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> 'Glory' 1st week sales and SPS, How much Army will help shift first week US sales?
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How much she will do first week?
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mAddy Xmas
post Aug 10 2016, 08:06 PM
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I know we are 3 weeks away from release but we can do some predictions from now?

This post has been edited by Addy K!ng: Aug 10 2016, 08:17 PM
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mAddy Xmas
post Aug 10 2016, 08:07 PM
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I know I am being way too optimistic here but I went with 4th choice...nearing 100k pure album sales would be amazing for her in this sales climate!!
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Nick Jonas
post Aug 10 2016, 08:15 PM
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QUOTE(Addy K!ng @ Aug 10 2016, 09:07 PM) *
I know I am being way too optimistic here but I went with 4th choice...nearing 100k pure album sales would be amazing for her in this sales climate!!

I went with the same. What did BJ open with? I think it will be very similar, but will sell more in the long run.
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Tawdry Hepburn
post Aug 10 2016, 08:15 PM
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Given Britney Jean did about 12K first week I think this is wildly optimistic... probably less than 10K.

*edit - just realised this is about the US... probably 115K combined.


This post has been edited by mr_pmt: Aug 10 2016, 08:16 PM
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mAddy Xmas
post Aug 10 2016, 08:16 PM
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QUOTE(mr_pmt @ Aug 10 2016, 10:15 PM) *
Given Britney Jean did about 12K first week I think this is wildly optimistic... probably less than 10K.


laugh.gif

Ok I will edit and make it clear that this is for USA!
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mAddy Xmas
post Aug 10 2016, 08:21 PM
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QUOTE(Rob Spears @ Aug 10 2016, 10:15 PM) *
I went with the same. What did BJ open with? I think it will be very similar, but will sell more in the long run.


BJ opened with 107k...I know sales went even more further down since 2013 but with Carpool and possibly VMA hopefully she will near and match the same numbers!


This post has been edited by Addy K!ng: Aug 10 2016, 08:28 PM
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Joe ho ho!
post Aug 10 2016, 08:21 PM
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Seeing as she's likely doing 2 of the US' biggest promo slots in one week, I went for the 4th.
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Ryan.
post Aug 10 2016, 08:28 PM
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I've gone for 55-75k pure sales, every big release this year has had "underwhelming" first week sales it seems and if Britney Jean managed 107k sales in the very final weeks of Q4 I can see this being considerably less considering we are in Q3 and the album market has collapsed. I think it'll be the upper part of this bracket, perhaps 70-75k pure sales but I'm not that well informed on US sales so it is just an instinct.
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mAddy Xmas
post Aug 10 2016, 08:31 PM
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True but also you need to know that she has a fanbase and this time it feels people are more aware of her album rather than BJ with all Vegas thing going on etc etc.

And if Gwen could sell something 70k on pure sales, I don't see how Britney won't do little bit more than that!! I love Gwen so no offense.
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Nick Jonas
post Aug 10 2016, 08:32 PM
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QUOTE(mr_pmt @ Aug 10 2016, 09:15 PM) *
Given Britney Jean did about 12K first week I think this is wildly optimistic... probably less than 10K.

*edit - just realised this is about the US... probably 115K combined.

NGL I started to panic then. biggrin.gif
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Nick Jonas
post Aug 10 2016, 08:34 PM
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QUOTE(Addy K!ng @ Aug 10 2016, 09:21 PM) *
BJ opened with 107k...I know sales went even more further down since 2013 but with Carpool and possibly VMA hopefully she will near and match the same numbers!

BJ got swallowed up in the Christmas market though. Although I think it affected it more in the UK.
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Tyler
post Aug 10 2016, 09:26 PM
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With carpool karaoke AND a VMA performance (please!), definitely the fourth! I mean BJ sold that much with no serious promo or a single performance. And it was literally assaulted by all critics.

Definitely the last. If they do a promo blitz for two weeks in the USA and do everything correct, I could see it scraping 200k! She may not have the numbers backing her like she used to, but with some decent promo slots she will easily win back the 22 - 32 aged pop fans. If she does well in anything in the States, it's album sales.

Now. If she just does carpool karaoke and just presents at the VMA's she'll do well to scrap 100k combined.
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Jonjo
post Aug 11 2016, 11:05 AM
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I hope I'm wrong and you guys are right, but I went for the 3rd option! But it'll be enough to keep her in the top 2 etc.. I dunno. I've come to expect that things never go as we plan lmao. Even with VMAs and Carpool for some reason I'm expecting them to have big effect, but sales are so low now that they'll rarely ever be enough to ger her over 100k.

As for the UK, I am fully expecting her carpool to have a similar effect to J Lo and Gwen as opposed to the huge effects Iggy and Adele had.
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Joe ho ho!
post Aug 11 2016, 11:07 AM
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QUOTE(Jonjo @ Aug 11 2016, 12:05 PM) *
I hope I'm wrong and you guys are right, but I went for the 3rd option! But it'll be enough to keep her in the top 2 etc.. I dunno. I've come to expect that things never go as we plan lmao. Even with VMAs and Carpool for some reason I'm expecting them to have big effect, but sales are so low now that they'll rarely ever be enough to ger her over 100k.

As for the UK, I am fully expecting her carpool to have a similar effect to J Lo and Gwen as opposed to the huge effects Iggy and Adele had.


I disagree, even if there's waning interest in her music, Britney Spears is still one of the most famous and iconic popstars in the world. I think it'll bring in big views.
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Tawdry Hepburn
post Aug 11 2016, 02:30 PM
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I expect this could have quite big publicity around it (Carpool), even my dad mentioned it to me and he doesn't follow pop culture at all.
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John-James
post Aug 11 2016, 08:31 PM
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I went with 75k-95k sales / 105k-125k SPS, thought I'd play it safe
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Nick F1
post Aug 11 2016, 09:38 PM
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90-100 pure sales, 125-130 sps
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Joe ho ho!
post Aug 16 2016, 08:16 PM
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Now we 100% have Carpool and VMAs, I'm thinking the 4th might be quite easy.
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Tyler
post Aug 16 2016, 09:48 PM
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No wonder there's panic in this industry, I mean please...
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Yeah the hype in America is already unreal. Her last performance was 2007.

If she gives us a performance as good as the billboard awards we will easily hit 200k. I'm expecting 'Femme Fatale' numbers (275k) are even in our reach!
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mAddy Xmas
post Aug 17 2016, 01:25 AM
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Ok that is a bit too much to expect in this sales climate...If this does 150k that will already make me (ooh) happy!!
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