April 6, 201510 yr Semi Final One 01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Estonia.png Estonia 02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Russia.png Russia 03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Georgia.png Georgia 04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Romania.png Romania 05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belarus.png Belarus 06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belgium.png Belgium 07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Albania.png Albania 08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Denmark.png Denmark 09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/FYR_Macedonia.png F.Y.R. Macedonia 10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Armenia.png Armenia 11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Serbia.png Serbia 12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Greece.png Greece 13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Netherlands.png The Netherlands 14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Moldova.png Moldova 15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Hungary.png Hungary 16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Finland.png Finland Finland will probably have a harder time qualifying given the song is only 1.5 minutes long and the majority of votes surely comes from DURING the performance! Unless they have a brilliant staging I don't see Greece and Hungary NOT boring the audience. Serbia will fall short unless they make the performance more Bosnia 2008 and less Serbia 2013. This top 2 is really the only option. Sadly Belgium won't do a LOT in the Semifinal because of the early draw. But crazier things have happened so idk bye. I have hope in Albania being instant enough to qualify. Same with Macedonia. Georgia will probably make a f***ing amazing performance to go along with the song so it's going to make an impakt going last. Semi Final Two 01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Azerbaijan.png Azerbaijan 02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Sweden.png Sweden 03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Norway.png Norway 04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Israel.png Israel 05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Slovenia.png Slovenia 06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Iceland.png Iceland 07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Lithuania.png Lithuania 08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Montenegro.png Montenegro 09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Latvia.png Latvia 10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Ireland.png Ireland 11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Poland.png Poland 12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Switzerland.png Switzerland 13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Malta.png Malta 14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Cyprus.png Cyprus 15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Portugal.png Portugal 16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Czech_Republic.png Czech Republic 17 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/San_Marino.png San Marino Sadly I don't see Switzerland and Malta qualifying this time around. They have got Norway and Sweden to blame really. Czech Republic will probably come dead last though because everyone will long have forgotten about them as soon as Nadav gets on stage. Poor Aminata going on after him AND before Azerbaijan! It's like they are TRYING to undermine the poor hoe! I still think her fabulousness will be just enough to pull her through. As much as I love Portugal this year, she gon' flop. Knez's Zeljko eleganza will be safely through. I feel more secure with my predictions in this Semi tbh.
April 6, 201510 yr Tbh I think people have been underrating it for ages. I have money on it to both win and come top 4. Not sure about it winning but I can see it being top 5 like Berger.
April 6, 201510 yr LMFAO There is literally no way in hell Finland are finishing last. That would never happen to the act who are basically the biggest media story of the year performer-wise (obviously barring Australia).
April 6, 201510 yr I'd say WE'LL SEE in May, but you'll probably have done a set of predictions where Finland win the semi by then.
April 9, 201510 yr Me and my friend devised a sure-fire system to predict the top 10 :lol:, we combined a ranking of the odds (from oddschecker), total views from the ESC channel and number of likes/number of views to try and work out the most popular songs. It's quite a problematic system especially since Sweden removed their video and put a new one up so they're miles behind on views. And obviously it can't account for people liking/viewing from their home country but anyway it threw up these results: Semi 1 1. Armenia 2. Russia *most viewed* 3. Albania 4. Georgia *highest likes on youtube as percentage of views* 5. Estonia *highest in odds* 6. Belgium 7. Belarus 8. Macedonia 9. Greece 10. Romania -- 11. Finland *lowest likes on youtube as a percentage of views* 12. Serbia 13. Hungary 14. Netherlands 15. Denmark *fewest views* 16. Moldova *worst odds* Semi 2 1. Azerbaijan *most views* 2. Slovenia 3. Israel 4. Norway 5. Sweden *best odds* *highest likes as a percentage of views* *fewest views* 6. Iceland 7. Latvia 8. Malta 9. Cyprus 10. Ireland -- 11. Montenegro 12. Poland 13. Lithuania 14. Switzerland 15. Czech Republic 16. San Marino *lowest likes as a percentage of views* 17. Portugal *worst odds* Then for the final inc AQ's: 1. Azerbaijan 2. Italy 3. Russia 4. Armenia 5. Albania 6. Sweden 7. Georgia 8. Slovenia 9. Australia 10. Spain 11. Estonia 12. UK 13. Norway 14. Belgium 15. Israel 16. Iceland 17. Macedonia 18. Latvia 19. Belarus 20. Romania 21. Greece 22. Malta 23. Cyprus 24. Ireland 25. Austria 26. France 27. Germany (I really should be writing my dissertation help haha) Will probably have another go in a few weeks when/if Sweden have caught up on views to see how much of a difference it makes! If their video now had the mean views of the other 26 they'd actually be second behind Azerbaijan on my points system. Edited April 9, 201510 yr by nickthenoodle
April 9, 201510 yr Then for the final inc AQ's: 1. Azerbaijan 2. Italy The Nightmare of 2011: The Re-Up
April 9, 201510 yr Except Azeri song this year is the complete opposite to one of 2011, i.e. f***ing amazing. And Italy's is worse.
April 9, 201510 yr The Nightmare of 2011: The Re-Up I didn't even notice that :lol: really could see Azerbaijan winning but no way are Italy coming top 3
April 9, 201510 yr Except Azeri song this year is the complete opposite to one of 2011, i.e. f***ing amazing. And Italy's is worse. Oh 'Hour Of The Wolf' is marvellous but a winner? If 'Drip Drop' couldn't do it for them then NOTHING SHOULD
April 9, 201510 yr Drip Drop didn't translate that well on stage. It was so much better as a studio version. And I am sure Elnur will S L A Y live just like he did in 2008.
May 1, 201510 yr I tried to do this the other night but just couldn't get each semi down to ten qualifiers, but I'm trying again now so these are my after pre-party, before rehearsals predictions: Semi Final One 01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Russia.png Russia 02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Finland.png Finland 03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Romania.png Romania 04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Greece.png Greece 05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Estonia.png Estonia 06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belgium.png Belgium 07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Georgia.png Georgia 08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Denmark.png Denmark 09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Armenia.png Armenia 10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Moldova.png Moldova 11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/FYR_Macedonia.png F.Y.R. Macedonia 12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Belarus.png Belarus 13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Serbia.png Serbia 14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Hungary.png Hungary 15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Albania.png Albania 16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Netherlands.png The Netherlands I have this feeling in the back of my mind that Hungary will get through but I just can't find room in my top 10. Greece are sailing through on the back of Maria Elena's pre-party performances, probably going to be the strongest performed ballad of the contest along with Russia. Denmark should be out based on their non-song and lack of voting friends, but they will stand out in this semi and will get through just possibly thanks to jury help. I feel like Moldova are going to sneak through on the back of a very up-tempo and choreographed routine, and Eduard's vocals have been competent in the pre-parties. I'm VERY wary of putting The Netherlands down there purely because I've read rumours that they've got the same staging team as last year and are going to somehow make the staging come across as a video clip. That's what I've read and if they pull out something special then expect a big increase in my post-rehearsal predictions. I adore Albania, and many other fans do too but where are the votes coming from for Elhaida? Greece and Macedonia yes, but that's about it. I can see a high jury score but a very low televote which pulls down any chance of getting anything more than odd 1s and 2s from everywhere else. I really want to be wrong! Semi Final Two 01 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Sweden.png Sweden 02 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Azerbaijan.png Azerbaijan 03 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Poland.png Poland 04 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Norway.png Norway 05 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Cyprus.png Cyprus 06 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Slovenia.png Slovenia 07 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Iceland.png Iceland 08 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Montenegro.png Montenegro 09 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Lithuania.png Lithuania 10 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Czech_Republic.png Czech Republic 11 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Ireland.png Ireland 12 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Malta.png Malta 13 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Israel.png Israel 14 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Switzerland.png Switzerland 15 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Latvia.png Latvia 16 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/San_Marino.png San Marino 17 http://www.eurovision.tv/img/upload/flags/mini/Portugal.png Portugal Not as many changes here, only Czech Republic making a big gain due to the incredibly strong live vocals and I'd like to think that somehow their incredible personalities will come across on screen. Israel have dropped out of the top 10 to make room for them, I know it's a fun uptempo but it screams non-qualifier to me now despite his great stage presence shown in the pre-parties. I can't see where the votes are going to come from, this will probably be one of the surprise occasions where it does better with juries than televoters. Apart from that nothing much to report compared to last time, although I'm sensing hype with Norway after a fantastic reaction from the London party so I moved them up a couple of places. Still confident Poland and Cyprus will sail through against many expectations.
May 2, 201510 yr Finland SECOND? Netherlands dead last? I literally can't at how awful that would be as an actual result.
May 2, 201510 yr Latvia are the most realistic choice for fan favourite failure - and there will be one - at the moment :(
May 2, 201510 yr Really? I can't see the juries treating something so stand-out and left-field badly, especially if it's performed well. Israel seem like a far more likely fan favourite failure. As a track it doesn't really have many of the traits previous fan favourite failures have had either. It's a world apart from the likes of Same Heart, Quero ser tua, Crisalide and Love Unlimited.
May 2, 201510 yr It is a tricky one to predict, but I feel like it's going to be too marmite for juries in terms of some members putting it high and some putting it low which will result in an average jury score and songs this left-field always runs the risk of the televoters not getting it at all. That said, Lex showed me a video of this song being staged in a very unique way, if they choose to perform it this way in Vienna then I can see it qualifying. However, something Aminata said in an interview in the London Party made me think it's going to be pretty similar to her Supernova performance. Yeah I don't think Israel will make it either but I get more of an impression that people expect Israel to not qualify anyway, whereas people expect Aminata to qualify. Here's the video Lex showed me: ezv9gNW37LQ Pairing that stage with great camerawork should see Aminata through, but I'm less confident if she uses the Supernova staging.
May 2, 201510 yr Author Well Ryan, I see those predictions, and I raise you these: Semi One 01 Russia 02 Belgium 03 Estonia 04 Albania 05 Georgia 06 Romania 07 Greece 08 Hungary 09 Denmark 10 Netherlands 11 Finland 12 Armenia 13 Belarus 14 Macedonia 15 Serbia 16 Moldova Basically, virtually all the countries who had to use jury votes in the semis last year (Macedonia, Albania, Georgia, Moldova) plus the unlikelihood of the Aussies staying up til 5am on a Wednesday morning means that Jury votes will count for more than public votes which IMO will push Finland, Armenia and Serbia out at the benefit of Hungary, Denmark and Netherlands and forgiving any underhand tactics that should also mean Moldova will come last. Semi Two 01 Sweden 02 Norway 03 Slovenia 04 Azerbaijan 05 Latvia 06 Iceland 07 Lithuania 08 Cyprus 09 Czech Republic 10 Montenegro 11 Poland 12 Ireland 13 Israel 14 Malta 15 Portugal 16 San Marino 17 Switzerland San Marino will avoid being dead last because three of the most crooked juries (Azerbaijan, Malta and Montenegro) will give them something whereas I struggle to see Switzerland getting much points from anywhere. Also strongly suspect that they'll just plonk Monika on the floor without her wheelchair so the story will be lost. Final 01 Sweden 02 Australia 03 Russia 04 Belgium 05 Norway 06 Slovenia 07 Italy 08 Latvia 09 Azerbaijan 10 Estonia 11 Albania 12 Georgia 13 Spain 14 Iceland 15 United Kingdom 16 Lithuania 17 Romania 18 Germany 19 Greece 20 Denmark 21 Hungary 22 Austria 23 Cyprus 24 Montenegro 25 Czech Republic 26 France 27 Netherlands I predict a mid to high amount of egg to be on my face when I re-read this on May 8th.
May 2, 201510 yr Author Oh and for the record, I think that staging is what'll make Latvia a top 10 in the Final rather than just guaranteeing qualification. Israel and Serbia fulfil the fan fave flop sufficiently between them.
May 2, 201510 yr Random predict : Sweden - the winner with a big gap in points Russia - not in top 5 Australia - top 5 United Kingdom - lower than 20th place Lithuania - DNQ Edited May 2, 201510 yr by Sword of Justice
Create an account or sign in to comment