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 GE Turnout prediction |
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 8th June 2017, 09:41 AM
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#1
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 Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364 
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What do you think it'll be?
NB it was 66.1% in 2015, and 72.2% for the Referendum. |
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8th June 2017, 10:14 AM
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#2
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 Queen of Soon
Joined: 24 May 2007
Posts: 74,081 User: 3,474
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As it's a pointless supplementary election, I've gone for a shite turn out.
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8th June 2017, 10:18 AM
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#3
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I Drink Wine
Joined: 12 April 2015
Posts: 10,485 User: 21,753
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I would've predicted an awful turnout at the start of the campaign, but I think renewed interest in Labour will persuade more people to vote as it's closer than originally thought. I think we could match 2015!
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8th June 2017, 10:20 AM
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#4
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❤️❤️➕🟦
Joined: 3 June 2012
Posts: 22,246 User: 17,160
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67%, bit higher than last time.
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8th June 2017, 10:23 AM
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#5
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 Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,064 User: 18,639
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I put 68% - arouns that and just up to 70 max
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8th June 2017, 01:20 PM
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#6
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,064 User: 18,639
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Dunno how accurate, bu some internet sites reporting huge queues across the country and especially in London.
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8th June 2017, 01:32 PM
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#7
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,150 User: 5,138
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I assume that's in strong labour areas by what I read - only Mike Smithson stated they were big ques all the rest are pro Corbynites!
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8th June 2017, 01:35 PM
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#8
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,064 User: 18,639
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Now I REAALLY don't know if this is true, but a couple articles by fellow Corbynistas said there are reports of Tory voters avoiding eye contact with NHS staff in the queues
This post has been edited by Willy's Tears: 8th June 2017, 01:35 PM |
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8th June 2017, 01:56 PM
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#9
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Attack Dog/Sass Queen
Joined: 29 January 2008
Posts: 16,022 User: 5,342
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I really don't know. I think there's certainly a lot more energy around this campaign than I thought there'd be but I just can't shake the feeling that most people will be a bit fatigued with voting (especially so in Scotland at this point) so I'd guess around 60-62%
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8th June 2017, 02:04 PM
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#10
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 Schlagerdrottningen
Joined: 23 August 2010
Posts: 31,877 User: 11,709
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I think about 64%
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8th June 2017, 02:20 PM
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#11
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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ISTM a higher turnout would help Labour, as it would presumably mean the younger generation had voted in numbers for once...
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8th June 2017, 02:42 PM
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#12
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,565 User: 11,746
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QUOTE(Willy @ Jun 8 2017, 02:35 PM)  Now I REAALLY don't know if this is true, but a couple articles by fellow Corbynistas said there are reports of Tory voters avoiding eye contact with NHS staff in the queues Not true. It comes from my favourite satirical news website, NewsThumphttp://newsthump.com/2017/06/08/tory-voter...station-queues/ |
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8th June 2017, 04:53 PM
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#13
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Cœur poids plume
Joined: 3 November 2007
Posts: 18,129 User: 4,718
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I'd expect 62-64% but I could be way off.
Lord Ashcroft thinks that a high turnout favours Labour rather than the Tories. I would have expected it to be the other way round. Does anyone know wtf is going on? This post has been edited by Harve: 8th June 2017, 05:18 PM |
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8th June 2017, 06:14 PM
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#14
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,064 User: 18,639
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Larger turnouts always favour the left wing, especially as it usually means more younger peple voted. The grey vote ALWAYS turns out.
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8th June 2017, 07:51 PM
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#15
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 13 April 2007
Posts: 36,668 User: 3,272
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Historically, a higher turnout has tended to favour Labour. Tory supporters tend to be more likely to vote.
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9th June 2017, 05:46 AM
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#16
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Paul Hyett
Joined: 4 April 2006
Posts: 25,346 User: 364
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QUOTE(vidcapper @ Jun 8 2017, 03:20 PM) ISTM a higher turnout would help Labour, as it would presumably mean the younger generation had voted in numbers for once... QUOTE(Willy @ Jun 8 2017, 07:14 PM) Larger turnouts always favour the left wing, especially as it usually means more younger peple voted. The grey vote ALWAYS turns out. QUOTE(Suedehead2 @ Jun 8 2017, 08:51 PM) Historically, a higher turnout has tended to favour Labour. Tory supporters tend to be more likely to vote. Hey, something we all agree on, at last! 
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9th June 2017, 06:07 AM
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#17
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Buffy/Charmed
Joined: 18 April 2013
Posts: 44,064 User: 18,639
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QUOTE(Willy @ Jun 8 2017, 11:23 AM) I put 68% - arouns that and just up to 70 max #psychicf***inbeaver |
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9th June 2017, 10:38 AM
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#18
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Cœur poids plume
Joined: 3 November 2007
Posts: 18,129 User: 4,718
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QUOTE(Willy @ Jun 8 2017, 07:14 PM) Larger turnouts always favour the left wing, especially as it usually means more younger peple voted. The grey vote ALWAYS turns out. Ah, you're right actually! |
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