantly slowing down, Ellie Goulding should achieve a fourth week at #1 with 'Love Me Like You Do' - which would make it her longest run at the top spot. The Top 10 should also see Kelly Clarkson's 'Heartbeat Song' debut and David Guetta/Emeli Sande's 'What I Did for Love' enter following its heavy usage on Friday night's Eastenders. Elsewhere, Disciples' 'They Don't Know' should debut whilst several songs should re-enter/climb the chart following the BRIT Awards on Wednesday, including a possible Top 40 debut for Madonna's 'Living for Love' which is released on Thursday.

The BRIT Awards will probably send Sam, Ed or George back to #1 as well as several other albums back high in the chart. However, Led Zeppelin's re-release of their 1975 album Physical Graffiti and Chris Brown and Tyga's collaborative album Fan of a Fan may still enter the Top 10. Other potential new entries include Black Star Riders's The Killer Instinct, Public Service Broadcasting's The Race for Space, Scorpions's Return to Forever and Big Sean's Dark Sky Paradise.

========================================================

Please note new changes to the Sunday Chart Predictions thread topic:

Tuesday/Thursday - There will be no mids from MW for Tuesday and Thursday, however they may come from other sources - this is not always guaranteed. You can still post your own predictions for the week to generate chat to the topic.

Wednesday - Radio 1 Chart Top 40 mid update will be posted with links to Radio 1 and any other chart info from MW and OCC from 3:30pm to 4pm

Friday - Final Mid update from MW from 11am onwards. Sales info is a separate issue will be available from 2pm onwards if available.

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action please refer to the iTunes thread topic.
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liamk97
post Feb 23 2015, 10:58 PM
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Tuesday Update Top 40 Only

Singles

1 Ellie Goulding (26.2k)
2 Kelly Clarkson (17.3k) *
3 Weeknd (14.5k)
4 David Guetta feat. Emeli Sande (14.4k)
5 Rihanna, Kanye West & Paul McCartney (14.1k)

6-10
8 The Disciples *

11-20
11 Chris Brown x Tyga
16 Karen Harding
20 Sia [Chandelier]

21-30
22 Taylor Swift [Style]
24 Noel Gallagher's High Flying Birds [Ballad Of The Mighty I]*
27 Taylor Swift [Blank Space]
29 Mike Mago & Dragonette

31-40
31 Sam Smith [Lay Me Down] *
40 Taylor Swift [Shake It Off] ^

New Entries
42 Calvin Harris feat. Haim - Pray To God
45 John Legend & Common - Glory
77 Redlight - Gold Teeth
79 Noel Gallagher's High Flying Birds - Revolution

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


Albums

1 Led Zeppelin (7.7k) *
2 Black Star Riders (5.1k) *
3 Sam Smith (4.7k)
4 Chris Brown x Tyga (4.6k) *
5 Ed Sheeran (4.4k)

6-10
6 Public Service Broadcasting *

11-20
13 Sia
14 Maroon 5
15 The Scorpions *
17 Royal Blood
19 Big Sean *

21-30
22 UFO *
27 Kid Rock *
28 Olly Murs
29 Status Quo
30 Fleetwood Mac

31-40
32 Darlia *
36 Ed Sheeran [+] ^
37 Falling In Reverse *

New Entries
42 Lonely Robot - Please Come Home
43 Bruce Springsteen - Live Collection
46 Pop Group - Citizen Zombie
51 Dutch Uncles - Shudder
54 Songhoy Blues - Music In Exile
56 Revolution Saints - Revolution Saints
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liamk97
post Feb 23 2015, 10:58 PM
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Official Singles/Albums Chart Update Top 100
Source: OCC

Top 100 Singles

Radio 1 Top 40 Singles Print Version




Top 100 Albums

Radio 1 Top 40 Albums Print Version

Click on the above relevant links
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liamk97
post Feb 23 2015, 10:58 PM
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Thursday Update Top 40 Only

Singles

1 Ellie Goulding - Love Me Like You Do (52.2k)
2 Hozier - Take Me to Church (31.5k)
3 The Weeknd - Earned It (29.4k)
4 Kelly Clarkson - Heartbeat Song (28.1k) *
5 Mark Ronson ft. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk (27.1k)

6-10
6 David Guetta ft. Emeli Sande - What I Did for Love
9 James Bay - Hold Back the River

11-20
11 Chris Brown & Tyga - Ayo
15 Disciples - They Don't Know *
16 Karen Harding - Say Something
19 Sia - Chandelier

21-30
22 Sam Smith - Lay Me Down *
23 Taylor Swift - Style
24 Axwell & Ingrosso - Something New *
25 George Ezra - Budapest

31-40
34 George Ezra - Blame It On Me ^
39 Madonna - Living for Love *

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Albums

1 Sam Smith - In the Lonely Hour (12.8k)
2 Ed Sheeran - x (12k)
3 Led Zeppelin - Physical Graffiti (10k) ^
4 Chris Brown & Tyga - Fan of a Fan (8.4) *
5 Royal Blood - Royal Blood (7.5k)

6-10
7 Black Star Riders - The Killer Instinct *
8 Public Service Broadcasting - The Race for Space *

11-20
16 Maroon 5 - V
17 Big Sean - Dark Sky Paradise *
19 Take That - III

21-30
21 Scorpions - Return to Forever *
22 Little Comets - Hope is Just a State of Mind
23 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction
28 Ed Sheeran + ^
29 UFO - A Conspiracy of Stars *

31-40
32 First Aid Kit - Stay Gold
34 Kid Rock - First Kiss *
35 The Eagles - Hotel California ^
37 Calvin Harris - Motion ^
39 David Guetta - Listen ^
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liamk97
post Feb 23 2015, 10:58 PM
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Friday Update Top 40 Only

Singles

1 Ellie Goulding - Love Me Like You Do (64.7k)
2 Hozier - Take Me to Church (40.1k)
3 The Weeknd - Earned It (36.5k)
4 Mark Ronson ft. Bruno Mars - Uptown Funk (34.5k)
5 Rihanna, Kanye West & Paul McCartney - FourFive Seconds (32.8k)

6-10
6 Kelly Clarkson - Heartbeat Song *
7 David Guetta ft. Emeli Sande - What I Did for Love
8 James Bay - Hold Back the River

11-20
11 Chris Brown & Tyga - Ayo
15 Karen Harding - Say Something
17 Disciples - They Don't Know *
18 Sam Smith - Lay Me Down *
19 Sia - Chandelier

21-30
21 George Ezra - Budapest
22 Axwell & Ingrosso - Something New *
25 Taylor Swift - Style
26 Madonna - Living for Love *

31-40
33 George Ezra - Blame It On Me ^
34 Paloma Faith - Only Love Can Hurt Like This ^
40 Ed Sheeran - Bloodstream


++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Albums

1 Sam Smith - In the Lonely Hour (20.9k)
2 Ed Sheeran - x (20.5k)
3 Royal Blood - Royal Blood (15.2k)
4 Led Zeppelin - Physical Graffiti (11.2k) ^
5 George Ezra - Wanted On Voyage (11.0)

6-10
6 Chris Brown & Tyga - Fan of a Fan *
8 Public Service Broadcasting - The Race for Space *
10 Black Star Riders - The Killer Instinct *

11-20
12 Paloma Faith - A Perfect Contradiction
17 Maroon 5 - V
18 Take That - III
20 Big Sean - Dark Sky Paradise *

21-30
22 Emeli Sande - Our Version Of Events
25 Scorpions - Return to Forever *
26 Ed Sheeran + ^
27 Little Comets - Hope is Just a State of Mind
28 Paolo Nutini - Caustic Love

31-40
31 First Aid Kit - Stay Gold
33 UFO - A Conspiracy of Stars *
34 Ella Henderson - Chapter One
35 Calvin Harris - Motion
36 The Eagles - Hotel California ^
37 War On Drugs - Lost In The Dream
38 David Guetta - Listen ^
40 Jesse Ware - Tough Love
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slowdown73
post Feb 24 2015, 10:11 AM
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I doubt Madonna will go top10 at all, when its finally released later this week.
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M4NG0
post Feb 24 2015, 10:15 AM
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QUOTE(slowdown73 @ Feb 24 2015, 10:11 AM) *
I doubt Madonna will go top10 at all, when its finally released later this week.

She would have a shot at Top 10 if she'd released on a Monday but can't see it following a Thursday release. Then again, stranger things have happened and the BRITS do tend to throw up the odd chart surprise, so who knows unsure.gif
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MrIndependent
post Feb 24 2015, 10:22 AM
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I don't think she will go top 40.

I'm very interested to see how streaming affects the album chart this week. I think Ed will be #1, Sam #2 (although he will probably be higher than Ed in today's midweek update), with Chris Brown and Tyga entering at #3 and George climbing to #4. I don't think it would be surprising to see the Chris Brown and Tyga album at the top in today's update, actually.
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Rudolph
post Feb 24 2015, 10:36 AM
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I think the #1 album is between Sam & Ed, the reminder of the top 5 will probably feature George, Taylor and Paloma Faith or Royal Blood, it they win the group nomination.
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SKOB
post Feb 24 2015, 10:47 AM
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Madonna has no chance of going top ten.. top 40 is a possibility but she must blown everyone away by her performance which I doubt'll happen. The demand just isn't there.

This post has been edited by SKOB: Feb 24 2015, 10:48 AM
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Rudolph
post Feb 24 2015, 10:50 AM
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As for Madonna I really don't know how its going to go, her performance better be out of this world for maximum impact, as for the single release its a bit of a disaster really.
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SKOB
post Feb 24 2015, 10:53 AM
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Seems to me that she's in the Pet Shop Boys territory right now: solid fanbase but the general public has moved on.
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Smartiepants70
post Feb 24 2015, 11:08 AM
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Sadly I don't think Madonna stands a chance - why they are releasing on Thursday I can't imagine, it won't even be available for impulse buyers right after the Brits. Crazy.

I also tend to think the addition of streaming works against artists with an older average fanbase. I'd love to be wrong but I can see it missing the chart altogether. Hopefully the album will still do well...I think if Ghost Town is to be the second single as I've heard, it could get better airplay at least.
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Rob S
post Feb 24 2015, 11:16 AM
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They should have done a Monday release at least. Madonna only has herself to blame for quite possibly her best song in ages to miss the top 40. Although don't they release live versions of the song as well, if so that could help ensure a top 40 placing. It really deserves to outpeak 'Gimme All Ur Lovin' at least sad.gif

This post has been edited by Rozzle S: Feb 24 2015, 11:17 AM
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t=SpunderfulXmas
post Feb 24 2015, 11:28 AM
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Something New for a preferable top 30 please! If not top 20 but I doubt streaming will support it. cry.gif
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Rudolph
post Feb 24 2015, 12:10 PM
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QUOTE
Mint Royale @MintRoyale · 24m 24 minutes ago
Ellie Goulding still number 1, Kelly Clarkson 2, Guetta up to 4 on the back of a cheese anecdote (apparently).
QUOTE
Mint Royale @MintRoyale · 25m 25 minutes ago
*Led Zeppelin number 1 album face*

QUOTE
Mint Royale @MintRoyale · 24m 24 minutes ago
*Chris Brown number 4 album face* sad.gif((((((
QUOTE
Mint Royale @MintRoyale · 25m 25 minutes ago
*deep intake of breath face* Charli XCX down to 41.


https://twitter.com/MintRoyale
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Jonjo
post Feb 24 2015, 12:13 PM
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Kelly! I hope this means she's safe enough to be top 7 at least, with a Brits effect/weekend effect (songs overtaking her and not her benefitting obvz) etc... wub.gif come on Kelly!
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MrIndependent
post Feb 24 2015, 12:14 PM
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Led Zeppelin's re-release at #1 in albums laugh.gif The pre-orders will make up the bulk of its sales and I expect it to sell pretty much next to nothing throughout the remainder of the week, though. I'm guessing Sam and Ed are #2 and #3, but I'm not sure who could be completing the top five. Sadly Imagine Dragons's sales will have trailed off badly, I think.
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Joe ho ho!
post Feb 24 2015, 12:14 PM
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Wow - quite the achievement for Kelly!

Awful for Charli's album considering she's having a second hit single from it.
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ML Hammer95
post Feb 24 2015, 12:21 PM
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Good to see the Chris Brown/Tyga album doing well, the songs I've heard from it have been decent. Doubt its gonna hold up though.
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