BuzzJack
Entertainment Discussion

Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register | Help )

Latest Site News
> -
2 Pages V   1 2 >  
Reply to this topicStart new topic
> PREDICT: Ariana Grande - No Tears Left To Cry, Out 20/4, early predictions
Track this topic - Email this topic - Print this topic - Download this topic - Subscribe to this forum
Predict away!
You cannot see the results of the poll until you have voted. Please login and cast your vote to see the results of this poll.
Total Votes: 63
Guests cannot vote 
Cqmerqn
post Apr 16 2018, 10:09 PM
Post #1
Fuego!
******
Group: Members
Posts: 15,505
Member No.: 23,155
Joined: 10-April 16
   No Gallery Pics
 


So Ariana is reportedly releasing her lead single THIS FRIDAY! ohmy.gif ohmy.gif

What are your predictions?

Debut #1
Spotify #3
61-80k

Hopefully Dua / Drake won’t prevent it from going #1!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Midge
post Apr 16 2018, 10:11 PM
Post #2
I just think I'm neat
*****
Group: Members
Posts: 4,859
Member No.: 23,643
Joined: 30-September 16
   No Gallery Pics
 


I hope this is big for her - but obviously the song has to be a barnstormer as well! I have faith. Surely destined to be absolutely huge in the UK now.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Jack
post Apr 16 2018, 10:17 PM
Post #3
BuzzJack Legend
*******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 38,798
Member No.: 223
Joined: 15-March 06
 


At the absolute worst, I think it'll do a 'Look What You Made Me Do' - at best, I could see it being one of the biggest songs of the year and doing 10 weeks at #01 before hitting ACR.

Either way, I think #01 is on lock.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
LeeWallace
post Apr 16 2018, 11:14 PM
Post #4
🙄
*******
Group: AF Leader
Posts: 39,887
Member No.: 10,643
Joined: 14-February 10
 


I agree.

I can see this era being huge from Ariana, I can see 'One Last Time' re-entering the charts due to BGT and that will only help Ariana's lead single, it wouldn't surprise me if she had a more successful era in the UK in comparison to the US but I do think she will be the highest selling female of 2018.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Jonjo
post Apr 16 2018, 11:26 PM
Post #5
(-_•)
********
Group: Moderator
Posts: 68,228
Member No.: 5,042
Joined: 13-December 07
 


Top 5 for both Debut and Spotify and probs 41k-60k

I think a top 3 debut officially is pretty safe. However, I'm not sure it'll be a "straight in at #1" unless the song is actually incredible too (i.e. not something like 'Focus' for example - a bop, but pretty much fans only type of bop)

I know her profile has been raised incredibly over here, but I have a feeling that could be big things for her album more than single. But we shall see!

Fingers crossed for the absolute best though!

Edit: but it also wouldn't surprise me if she ends up doing a Shawn Mendes! Gahhh. Although I guess Mendes is in a similar position to how Ariana was with 'Dangerous Woman', so who knows.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
¡ʎpp∀
post Apr 16 2018, 11:28 PM
Post #6
BuzzJack Platinum Member
******
Group: Members
Posts: 15,244
Member No.: 2,666
Joined: 21-January 07
 


I think top 5 is a safe bet just on her name alone.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Tawdry Hepburn
post Apr 16 2018, 11:28 PM
Post #7
I'll find your lips in the street lights
********
Group: Artist Mod
Posts: 61,949
Member No.: 51
Joined: 7-March 06
 


Considering how her profile is, I am in no doubt this will be a runaway #1.

I think sales could be upwards of 80k, maybe even 100k.


This post has been edited by Tawdry Hepburn: Apr 16 2018, 11:29 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
M4NG0
post Apr 16 2018, 11:32 PM
Post #8
BuzzJack Platinum Member
******
Group: Members
Posts: 9,769
Member No.: 151
Joined: 10-March 06
 


I really think people could be over-estimating this. I know her UK profile is is sky high at the moment but I don't think that automatically translates to a surefire #1. Though if the song is good then I'm happy to be proven wrong.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
¡ʎpp∀
post Apr 17 2018, 01:58 AM
Post #9
BuzzJack Platinum Member
******
Group: Members
Posts: 15,244
Member No.: 2,666
Joined: 21-January 07
 


QUOTE(Tawdry Hepburn @ Apr 17 2018, 01:28 AM) *
Considering how her profile is, I am in no doubt this will be a runaway #1.

I think sales could be upwards of 80k, maybe even 100k.


It took me a while to figure it out what profile and why she's been predicted to do this well sad.gif.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
gavindeejay
post Apr 17 2018, 04:55 AM
Post #10
Why do today, what you can do tomorrow?
******
Group: Members
Posts: 7,136
Member No.: 7,645
Joined: 7-November 08
   No Gallery Pics
 


I said Number 1 with a Top 10 Spotify debut. At a guess sales between 40-60k.

If this does look to be a long stayer at Number 1 I’m glad we’ve had a short period of one weekers at the top!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Jüpiter
post Apr 17 2018, 06:52 AM
Post #11
you only love me on the internet
*****
Group: Artist Mod
Posts: 2,479
Member No.: 22,895
Joined: 21-January 16
   No Gallery Pics
 


I don't feel like her profile is THAT high. Sure, she has Manchester, but that was a while ago now, and she wasn't exactly A-list before that.

I would say a top 10 debut, perhaps top 5 if she has decent promo lined up, which is iffy because she'll have the US to focus on as well. She'll struggle to overcome both Drake AND Dua/Calvin for the top spot, might do it after a few weeks depending on what the song is like, but I feel very unlikely to take it off the bat unless the song is REALLY on-trend.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Jack
post Apr 17 2018, 06:59 AM
Post #12
BuzzJack Legend
*******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 38,798
Member No.: 223
Joined: 15-March 06
 


I feel like people are underestimating her if anything! The Manchester “thing” was the biggest event that sadly happened last year and the way she handled it was amazing - since then One Last Time has gone on to be a million seller and people don’t have a bad word to say about her. Hype is going to be massive, sales aren’t high so a #01 is more than realistic.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
CardiiB
post Apr 17 2018, 07:55 AM
Post #13
BuzzJack Climber
**
Group: Members
Posts: 103
Member No.: 42,419
Joined: 28-September 17
   No Gallery Pics
 


Calvin, Drake and Lil Dicky are getting such large numbers on streaming just now I worry that she won't be able to keep up and huge first week sales won't be enough as she'll probabaly stick around the #5 or #6 spot on streaming - Maybe debut at #3 and stick in top 5 for a month

I know her name has grown a lot in the last year but Dangerous woman did only debut and peak at #17 in 2016
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
Dobbo
post Apr 17 2018, 07:57 AM
Post #14
BuzzJack Platinum Member
******
Group: Moderator
Posts: 16,658
Member No.: 20,053
Joined: 4-November 13
   No Gallery Pics
 


I'll still hold reservations until the actual song premieres, I don't think she's *quite* Taylor level in that she'll debut at #1 based on hype alone & not quality (subjective I know!) but I'm confident it'll be a good song as she's definitely the best of all the US gals in the Charts atm.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
GTH
post Apr 17 2018, 08:16 AM
Post #15
Gareth Thomas Hughes
****
Group: Members
Posts: 1,300
Member No.: 10,597
Joined: 6-February 10
   No Gallery Pics
 


I can’t see this doing anything less than #1 first week. I imagine Ari will do well for downloads so will help out with any streaming difference compared to drake & Calvin/dua.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
danG
post Apr 17 2018, 09:39 AM
Post #16
◢ ◤
*******
Group: Chart Mod
Posts: 47,293
Member No.: 11,746
Joined: 30-August 10
   No Gallery Pics
 


iTunes #1 first day, with a big lead
official #1 first week
Spotify #3 first day, #1 peak
50-60k first week sales

3 weeks at #1 max, depends how good the song is though, this is assuming the song is actually good of course. I think something big will come from the Post Malone album which is supposed to be released at the end of the month (and if not there is still the potential for Drake 'Nice For What' to reclaim #1) so the Ariana song won't do anything more than 3 weeks at #1.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
mack25
post Apr 17 2018, 01:59 PM
Post #17
BuzzJack Regular
***
Group: Members
Posts: 454
Member No.: 10,226
Joined: 17-December 09
   No Gallery Pics
 


#1 iTunes
#2 or #3 chart debut
#4 Spotify debut
71k first week sales


This post has been edited by mack25: Apr 17 2018, 02:01 PM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
SmileyKylie
post Apr 17 2018, 02:48 PM
Post #18
BuzzJack Gold Member
*****
Group: Members
Posts: 2,411
Member No.: 20,515
Joined: 26-January 14
   No Gallery Pics
 


The whole Manchester terrorist attack will ensure she is in the media, whether the song is good or not.
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
¡ʎpp∀
post Apr 20 2018, 04:21 AM
Post #19
BuzzJack Platinum Member
******
Group: Members
Posts: 15,244
Member No.: 2,666
Joined: 21-January 07
 


I change my mind...#1 easily!!



sob.gif I'm shook!!!
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post
omrimayo
post Apr 20 2018, 04:29 AM
Post #20
BuzzJack Gold Member
*****
Group: Members
Posts: 4,425
Member No.: 5,974
Joined: 28-April 08
   No Gallery Pics
 


Huge.

This post has been edited by omrimayo: Apr 20 2018, 04:41 AM
Go to the top of the page
 
+Quote Post


2 Pages V   1 2 >
Reply to this topicStart new topic

1 User(s) are reading this topic (1 Guests and 0 Anonymous Users)
0 Members:


 

Lo-Fi Version Time is now: 28th May 2018 - 03:35 AM