March 15, 201114 yr Author I LOVE BELARUS. This song is going to be permanently stuck in my head for the next few weeks I can tell. What are you thinking about their chances? OMG I LOVE BELARUS TOO. I think it's going to be one of those absolute TERRIBLE classics that falls at the semi stage though, like the Netherlands last year. I reckon it'll finish 14th, but the performance is going to be spectacular, I can just tell! Who do you think the few in contention for victory will be?
March 15, 201114 yr OMG I LOVE BELARUS TOO. I think it's going to be one of those absolute TERRIBLE classics that falls at the semi stage though, like the Netherlands last year. I reckon it'll finish 14th, but the performance is going to be spectacular, I can just tell! Who do you think the few in contention for victory will be? Oh no, Belarus is FAR better than the Netherlands! As for victory...I reckon we're going to do it. :mellow: I actually truly believe we are going to win this year. Azerbaijan will be in the top three, Russia in the top five and Sweden and France will be floating up there too, but I really think we have the best all round song to take the title. Perhaps I'm getting a bit carried away, but I really can't see Azerbaijan quite managing to win with theirs.
March 15, 201114 yr Author I reckon something REALLY ANNOYING's going to happen, like France or Azerbaijan getting huge amounts of support, or Russia winning by default. I reckon the top five is going to be us, France, Sweden, Azerbaijan and Russia though, with maybe Israel, Norway and Denmark replacing France, Sweden and possibly Russia. I've just noticed, Israel 9th in the semi?! :o I reckon it's bound to get revamped.
March 15, 201114 yr I reckon something REALLY ANNOYING's going to happen, like France or Azerbaijan getting huge amounts of support, or Russia winning by default. I reckon the top five is going to be us, France, Sweden, Azerbaijan and Russia though, with maybe Israel, Norway and Denmark replacing France, Sweden and possibly Russia. I've just noticed, Israel 9th in the semi?! :o I reckon it's bound to get revamped. It needs a revamp tbh! I don't think much to the song tbh, and if it was sung by anyone else I'd be predicting a non-qualifier right now.
March 15, 201114 yr Author I love it, but then Dana is innately fabulous. I'm not sure what I'm thinking to Romania and Slovakia's chances actually! I'm beginning to think the latter may be a fan favourite (ish) that bombs, and I'm hoping that Denmark pisses all over Change's parade - although I'm quite scared that it won't and we'll have to deal with that shit in the final.
March 15, 201114 yr Author Also, can we get some APPRECIATION FOR WOLF KATI? http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/icons/disco.gif Szerelem Miert Mulsz is the most painfully fabulous thing I think I'll hear all year. I want her whole performance to be like Sanna Nielsen's after she was let out of the cage.
March 15, 201114 yr Full Preview Site up and running with interesting comments http:// escaddict.blogspot.com/
March 15, 201114 yr Also, can we get some APPRECIATION FOR WOLF KATI? http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/icons/disco.gif Szerelem Miert Mulsz is the most painfully fabulous thing I think I'll hear all year. I want her whole performance to be like Sanna Nielsen's after she was let out of the cage. It is an AMAZING song, even more so in it's final form, but this is Hungary who's hit rate isn't exactly the best... Also, Hera sent the best song that will ever exist from this genre and still didn't win that painfully awful semi final last year, so Kati Wolf's chances are moderate at best. I hope she sneaks through, but I'm not going to hold out much hope as if I do and it fails, I'll be heartbroken :lol:
March 15, 201114 yr Author Kati Wolf (or Wolf Kati? I can never decide which way around that name goes) isn't exactly poppers-tastic schlager though! :lol: It strikes me much more as poppers-tastic power balladry - with added choir http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/icons/disco.gif I agree that I will be absolutely distraught if it misses out, especially to something like Greece.
March 15, 201114 yr I think Hungary have missed out before due to song quality - didn't they do well in 2007? :unsure: Great position in the semi, I think it should sail through. Won't attempt to work out it's final chances.
March 15, 201114 yr Author I think Hungary have missed out before due to song quality - didn't they do well in 2007? :unsure: Great position in the semi, I think it should sail through. Won't attempt to work out it's final chances. Hungary haven't missed out unjustifiably to my memory. OK, they probably should've done a bit better in 2005, but they were one of the highlights of 2007 and got an appropriate result, and were terrible in 2008 and 2009 and didn't qualify as a result...
March 15, 201114 yr Kati Wolf (or Wolf Kati? I can never decide which way around that name goes) isn't exactly poppers-tastic schlager though! :lol: It strikes me much more as poppers-tastic power balladry - with added choir http://www.moopy.org.uk/forums/images/icons/disco.gif I agree that I will be absolutely distraught if it misses out, especially to something like Greece. Both names are correct. If I've worked it out correctly, Wolf Kati is the native name, whereas Kati Wolf is her name in Western name order. I suppose you're right that What About My Dreams isn't quite the poppers o'clock anthem Je Ne Sais Quoi was, but so many other similar songs have failed - If I Had Your Love, Je T'adore, Vrag Naj Vzame to name a few. She's got a very good draw though following the commercial break, so hopefully she'll qualify. I'm not getting my hopes up though.
March 15, 201114 yr My predictions even though I'll probably change them in time Semi Final 1 Norway Armenia Turkey Russia Finland Croatia Hungary Lithuania Azerbaijan Greece Semi final 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina Ukraine Sweden Israel Slovenia Romania Estonia Belarus Denmark Ireland
March 16, 201114 yr Go on Pavel, do some predictions, I could use a laugh. TID ATT ANDAS DIRECT TILL GLOBEN. Edited March 16, 201114 yr by jj for Glee!
March 18, 201114 yr Bold = I think will qualify Italic = I hope will qualify SF 1 1. Poland 2. Norway 3. Albania 4. Armenia 5. Turkey 6. Serbia 7. Russia 8. Switzerland 9. Georgia 10. Finland 11. Malta 12. San Marino 13. Croatia 14. Iceland 15. Hungary 16. Portugal 17. Lithuania 18. Azerbaijan 19. Greece I hope San Marino and Switzerland qualifies instead of Greece and Turkey. Overall I think SF1 have an amazing quality. I have Turkey ranked as 11th in SF1, and I gave it a 7/10 rank in the Eurovision Review thread.
March 18, 201114 yr Author Time for a second bash at predicting now we have the running order and all the songs... SF1 Position [previous prediction] · Points · Country 01 [07] · 171 · Azerbaijan 02 [03] · 130 · Hungary 03 [01] · 117 · Russia 04 [02] · 098 · Finland 05 [04] · 092 · Norway 06 [06] · 083 · Serbia 07 [05] · 069 · Greece 08 [11] · 061 · Lithuania 09 [10] · 058 · Georgia 10 [09] · 057 · Armenia - 11 [08] · 054 · Turkey 12 [12] · 052 · Poland 13 [16] · 049 · Croatia 14 [14] · 044 · Switzerland 15 [13] · 039 · Albania 16 [18] · 017 · Iceland 17 [15] · 011 · San Marino 18 [19] · 009 · Portugal 19 [17] · 007 · Malta I know, I KNOW, I've broken the unwritten rule of Eurovision predictions: thou shalt always count upon Turkey to qualify with any old dreck. HOWEVER, they've got a bloody awful position in the running order, the song is the first one they've entered to date where I genuinely can't see where the votes will come from aside from the diaspora (of which there isn't much in this semi - and there aren't exactly many car rock voters about judging by Montenegro and Macedonia's failures), so I think they could end up just missing out. Croatia and Poland won't be pleased with their failures but I can see both sadly being pipped at the close by Georgia and Armenia - despite the latter being the worst Armenian entry to date - and though Switzerland's track is fairly universal I can see it being overshadowed by Finland and falling away. Albania won't do much with an entry which is a little too similar to tracks they've failed with in the past (it reminds me of a lesser Ledina Celo) and a terrible position in the running order. Expected failures will result for Iceland, San Marino, Portugal and Malta - the latter in particular REALLY suffering due to a really cheaply done entry from a poor performer with no obvious voting audience. But anyway, onto the successes - I can see Azerbaijan absolutely LANDSLIDING this semi, going on as the penultimate performance with a fairly anthemic track. Russia's entry will do well, but if Dima could only manage third in his semi I doubt Alex will manage much better with ropey performances to date, a song that isn't hugely universal, and a poor position in the running order. I think, at this point, the shocker of the semi will be Hungary coming second with a Hera Bjork-style performance which will stand out between Iceland and Portugal in the running order - although I think a slump in the final is sadly inevitable. SF2 Position [previous prediction] · Points · Country 01 [09] · 149 · Bosnia 02 [01] · 124 · Denmark 03 [05] · 122 · Sweden 04 [04] · 117 · Austria 05 [08] · 098 · Ukraine 06 [03] · 088 · Israel 07 [02] · 081 · Slovenia 08 [07] · 074 · Estonia 09 [06] · 065 · Latvia 10 [15] · 062 · Belarus - 11 [11] · 056 · Netherlands 12 [10] · 047 · Romania 13 [12] · 041 · Slovakia 14 [16] · 040 · Ireland 15 [13] · 032 · Bulgaria [more votes] 16 [14] · 032 · Moldova [fewer votes] 17 [17] · 026 · Cyprus 18 [19] · 014 · Macedonia 19 [18] · 008 · Belgium Contrary to my previous beliefs, I now see Bosnia getting enough widespread support to win this semi, and I reckon it'll probably come top ten in the final as well (although I think Denmark will perform better than Bosnia in the final). I now think the big story of this semi will be Belarus qualifying - although I think it'll be quite close. I've revised my predictions so that Romania no longer qualifies - the entry is incredibly cheaply produced, and sounds like the sort of thing you'd find on one of those knock-off cover version albums by CDM Project or something of an act like Scouting For Girls, and it comes between two tracks which will go down fairly big in the hall in Slovenia and Estonia. Ireland have done slightly better in this prediction due to their rather fortuitous performance slot, closing the semi, but I don't see them qualifying despite this - if the Netherlands could fail off the pimp slot in 2009, I don't see the hugely obnoxious Jedward doing so either.
March 18, 201114 yr I've yet to hear Italy, France, Spain and the United Kingdom, but so far I'm predicting Lena MEYER-LANDRUT to do the double! It's a huge, dark track, and with her style and a matching performance I can see big things coming for the Germans again. If not, I'd say either Azerbaijan or Russia will take it. Sweden has no chance in hell of winning IMO. But I still have to listen to those four tracks looking for a winner...
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