May 14, 201213 yr Do you really think Italy could reach top 5? The song is a bit non-event imo and most of other female performers will probably deliver a better performance.
May 14, 201213 yr Ok, well TOO MUCH EVENT then :D It's starts as Amy Winehouse, turns into Adele-lite and the chorus, although catchy, shouldn't be sung in two languages. And what's that c section about? Overall it sounds like four songs put into one. But the singer has a great voice. I think their problem will be how to win the televoters over with just one performance because the song needs more than one listen. I'm not saying it's a bad song but not really a type of song that screams top 3 to me.
May 14, 201213 yr Author I think whatever happens the juries are going to love it. It's just a matter of how the televoters receive it - but it's not THAT schizophrenic in terms of how it is in terms of sounding like four songs in one! (Come on, it's no France!) It's fairly instant and in the Amy Winehouse mould which has been hugely popular - I'll be very surprised if it finishes outside of the top five.
May 15, 201213 yr Should be top ten I believe. And yes, France is very meh. Expected a lot more from Anggun.
May 15, 201213 yr My long awaited predictions are here, they were laughably out last year where I was sure that the UK and France would be the top two and that Italy would crash and burn. Pretty much the only thing I got right is that Popular would be top five! Semi 1 01 Romania 02 Russia 03 Iceland 04 Denmark 05 Greece 06 Moldova ------------- 07 Ireland 08 Cyprus 09 Finland 10 Belgium ------------- 11 Albania 12 Israel ------------- 13 Latvia 14 Austria 15 Hungary 16 Switzerland 17 San Marino 18 Montenegro Apologies to the Russian grannies but I REALLY feel like Romania will walk off with this semi. Iceland, Denmark, Greece and probably Moldova are all certs too whilst I reckon six songs will battle it out for the other four places. I defintiely see Ireland being one of them, the other three I'm less sure about but I can't imagine a final without Cyprus and I reckon the juries will help out both Finland and Belgium. If not then Albania and Israel will take their places, I'd be shocked if any of the others went through, I know others are rating Austria quite highly in qualification predictions but I really don't see it myself. As for last place, I doubt either will break into double figures so it could be either really... Semi 2 01 Sweden 02 Serbia 03 Ukraine 04 Bosnia & Herzegovina 05 Norway 06 Netherlands 07 Turkey 08 Slovenia ------------- 09 Lithuania 10 Estonia 11 FYR Macedonia 12 Portugal 13 Croatia ------------- 14 Bulgaria 15 Belarus 16 Malta 17 Georgia 18 Slovakia Sweden and Serbia are near certs for the top two here, third is where it gets a little more tricky to call but I'd guess at Ukraine, because it's an energetic song and will get public and probably jury support, will be WAY behind the top two though. Bosnia, Norway and Netherlands (I know right!) are pretty much certs and Turkey and Slovenia will probably ease through as well. Then its five songs fighting for two places, Lithuania always tend to do quite well in the semis so I'd expect them to get one of the two remaining slots even though the song is only 'quite good'. And then 10th is anyone's but Estonia will probably take it at the expense of poor old Macedonia. I wouldn't rule out Portugal or Croatia though either! Final 1. Sweden 2. Romania 3. Serbia 4. Russia 5. Italy 6. Iceland 7. Denmark 8. Azerbaijan 9. Greece 10. Spain 11. Germany 12. United Kingdom 13. Ukraine 14. Norway 15. Bosnia & Herzegovina 16. Turkey 17. Netherlands 18. Ireland 19. Moldova 20. Cyprus 21. France 22. Slovenia 23. Finland 24. Estonia 25. Lithuania 26. Belgium Onto Saturday and there's still little doubt in my mind that Euphoria will walk it. 2-5 though and I'm not predicting the same as everybody else, I think that Romania will come 2nd after winning the first semi with a very likeable and energetic sure to breakout future international hit. Serbia will obviously be the highest ballad and do very respectably indeed, and battle with the Russian grannies for 3rd place, but I still don't see the latter having any chance of winning. And my controversial prediction for Italy is that they'll finish 5th with more public support than last year but less jury support. Then it's Iceland, Denmark and Spain who should all post strong vote winning performances to finish top ten and Azerbaijan and Greece who will do so as a formality probably, despite both songs being fairly weak offerings. Germany and the UK should both do respectably just outside the top ten although I wouldn't rule out either just sneaking in, and then its very much the rest of the semi qualifiers slotting in to mid-table and the lower positions.
May 15, 201213 yr Can't see why Serbia would do that well. Rather forgettable and I can't see the appeal at all. :(
May 15, 201213 yr It's going to appeal to the whole of the Balkans and more, it's actually a really pleasant song, if not as obvious a smash as Lane Moje. It will be 5th at worst.
May 15, 201213 yr Serbia is always doing well everytime someone posts their simulator results. They're definite contenders but alas I still don't get the hype. At least the Russian grannies have the novelty factor which will probably work on the night for those seeing them perform for the first time. I think Russia will walk semi final 1 but looking at Rich's predictions, I'd be more than happy to see Romania walk it. It's become my second favourite entry this year putting Bosnia into third. Sweden are so far out in front the other countries have already given up aiming for #1 in my rankings. :D
May 15, 201213 yr I'm surprised that Bosnia was ever above Romania in your rankings, Zaleilah has Hitstastic written all over it :lol:
May 15, 201213 yr Here are my final predictions for semi final one then after seeing the rehearsals... 01 Romania 02 Denmark 03 Russia 04 Iceland 05 Greece 06 Cyprus 07 Ireland 08 Finland 09 Latvia 10 Belgium -------------------- 11 Switzerland 12 Hungary 13 Albania 14 Moldova 15 San Marino 16 Israel 17 Austria 18 Montenegro I'm fairly sure the top eight will all qualify, however it's quite tough after that. I've opted for Latvia and Belgium, but realistically any of Switzerland, Hungary, Albania or Moldova could take one of those places. I did initially think Moldova would do better, but it is a pretty atrocious mess. I'm fairly confident the bottom four have no chance, as much as I'd love San Marino to qualify. Semi final two coming up in a few days...
May 16, 201213 yr Moldova's a near cert to qualify after that rehearsal! It was a good rehearsal, but the song (and performance) just smacks of a dated Israeli entry. They've got a good draw, and he is hot, but I can see it missing out.
May 16, 201213 yr It gives me more Ovo je balkan than dated Israeli vibes... Yeah I see the 'Ovo Je Balkan' comparisons. Reminds me more of Israel's 2001/2003 entries though. I never got the buzz around OJB... To me it was just a mess!
May 16, 201213 yr My final predictions for both semis following the rehearsals: Semi Final 1: 01 Denmark 02 Romania 03 Russia 04 Iceland 05 Moldova 06 Albania 07 Ireland 08 Finland 09 Greece 10 Israel --------------- 11 Hungary 12 Cyprus 13 Switzerland 14 San Marino 15 Latvia 16 Austria 17 Belgium 18 Montenegro The top 7 are clearcut qualifiers. I'm not sure how it's going to go for Finland and Belgium, one of them will make it while the other will flop hard - I'm thinking Finland just about has the edge though. It's Greece or Cyprus frankly, any of them could make it but not both of them. I've gone with Greece though because I think San Marino performing next to Cyprus will be detrimental to Ivi. It's a free for all for 10th between Israel, Hungary and Switzerland - Israel feels more like an event performance than the other two though hence why I've slotted them into 10th place. Semi Final 2: 01 Sweden 02 Estonia 03 Norway 04 Serbia 05 Turkey 06 Ukraine 07 Slovenia 08 Georgia 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 10 Portugal --------------- 11 Slovakia 12 Lithuania 13 Netherlands 14 Croatia 15 Macedonia 16 Belarus 17 Bulgaria 18 Malta A lot harder to predict. I think the top 6 are definites, but after that any of about 8 countries could fill up the final spots. So many entries have been hampered by the draw here, not least The Netherlands who I just think will get lost in the mix. Croatia and Slovenia, Malta and Belarus, Ukraine and Bulgaria & Georgia and Turkey all being performed in pairs is potentially going to throw up surprise DNQs but we'll see. I really hope I'm wrong with Georgia, but that rehearsal was surprisingly strong. I've no idea which of the female lead Balkan ballads will make it, Slovenia, Bosnia and Portugal seem the most memorable though. Lithuania going on last could see them scrape through, but the song does go down a notch when the disco beat kicks in. Slovakia could also pick up the rock vote and take out one of Bosnia/Portugal at the same time.
May 16, 201213 yr OK: Semifinal 1 (Q): Greece, Romania, Cyprus, Russia, Ireland, Denmark, Latvia, Israel, Iceland, Switzerland For me: clean 5 [3 "Shake asses" + Jedward + our cute Russian grannies]. Winner: Greece or Romania - Switzerland, because pop / rock. - Denmark, because good ballad. [can be Finland here, sad but most voters don't like Iris] - Latvia, because I like it and her song is simply amazing. - Iceland, because jury. - Israel, because all another songs have very little chances [5 % for Albania on ten place] Semifinal 2 (Q): Serbia, Croatia, FYR Macedonia, Bosnia, Slovenia, Turkey, Ukraine, Netherlands, Estonia and.... Bansheen Clean 2: Serbia [winner in semifinal], one good Nordic country with very bad choice - 4 another ex-Yugo countries, because votes from neighbours - Ukraine, because "shake ass" song - Estonia, jury votes [can be Slovakia for pop/rock reason] - Turkey, Netherlands [Watch reason for Israel] Top 5: Most real top 5, which I want : Serbia, Russia, United Kingdom, Denmark, Netherlands Will be: 1. Sh..phoria, 2. Serbia, 3-4. Russia/Italy, 5. Greece or Romania
May 16, 201213 yr 'Sh..phoria'/'Bansheen'. How NOT CHILDISH (how is the second one even an insult of any kind?!).
May 16, 201213 yr 'Sh..phoria'/'Bansheen'. How NOT CHILDISH (how is the second one even an insult of any kind?!). Banshee, Pav. -_-
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