BuzzJack
Entertainment Discussion

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register | Help )

Latest Site News
 
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> What will be the 2017 Election's biggest "Portillo Moment"?
Track this topic - Email this topic - Print this topic - Download this topic - Subscribe to this forum
Brett-Butler
post Apr 28 2017, 09:03 PM
Post #1
Howdy, disco citizens.
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 8,282
Member No.: 10,455
Joined: 16-January 10
   No Gallery Pics
 


In General Elections, the "Portillo Moment" happens when a high-profile MP ends up surprisingly and unexpectedly losing their seats, and takes its name from the 1997 General Election, when Conservative cabinet minister Michael Portillo lost his seat during Labour's landslide victory that year.

More recent "Portillo moments" happened in 2010, when DUP lead Peter Robinson lost his seat to Naomi Long of the Alliance Party (and to a lesser extent, Lembit Obik & Charles Clarke losing their seats), and 2015 saw Ed Balls, Vince Cable & the sadly departed Charles Kennedy among others losing their seats.

So what do you think will be the "Portillo moment" of the 2017 General Election? One suspects it will be someone within the Labour Party, quite possibly within what remains of their shadow cabinet, given the current predicted Tory landslide, but it would not surprise me if one of the higher profile SNP politicians gets the chop.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Suedehead2
post Apr 28 2017, 09:06 PM
Post #2
BuzzJack Legend
*******
Group: Admin.
Posts: 22,118
Member No.: 3,272
Joined: 13-April 07
   No Gallery Pics
 


Are we assuming the Shadow Cabinet on election day will be the same as it is now? tongue.gif Not that many of them are anywhere near household names.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Brett-Butler
post Apr 28 2017, 09:21 PM
Post #3
Howdy, disco citizens.
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 8,282
Member No.: 10,455
Joined: 16-January 10
   No Gallery Pics
 


QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Apr 28 2017, 10:06 PM) *
Are we assuming the Shadow Cabinet on election day will be the same as it is now? tongue.gif Not that many of them are anywhere near household names.


You've got a point - the members of the Shadow Cabinet that you could call household names (McDonnell, Diane Abbott, Thornberry) all have 10,000+ majorities, so any of them losing their seat would be rather unlikely (although Lib Dems were close in 2010 & 2005 in Islington South, so you never know). Shadow Defense Secretary Clive Lewis has been mooted as a probable unseating, but the odd Question Time appearance aside, he's not a well known name among the general public.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LexC♀
post Apr 28 2017, 09:26 PM
Post #4
unofficially fabulous
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 11,502
Member No.: 5,342
Joined: 29-January 08
 


If there's any luck, Kate Hoey should lose Vauxhall. Other than that most of the "big" names on either side have pretty safe seats so only if the Tories are winning so hard that they're winning Hackney I doubt there's going to be much in the way of Portillo moments.

The SNP Westminster Leader Angus Robertson could potentially lose Moray if the Tories are having a real revival in Scotland but that's by no means a done deal.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Yeasty Clutch
post Apr 28 2017, 09:29 PM
Post #5
Life is so much queefier than we allow ourselves to think x
******
Group: Members
Posts: 15,788
Member No.: 18,639
Joined: 18-April 13
   No Gallery Pics
 


Hmm none are famous right now, except Dianne Aboot, so not sure ...

I think some Lib Dems are RE contesting their Scottish seats, so we could get an ANTI-Portillo moment, with dumped famous MPs coming back.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Soy Adrián
post Apr 28 2017, 09:45 PM
Post #6
I'm so lonely, I paid a hobo to spoon with me
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 12,579
Member No.: 10,596
Joined: 6-February 10
 


It might have been Goldsmith had he not already been booted out in the by-election. A second go around wouldn't go amiss.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Steve201
post Apr 30 2017, 01:07 AM
Post #7
Shakin Stevens
******
Group: Members
Posts: 17,821
Member No.: 5,138
Joined: 29-December 07
   No Gallery Pics
 


Douglas Alexander losing to the youngest MP was the Portillo moment in 2015 for
Me!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Qassändra
post May 5 2017, 11:17 AM
Post #8
DROTTNING!
********
Group: Members
Posts: 63,823
Member No.: 480
Joined: 15-April 06
   No Gallery Pics
 


I don't think it will be a high profile MP, but I think the Tories winning Sedgefield would be an equivalent 'oh shit' moment.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Danny
post May 9 2017, 04:58 PM
Post #9
BuzzJack Gold Member
*****
Group: Members
Posts: 4,255
Member No.: 457
Joined: 11-April 06
   No Gallery Pics
 


If the council elections last week are any guide (big if), Alex Salmond is in big danger of losing his seat.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post


Reply to this topicStart new topic

1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:


 

Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 30th May 2017 - 01:29 AM