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> Predict how many singles will pass 1m in 2016
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How many singles will pass 1m in 2016
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vidcapper
post Oct 22 2016, 09:38 AM
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We've already had 10 - how many will we end up with?
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Robbie
post Oct 22 2016, 10:34 AM
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I remember 4 passing a million in 1998 and thinking how impressive that was. Now we're getting singles going into double figures doing that. It just doesn't seem the same though, given that most of the sales are from streams rather than people actually going into shops and actually buying the record...
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Doctor Blind
post Oct 22 2016, 10:35 AM
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I can see another 4 at least getting there in the next 10 weeks, so gone with 14.

This post has been edited by Doctor Blind: Oct 22 2016, 10:36 AM
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vidcapper
post Oct 22 2016, 10:54 AM
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My Guess would be 17-18, projecting forward the figures I've calculated.
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A🐱🐱y!
post Oct 24 2016, 08:04 PM
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I say 15-16.
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T Boy in Weeyals
post Oct 24 2016, 08:08 PM
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Too many considering none of them have managed to get a million people to part money for them.
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TomJ1991
post Oct 24 2016, 08:16 PM
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11 - 990,000 - Justin Timberlake - Can't Stop The Feeling
12 - 984,000 - Fifth Harmony - Work From Home
14 - 936,000 - Callum Scott - Dancing On My Own

I would be stunned if these 3 don't all pass a million, so at the very least 13. I also think James Arthur will pass a million, and possibly the X Factor single if it's a strong one. At least 17, I would say.
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A🐱🐱y!
post Oct 24 2016, 08:22 PM
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James Arthur and Little Mix could happen next year but not on this year calendar.
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Mack
post Oct 25 2016, 09:41 PM
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15 I would say.
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Taylor Jago
post Oct 26 2016, 08:10 AM
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I'd say around 14 or 15. However, in my eyes, none of them are million sellers since most of their "sales" come from being listened to, and not bought.
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vidcapper
post Oct 26 2016, 09:18 AM
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QUOTE(Taylor Jago @ Oct 26 2016, 09:10 AM) *
I'd say around 14 or 15. However, in my eyes, none of them are million sellers since most of their "sales" come from being listened to, and not bought.


Just to be pedantic - surely people who buy songs also listen to them. wink.gif
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vidcapper
post Dec 8 2016, 10:31 AM
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We now have 15, with two more certain (Major Lazer-CW & JB-S), and James Arthur might just make it too.

This post has been edited by vidsanta: Dec 8 2016, 10:32 AM
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AcerBen
post Dec 8 2016, 12:51 PM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Oct 26 2016, 09:18 AM) *
Just to be pedantic - surely people who buy songs also listen to them. wink.gif


Yeah but whether the 100:1 ratio is the most appropriate way of converting streams to sales is debatable (and has been debated at length here already!)
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Steve201
post Dec 8 2016, 10:47 PM
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I think the ratio is fine and understand it must have been a very long meeting for the OCC when deciding it - it seems to have worked OK in terms of how the chart works IMO.

I said 17/18 - James Arthur should just get there too!
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vidcapper
post Dec 9 2016, 10:23 AM
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QUOTE(Steve201 @ Dec 8 2016, 10:47 PM) *
I think the ratio is fine and understand it must have been a very long meeting for the OCC when deciding it - it seems to have worked OK in terms of how the chart works IMO.

I said 17/18 - James Arthur should just get there too!


With the help of XF.
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Steve201
post Dec 9 2016, 10:29 AM
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QUOTE(vidsanta @ Dec 9 2016, 10:23 AM) *
With the help of XF.


He's still selling 35-45k a week and should do well in gift card week so that should push him over a million!
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