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> Christmas Number One Single Odds, Another choir for Christmas #1?
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Dancember
post Nov 20 2016, 10:11 PM
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do we think it's X Factor's turn again this year or will something pop out?

Paddy Power

13/8 X Factor Winner
5/1 James Corden
8/1 Jollyboys and The King Lot
8/1 Gareth Malone
14/1 Vaults
14/1 Drake
18/1 Leonard Cohen
20/1 Justin Timberlake and Anna Kendrick
25/1 David Bowie
25/1 Spice Girls
25/1 Zayn Malik
25/1 Kylie Minogue

Bet365

13/8 X Factor Winner
6/1 James Corden
8/1 James Shinny Davenport
8/1 Calvin Harris
8/1 Gareth Malone
10/1 Military Wives Choir
12/1 Stormzy
12/1 David Bowie
12/1 Justin Bieber
14/1 Vaults
16/1 Leonard Cohen
16/1 Spice Girls
16/1 Emeli Sandé
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Tinsel Boy
post Nov 20 2016, 10:23 PM
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Surely Christmas no.1 barely means anything anymore.
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Qween
post Nov 20 2016, 10:28 PM
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The X Factor winner depends on WHO wins this year more than ever. Given that it's probably Matt, then I'd say the odds are a lot lower than that. I'd guess Corden *shudder*
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lewistgreen
post Nov 20 2016, 10:28 PM
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I'm intrigued to know what the songs are!
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mr_pmt
post Nov 20 2016, 10:30 PM
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James Corden is actually releasing music? Oh good heavens. drama.gif

I blame Kylie for this, she opened the floodgates last year.
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liamk97
post Nov 20 2016, 10:35 PM
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Do we know when the X Factor final is this year and whether it'll mean the winner's single is released in time for Christmas Week? I'd say the winner stands a better chance this year if it's true that Ed Sheeran is writing the winner's single, given everything he touches seems to be guaranteed success.

Fingers crossed we finally get a 'normal' song hitting #1 this year after 'Uptown Funk' and 'Love Yourself' posing a threat in the past couple of years. I can't think of any potential campaigns that could gain particular interest, unless someone is planning an anti-Trump style campaign or something.
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Hadji
post Nov 20 2016, 10:36 PM
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QUOTE(liamk97 @ Nov 20 2016, 10:35 PM) *
Do we know when the X Factor final is this year and whether it'll mean the winner's single is released in time for Christmas Week? I'd say the winner stands a better chance this year if it's true that Ed Sheeran is writing the winner's single, given everything he touches seems to be guaranteed success.

Fingers crossed we finally get a 'normal' song hitting #1 this year after 'Uptown Funk' and 'Love Yourself' posing a threat in the past couple of years. I can't think of any potential campaigns that could gain particular interest, unless someone is planning an anti-Trump style campaign or something.

X Factor final is 11th December which means that the winning single will enter the chart on 16th December, a week before the Xmas chart
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Chez Wombat
post Nov 20 2016, 10:42 PM
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Given the X Factor winner didn't get anywhere near Christmas number 1 last year, I'm surprised odds are that short, unless this year is that different in terms of quality (and of the one show I've seen, that didn't seem to be the case)? I'd say it's more likely to be the song that was there the previous week, maybe Rae Sremmurd *shudders*, barring an unexpected campaign. This really doesn't mean anything anymore.

QUOTE(mr_pmt @ Nov 20 2016, 10:30 PM) *
James Corden is actually releasing music? Oh good heavens. drama.gif

I blame Kylie for this, she opened the floodgates last year.


I think it's his song on the Sainsburys advert that premiered this week...which is utter crap, so let's not make that a contender


This post has been edited by Chez Wombat: Nov 20 2016, 10:43 PM
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Dobbo
post Nov 20 2016, 10:44 PM
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It'll be another charity single. X Factor has minimal effect these days & the public still aren't ready for a "normal" Xmas #1 yet...

I would lol if it was actually Rae Sremmurd but surely they'll have faded away by then (at least from the top spot).
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JosephCarey
post Nov 20 2016, 10:46 PM
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Ed Sheeran has apparently written the winning single that will be used for three of the final 5 (not Honey G or 5AM), that will surely make it quite current sounding and if Matt wins like is expected, I could see it going to #1 although I'm not sure it'd last a second week to nab the Christmas #1? Hard to call right now!

(edit: oops, Liam has mentioned Ed already kink.gif that teaches me for skim-reading)
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slowdown73
post Nov 20 2016, 10:48 PM
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I seriously hope it's not X factor. It only attracts 5-6 million viewers now so impact is much less than it used to be. Somebody release a decent original Christmas song and give the X factor a run for their money!
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Steve201
post Nov 20 2016, 10:51 PM
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Mariah for the top spot ohmy.gif
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gooddelta
post Nov 20 2016, 10:54 PM
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God knows, I'd love to think there are still a couple of big surprise releases left this year and that it won't just be Clean Bandit or Rae Sremmud on sales of 55k if X Factor fails again and no charity songs click this year (they'd need to grab large download sales in a dying market to make an impact).

That said, I'm sure Simon has learnt his lesson and expect this year's X Factor winning song will be much more current and streaming friendly. If it really is an original song, for the first time since...That's My Goal in 2005?...then it could do surprisingly well. I'm 95% sure at this point it will be Matt Terry too, who seems to have reasonable commercial appeal assuming he's got a decent song.
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JosephCarey
post Nov 20 2016, 10:56 PM
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QUOTE(slowdown73 @ Nov 20 2016, 10:48 PM) *
I seriously hope it's not X factor. It only attracts 5-6 million viewers now so impact is much less than it used to be. Somebody release a decent original Christmas song and give the X factor a run for their money!


Make that 7-8 million for the official figures! Its viewership is still strong, the media exaggerate.
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Jonjo
post Nov 20 2016, 11:02 PM
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Can Little Mix hurry up, release 'Touch' to radio, perform it on the XF final with Ariana and release that remix of it in time for Christmas number 1? whistle.gif
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-SCOTT-
post Nov 20 2016, 11:03 PM
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On Xtra factor they were discussing how they all recorded winners singles this week.

Matt said his song contained the word 'cheer' whilst 5AM said their song contained the word 'Christmas' (neither appear in the title). Still unclear if they are originals or covers, or if they are different to each other but it appears we may finally be getting a Christmas winners single ohmy.gif


This post has been edited by -SCOTT-: Nov 20 2016, 11:04 PM
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Frosty Xmas Baps
post Nov 20 2016, 11:06 PM
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25/1 Spice Girls

OMG!!

It's been EXACTLY 16 YEARS ALMOST TO THE DAY!!! that I last saw this!!! wub.gif

Back in 2000, people were (stupidly) betting on Spice Girls' cancelled flop If You Wanna (Have Some Fun) (Something On Your Mind) - yes, it is as bad as the title suggests - to beat Westlife etc to be Christmas 2000 no.1. They were also at 25/1 for that. They had aboot as much chance as this year then too!! XD
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Frosty Xmas Baps
post Nov 20 2016, 11:08 PM
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Clearly Cheer and Christmas will be in the same song! laugh.gif 'Let's bring some Christmas Cheeer!'

I bet Cowell & Co. are betting on a new novelty slant: an Xmas song to cheer everyone up after Brexit and Trumpzilla to get the no.1.
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XMAS Rob S~
post Nov 20 2016, 11:10 PM
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I really am against X Factor and a charity track for #1 personally.

Tbh i don't know why Ed didn't keep the track for himself to release (as a one off Christmas track then release new material a few months later) as he'd certainly get there being another streaming force.

"Awaits Drake springing a Christmas track out of the woodworks" or Bieber recording a new Christmas track. As they'd be our only shot at getting an original track at the top even if partially we are relying on their streaming advantages/popularity!

I'd expect The X Factor will surely grab the #1 the week before though. I can sense they'll be back in force but whether that transfers over to the Christmas #1 is doubtful!


This post has been edited by Rob S~: Nov 20 2016, 11:13 PM
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-SCOTT-
post Nov 20 2016, 11:10 PM
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Perhaps they are thinking its easy to be added to Christmas playlists on Spotify?

This post has been edited by -SCOTT-: Nov 20 2016, 11:11 PM
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