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 BJSC 148: Odds / Predictions, Arrows being fired from all directions |
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 8th October 2022, 06:49 PM
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#21
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 Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,252 User: 116 
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RontBet is here with the following predictions:
Winner contenders Cor Lupus: U.S. Girls - So Typically Now (expecting this to landslide it - it's going to get votes from all over the place) Aeroche: SUB-X - Thank You Baby (but if it doesn't, Leww will capitalise - can the 90s dance lovers get this over the line) Also sounding big (top ten contenders - roughly in order of how high I expect them to be) Lookylion: Honey. - What Now (so ABBA, but so is République d'Áskorza, in a different way, so they could split the vote) Elëdan: COBRAH - BRAND NEW BITCH FARC: Juicy Romance - Hummer République d'Áskorza: Erika Vikman - Kateus Hendinia: Lola Indigo & Maria Becerra - DISCOTEKA (going to do well for a host entry!) Altyr Muunilinst: ALMA - Summer Really Hurt Us (sounds bigger than the last ALMA song) Kathaldazia: Lolahol - Lock&Key St. Burbia: NEVE - Modern Romance (feels like Dua does Teenage Dream, on paper should maybe be bigger than this prediction then) Zanmatony: DJ Reiz - Dance Machine 96 Danæviia: altrice - places faces Summericia: Sean Tyas - The World (Darren Porter Remix) (feat. Lo-Fi Sugar) (the trance fans will be out in force for this one) Fljótavík: yunè pinku - DC Rot Jupiterdonia: Tom Ferry & Kiesza - I Think That I Like You East Rukahavian: LP Giobbi - Forever And A Day (feat. Caroline Byrne) Hushkanukia: Sweet California - Whisper (could get the silent pop vote!) Also wouldn't be surprised if these darkhorse Oslol: Kelli-Leigh - Back (could also do well on the pop vote) Cumulonimbia: Nakhane - Tell Me Your Politik (feat. Moonchild Sanelly & Nile Rodgers) POPHub: MOTHERMARY - Pray (Tensnake Remix) Yehesi: Gia Woods - Lesbionic Persephonia: Hazel English - Hamilton Kluminican Republic: Yseult - Corps (BJSC's ballad fans need to show themselves, hopefully they will) Jadakissnia: She Pleasures Herself - Trust Suedeonia: Kursaal Flyers - Little Does She Know (long shot, but what a great retro entry) |
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8th October 2022, 07:30 PM
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#22
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 Mansonette
Joined: 7 March 2006
Posts: 35,563 User: 54
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I've been assuming that Aeroche are going to win this one by quite a margin but I can see why people are suggesting Cor Lupus would have broad appeal
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8th October 2022, 08:02 PM
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#23
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 Gia, do you know the order of the solos?
Joined: 24 October 2014
Posts: 39,469 User: 21,308
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I think it’s bc Thank You Baby has all the same elements that helped Joy win two contests ago
Then again pre-contest I thought Beaverdonia would win for those same reasons… clown makeup stays on |
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8th October 2022, 09:55 PM
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#24
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,252 User: 116
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These big 90s house sounding songs are reliably bankable top 10s usually, but them winning is actually quite rare. Thank You Baby does sound bigger than most, granted, with that mammoth vocal and sample, but I don't see it winning by a large margin if it does. *gets 400 points now*
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9th October 2022, 12:55 AM
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#25
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stick my flag in the dirt, watch it blow
Joined: 14 February 2009
Posts: 115,323 User: 8,300
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I agree that U.S. Girls and SUB-X seem comfortably like the obvious big hits, though I'm not personally that keen on either of them so I'll be hoping for someone to dark horse.
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9th October 2022, 03:48 AM
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#26
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 21 January 2007
Posts: 23,924 User: 2,666
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Steps for the win
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9th October 2022, 10:05 AM
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#27
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escape in the taste of summerrrrrr
Joined: 8 August 2009
Posts: 27,322 User: 9,403
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I do like "So Typically Now" but I don't think it has that sort of massive winner sound, it just sounds like the kind of thing that would probably get points from across the board - a sort of dichotomy between sound and result I think. Won't deny that it's a locked on Top 5 though! But I wouldn't be surprised at something like Lookylion taking it either.
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9th October 2022, 10:17 AM
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#28
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,908 User: 11,746
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DanBet
01 ○ Cor Lupus: U.S. Girls - So Typically Now 02 ○ Aeroche: SUB-X - Thank You Baby 03 ○ FARC: Juicy Romance - Hummer 04 ○ Lookylion: Honey. - What Now 05 ○ Elëdan: COBRAH - BRAND NEW BITCH 06 ○ République d'Áskorza: Erika Vikman - Kateus 07 ○ Zanmatony: DJ Reiz - Dance Machine 96 08 ○ Kluminican Republic: Yseult - Corps 09 ○ D'yermak'er: Daya - See You In My Dreams 10 ○ Altyr Muunilinst: ALMA - Summer Really Hurt Us 11 ○ Kathaldazia: Lolahol - Lock&Key 12 ○ St. Burbia: NEVE - Modern Romance 13 ○ Hendinia: Lola Indigo & Maria Becerra - DISCOTEKA 14 ○ Kingdom of Horanius: Son Mieux - Multicolor 15 ○ Hushkanukia: Sweet California - Whisper 16 ○ Summericia: Sean Tyas - The World (Darren Porter Remix) (feat. Lo-Fi Sugar) 17 ○ The Actual Republic of Bellamia: Ruel - YOU AGAINST YOURSELF 18 ○ Thelonia: Effy - Not Yours 19 ○ Yehesi: Gia Woods - Lesbionic 20 ○ Oslol: Kelli-Leigh - Back 21 ○ Jupiterdonia: Tom Ferry & Kiesza - I Think That I Like You 22 ○ POPHub: MOTHERMARY - Pray (Tensnake Remix) 23 ○ Danæviia: altrice - places faces 24 ○ Bhangra: Amanda Tenfjord - All In 25 ○ Flynnonda: Zach Campbell - Away From You 26 ○ Suedeonia: Kursaal Flyers - Little Does She Know 27 ○ Persephonia: Hazel English - Hamilton 28 ○ Arcodesia: Massano - The Feeling 29 ○ East Rukahavian: LP Giobbi - Forever And A Day (feat. Caroline Byrne) 30 ○ Fljótavík: yunè pinku - DC Rot 31 ○ Cumulonimbia: Nakhane - Tell Me Your Politik (feat. Moonchild Sanelly & Nile Rodgers) 32 ○ Aelandor: Ashbury Heights - Glow 33 ○ N DNTN: Sylvan Esso - Echo Party 34 ○ Sovarasma: Askjell - Autumn, Autumn 35 ○ Bøtanikkä: Lara Fabian - I Will Love Again (Thunderpuss Radio Mix) 36 ○ Greenfroze: DAOKO & Yohji Igarashi - MAD 37 ○ Harmonica: Turnstile - MYSTERY 38 ○ Jadakissnia: She Pleasures Herself - Trust 39 ○ Niceland: Rend Collective - Let It Roll 40 ○ Kyriatine: Pussy Riot & salem ilese - PRINCESS CHARMING 41 ○ Skall: -M-, Toumani Diabaté, Sidiki Diabaté & Fatoumata Diawara - Manitoumani 42 ○ Lotunia: IU - eight (feat. SUGA) |
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9th October 2022, 10:32 AM
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#29
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,252 User: 116
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I think I'm massively underrating Kingdom of Horanius!
It gives me the same energy as Robbie's cover of Freedom, I didn't expect that to be a recipe for BJSC success but it's undeniably catchy and clearly a proven hit in The Netherlands, so I guess I can see it. |
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9th October 2022, 10:34 AM
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#30
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 I'm a paragon so don't perceive me
Joined: 3 February 2011
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Personally I don't see Cor Lupus or Aeroche at all. The latter seems like it'll get its niche well but outside of that, could easily finish midtable just as easily as top 3. And U.S Girls, can't see it missing top 10 but if it's to be a winner, should well be in range of someone overhauling it and that's more likely than not.
Áskorza, Eledan and FARC all seem more like potential winners to me. Altyr also could really ace the pop bloc very well. also my dark horse calls are Kathaldazia and Persephonia |
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9th October 2022, 10:35 AM
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#31
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Gia, do you know the order of the solos?
Joined: 24 October 2014
Posts: 39,469 User: 21,308
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Yeah I genuinely think I’m overhyped but what else is new these days 🤷♂️ The hype around U.S. Girls is just reminding me of Eline Noelia and that missed out so I wouldn’t be surprised if history repeats itself
I did think Kingdom Of Horanius gave me Ten Tonnes vibes and that did very well pre-deduction |
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9th October 2022, 10:48 AM
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#32
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IncredibleSquirrel
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 25,867 User: 118
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Hoping N DNTN are being slept on
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9th October 2022, 10:52 AM
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#33
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Hello?
Joined: 8 March 2006
Posts: 83,252 User: 116
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QUOTE(Cody Wesker @ Oct 9 2022, 11:35 AM)  Yeah I genuinely think I’m overhyped but what else is new these days 🤷♂️ The hype around U.S. Girls is just reminding me of Eline Noelia and that missed out so I wouldn’t be surprised if history repeats itself I did think Kingdom Of Horanius gave me Ten Tonnes vibes and that did very well pre-deduction I think this song would be receving the same level of hype for anybody, considering its proven success on PJSC (which admittedly isn't always replicated here, but is generally a good barometer), it's appearance in the charts of loads of BJSC participants (which is surely a positive sign it's going to do big things unless people don't vote by their tastes). For sure though, Eliza Rose and Eline Noelia both felt like locked on winners too and came 3rd, so you can never quite predict how people will vote, or how highly they will point songs. With Aeroche, for sure I wouldn't be in any way surprised if it won, but I often find myself disappointed in the surpisingly low finishes that some 90s house style bangers get in BJSC. So again, 10th also wouldn't be a major shock to me. Áskorza could indeed outpace Lookylion in the battle of the ABBA type songs, depends if people are looking more for the 'Party ABBA' sound or the 'melancholy ABBA' sound of What Now. But it's certainly a good call for a dark horse winner I'd say. Not quite sure Eledan or FARC will have the legs to go all the way, but clearly both are big top five contenders. FARC sounds the slightly more crossover one of the two so could do it! Altyr certainly has the air of the sort of pop song (often sent...by Altyr) that can be unfancied and come out of nowhere to snatch a close surprise win. Will be pretty exciting I guess, more open than I'd have maybe expected although I'll stick - for now - to a Cor Lupus win prediction but I'm a little less confident now. |
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9th October 2022, 11:06 AM
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#34
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Gia, do you know the order of the solos?
Joined: 24 October 2014
Posts: 39,469 User: 21,308
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Kathaldazia are being slept on 🙈
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9th October 2022, 11:48 AM
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#35
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 Here to play, here to stay
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 8 February 2015 Posts: 20,529 User: 21,587
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Whilst I appreciate the sentiment, Zanmatony really shouldn’t be in the mix at the top half. I appreciate it’s different for us, very out there, and quite contrasting to other entries this month, but when I found it and chose it I wouldn’t have called it anything other than a marginal qualification, and in my honest opinion, I’ve sent better dance tracks in the past which were more deserving.
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9th October 2022, 11:58 AM
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#36
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Rob aah
Joined: 3 July 2007
Posts: 38,717 User: 3,804
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16th would be my highest trance entry performance so I'd welcome that for it.
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9th October 2022, 12:15 PM
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#37
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CROWN THE WITCH
Pronouns: he/they
Joined: 9 October 2018 Posts: 9,711 User: 77,363
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The gag it will be when Sovarasma finishes in the bottom 5 when they saved the entry that they really like until the right moment!
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9th October 2022, 12:59 PM
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#38
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Perfectly Pop
Pronouns: He/Him
Joined: 3 March 2007 Posts: 9,635 User: 3,033
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It will be a fun results thread either way!
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9th October 2022, 12:59 PM
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#39
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Here to play, here to stay
Pronouns: he/him
Joined: 8 February 2015 Posts: 20,529 User: 21,587
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Just driving through the countryside with my windows down and the volume up blasting out The World to everyone who would listen! *_*
Summericia hype!!! |
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9th October 2022, 02:09 PM
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#40
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 21 January 2007
Posts: 23,924 User: 2,666
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I would love for Summericia to smash Top 5!!!
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