No proper big comment cause am just using my phone but this is a great read so far, Sam!

 

I think Hong Chau is definitely coming for awards season this year and definitely the most likely nominee from Downsizing imo, she seems to be getting the best reviews from the screening reports and surely the film has to be nominated somewhere!

 

I agree about Claire Foy too, surely she has to be pushed supporting due to the fact lead is so strong this year. I think she could snatch the win too! Melissa Leo is probably her biggest contender but I don't think she'll be getting a second Oscar so soon.

 

Idk about Kings or Hostiles tho, I've never even heard of the latter and the former has a really bad distributor too so I think those are a bit dead on arrival sadly :(

20. Animation Shake-Up.

 

19. Wonder is a surprise sweeper.

 

20) GKIDS will win this year in animation due to the incredibly weak standard of 2017 animated flicks. They'll win with The Breadwinner which will be joined by a random nominee, Despicable Me 3, Ferdinand and Cars 3 due to the new rules. Both LEGO films will get snubbed again despite nearly everyone predicting Lego Batman to be nominated in the run-up.

 

19) Coming from nowhere, Wonder turns out to be a critically acclaimed flick with massive Oscar potential and does even better than Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close with nominations in Best Picture, Actress for Roberts, Supporting Actor for Wilson or Tremblay and a screenplay nom.

18. Juno Temple = Sally Hawkins.

 

17. Call Me By Your Name scores all three acting nominatoins.

 

16. Suburbicon is completely snubbed.

 

18) Juno Temple will be to Kate Winslet what Sally Hawkins was to Cate Blanchett. Juno will coat-tail through due to the hype of the lead actress' performances (more on Kate later) and will score her first Oscar nomination in Supporting Actress.

 

17) Timothee Chalamet will be nominated in lead actor with both Armie Hammer & Michael Stuhlbarg scoring supporting actor nominations despite all of them missing at least one guild.

 

16) I feel like Suburbicon could go the way of a flick like Burn After Reading with it just turning up nowhere despite the Festivals and the early hype.

The film will completely flop and only score a couple of Golden Globe noms. This will be more Monuments Men then Good Night & Good Luck.

I'll do a lil comment on each one from now on!

 

20. I think I'm predicting Lego Batman for the win now. I remember reading the voting had been changed for the animated category where it is now open to lots more Academy voters so it is apparently more likely that more blockbusters will be nominated or something :o

19. I don't see it myself but could happen, it looks pretty emotional and Tremblay deserves awards nominations after his snubs for Room :(

18. I have Juno Temple in my top five too!!! and Hawkins is definitely the example I'm using to back that up, I can really see it happening at the moment. Allen has a good track record with supporting actress nominations..

17. I don't buy Armie Hammer at the moment, I think he's the one that might let this one down. It's not easy to get two nominations in the same category and I think Stuhlbarg seems more overdue perhaps. Either way, I CAN'T WAIT for this film :wub:

16. I agree with this too, it just feels like something that'll get great reviews but not baity enough to get nominated anywhere. I think Julianne Moore is its best chance as she seems quite interesting in the trailers.

 

Loving this!!

Thx Josh <3 will reply properly after I've finished this as I really need to get this done as didn't realise how many films had already premiered! (I saw two premieres today which both appear in upcoming bold predictions so I need to get a move on!)

 

Gonna finish this now *.*

15. Dunkirk = Life Of Pi/Gravity etc.

 

14. 15:17 To Paris is a late player + Best Pic nominee.

 

13. Lady Bird is a big hit = Brooklyn.

 

15) Dunkirk will be this years big technical smash and despite not winning Best Picture, it'll be the one that wins the most awards of the night and it will pick up awards such as Best Director for Nolan and many sound/tech categories! Like Life of Pi, this will also score no acting nominations at any of the major 3 guilds with only Harry getting nominated at Golden Globes.

 

14) Like American Sniper, 15:17 To Paris will be another Clint Eastwood film that comes out of nowhere and picks up 4 to 5 nominations including Best Picture.

 

13) I can see Lady Bird doing very similar to Brooklyn. I think it'll be critically acclaimed and score noms in Best Picture, Actress for Saoirse and Screenplay (+ possibly director), so pretty much what Brooklyn did. It won't win anything though and this'll be Saoirse's 3rd nom but not a win yet, that'll come on her next nomination.

12. Goodbye Christopher Robin = Finding Neverland.

 

11. Blade Runner = Mad Max Fury Road.

 

12) Goodbye Christopher Robin will be one of the biggest surprise successes of Oscar season and will perform very similar to how Finding Neverland did just over a decade ago. The film will score a pic nomination alongside nominations for Gleeson and Robbie and will be a success.

 

11) Blade Runner will be the other tech giant of the year but however won't win as many as Dunkirk. However it'll be nominated across the board and score a best picture nomination with Ryan Gosling making a shock run and nomination for Best Actor.

10. Diane Kruger = Natalie Portman.

 

09. Miles Teller becomes a winning contender for Thank You For Your Service.

 

10) In The Fade will get picked up at one of the film festivals and will launch Cannes winner Diane Kruger straight into the race last minute like Natalie did with Jackie and Diane will score a nomination.

 

09) Thank You For Your Service becomes a surprise success like American Sniper and scores a nomination in Best Picture with Miles Teller pulling a Bradley Cooper and sneaking a Best Actor nomination.

08. Annette Benning is snubbed again.

 

07. Kate Winslet sweeps every Guild.

 

08) Once again there will be massive hype behind Annette finally getting her overdue win. And once again it will transform into nothing as she along with the film will be snubbed all round. I just can't see it happening this year.

 

07) Also another reason she don't have a chance of winning is because Kate Winslet will sweep Best Actress this year with reviews on Cate Blanchett levels in Blue Jasmine and Winslet will win all four of the major guilds and completely run away with her second Oscar win.

06. Detroit is completely snubbed.

 

05. Jake Gyllenhaal wins Best Actor for Stronger & Tatiana Maslany scores a supporting actress nomination.

 

06) I originally had this pick as scoring one below the belt nomination when I started this but yh I'm gonna go bolder and predict Detroit follows a similar trajectory to The Butler and ends up nowhere. This won't score acting nominations and will basically be forgotten from the race by the end of the year despite some people still heavily campaigning for it. I think the early release killed this.

 

05) Stronger will be the surprise package this Oscar season and will finally score Jake his long awaited Oscar win and Tatiana will also ride the hype of Jake to a supporting nomination. I'm getting a vibe from the film that its being really underestimated and it will be a lot bigger Oscar player than many are expecting.

04. Darkest Hour is completely snubbed.

 

03. Carrie Fisher wins Supporting Actress.

 

04) (Lemme set my mindset back to a couple of weeks ago cos this is already embarrassing). Darkest Hour will receive a surprisingly mixed critical reaction and Gary Oldman will be the shock snub in Best Actor a la Tom Hanks in Captain Philips despite turning up nearly everywhere else. The film's lukewarm reaction will prevent it from getting nominated in other categories and this will be failed Oscar bait.

 

03) Carrie Fisher pulls of a massive shock to take home a posthumous win in supporting actress for her role in Star Wars.

02. Wonder Woman is completely snubbed + Huge Outcry + #OscarsSoMen kicks off.

 

01. Get Out wins Best Picture and Best Director.

 

02) Wonder Woman won't even score one Oscar nomination and this will be a massive shock. Gal Gadot will do what Charlize did for Mad Max, she'll get some critics groups love but not really factor into the major guilds races that much at all. The film will land on the AFI top 10 list but won't make any Best Picture lists from the main 4 guilds and will be snubbed like Deadpool despite critical love. The screenplay won't get in and Patty Jenkins will fall just short of director so that rules out all the above the line categories. However shockingly its also snubbed in all the tech categories with superhero films struggling this year and the more Oscar fare dominating instead (Dunkirk/Blade Runner/Shape of Water/Greatest Showman). This will lead to a huge outcry by journalists and critics and will kick off an #OscarsSoMen campaign with main points being that a film with a central female character that is directed by a woman and has been an inspiration to girls across the world got snubbed for typical Oscar fare.

 

01) Yep I'm still sticking with this. Get Out will pull off a Silence Of The Lambs like win with both being released in February and being a genre which is atypical to the Oscar voters taste but pulls off the shocker. The film is socially relevant and unlike some of the other early year contenders, the hype hasn't really died down at all and I can see it getting a big Oscar push at this rate as people are STILL talking about it. Also watch this pull of a shock Best Director win.

Here we go then!

 

01. Not predicting any wins for Get Out yet but I can definitely see a Picture nomination on the cards, amazing how the hype has been maintained all this time.

02. I don't think Wonder Woman is going to get any nominations, I agree with you here. I can't even think of a category that it is likely :lol:

03. If the material is there then sure but probably unlikely, a bit like when some people were predicting Alan Rickman early days last year.

04. I'm not so sure Darkest Hour is going to be a big awards hit anymore as it seems to be a bit dull but I still can't not see Oldman winning the whole thing and surely some techs are likely too. I don't know if it's going to be Lincoln levels of love from the awards though.

05. Pretty unlikely I think :lol: If Jake got snubbed for better performances in the past, I don't think he's getting in for this.

06. I'm starting to worry that this might happen but I really hope not as I loved it. Still hoping for screenplay and supporting actor for Poulter or Boyega personally!

07. I think it's definitely Winslet vs. Streep this year but now Hawkins seems to be getting rave reviews. Definitely an exciting race but I think Winslet could smash this role out the park :wub:

08. I think this is pretty likely too, I don't think the film is rly getting great reviews and I think SPC might push Vega the most out of all their actress contenders. Poor Annette :lol:

09. Don't see this happening at all, the film doesn't look the most exciting and American Sniper is basically the same but it looks better and it got their first.

10. I might have said this a little while ago but I don't think so now, has it even been picked up by a distributor/studio yet? :lol:

 

Loved this, Sam!! :wub: