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mdh
post Aug 22 2016, 03:26 PM
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I was wondering (think I've seen threads like this before on the forum but not in the last 6 months) if it'd be cool if we PREDICTED who we think is going to have a hit single/flop single in the time between now and the end of 2016. Then at the end of the year we can look back and see how wrong/right we were.

OK - my predictions - some of these are just a stab in the dark~
- Rita Ora will have another top 10 single, around as big as Tears.
- Speaking of Clean Bandit, they'll make another Jess Glynne collab that comes out around November.
- Harry Styles will have a #2 single - stopped by another huge release
- This years X-Factor winner will STORM to number one.
- Stormzy will have another half-hearted attempt at getting a Christmas number one, but his song will flop in the low top 20.
- Gotye will release a minor hit.
- The John Lewis soundtrack will be sung by Frances and the song will peak at #7.
- Ella Henderson and John Newman will both have another solo top 10 hit.
- We will have a week in October where we see 3 or more new entries in the top 10.
- Fleur East will release another track that'll enter in that week after an X-Factor performance the day after release and Physicals being available.

Your turn biggrin.gif
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dancember
post Aug 22 2016, 03:30 PM
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Gotye? you having a giggle?

Frances singing the John Lewis ad is a good shout though actually, she very much fits the bill.

And I think Harry Styles will enter at #1 with his debut single with at least 120,000 chart sales.

Something tells me Justin Bieber has another huge song as a lead artist waiting to smash in Q4 too.
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JosephCarey
post Aug 22 2016, 03:37 PM
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Interesting predictions there! Here's my take on them ~

QUOTE(mdh @ Aug 22 2016, 04:26 PM) *
- Rita Ora will have another top 10 single, around as big as Tears. This is definitely possible if she promotes on X Factor the same week it's out!
- Speaking of Clean Bandit, they'll make another Jess Glynne collab that comes out around November. Please god no :') I'm not sure they'll run back to her so quickly, not like they've just had a flop or anything.
- Harry Styles will have a #2 single - stopped by another huge release Don't think Harry's releasing til next year! Regardless I think it'll be a huge first week whenever it does occur, would need to be a huuuuge hit to stop it I think going by who he's worked with and what they've said of his material.
- This years X-Factor winner will STORM to number one. I can see this happening! Depends on whether they learnt from last year's mistakes or not.
- Stormzy will have another half-hearted attempt at getting a Christmas number one, but his song will flop in the low top 20. LOL I can totally see this :')
- Gotye will release a minor hit. He may release something but I can't see it even troubling the top 200 heehee.gif
- The John Lewis soundtrack will be sung by Frances and the song will peak at #7. Good shout! May struggle to get so high depending on the song though, so many variables with this one, depends on both how much people like the song and the advert, and who sings it.
- Ella Henderson and John Newman will both have another solo top 10 hit. It feels like the right time for Ella to come back for her second album, she's guaranteed an X Factor slot too if she releases soon! John Newman may struggle though if he's putting out stuff like Olé.
- We will have a week in October where we see 3 or more new entries in the top 10. Could happen with some big releases!
- Fleur East will release another track that'll enter in that week after an X-Factor performance the day after release and Physicals being available. laugh.gif I can definitely see them pressing on with a brand new single from album 2, and she could have another hit if they handle it as well as they did with Sax.


A few others:

- Nathan Sykes will get an X Factor performance to tie in with his album but the song likely won't trouble the top 40.
- Justin Bieber re-issues Purpose with Cold Water and Let Me Love You tacked on as bonus tracks, plus a brand new single that debuts at #1.
- Mariah outdoes The Pogues once again *.*
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mdh
post Aug 22 2016, 03:40 PM
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QUOTE(JosephSpears @ Aug 22 2016, 04:37 PM) *
- Nathan Sykes will get an X Factor performance to tie in with his album but the song likely won't trouble the top 40 and Capital play it 17 times. Every single day. For three months. Including a club version that get played after 8pm.


You forgot a bit laugh.gif
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slowdown73
post Aug 22 2016, 03:41 PM
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QUOTE(mdh @ Aug 22 2016, 04:26 PM) *
I was wondering (think I've seen threads like this before on the forum but not in the last 6 months) if it'd be cool if we PREDICTED who we think is going to have a hit single/flop single in the time between now and the end of 2016. Then at the end of the year we can look back and see how wrong/right we were.

OK - my predictions - some of these are just a stab in the dark~
- Rita Ora will have another top 10 single, around as big as Tears.
- Speaking of Clean Bandit, they'll make another Jess Glynne collab that comes out around November.
- Harry Styles will have a #2 single - stopped by another huge release
- This years X-Factor winner will STORM to number one.
- Stormzy will have another half-hearted attempt at getting a Christmas number one, but his song will flop in the low top 20.
- Gotye will release a minor hit.
- The John Lewis soundtrack will be sung by Frances and the song will peak at #7.
- Ella Henderson and John Newman will both have another solo top 10 hit.
- We will have a week in October where we see 3 or more new entries in the top 10.
- Fleur East will release another track that'll enter in that week after an X-Factor performance the day after release and Physicals being available.

Your turn biggrin.gif


I don't agree with the x factor prediction. I think the show is on its way out (hopefully) and viewing figures will drop again this year. The winner will most likely reach top10 though and might be more successful in terms of sales than last years winner.
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JosephCarey
post Aug 22 2016, 03:43 PM
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QUOTE(mdh @ Aug 22 2016, 04:40 PM) *
You forgot a bit laugh.gif


!! LOL that's the most accurate prediction of all biggrin.gif
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dancember
post Aug 22 2016, 03:44 PM
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maybe X Factor will ask Clean Bandit to produce the winner's single this year, seeing as it worked so well for Louisa Johnson?
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JosephCarey
post Aug 22 2016, 03:48 PM
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QUOTE(danG @ Aug 22 2016, 04:44 PM) *
maybe X Factor will ask Clean Bandit to produce the winner's single this year, seeing as it worked so well for Louisa Johnson?

This would be a GENIUS move. Therefore it won't happen :')

(why can't talent shows learn from the success of Sound of the Underground 14 years ago sad.gif you don't need a ballad!!1!)
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gooddelta
post Aug 22 2016, 03:48 PM
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It will be interesting to see what happens with the X Factor winner. The problem is streams of course, or lack of, and this will be an even bigger issue this year as the streaming market continues to swell to the detriment of paid for sales.

A popular winner with a good song (please GOD get a good song lined up for once Simon) might muster up 50-70k paid for sales and a 20-30k stream contribution but will that be enough to top the Xmas chart? Will they even go for the Xmas #1 again this year following Louisa's embarrassment? Hopefully the answer is no on both counts.
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Petelehem
post Aug 22 2016, 04:01 PM
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Go on then, let's have a go at this:

- The X Factor winners' single will not reach the Top 25
- Chris Rea - Driving Home For Christmas will reach the Top 20
- Someone will release an album in Mid-October where at least 5 songs reach the Top 40
- Drake will try to release a single from his album which flops miserably
- The record for the biggest drop from #1 in the Albums Chart will be broken
- Gareth Malone will cobble together another choir which will enter 25-40
- Harry Styles will release a song which goes straight in at #1 but spends less than 15 weeks in the Top 40 overall
- The Stone Roses will release a third single which doesn't enter the Top 40
- Clean Bandit will release a song with Love Ssega which doesn't enter the Top 40
- The next Little Mix single will be 'Grown' but it will be edited hugely Little Mix will release a brand new single which will go Top 10 immediately
- There will be more #1s between now and the end of 2016 than there has been all this year

Bet you all these are wrong laugh.gif


This post has been edited by PeteFromLeeds: Aug 23 2016, 10:59 AM
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dancember
post Aug 22 2016, 04:12 PM
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I very much doubt The X Factor will try for the Christmas #1 this year after what happened, they'll go a week earlier to try and secure a #1 (but even that will be hard because of streaming).

I wonder if we'll finally get a non-charity record be the Christmas #1 this year too, I think this year it will happen
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mdh
post Aug 22 2016, 04:13 PM
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Yeah, hopefully it's not a track that's spent ages at number one - I'd like at least some sort of battle.
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JosephCarey
post Aug 22 2016, 04:14 PM
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QUOTE(PeteFromLeeds @ Aug 22 2016, 05:01 PM) *
- The next Little Mix single will be 'Grown' but it will be edited hugely


They've got a brand new single out in October! heehee.gif
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mowino
post Aug 22 2016, 04:15 PM
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Rihanna's R9 debut single will go #1

Justice for Work & This is What You Came For
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mdh
post Aug 22 2016, 04:16 PM
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QUOTE(PeteFromLeeds @ Aug 22 2016, 05:01 PM) *
- The next Little Mix single will be 'Grown' but it will be edited hugely


Little Mix confirmed in an interview with Capital the other day that their next single will be out in Mid-October and the lead from their new album ;o

(that's where I got my 3-or-more-top-10-new-entries prediction from heehee.gif)
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dancember
post Aug 22 2016, 04:16 PM
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QUOTE(mdh @ Aug 22 2016, 05:13 PM) *
Yeah, hopefully it's not a track that's spent ages at number one - I'd like at least some sort of battle.

It will either be a song that's spent ages at number one, or a song that will go on to spend ages at number one.
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mdh
post Aug 22 2016, 04:17 PM
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QUOTE(danG @ Aug 22 2016, 05:16 PM) *
It will either be a song that's spent ages at number one, or a song that will go on to spend ages at number one.


The sad truth unfortunately, I do hope the Spotify turnover does speed up a bit in the future :/
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Rob S
post Aug 22 2016, 04:18 PM
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Hopefully some big star can produce a traditional Christmas song that goes to #1 this year although it's unlikely with streaming. I think Leona was the closest we're going to get for a few more years I guess!

This post has been edited by Rob S: Aug 22 2016, 04:19 PM
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Petelehem
post Aug 22 2016, 04:27 PM
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QUOTE(JosephSpears @ Aug 22 2016, 05:14 PM) *
They've got a brand new single out in October! heehee.gif


Oh laugh.gif

I red that they had a new single out, I just assumed it was from this album laugh.gif
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mdh
post Aug 22 2016, 04:35 PM
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QUOTE(PeteFromLeeds @ Aug 22 2016, 05:27 PM) *
Oh laugh.gif

I red that they had a new single out, I just assumed it was from this album laugh.gif


Yeah Joseph's white, don't feel blue about being wrong tho, keep that big green on your face.

laugh.gif
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