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| Christmas songs on Jan 1st singles chart, Predictions |
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 21st December 2020, 01:00 PM
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#1
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 BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 1 April 2020
Posts: 1,350 User: 104,406 
  
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With Christmas day this year falling on a Friday, I am curious to see people's predictions for how songs will hold up on the January 1st (W/E Jan 7th) chart, with only one big day of Christmas music in the tracking week (the 25th).
Streams on the 25th are usually massive; in 2018, the entire top 13 on UK Spotify earned over 1 million streams, and the top 9 last year. Bearing in mind that most, if not all, of these songs will have their streams halved, who are you expecting to stay on the chart and where? Mariah and Wham! still top 10? Maybe Jess and Justin to hold up thanks to Fraudlexa? This post has been edited by ts7sfkptm: 21st December 2020, 01:01 PM |
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21st December 2020, 01:08 PM
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#2
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Infamy Infamy they all got it in for me
Joined: 5 March 2006
Posts: 129,134 User: 2 
    
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I don't think there be any to be honest, as most people will start playing new music after Xmas day, if people are given a CD album as a gift, surely their mood will shift to that. Or stream what's available.
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21st December 2020, 01:11 PM
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#3
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 6 December 2020
Posts: 1,904 User: 119,363
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I don’t there will be many either. Christmas Day will be the only day that tracking week where people listen to Christmas songs.
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21st December 2020, 01:13 PM
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#4
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 🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,564 User: 11,746
          
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You're both underestimating how huge Christmas Day is for streaming. That day alone will ensure we get a good chunk of Christmas songs remaining in the chart. Mariah and Wham will definitely be top 20, maybe even top 10.
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21st December 2020, 01:15 PM
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#5
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,150 User: 5,138
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How many acr streams did the number 40 Christmas track need on Friday for instance?
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21st December 2020, 01:32 PM
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#6
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 20 May 2020
Posts: 2,003 User: 106,616
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Mariah and Wham top 10 for sure imo, especially if positions and Sweet Melody go to ACR this Friday
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21st December 2020, 01:40 PM
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#7
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 BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 22 December 2009
Posts: 30,345 User: 10,275
  
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If Mimi gets, let's say 1.1M streams on Friday, and then drops to 300k on Boxing Day and then gradually out of top 200, it's not enough even for top 20. Should stay in top 40 though.
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21st December 2020, 01:42 PM
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#8
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 10 March 2006
Posts: 19,184 User: 151
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Surely this should be fairly easy to predict based on how many streams Christmas tracks got on Christmas day last year and obviously taking a few other factors into account.
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21st December 2020, 01:42 PM
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#9
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BuzzJack Gold Member
Joined: 21 November 2015
Posts: 4,467 User: 22,687
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Yeah wouldnt be suprised if the big 3 are still in from Christmas day streams alone but other than that dont see many
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21st December 2020, 01:45 PM
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#10
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 6 December 2020
Posts: 1,904 User: 119,363
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QUOTE(Christmasteve201 @ Dec 21 2020, 01:15 PM)  How many acr streams did the number 40 Christmas track need on Friday for instance? Sleigh Ride is currently #40 on the Official Singles Chart, and that had 1,992,318 streams on Spotify alone last week. |
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21st December 2020, 01:50 PM
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#11
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BuzzJack Legend
Joined: 4 November 2013
Posts: 30,529 User: 20,053
 
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Hardly any remaining in the top 75.
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21st December 2020, 01:57 PM
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#12
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BuzzJack Enthusiast
Joined: 7 April 2019
Posts: 749 User: 86,345
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Would the Thursday stream calculation algorithm artificially boost Christmas songs due to such high Christmas Day streams?
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21st December 2020, 05:47 PM
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#13
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🔥🚀🔥
Joined: 30 August 2010
Posts: 74,564 User: 11,746
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QUOTE(elf @ Dec 21 2020, 01:57 PM) Would the Thursday stream calculation algorithm artificially boost Christmas songs due to such high Christmas Day streams? No - it takes into account trends throughout the week - and obviously Christmas songs will be rapidly declining in sales every day past the 25th. |
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21st December 2020, 06:55 PM
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#14
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,150 User: 5,138
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Would they also then do that this week as Xmas Eve is similar but slightly below Xmas days streams?
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22nd December 2020, 03:16 PM
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#15
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BuzzJack Platinum Member
Joined: 20 April 2009
Posts: 8,533 User: 8,705
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QUOTE(Christmasteve201 @ Dec 21 2020, 06:55 PM) Would they also then do that this week as Xmas Eve is similar but slightly below Xmas days streams? I think the Christmas Eve streams for Christmas songs reflected in this week's chart will be upweighted somewhat, but only based on trends showing up to the 23rd. Therefore the big spike on Christmas Eve will likely be underestimated. |
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22nd December 2020, 03:33 PM
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#16
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Shakin Stevens
Joined: 29 December 2007
Posts: 46,150 User: 5,138
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Bit ridiculous like
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