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> Friday Chart Predictions, More Adele, more Bieber
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Joe ho ho!
post Nov 28 2015, 09:46 AM
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After the record breaking results of last week's chart, we're looking at the second many weeks of Adele domination in the album charts. The Vamps and The Corrs also have new records out which could possibly make a dent in the albums top 5.

No big releases this week but 00s garage hitmaker Craig David makes a comeback return with 'When the Bassline Drops' (with Big Narstie) and we have an instant grat, 'Everglow' from Coldplay's upcoming album. We also pass the first of December this week, could Mariah make the top 40? As far as number 1 is concerned, Justin Bieber battles it out with himself for the top spot. Will it be 'Sorry' or will 'Love Yourself' climb to the top spot? iIt's looking likely that the latter will finish 'Sorry's two week stay at #2.

Breakdown of the week
Monday: OCC Top 100 + Radio 1 Chart Update 5:30pm to 5:45pm
Tuesday: Top 40 update as and when we receive them with requests, this is NOT 100% guaranteed however. The OCC may publish sales flashes of their own accord but likewise, this is not guaranteed. Twitter and social media is your friend for today. Please post any information you find with a source.
Wednesday: Top 40 update from Music Week from 5:45, and potential top 5 sales but this is not guaranteed.
Thursday: See Tuesday.

Please do not demand a midweek update, one will be posted as and when we receive the information. Patience is a virtue.

To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action, please refer to the iTunes and Spotify threads.
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Joe ho ho!
post Nov 28 2015, 10:08 AM
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Official Singles/Albums Chart Update Top 100
Source: OCC

Top 100 Singles

1 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself
2 Justin Bieber - Sorry
3 Adele - Hello
4 Justin Bieber - What Do You Mean?
5 Fleur East - Sax

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Top 100 Albums

1 Adele - 25 (200k+)
2 Elvis Presley - If I Can Dream
3 Justin Bieber - Purpose
4 Little Mix - Get Weird
5 The Vamps - Wake Up *

Click on the above relevant links
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Joe ho ho!
post Nov 28 2015, 10:08 AM
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Tuesday Update Top 40 Only

Missing Data: Apple Music (Monday), Spotify (Monday)

Singles

1 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (59.4k)
2 Justin Bieber - Sorry (52.7k)
3 Adele - Hello (47.2k)
4 Justin Bieber - What Do You Mean? (28.5k)
5 Fleur East - Sax (22.7k)

6-10
6 Grace feat. G-Eazy - You Don't Own Me *
9 Olly Murs - Kiss Me

11-20
16 Coldplay - Adventure of a Lifetime
17 Naughty Boy feat. Beyoncé & Arrow Benjamin - Runnin' (Lose It All)
20 Jamie Lawson - Wasn't Expecting That

21-30
27 Years & Years - Eyes Shut
28 Sigma & Rita Ora - Coming Home *
29 99 Souls feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy - The Girl Is Mine *

31-40
35 Robin Schulz feat. Francesco Yates - Sugar *
36 Craig David & Big Narstie - When The Bassline Drops *
37 Sigala - Easy Love
40 Coldplay - Everglow *

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Albums

1 Adele - 25 (291.9k)
2 Elvis Presley - If I Can Dream (58.4k)
3 Justin Bieber - Purpose (47.7k)
4 Little Mix - Get Weird (32.4k)
5 Jess Glynne - I Cry When I Laugh (28.8k)

6-10
6 The Vamps - Wake Up *
9 The Corrs - White Light *

11-20
13 Il Divo - Amor & Pasion *
15 James Bay - Chaos and the Calm
19 The Overtones - Good Ol' Fashioned Christmas *

21-30
23 Michael Bublé - Christmas
24 Taylor Swift - 1989
28 Kylie Minogue - Kylie Christmas
30 Florence + The Machine - How Big, How Blue, How Beautiful ^

31-40
33 David Gilmour - Rattle That Lock
35 Hozier - Hozier ^
36 Jamie Lawson - Jamie Lawson
37 Rudimental - We The Generation ^
39 Mumford & Sons - Wilder Mind ^
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Joe ho ho!
post Nov 28 2015, 10:08 AM
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Wednesday Update Top 40 Only

Singles

1 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (74,121)
2 Justin Bieber - Sorry (63,533)
3 Adele - Hello
4 Justin Bieber - What Do You Mean?
5 Grace feat. G-Eazy - You Don't Own Me *

6-10
9 WSTRN - In2
10 Olly Murs - Kiss Me

11-20
16 Coldplay - Adventure of a Lifetime
17 Naughty Boy feat. Beyoncé & Arrow Benjamin - Runnin' (Lose It All)

21-30
26 Sigma & Rita Ora - Coming Home *
27 Years & Years - Eyes Shut
29 99 Souls feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy - The Girl Is Mine *

31-40
35 Robin Schulz feat. Francesco Yates - Sugar *
36 Sigala - Easy Love
38 Craig David & Big Narstie - When The Bassline Drops *
40 Mariah Carey - All I Want For Christmas Is You ^

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Albums

1 Adele - 25 (331,513)
2 Elvis Presley - If I Can Dream (67,176)
3 Justin Bieber - Purpose
4 Little Mix - Get Weird
5 Jess Glynne - I Cry When I Laugh

6-10
7 The Vamps - Wake Up *
9 Rod Stewart - Another Country

11-20
11 The Corrs - White Light *
13 Il Divo - Amor & Pasion *
15 James Bay - Chaos and the Calm
19 Michael Bublé - Christmas

21-30
21 The Overtones - Good Ol' Fashioned Christmas *
25 Taylor Swift - 1989
26 Kylie Minogue - Kylie Christmas
30 Florence + The Machine - How Big, How Blue, How Beautiful ^

31-40
34 Hozier - Hozier ^
36 Jamie Lawson - Jamie Lawson
38 Rudimental - We The Generation ^
39 Mumford & Sons - Wilder Mind ^
40 Simply Red - Big Love ^
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Joe ho ho!
post Nov 28 2015, 10:21 AM
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Mint Royale might not have much to report on today, but feel free to post any updates if he does.
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Joe ho ho!
post Nov 28 2015, 10:46 AM
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QUOTE
@MintRoyale: Adele still selling more than 60,000 copies a day. Should break the million mark on Monday.
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omrimayo
post Nov 28 2015, 10:49 AM
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So around 300K second week? Good I guess...
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Jonjo
post Nov 28 2015, 10:59 AM
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She'll sell about ~100k over today I reckon. But a very consistent run of 50k-60k throughout the rest of the week.

How much do we think Coldplay will do next week? Over 200k?
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slowdown73
post Nov 28 2015, 11:00 AM
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Coldplay might get the number one album next week if Adele's sales decline more.
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Joe ho ho!
post Nov 28 2015, 11:03 AM
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QUOTE(Jonjeur East 🎷 @ Nov 28 2015, 10:59 AM) *
She'll sell about ~100k over today I reckon. But a very consistent run of 50k-60k throughout the rest of the week.

How much do we think Coldplay will do next week? Over 200k?


I think 200k is possible for them, maybe more. Their last album managed 170k and that wasn't even Q4.
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Jonjo
post Nov 28 2015, 11:05 AM
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I can see Adele selling more next week than this week, just coz we'll be getting closer to Chrimbo. But yeah I think 250k for Coldplay and about 360k for Adele next week.

I just wanna know where/how Little Mix are doing this week tbh. Lol.
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mixer01
post Nov 28 2015, 12:09 PM
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Hope Little Mix overtake One Direction in the albums this week!
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sammy01
post Nov 28 2015, 12:33 PM
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No way will Coldplay sell that much, I'm going for 130k for them. Adele will easily beat them.
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dancember
post Nov 28 2015, 12:40 PM
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I wonder if the Black Friday sales are helping Adele this week, she should be on for another massive week in any case
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Tawdry Hepburn
post Nov 28 2015, 12:42 PM
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I'm really interested to see how The Corrs fare with this comeback.
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niallyb
post Nov 28 2015, 12:52 PM
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QUOTE(mr_pmt @ Nov 28 2015, 06:42 AM) *
I'm really interested to see how The Corrs fare with this comeback.


As am I. Media exposure hasn't been great which makes me think that it's likely to be a very front loaded affair and not something that sells much beyond their core fanbase. Still though judging from iTunes (always risky but here goes) it looks like they could well enter inside the top 5. That's likely to mean a 40K opening at this time of year. They'll need to have booked a lot of telly slots over the chrimbo if they don't want to get lost in the crowd though.
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gooddelta
post Nov 28 2015, 01:25 PM
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40k would be astonishing. I'm thinking 25k, which may be enough to scrape No.10, though even that seems crazy as that would have given them a No.1 in the summer. Trying not to get my hopes up too much anyway.

I don't recall what Borrowed Heaven opened with in 2004, anyone remember?
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MrIndependent
post Nov 28 2015, 04:52 PM
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If Adele sells 60k over the next six days as well, we're looking at a second week of 420k, which is (obviously) very outstanding. She could start increasing from there onwards, you know. No way are Coldplay getting that #1.

The Vamps probably won't sell much more than The Corrs, which is unfortunate for them as The Corrs' sales will be only decent. A 30k start for both, which I think is realistic, would put them somewhere between 6-10. That would be down from the 47k that Meet the Vamps sold in its opening week to hit #2 in April of last year. I don't think they made a good decision to release this far into the year.
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niallyb
post Nov 28 2015, 04:55 PM
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QUOTE(gooddelta @ Nov 28 2015, 07:25 AM) *
40k would be astonishing. I'm thinking 25k, which may be enough to scrape No.10, though even that seems crazy as that would have given them a No.1 in the summer. Trying not to get my hopes up too much anyway.

I don't recall what Borrowed Heaven opened with in 2004, anyone remember?


They opened with just under 58K at just about the softest time of year to release a new album (the end of May).


So far the new album is holding at #8 on iTunes but 5 of the titles above it are either various artist compilations or Coldplays prerelease.

So early indicators from iTunes are good. I expect physicals to be good because their fanbase is a little older. I expect their streaming to points to be utterly worthless.

On Amazon they are at #7 with 2 various artist compilations ahead of them on the digital chart. They are at #23 on amazons physical chart.

If they have good TV promo during the week (I'm in Chicago so I have no visibility to that) then I could see a 40K opening week on the high side. This is also the week where UK album sales really start to increase rapidly every year.
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JosephCarey
post Nov 28 2015, 04:55 PM
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In all honesty I'm not sure The Vamps would sell much more at any other time of the year tongue.gif Wake Up the single didn't do particularly well which was a shame, and they're only just following it up now. Best I can hope for is a top 5 album I guess.
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