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> The X Factor 2016 - Chart Predictions, Early predictions :)
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predictions please
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🎄cqmerqn🎄
post Oct 16 2016, 03:21 PM
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With The XFactor in full swing, I think it's time to get some early predictions in.

This obviously all depends on the winner/single but I think it could be fun to see how well/bad we did when the XFactor finishes. dance.gif

* I've had permission to post this
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JosephCarey
post Oct 16 2016, 03:28 PM
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Obviously this all depends on the winner but sadly I'm once again doubting a #1 for the winner. I do think it will fare better than Louisa's though, as hopefully they'll have learnt their lesson and will pick a much better song! So I'm going for:

Top 5
40-70k first week sales
Not Christmas #1
Not Spotify top 50 in week 1
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🎄cqmerqn🎄
post Oct 16 2016, 03:31 PM
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I went for:

Top 40 (would've picked Top 20 but I forgot to add that option)
20-40k sales (leaning towards 40k)
Not Christmas #1
Yes at entering Spotify Top 50
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PeteFromLeeds
post Oct 16 2016, 04:41 PM
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All songs should have a chart run like the NHS Choir
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I went for:

Debut? Top 5
First week sales? 40k-70k
Christmas #1? No
Spotify top 50 in week 1? No

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Dancember
post Oct 16 2016, 05:23 PM
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(edited top 20 in!)

Top 10
40-70k
No
No
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🎄cqmerqn🎄
post Oct 16 2016, 05:40 PM
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Thanks dan!
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Dobbo
post Oct 16 2016, 05:44 PM
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Top 20

10k-20k (go around 18ish)
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Jonjo
post Oct 16 2016, 06:02 PM
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Top 20 (around #12-#16)
About 28k
Nope
Nope > But wouldn't surprise me if it actually managed #49 or something on the first couple of days, before falling out like 49-87-163-OUT or something <
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___∆___
post Oct 16 2016, 06:08 PM
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Gone are the days of tracks debuting at #1 - I think the XF winner will struggle this year with the impact of streaming and they will probably do a Louisa.
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Scene
post Oct 16 2016, 07:08 PM
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Top 5
Sales above 70k
No to Xmas #1
Yes to Spotify Top 50

All based on my assumption that Matt will win it. Unfortunately he's popular and Simon won't make the same mistake twice with a ridiculous winner's single like Forever Young so Top 5. Syco are surely going to promote this single heavily regardless of who wins since FY's chart run was a flop (in relative terms) and another one would damage the brand a lot.


This post has been edited by Scene: Oct 16 2016, 07:10 PM
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Hadji
post Oct 16 2016, 07:10 PM
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QUOTE(___∆___ @ Oct 16 2016, 07:08 PM) *
Gone are the days of tracks debuting at #1 - I think the XF winner will struggle this year with the impact of streaming and they will probably do a Louisa.

And that they only have 5 days of sales so there's no chance they will debut at #1
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🎄cqmerqn🎄
post Oct 21 2016, 09:22 AM
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QUOTE(Hadji @ Oct 16 2016, 08:10 PM) *
And that they only have 5 days of sales so there's no chance they will debut at #1

Little Mix say hi w00t.gif
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soundseekerz
post Oct 21 2016, 11:32 AM
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The whole concept is outdated. Simon Cowell should make X-Factor about groups not solo artists. Rant over, this is what I've gone for:

Top 5 (At a stretch. It depends on the artist and the song)
40-70K (if the song fits the season and tons of people jump on the streaming)
Not Christmas #1 (Simon should release it way before Christmas)
No to entering Spotify Top 50 (depends on what else is out around that time)
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Bjork
post Oct 21 2016, 11:55 AM
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Matt is gonna win, isn't he? think he's the only one that could sell singles
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Dancember
post Oct 21 2016, 12:02 PM
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I'd be very surprised if it were anyone else. If they give him a good song I think it could sell well, though #1 is no guarantee.
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scratchy23
post Oct 21 2016, 07:44 PM
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QUOTE(Bjork @ Oct 21 2016, 12:55 PM) *
Matt is gonna win, isn't he? think he's the only one that could sell singles


Matt is just another boring but good looking, personality void guy who will get votes on the show but flop in the charts. They may rush release an album for him to be released at Mother's Day. I can't see them pushing him properly later in the year.

Male solo singers only do well these days if they play the guitar, it seems. Or if they're Sam Smith.
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BrookeOlivia
post Oct 21 2016, 07:55 PM
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I honestly dont think this is something you can predict before hearing the song, I think the big downfall to Louisa last year only getting #9 was because the song was terrible, Last year was the only year x factor didn't make number one.
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360Jupiter
post Oct 22 2016, 12:08 AM
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I made my predictions assuming Matt as the winner. Any other winner and my answers would be lower.
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🎄cqmerqn🎄
post Saturday, 06:19 PM
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With just 5 contestants left has anyone changed their predictions? smile.gif

Ed Sheeran has wrote the winners single apparently so it could be a contender for no 1!


This post has been edited by 🎄cqmerqn🎄: Saturday, 06:19 PM
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Hassaan
post Saturday, 07:33 PM
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QUOTE(🎄cqmerqn🎄 @ Nov 26 2016, 06:19 PM) *
With just 5 contestants left has anyone changed their predictions? smile.gif

Ed Sheeran has wrote the winners single apparently so it could be a contender for no 1!


I think with either Matt or Saara as winner, it has a good shot. But it needs to be a good song. I have high hopes as Ed Sheeran is writing it.
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