omg Best Actress is nightmarishly competitive this year atm!!! Stone & Hawkins are getting raves and Ronan also seems to be getting fab reviews as well.

 

I'll be starting my new formatted Sam Prediction thread later tonight which will be looking over the Best Picture & 4 acting categories races over the next few months in a new format so get hyped <3

Donald Sutherland is to get an Honorary Oscar at the upcoming Oscars ceremony for his services to film.

 

Very deserving imo, I haven't seen loads of his older films (I thought he was great in Klute and obviously love him in The Hunger Games franchise too) but it's crazy that he's never even been Oscar-nominated before :o

cos I still haven't had time to do my in-depth predictions, here are my new category predictions!

 

Picture:

01) Get Out

02) Darkest Hour

03) Dunkirk

04) Call Me By Your Name

05) Battle Of The Sexes

06) The Shape Of Water

07) The Florida Project

08) The Papers

09) mother!

10) Wonder Wheel

 

Actor:

01) Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour)

02) Jake Gyllenhaal (Stronger)

03) Timothee Chalament (Call Me By Your Name)

04) Christian Bale (Hostiles)

05) Denzel Washington (Roman Israel, Esq)

 

Actress:

01) Kate Winslet (Wonder Wheel)

02) Emma Stone (Battle Of The Sexes)

03) Meryl Streep (The Post)

04) Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird)

05) Jennifer Lawrence (mother!)

 

Supporting Actor:

01) Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name)

02) Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project)

03) Ed Harris (mother!)

04) Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name)

05) Christoph Waltz (Downsizing)

 

Supporting Actress:

01) Michelle Pfeiffer (mother!)

02) Hong Chau (Downsizing)

03) Margot Robbie (Goodbye Christopher Robin)

04) Holly Hunter (The Big Sick)

05) Juno Temple (Wonder Wheel)

 

I have Lady Bird/Sally Hawkins/Allison Janney all just missing out, I can see them all getting noms but idk who to swap out of their respective categories!

Best Supporting Actor so going to Sebastian Stan for I. Tonya.

After seeing Mother, I don't think it'll be a big awards hit so I'm shaking up my predictions a bit!!

 

BEST PICTURE

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

The Post

Call Me by Your Name

--------

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Get Out

The Florida Project

Last Flag Flying

Lady Bird

 

BEST ACTRESS

Kate Winslet -- Wonder Wheel

Meryl Streep -- The Post

Emma Stone -- Battle of the Sexes

Frances McDormand -- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Sally Hawkins -- The Shape of Water

 

BEST ACTOR

Timothée Chalamet -- Call Me by Your Name

Bryan Cranston -- Last Flag Flying

Daniel Day-Lewis -- Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Film

Gary Oldman -- Darkest Hour

Tom Hanks -- The Post

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Octavia Spencer -- The Shape of Water

Juno Temple -- Wonder Wheel

Laurie Metcalf -- Lady Bird

Melissa Leo -- Novitiate

Hong Chau -- Downsizing

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Armie Hammer -- Call Me by Your Name

Laurence Fishburne -- Last Flag Flying

Willem Dafoe -- The Florida Project

Michael Stuhlbarg -- Call Me by Your Name

Sam Rockwell -- Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

 

BEST DIRECTOR

Luca Guadagnino -- Call Me by Your Name

Christopher Nolan -- Dunkirk

Steven Spielberg -- The Post

Joe Wright -- Darkest Hour

Guillermo del Toro -- The Shape of Water

Three Billboards won the audience prize at Toronto so that's shot up as a contender now!

 

Not gonna update my predictions properly but these are what I'd change rn:

Pic: Three Billboards & Lady Bird are in, mother! & Wonder Wheel are out.

(I feel like Battle Of The Sexes getting in will depend on its box office as its meant to be a crowdpleaser so if it does big bucks I think it'll be nominated but if it bombs at the box office then I think it's out, I'm keeping it in for the moment)

 

Actor: Hanks in, Washington out.

Ik I should've stuck to my gut feeling that Roman Israel was gonna flop, just if I held on a bit longer!

 

Actress: McDormand in, Lawrence out

Supporting Actor: same atm but I'll probs have Sam Rockwell in soon

Supporting Actress: I rly feel Janney & Maslany will get nominated but idk who to replace! Probs Michelle Pfeiffer & Hong Chau but I'm not gonna change yet!

I, Tonya is 100% confirmed for this year now, release date is 8th December in America!

Universal are supposedly pushing IDWLF for an Oscar push in best song :cheer: Taylor coming for that Oscar <3

I'll type up the Amazon FYC's in a few days cos there is SO much on there I don't have effort rn but a few key points!!

 

Last Flag Flying: Carell is sole lead, Cranston/Fishburne in supporting and Cicely Tyson in supporting actress

The Big Sick: Zoe Kazan in lead

Wonderstruck: Oakes Fegley in lead, Millicent Simmonds in supporting actress, no Michelle Williams in either actress category

After reading Wonderstruck, Michelle Williams has such a tiny role, she stood no chance at all really. It feels like the film probably won't do well at the awards now anyway but I think Millicent Simmonds looks great so I hope I'm wrong!

We finally have someone out of the best actress category!!

 

The wife has been moved to 2018

Not related to this year but Mary Queen Of Scots has got a November 2018 release date! Margot & Saoirse coming for those Oscars <3

Also Last Flag Flying seems to be liked but not getting too much love. Not sure if it'll still be a big player or a complete misfire, at this rate from the reviews I think it will only score a couple of noms!

Some new category campaigners: (cba to update thread rn as too busy, will do it later this week when I have more time!)

 

Detroit - Algee Smith lead, John Boyega/Will Poulter supporting

Breathe - Claire Foy supporting

Novitiate - Melissa Leo supporting

 

Also the categories for Last Flag Flying have disappeared, rumours Steve Carell is moving to supporting.

Algee Smith was brilliant in Detroit so yay that they've submitted an FYC for him. Will Poulter was utterly terrifying in that film too so I'd love for him to get a nomination. I do feel like film doesn't stand much of a chance at any nominations though as is it seems really forgotten already and we're not even properly into awards season yet.

 

YAY at Claire Foy going supporting too, she has a good chance of winning their in my opinion. It looks like a very similar role to Alicia Vikander & Viola Davis from the last two years.

Is it just I Tonya, The Post & PTA film that we are waiting on for trailers for films this Oscar season?

I know neither nom is probs happening now but Javier Bardem (mother) and Julianne Moore (Suburbicon) have been placed as supporting.

The 15:17 To Paris (February) and Chappaquiddik (April) are both officially out of the race. Hostiles is in (22nd December).

 

And Steve Carell has been officially moved to supporting for Battle Of The Sexes.

Unsurprisingly all the money in the world has had its AFI world premeire pulled.

Independent Spirit Award Nominations:

 

Mudbound's Robert Altman Award means it's ineligible for the acting categories/possibly other categories as well I'm not sure! Fab to see The Florida Project, I Tonya & Lady Bird doing really well! Gutted TFP scored no acting noms :( Also Three Billboards snubbed for Best Pic is a massive shock :o

 

edit: Actually all the big contenders seemed to miss something :lol: Billboards/ I Tonya best pic, Lady Bird director, CMBYM writing, Florida Project acting! Literally just Get Out seemed to not miss something of the probs Oscar contenders :o Shape Of Water was also rumoured to be eligible so that's been snubbed everywhere if true!!

 

BEST FEATURE:

Call Me By Your Name

Get Out

The Florida Project

Lady Bird

The Rider

 

BEST FIRST FEATURE:

Columbus

Ingrid Goes West

Menashe

Oh Lucy

Patty Cake$

 

JOHN CASSAVETES AWARD:

A Ghost Story

Dayveon

Life and Nothing

Most Beautiful Island

Transfiguration

 

BEST DIRECTOR:

Sean Baker – The Florida Project

Jonas Carpignano- A Ciambra

Luca Gudagnino – Call Me By Your Name

Jordan Peele – Get Out

Benny Safdie/Joshua Safdie – Good Time

Chloé Zhao – The Rider

 

BEST FEMALE LEAD:

Salma Hayek – Beatriz at Dinner

Francis McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Margot Robbie – I, Tonya

Saiorse Ronin – Lady Bird

Shinobu Terajima – Oh Lucy

Regina Williams – Life And Nothing

 

BEST MALE LEAD:

Timothee Chalamet – Call Me By Your Name

Harris Dickinson – Beach Rats

James Franco – The Disaster Artist

Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out

Robert Pattinson – Good Time

 

BEST SUPPORTING FEMALE:

Holly Hunter – The Big Sick

Alison Janney – I, Tonya

Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird

Lois Smith – Marjorie Prime

Talia Webster – Good Time

 

BEST SUPPORTING MALE:

Nnamdi Asomugha – Crown Heights

Armie Hammer -Call Me By Your Name

Barry Keoghan – Killing of a Sacred Deer

Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Ben Safdie – Good Time

 

BEST SCREENPLAY:

Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird

Azazel Jacobs – The Lovers

Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Jordan Peele – Get Out

Mike White – Beatriz At Dinner

 

BEST FIRST SCREENPLAY:

Donald Cried

The Big Sick

Woman Who Kill

Columbus

Ingrid Goes West

 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

The Killing of a Sacred Deer

Columbus

Beach Rats

Call Me By Your Name

The Rider

 

BEST EDITING:

Good Time

Call Me By Your Name

The Rider

Get Out

I, Tonya

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY:

The Departure

Faces Places

Last Men in Aleppo

Motherland

Quest

 

BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM:

A Fantastic Woman

BPM

Lady Macbeth

Not A Witch

Loveless

 

ROBERT ALTMAN AWARD

MUDBOUND

Dee Rees, Billy Hopkins & Ashley Ingram , Jonathan Banks, Mary J. Blige, Jason Clarke, Garrett Hedlund, Jason Mitchell, Rob Morgan, Carey Mulligan