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vidcapper
post Jan 26 2018, 02:47 PM
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This is just informational - make of it what you will :

https://www.aldc.org/category/by-election-results/

There's an archive of them here : http://www.gwydir.demon.co.uk/byelections/


This post has been edited by vidcapper: Jan 26 2018, 02:49 PM
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Suedehead2
post Jan 26 2018, 04:31 PM
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I'd been thinking about starting a thread for these, but there's been nothing particularly noteworthy so far this year. The Lib Dems will probably be reasonably happy with the IOW result. The parliamentary seat was a very tight Tory - Lib Dem marginal for years, but the Lib Dems were a long way behind even before the coalition years. Therefore, getting over a quarter of the vote in a ward where they haven't put up a candidate for a decade or so - and in a heavy Leave-voting area - has to count as a reasonable result.
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Suedehead2
post Jan 26 2018, 04:33 PM
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http://britainelects.com has fairly comprehensive previews of each week's by-elections.
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Suedehead2
post Feb 1 2018, 11:51 PM
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The Lib Dems have come from a very distant fourth to win a seat in Sunderland. They got just 91 votes (under 5%) in May 2016, but got over half the vote this time in a five-way contest.
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vidcapper
post Feb 2 2018, 06:27 AM
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QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Feb 1 2018, 11:51 PM) *
The Lib Dems have come from a very distant fourth to win a seat in Sunderland. They got just 91 votes (under 5%) in May 2016, but got over half the vote this time in a five-way contest.


I'm always amazed at how volatile local election results can be - I suspect there were specific factors in the above turnaround, though.
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Suedehead2
post Feb 2 2018, 11:14 AM
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In yesterday's other contest, Labour comfortably held a seat in Falmouth.
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Suedehead2
post Feb 2 2018, 11:39 AM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Feb 2 2018, 06:27 AM) *
I'm always amazed at how volatile local election results can be - I suspect there were specific factors in the above turnaround, though.

There is normally something specific to explain extreme turnarounds such as this, but I haven't found any explanation for this yet. The Lib Dems had never done well in the ward before. Their previous best result was a distant second in 2006. The previous Labour councillor (who happened to be Lauren Laverne's uncle) died, so the reason for the by-election doesn't provide an explanation either. The Lib Dems had an equally unexpected win in an other Sunderland seat in January last year
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Suedehead2
post Feb 9 2018, 11:56 AM
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Nothing particularly remarkable in this week's contests. The Tories gained a seat from an independent in Weymouth. There was no independent candidate this time and the Tories won by just eight votes over Labour.

One of the contests was in Staffordshire where the Tory resigned having only won the seat in a by-election in September The Tories still managed to win. They also successfully defended a seat where they had won unopposed since at least 1999.

UKIP only contested one seat and saw their vote almost disappear. The Greens had a couple half-decent results against the general trend. The Lib Dems had no realistic hopes of winning any of the contests and duly didn't come close anywhere.
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Popchartfreak
post Feb 10 2018, 09:57 AM
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candidates can affect local result, if I can state the obvious. A young independent had a narrow win in the Bournemouth ward where the previous long-serving candidate had retired to live in Spain (who can blame her) as he had her full support and she was well-regarded. That leaves 2 independents, one green and a swarm of Tories running the Council ahead of their forthcoming mass deletion on joining with Tory Poole and Tory Christchurch (assuming Javid gives the order against local opinion on the grounds that Christchurch isnt big enough to go it alone and Dorset CC doesnt want them - who would, the elderly care bill is enormous?!).

Oh yes, and by the by, huge swarms of experienced Council staff are also getting the early nod to abandon ship (and not be replaced). This will be the final swathe of local Council cutbacks ever as there is nothing left to cut short of ceasing even more Council functions than have already gone. Public toilets outside the Town centre and Seafront? Thing of the past, that's taking the piss literally....
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vidcapper
post Feb 10 2018, 10:25 AM
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QUOTE(Popchartfreak @ Feb 10 2018, 09:57 AM) *
Oh yes, and by the by, huge swarms of experienced Council staff are also getting the early nod to abandon ship (and not be replaced). This will be the final swathe of local Council cutbacks ever as there is nothing left to cut short of ceasing even more Council functions than have already gone. Public toilets outside the Town centre and Seafront? Thing of the past, that's taking the piss literally....


I guess they expect people to just piss straight into the sea? tongue.gif
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Suedehead2
post Feb 16 2018, 09:21 PM
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There were 14 local by-elections yesterday; the Tories were defending seven, Labour four, UKIP, SNP and Residents Association one each.

The Tories won the UKIP seat on Tendring council (basically Clacton, Essex) with UKIP finishing sixth. Independents came second and third in that contest. UKIP won 22 seats at the last election, just one behind the Tories. However, following a lot of defections, they now have only eight.

In a seat in Cameron's old seat of Witney the Tories were defending a seat they had won comfortably in every election this century with the exception of 2007 when the Lib Dems won by one vote. The Tories won that seat comfortably with the Lib Dems regaining second place.

In North Norfolk the Lib Dems won back a seat they lost to the Tories in 2015, It had previously been Lib Dem since at least 2003, but generally by fairly small majorities.The Lib Dems won easily yesterday with over 70% of the vote in a three-way contest.

There were two contests in Teignbridge in Devon with the Tories defending both of them. One of the seats had generally elected independent candidates until the Tories started winning it. Labour won it once (in 1995) and the Lib Dems won a by-election there in December 2016 having finished last in the previous full elections. The Lib Dems won again yesterday with a small majority. In the other seat, a Tory / Lib Dem marginal for some time, the Lib Dems got over 70% of the vote in a straight fight against the Tories. The Tory majority on the council is now down to four.

The defending party won all the other contests with the Lib Dems seeing a big increase in their vote in a couple of them.

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Doctor Blind
post Mar 9 2018, 12:15 AM
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Conservatives were contesting in five by-elections today.

They lost every single one!! biggrin.gif


Lib Dems absolutely smashed it in Northchurch too...

LDEM: 59.2% (+40.4)
CON: 28.2% (-32.1)
LAB: 10.5% (-1.7)
GRN: 2.1% (-6.6)

LDem GAIN from Con.


This post has been edited by Doctor Blind: Mar 9 2018, 12:18 AM
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Suedehead2
post Mar 9 2018, 12:30 AM
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Do you know why there was such a massive swing?

The Tories gained two seats from the Lib Dems in Dorset two weeks ago, Both by-elections were due to the resignation of the same councillor. She clearly had a large personal vote as she had easily outpolled fellow Lib Dems in the same seats. In the same week the lib Dems gained a seat from the Tories. There were no particularly remarkable results last week.
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vidcapper
post Mar 9 2018, 03:43 PM
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QUOTE(Doctor Blind @ Mar 9 2018, 12:15 AM) *
Conservatives were contesting in five by-elections today.

They lost every single one!! biggrin.gif


Actually, they were contesting 8.
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Doctor Blind
post Mar 9 2018, 03:55 PM
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Mar 9 2018, 03:43 PM) *
Actually, they were contesting 8.


Yes, sorry - I should have said 'defending'.
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