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We now have all the songs from the first semi final! We don't have an exact order yet, but we do know which half of the show each song will perform in. Why that draw took place in the first place is beyond me tbh, but heyyy never mind.

 

Bosnia-Herzegovina: Vukasin Brajic - Munja I Grom

Estonia: Malcolm Lincoln - Siren

Finland: Kuunkuiskaajat - Tyolki Ellaa

Latvia: Aisha - What For

Moldova: Sunstroke Project; Olia Tira - Run Away

Russia: Peter Nalitch Band - Lost and Forgotten

Serbia: Milan Stankovic - Ovo Je Balkan

Slovakia: Kristina - Horehronie

 

Albania: Juliana Pasha - Nuk Mundem Pa Ty

Belarus: 3+2 - Far Away

Belgium: Tom Dice - Me and My Guitar

FYR Macedonia: Gjoko Taneski - Jas JaImam Silata

Greece: Giorgos Alkeos - Opa

Iceland: Hera Bjork - Je Ne Sais Quoi

Malta: Thea Garrett - My Dream

Poland: Marcin Mrozinski - Legenda

Portugal: Filipa Azevedo - Ha Dias Assim

 

Predict away everyone... One thing's for sure, some serious dirge is going to qualify from here!

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What I want:

 

B-H

Latvia

Moldova

Slovakia

Belgium

Iceland

Greece

Finland

Albania

 

I picked nine, even Greece, Albania & Finland aren't that great. At a push, Belarus or Malta would be my 10th choice. So glad the UK doesn't have to vote in this semi-final, it is certainly much weaker.

 

Btw, the draw to decide which half they'll be in is so the country delegations can plan ahead, knowing what day they need to arrive in Oslo, ready for rehearsals.

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Here's what I reckon then...

 

Bosnia-Herzegovina: Vukasin Brajic - Munja I Grom - It's $h!t...but for some reason I think it'll qualify relatively easily. Probably get a lot of eastern votes.

Estonia: Malcolm Lincoln - Siren - Hideous, it'll get some points from Finland and Latvia probably, but I can't see it getting any more from anywhere tbh...

Finland: Kuunkuiskaajat - Tyolki Ellaa - A pretty naff song, but it's relatively memorable so will probably scrape through.

Latvia: Aisha - What For - I think this could do quite well overall, as it'll certainly stand out. It stands a decent chance in this semi final too considering it'll more than likely be surrounded by utter dirge.

Moldova: Sunstroke Project; Olia Tira - Run Away - Similarly to the Latvian song, I think this song will stick out and be remembered for its sheer bizarreness. It's insanely catchy, and although I don't think it could be a winner, I wouldn't rule out Moldova getting their third top ten placing with this one.

Russia: Peter Nalitch Band - Lost and Forgotten - Had we had the same semi final rules as last year, this would easily qualify with high points guaranteed from Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Moldova, Belarus and probably Serbia too. However, with the 50/50 rule now in place, Russia may struggle. And I hope this misses out because it's utter bollocks, and might give Russia a kick up the backside and get them back to sending amazing songs in 2011!

Serbia: Milan Stankovic - Ovo Je Balkan - Another silly song, and not half as good as their song last year, when they should've qualified imo! I can see this qualifying though for some reason... And probably quite easily.

Slovakia: Kristina - Horehronie - This song could actually win the semi final... I think it'll be lucky to finish top ten on the night of the final, but in a semi final filled with such tosh, this should easily qualify.

 

Albania: Juliana Pasha - Nuk Mundem Pa Ty - I'd love this song to qualify, as I genuinly think it's a decent song from Albania. I can't see too much of Europe connecting to it though, and think it might just miss out.

Belarus: 3+2 - Far Away - Forgettable rubbish.

Belgium: Tom Dice - Me and My Guitar - The juries should like this enough to send it through alone tbh. Not sure how it will go down with the televoters though...

FYR Macedonia: Gjoko Taneski - Jas JaImam Silata - Possible contender to finish last on the night alongside Belarus and Estonia.

Greece: Giorgos Alkeos - Opa - Easy qualification here for Greece, and could actually do very well on the night of the final. One of the weakest Greek songs in years mind...in fact I'd say their worse since that robot tripe in 2002.

Iceland: Hera Bjork - Je Ne Sais Quoi - I think this may do a bit of a 'Hero' on the night of the final, but I think this will once again be a hit with the juries.

Malta: Thea Garrett - My Dream - Might get the 'It's My Time' vote as it is essentially a follow on from the British entry of last year. Not half as good though, and will struggle to make much impact on May 29th should it qualify.

Poland: Marcin Mrozinski - Legenda - Some people were saying this was a good song...it still sounds like complete ear rape to me, so I really don't see this qualifying.

Portugal: Filipa Azevedo - Ha Dias Assim - I think this might just miss out for Portugal. A shame, as their last two Eurovision songs have been very good, but this is a bit of a let down.

 

So...my early predictions of the top ten are...

 

01 Greece

02 Slovakia

03 Bosnia-Herzegovina

04 Latvia

05 Serbia

06 Malta

07 Moldova

08 Finland

09 Iceland

10 Belgium

 

Just for the sake of re-iterating how poor I think this year's contest is, here's how I think the above ten songs would fare alongside the ten qualifiers from last year's first semi final...

 

01 Iceland 2009

02 Turkey 2009

03 Greece 2010

04 Bosnia-Herzegovina 2009

05 Sweden 2009

06 Armenia 2009

07 Malta 2009

08 Slovakia 2010

09 Bosnia-Herzegovina 2010

10 Israel 2009

11 Portugal 2009

12 Romania 2009

13 Latvia 2010

14 Serbia 2010

15 Malta 2010

16 Finland 2009

17 Moldova 2010

18 Finland 2010

19 Iceland 2010

20 Belgium 2010

Oh, I reckon you're wrong on Albania! The woman singing electro-ish pop formula seems to work quite well for them...qualification-wise at least. It'll finish mid-table on the night. I can easily see Serbia fighting it out with Slovakia and Greece to top the semi, I think a LOT of people are severely underrating how well it'll go down.

ah yes, ok here are the 10 qualifiers I see;

 

Bosnia-Herzegovina: Vukasin Brajic - Munja I Grom

Estonia: Malcolm Lincoln - Siren

Finland: Kuunkuiskaajat - Tyolki Ellaa

Latvia: Aisha - What For

Moldova: Sunstroke Project; Olia Tira - Run Away

Russia: Peter Nalitch Band - Lost and Forgotten

Serbia: Milan Stankovic - Ovo Je Balkan

Slovakia: Kristina - Horehronie

Albania: Juliana Pasha - Nuk Mundem Pa Ty

Belarus: 3+2 - Far Away

Belgium: Tom Dice - Me and My Guitar

FYR Macedonia: Gjoko Taneski - Jas JaImam Silata

Greece: Giorgos Alkeos - Opa

Iceland: Hera Bjork - Je Ne Sais Quoi

Malta: Thea Garrett - My Dream

Poland: Marcin Mrozinski - Legenda

Portugal: Filipa Azevedo - Ha Dias Assim

 

Russia, Portugal, Latvia and Estonia could probably take a few of these out too...Belgium had better qualify this year, it's like a sensation compared to most of this semi!

Bosnia-Herzegovina: Vukasin Brajic - Munja I Grom

Estonia: Malcolm Lincoln - Siren

Finland: Kuunkuiskaajat - Tyolki Ellaa

Latvia: Aisha - What For

Moldova: Sunstroke Project; Olia Tira - Run Away

Russia: Peter Nalitch Band - Lost and Forgotten

Serbia: Milan Stankovic - Ovo Je Balkan

Slovakia: Kristina - Horehronie

Albania: Juliana Pasha - Nuk Mundem Pa Ty

Belarus: 3+2 - Far Away

Belgium: Tom Dice - Me and My Guitar

FYR Macedonia: Gjoko Taneski - Jas JaImam Silata

Greece: Giorgos Alkeos - Opa

Iceland: Hera Bjork - Je Ne Sais Quoi

Malta: Thea Garrett - My Dream

Poland: Marcin Mrozinski - Legenda

Portugal: Filipa Azevedo - Ha Dias Assim

 

This is pretty hard :( Not because these are all so good, but mostly cos they're all a bit crap :lol: Bosnia always goes through, even though it's bland. Estonia is too weird for televoters, but might pick up jury votes. Moldova will have the opposite problem, it's a nice dance song but doesn't give the juries anything to get their teeth into. Russia shouldn't qualify but probably will :( Ditto Serbia. I'd love Slovakia to go through, they've made such a turn around from last year, but I'm not sure about it. Belarus is like the sort of crap Russia entered in the late 90s/early 2000s, no hope. Belgium is great, definitely the best song up to this point. Wouldn't rule out Macedonia but again it's bland. We could lose one of the next three, Iceland looks like the most risky, because ballads always work for Malta. The last two are pretty hopeless and uninteresting, Poland bordering on the awful...

Here is a recap:

 

 

I think Malta & Belgium (but more Malta) are most in need of a good place in the running order, so it's good we already know they will both be in the 2nd half.

 

And if they Europeans have any sense, Slovakia should win this semi-final -_-

 

Shame the semi-finals aren't evenly matched. I think there are only about 8 or 9 here that deserve a place in the final, but the 2nd semi-final has about 11 or 12 :cry:

 

 

Very hard to predict, due to the sheer mediocrity of most songs. The Bosnian song I've only listened to once, briefly, so it might climb my prediction later on, but on first listen, it did nothing for me whatsoever.

 

My guess at this very early stage...

 

01. Slovakia

02. Serbia

03. Finland

04. Greece

05. Iceland

06. Latvia

07. Moldova

08. Russia

09. Albania

10. Belgium

 

11. Belarus

12. Poland

13. Malta

14. Estonia

15. Bosnia-Herzegovina

16. FYR Macedonia

17. Portugal

I think the 10 that will qualify are

 

Slovakia

Portugal

Belarus

Finland

Greece

Iceland

Malta

Moldova

Serbia

Russia

 

Im not overly keen on any song from this semi final at all, Estonia,Poland and Russia are exceptionly bad though.

Bosnia-Herzegovina: Vukasin Brajic - Munja I Grom

Estonia: Malcolm Lincoln - Siren

Finland: Kuunkuiskaajat - Tyolki Ellaa

Latvia: Aisha - What For

Moldova: Sunstroke Project; Olia Tira - Run Away

Russia: Peter Nalitch Band - Lost and Forgotten

Serbia: Milan Stankovic - Ovo Je Balkan

Slovakia: Kristina - Horehronie

Albania: Juliana Pasha - Nuk Mundem Pa Ty

Belarus: 3+2 - Far Away

Belgium: Tom Dice - Me and My Guitar

FYR Macedonia: Gjoko Taneski - Jas JaImam Silata

Greece: Giorgos Alkeos - Opa

Iceland: Hera Bjork - Je Ne Sais Quoi

Malta: Thea Garrett - My Dream

Poland: Marcin Mrozinski - Legenda

Portugal: Filipa Azevedo - Ha Dias Assim

My revised prediction:

 

01. Serbia

02. Belarus

03. Slovakia

04. Greece

05. Albania

06. Russia

07. Latvia

08. Moldova

09. Iceland

10. Bosnia-Herzegovina

 

11. Finland

12. Belgium

13. Poland

14. Estonia

15. Macedonia

16. Malta

17. Portugal

 

Which would be a great shame for Finland and Belgium :( . My averages between numbers 10, 11 and 12 were all very close though, so the draw for the running order will have an effect on my prediction. Can't wait for the draw to happen :D

Will in bold, want in italics...

 

Bosnia-Herzegovina: Vukasin Brajic - Munja I Grom

Estonia: Malcolm Lincoln - Siren

Finland: Kuunkuiskaajat - Tyolki Ellaa

Latvia: Aisha - What For

Moldova: Sunstroke Project; Olia Tira - Run Away

Russia: Peter Nalitch Band - Lost and Forgotten

Serbia: Milan Stankovic - Ovo Je Balkan

Slovakia: Kristina - Horehronie

Albania: Juliana Pasha - Nuk Mundem Pa Ty

Belarus: 3+2 - Butterflies

Belgium: Tom Dice - Me and My Guitar

FYR Macedonia: Gjoko Taneski - Jas JaImam Silata

Greece: Giorgos Alkeos - Opa

Iceland: Hera Bjork - Je Ne Sais Quoi

Malta: Thea Garrett - My Dream

Poland: Marcin Mrozinski - Legenda

Portugal: Filipa Azevedo - Ha Dias Assim

 

A pretty dire semi compared with SF2! I only love three of the songs in this one...

My final prediction for this semi with the draw results taken into account:

 

01. Serbia

02. Belarus

03. Greece

04. Iceland

05. Slovakia

06. Albania

07. Moldova

08. Russia

------

09. Latvia

10. Belgium

11. Bosnia-Herzegovina

12. Finland

------

13. FYR Macedonia

14. Malta

15. Poland

16. Estonia

17. Portugal

 

The block of 4 between 9 and 12 could fall any way I think. Was very hard to order them. Above the line should all make it through, below the line shouldn't I would have thought.

Russia to still qualify despite going on second with an awful song with not that many neighbours?
Just heard Malta's final version. Still definitely lacking oomph. I know people are comparing it to It's My Time but Jade had a much more powerful and distinctive voice and the production was so much grander :wub: If Malta do qualify they will literally be scraping in.
Russia to still qualify despite going on second with an awful song with not that many neighbours?

 

It's an interesting song.

 

My list is based on a number of factors. Russia ranked the following:

 

Success over 4 years: 2nd

Political voting: 1st (Estonia, Latvia, Belarus, Finland, Moldova & Poland could all favour them, some more than others)

Song quality: 16th

Draw: 15th

Type of entry (genre, lanuage, type of artist): 9th

My personal prediction: 7th

 

It all averaged to an overall placing of 8th when ranked with all the other entries. I think it will qualify, only just though. It's not a song that the typical ESC fan would like, but my parents (who aren't ESC fanatics) liked it when I played it to them.

 

 

 

Belarus will sink Malta I should think.

Are Albania singing in English? I've downloaded the English final version and I have to say, it's grown on me massively, even if it is utterly generic a la Montenegro last year, which resulted in an unforgivable DNQ :drama: Albania will do better though - my prediction for semi 1;

 

1. Greece: Giorgos Alkeos - Opa

2. Iceland: Hera Bjork - Je Ne Sais Quoi

3. Slovakia: Kristina - Horehronie

4. Belarus: 3+2 - Butterflies

5. Albania: Juliana Pasha - It's All About You

6. Serbia: Milan Stankovic - Ovo Je Balkan

7. Moldova: Sunstroke Project; Olia Tira - Run Away

8. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Vukasin Brajic - Munja I Grom

9. Belgium: Tom Dice - Me and My Guitar

10. Finland: Kuunkuiskaajat - Tyolki Ellaa

---------------------------------------------------

11. Malta: Thea Garrett - My Dream

12. Estonia: Malcolm Lincoln - Siren

13. Latvia: Aisha - What For

14. Russia: Peter Nalitch Band - Lost and Forgotten

15. Portugal: Filipa Azevedo - Ha Dias Assim

16. FYR Macedonia: Gjoko Taneski - Jas JaImam Silata

17. Poland: Marcin Mrozinski - Legenda

 

No obvious winner in this semi in my opinion...Maybe I'm being massively over generous on Iceland, but I reckon Hera will do a Portugal 2008, finishing top 3 in the semi before slumping to mid-table in the final. I can't actually believe how awful this semi is compared to semi 2! Literally all of the favourites are in the other one :lol:

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