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> Friday Chart Predictions, Shawn for #1
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JosephCarey
post Jan 16 2016, 01:37 PM
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Shawn Mendes could be looking to dethrone Justin Bieber this week, with 'Stitches' picking up steam on iTunes and Spotify, but it could be a close call and Justin Bieber could easily make it a seventh week with 'Love Yourself'. Expect Snakehips, Tinashe and Chance the Rapper to enter the top 10 with their hit 'All My Friends', as well as a climb from Little Mix featuring Jason Derulo with 'Secret Love Song' and maybe Kygo featuring Maty Noyes with 'Stay'. New entries could come from Zara Larsson with 'Lush Life', The 1975 with 'The Sound', X Ambassadors with 'Renegades', Jason Derulo with 'Get Ugly', Elle King with 'Ex's & Oh's', and, boosted by James Corden's carpool karaoke, we could see Adele's 'All I Ask' enter the top 40.

On the album chart, expect a second week for David Bowie's 'Blackstar'. Adele could climb a place and be runner-up after the carpool karaoke boost for album '25'. New albums come from Panic! At The Disco with 'Death of a Bachelor', Daughter with 'Not To Disappear' and Mystery Jets with 'Curve of the Earth'. We'll see how any of these fare during the midweek updates.

Breakdown of the week
- Saturday and Sunday: Information on Twitter from MintRoyale only. Please do not make requests, we do not have any information other than what's posted.
- Monday: OCC Top 100 + Radio 1 Chart Update 5:30pm to 5:45pm.
- Tuesday: Top 40 update as and when we receive them with requests, this is NOT 100% guaranteed however. The OCC may publish sales flashes of their own accord but likewise, this is not guaranteed. Twitter and social media is your friend for today. Please post any information you find with a source. Do not nag for updates, we will post a top 40 update if we receive one.
- Wednesday: Top 40 update from Music Week from 5:45, and potential top 5 sales but this is not guaranteed.
- Thursday: See Tuesday.

Other notes (please read)
- **NEW** You may make requests Tuesday to Thursday but outside the top 40, specific positions will not be revealed (unless deemed necessary by a mod).
- Please do not demand a midweek update, one will be posted as and when we receive the information. Patience is a virtue.
- Sales information will be given out as deemed necessary by a moderator, please bear this in mind when making requests. Most requests for sales will be ignored.
- To keep everyone in the loop of all chart action, please refer to the iTunes and Spotify threads.
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JosephCarey
post Jan 16 2016, 01:37 PM
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Official Singles/Albums Chart Update Top 100
Source: OCC
Missing Data: Missing data from APPLE STRM for Saturday, Sunday, SPOTIFY STRM for Sunday

Top 100 Singles

1 Shawn Mendes - Stitches (26.4k)
2 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (25.7k)
3 Justin Bieber - Sorry (19.40k)
4 Adele - Hello (14.2k)
5 One Direction - History (13.8k)

6-10
9 Snakehips, Tinahse, Chance the Rapper - All My Friends

11-20
11 Major Lazer - Light it Up Ft Nyla
12 Craig David - When the Bassline Drops Ft. Big Narstie
13 The 1975 - The Sound *
15 Adele - All I Ask *
18 Little Mix - Secret Love Song Ft. Jason Derulo
19 David Guetta - Bang My Head Ft. Sia
20 Stormzy - Shut Up

21-30
26 Robin Schulz - Sugar

31-40
32 X Ambassadors - Renagades *
33 Ellie Goulding - Army
34 Nathan Sykes - Over and Over Again *
38 Zara Larsson - Lush Life *


++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Top 100 Albums

1 David Bowie - Blackstar (49.7k)
2 Adele - 25 (21.2k)
3 Panic at the Disco - Death of a Bachelor *
4 David Bowie - Best of Bowie
5 Justin Bieber - Purpose

6-10
7 Jack Savoretti - Written In Scars by *

11-20
11 Temperance Movement - White Bear *
12 Daughter - Not to Disappear *
19 Paul Carrack - Soul Shadows*

21-30
27 Adele - 21
28 Mystery Jets - Curve on the Eath *
29 David Bowie - Low
40 Shawn Mendes - Handwritten *

Click on the above relevant links.
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JosephCarey
post Jan 16 2016, 01:37 PM
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Tuesday Update Top 40 Only
Missing Data: Apple Music (Sunday, Monday), Amazon HD (Monday), Spotify (Monday)

Singles

1 Shawn Mendes - Stitches (35.2k)
2 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (34.3k)
3 Justin Bieber - Sorry (26.0k)
4 Adele - Hello (18.7k)
5 One Direction - History (18.2k)

6-10
6 99 Souls feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy - The Girl Is Mine
9 Snakehips feat. Tinashe & Chance the Rapper - All My Friends
10 Major Lazer feat. Nyla & Fuse ODG - Light It Up

11-20
12 Craig David & Big Narstie - When the Bassline Drops
14 The 1975 - The Sound *
16 Little Mix feat. Jason Derulo - Secret Love Song
17 David Guetta feat. Sia & Fetty Wap - Bang My Head
18 Adele - All I Ask *
20 Stormzy - Shut Up

21-30
25 Robin Schulz feat. Francesco Yates - Sugar

31-40
31 X Ambassadors - Renegades *
35 Ellie Goulding - Army *
37 Kygo feat. Maty Noyes - Stay

Bonus
41 Nathan Sykes - Over and Over Again
43 Zara Larsson - Lush Life

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Albums

1 David Bowie - Blackstar (55.6k)
2 Adele - 25 (25.0k)
3 Panic! At the Disco - Death of a Bachelor (22.1k)
4 David Bowie - Best of Bowie (14.8k)
5 Justin Bieber - Purpose (14.5k)

6-10
7 Jack Savoretti - Written In Scars ^

11-20
12 Daughter - Not to Disappear *
13 The Temperance Movement - White Bear *
20 Paul Carrack - Soul Shadows *

21-30
22 David Bowie - The Next Day
27 Adele - 21
28 David Bowie - Low
29 Mystery Jets - Curve of the Earth *

31-40
32 Whitney Houston - The Ultimate Collection
38 Shawn Mendes - Handwritten ^
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JosephCarey
post Jan 16 2016, 01:39 PM
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Wednesday Update Top 40 Only
Source: Music Week
Missing Data: n/a

Singles

1 Shawn Mendes - Stitches (44,554)
2 Justin Bieber - Love Yourself (43,251)
3 Justin Bieber - Sorry (32,725)
4 One Direction - History (22,794)
5 Adele - Hello (22,748)

6-10
7 99 Souls feat. Destiny's Child & Brandy - The Girl Is Mine
8 Snakehips feat. Tinashe & Chance the Rapper - All My Friends
10 Major Lazer feat. Nyla & Fuse ODG - Light It Up

11-20
12 Craig David & Big Narstie - When the Bassline Drops
14 The 1975 - The Sound *
16 Little Mix feat. Jason Derulo - Secret Love Song
17 David Guetta feat. Sia & Fetty Wap - Bang My Head
19 Stormzy - Shut Up

21-30
23 Robin Schulz feat. Francesco Yates - Sugar
24 Adele - All I Ask *
30 Calvin Harris & Disciples - How Deep Is Your Love

31-40
33 X Ambassadors - Renegades *
34 Ellie Goulding - Army *
35 Kygo feat. Maty Noyes - Stay

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Albums

1 David Bowie - Blackstar (66,633)
2 Adele - 25 (29,657)
3 David Bowie - Best of Bowie (26,232)
4 Panic! At the Disco - Death of a Bachelor (23,713)
5 Justin Bieber - Purpose

6-10
7 Jack Savoretti - Written In Scars ^

11-20
12 Daughter - Not to Disappear *
16 The Temperance Movement - White Bear *

21-30
21 Paul Carrack - Soul Shadows *
23 David Bowie - The Next Day
27 Adele - 21
29 David Bowie - Low
30 Mystery Jets - Curve of the Earth *

31-40
31 Whitney Houston - The Ultimate Collection
38 Shawn Mendes - Handwritten ^
39 Eagles - The Complete Greatest Hits ^

NO OTHER SALES INFO
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Hadji
post Jan 16 2016, 01:44 PM
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Looks like Zara Larsson will miss out as she's starting to fall on Spotify
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Scene
post Jan 16 2016, 01:48 PM
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I hope 99 Souls continues to climb this week while Snakehips and Craig David both officially get a top 10 peak. The top 10 needs an urgent clear out. I mean, I quite like 'Sorry' but the Bieber domination is just tedious now.
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Doctor Blind
post Jan 16 2016, 01:48 PM
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QUOTE(Hadji @ Jan 16 2016, 01:44 PM) *
Looks like Zara Larsson will miss out as she's starting to fall on Spotify


That's the weekend effect (Friday/Saturday) - likely to rebound come the start of the working week.

Saying that, for all this talk of her streams being decent - she was only #43 on the streaming chart this week.

Bowie to hold on in the albums - he is apparently 50 copies in front of Panic! At The Disco today. Shawn Mendes reasonably likely to climb to #1 - his streaming will surely catch-up with Justin Bieber and he is #1 on paid-for sales now which will only increase this week with increasing airplay/exposure.
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ChristmasEve201
post Jan 16 2016, 01:53 PM
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Ouch Bowie only a few copies ahead of Panic! Looking like a biggish drop for Bowie then as Panic don't normally do more than 20k!
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MrIndependent
post Jan 16 2016, 02:01 PM
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Panic will be very frontloaded; I expect that Bowie will pull ahead very nicely by Friday.
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Doctor Blind
post Jan 16 2016, 02:08 PM
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These songs should climb into the T10 this week:

Snakehips, Tinashe & Chance The Rapper “All My Friends”
Major Lazer feat. Nyla & Fuse ODG “Light It Up”

Adele will have a T40 entry - probably around the 29 mark. X Ambassadors may also scrape in (depending on how their streaming plays out). Other than that though - pretty dull for the time being.
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Zárate
post Jan 16 2016, 02:29 PM
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Craig David didn't really take off in iTunes last week, of course it was hindered by Bowie overload for a bit - but I can see a #12-13 for him this week, unless streaming majorly picks up.
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JosephCarey
post Jan 16 2016, 02:32 PM
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I could see Adele being lower than the top 30 actually, it's falling quickly now that the carpool karaoke boost has ended. Considering When We Were Young held up better on iTunes and that only managed low top 30, I feel like this could be even lower.

Would LOVE to see Major Lazer in the top 10 with Light It Up! I expect it will become the second official top 10 to never make it on sales if it happens (the first was Sam Smith's Like I Can).
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vidsanta
post Jan 16 2016, 02:32 PM
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QUOTE(MrIndependent @ Jan 16 2016, 02:01 PM) *
Panic will be very frontloaded; I expect that Bowie will pull ahead very nicely by Friday.


Fresh supplies of physical formats should help Bowie significantly.
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mdh
post Jan 16 2016, 03:04 PM
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Hope Craig David & Snakehips can make top 10!

and wow @ all those new entries first time in a while that's happened..~
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slowdown73
post Jan 16 2016, 08:27 PM
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Not keen on stitches but would be good to have a new number one single.
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Regina
post Jan 16 2016, 10:40 PM
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Hoping for Jack Savoretti to get a new peak with Written In Scars, his promo on Graham Norton has done wonders for it.
Catapult for #1 too pls.
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girl_from_oz
post Jan 17 2016, 12:25 PM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Jan 16 2016, 02:32 PM) *
Fresh supplies of physical formats should help Bowie significantly.



Ypu the Bowie album isn't even back in stock on amazon until Tuesday last time I checked so should be a big rise in sales for him later on in the week
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mdh
post Jan 17 2016, 12:27 PM
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QUOTE(Regina @ Jan 16 2016, 10:40 PM) *
Hoping for Jack Savoretti to get a new peak with Written In Scars, his promo on Graham Norton has done wonders for it.
Catapult for #1 too pls.


heehee.gif

Think Catapult could sneak in at 40# if it holds up on iTunes like it has been doing.
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dancember
post Jan 17 2016, 01:54 PM
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it looks like there's gonna be a really close battle for #1 in the singles chart this week. I can't call it.

Anyway, I've used digital sales data and yesterday's spotify figures to predict for the last day an 'iTunes/Spotify combined chart' and Justin Bieber is ahead of Shawn Mendes by just 311 predicted chart sales. ohmy.gif I've got the rest of the top 100 too if people are interested but I won't post it here incase people confuse it for the official update.
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dancember
post Jan 17 2016, 01:55 PM
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QUOTE(mdh @ Jan 17 2016, 12:27 PM) *
heehee.gif

Think Catapult could sneak in at 40# if it holds up on iTunes like it has been doing.

He's gonna have to do a lot more to get a top 40 place. Currently #51 in my predicted iTunes/Spotify combined chart.
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