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Taylor Swift - Lead Single // PREDICTION
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cqmerqn
post Aug 21 2017, 11:34 PM
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Taylor Swift's new lead single is coming this Friday so how do you think it'll do?

I went for...

iTunes #1
Spotify Top 5
Officially #1
81-100k
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JosephGutierrez
post Aug 21 2017, 11:36 PM
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#1 on the first three, 101-150k week 1!
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Envoirment
post Aug 21 2017, 11:44 PM
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#1, top 10, #1 and 81-100k.

This post has been edited by Envoirment: Aug 22 2017, 12:45 AM
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Dexton
post Aug 22 2017, 12:01 AM
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Isn't Katy Perrys Swish Swish video out Friday too? rotf.gif
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vidcapper
post Aug 22 2017, 05:19 AM
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QUOTE(cqmerqn @ Aug 22 2017, 12:34 AM) *
Taylor Swift's new lead single is coming this Friday so how do you think it'll do?


I'd have to hear it first...
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tommie
post Aug 22 2017, 05:32 AM
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People are overestimating her popularity in the UK...

Just a reminder of her debuts:

Shake It Off - #4 (PEAK: 2)
Blank Space - #11 (PEAK: 4)
Style - #65 (PEAK: 21)
Bad Blood - #4 (PEAK: 4)
Wildest Dream - #69 (PEAK: 40)
Don't Wanna Live Forever (feat Zayn) - #16 (PEAK: 5)


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White Mustang
post Aug 22 2017, 06:28 AM
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An easy #1 I'd say. Around 100k
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MoistSummerFruit
post Aug 22 2017, 06:29 AM
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45k, between 3-5.
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Tawdry Hepburn
post Aug 22 2017, 06:49 AM
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QUOTE(tommie @ Aug 22 2017, 06:32 AM) *
People are overestimating her popularity in the UK...

Just a reminder of her debuts:

Shake It Off - #4 (PEAK: 2)
Blank Space - #11 (PEAK: 4)
Style - #65 (PEAK: 21)
Bad Blood - #4 (PEAK: 4)
Wildest Dream - #69 (PEAK: 40)
Don't Wanna Live Forever (feat Zayn) - #16 (PEAK: 5)


You are aware pretty much all of those didn't have streaming, right?
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tommie
post Aug 22 2017, 07:14 AM
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QUOTE(Tawdry Hepburn @ Aug 22 2017, 06:49 AM) *
You are aware pretty much all of those didn't have streaming, right?


People are assuming that she'll be a huge streaming presence from day one based on... what?

My point is that she's not been a huge week #1 presence before in the UK, so what would change now? We have no receipts that she is.
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Bjork
post Aug 22 2017, 07:22 AM
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Yes but its a bit like with Ed/Divide
You could feel he was gonna go to the next step and become bigger
He hadnt had 16 songs in the top 40 before
Or a 10-weeek #1
Bit it was clear it was gonna happen

Same now with Taylor
Shes gonna step to the next level
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omrimayo
post Aug 22 2017, 07:34 AM
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QUOTE(tommie @ Aug 22 2017, 09:14 AM) *
People are assuming that she'll be a huge streaming presence from day one based on... what?

My point is that she's not been a huge week #1 presence before in the UK, so what would change now? We have no receipts that she is.


On that she was with SIO for a few days on Spotify and was number 1, she's really big there only for her old catalog in the past 2 months and just because people wants to believe in her popularity and her last era made her HUGE. So All good.
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omrimayo
post Aug 22 2017, 07:35 AM
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QUOTE(Bjork @ Aug 22 2017, 09:22 AM) *
Yes but its a bit like with Ed/Divide
You could feel he was gonna go to the next step and become bigger
He hadnt had 16 songs in the top 40 before
Or a 10-weeek #1
Bit it was clear it was gonna happen

Same now with Taylor
Shes gonna step to the next level


THIS.
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SKOB
post Aug 22 2017, 07:38 AM
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Well her latest album is top 75 on streaming alone basically so I'd say she'd have a lots of streaming potential
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John-James
post Aug 22 2017, 08:12 AM
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This is what SIO's Spotify run looked like over the course of its climb to #1

79 - 37 - 15 - 7 - 3 - 2 - 2 - 1 - 50* - 4 - 1 - 1 ...

*Removed for several hours
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omrimayo
post Aug 22 2017, 08:18 AM
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QUOTE(John-James @ Aug 22 2017, 10:12 AM) *
This is what SIO's Spotify run looked like over the course of its climb to #1

79 - 37 - 15 - 7 - 3 - 2 - 2 - 1 - 50* - 4 - 1 - 1 ...

*Removed for several hours


If that's not a potential so Everyone is blind really.
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T Boy
post Aug 22 2017, 08:19 AM
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I think the word 'debut' here needs changing to 'peak'.
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tommie
post Aug 22 2017, 08:56 AM
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QUOTE(T Boy @ Aug 22 2017, 08:19 AM) *
I think the word 'debut' here needs changing to 'peak'.


Exactly. I never said it possibly can't go to number one on Spotify, just that I doubt it'll *debut* there. I don't think she'll debut at number one on the official singles chart either and that's what I vote by.
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cqmerqn
post Aug 22 2017, 09:54 AM
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QUOTE(T Boy @ Aug 22 2017, 09:19 AM) *
I think the word 'debut' here needs changing to 'peak'.

Well no because I want to see what people's predictions are on debut week.
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White Mustang
post Aug 22 2017, 10:21 AM
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On itunes though it's debut is fairly irrelevant, it could debut at like 78 depending on when iTunes updates and climb to 5 and then 1 in the next updates.
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