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The national board of review are one of the first Oscar protaganators to reveal there awards and today they announced their winners and nominations!

 

Best film: The Post

 

Top 10 films:

Baby Driver

Call Me by Your Name

The Disaster Artist

Downsizing

Dunkirk

The Florida Project

Get Out

Lady Bird

Logan

Phantom Thread

 

Top Ten Independent Films: BEATRIZ AT DINNER, BRIGSBY BEAR, A GHOST STORY, LADY MACBETH, LOGAN LUCKY, LOVING VINCENT, MENASHE, NORMAN: THE MODERATE RISE AND TRAGIC FALL OF A NEW YORK FIXER, PATTI CAKE$, WIND RIVER

 

Actor: Tom Hanks, The Post

Actress: Meryl Streep, The Post

Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project

Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird

Director: Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

Original Screenplay: Phantom Thread

Adapted Screenplay: The Disaster Artist

Ensemble: Get Out

Animation: Coco

Spotlight Award: Gal Gadot & Patty Jenkins - Wonder Woman

Directorial Debut: Jordan Peele, Get Out

Breakthrough Performance: Timothee Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name

Documentary: Jane

Foreign Language: Foxtrot

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Wow at The Post :o that's really looking likely to be a big player then! Also Phantom Thread doing really well as well!

Delighted The Florida Project made the top 10 & am shocked & love Baby Driver's getting in! <3 Really good winners on the whole <3

 

NBR are usually reliable for Oscar predictions (last year their top 11 had 7 of the 9 best picture nominees, just missing late breakers Fences & Hidden Figures).

Every year since 2008 has seen the best actor winner get at least an Oscar nomination (only Oscar Isacc was snubbed in 20-4 but he was a joint winner with Keaton who got a nomination) which shapes good for Tom Hanks!

Actresses are very hit (Julianne Moore & Brie Larson both won) & miss and the snubs this decade always seems to be the shock snub of the year (Lesley Mankiller/Tilda Swinton/Emma Thompson/Amy Adams for arrival) so it'll be interesting to see which way Meryl goes!

Every animated winner has scored an Oscar nomination but we all knew Coco wasn't missing anyway

Manchester by the sea is the only original screenplay this decade to get an Oscar nomination so I wouldn't be surprised if phantom thread gets snubbed considering the competitiveness of that category

On the other hand silence is the only adapted screenplay to get snubbed so that looks good for the disaster artist getting a nomination minimum!

Neither supporting actor/actress really have any trends!

 

Eek at some of the snubs though! No three billboards or I Tonya but I don't think this'll affect them too much. However eek for the shape of water, that's having a disaster of a start to awards season so far and I'm getting very close to dropping it from my best picture predictions. Also no darkest hour either!

 

With the best pic stat above, I'm gonna go with downsizing (surprised to see this turn up but maybe it may renter the race), baby driver & Logan being the ones that won't make the actual best picture nominations! Also the disaster artist really is slaying along with Franco's win at the Gotham last night, really starting to consider putting it in my best picture predictions!

 

Also how weak is adapted screenplay this year???!? I have all of mollys game, mudbound and wonder getting noms atm

 

Hope this explains these nominations well and I'm not the only one commenting here!

I'm so out of the loop with awards season at the moment, all of the films I thought would be contenders (Darkest Hour and Shape of Water especially) seem to be no shows so far :lol:

 

This makes me massively excited for The Post though. I don't think anything will top Call Me By Your Name for me now but I think this might come the closest :w00t:

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I'm gonna turn this into a general critic awards thread!

 

New York Film Critic Winners:

Best Film: Lady Bird

Best Director: Sean Baker / The Florida Project

Best Actress: Saoirse Ronan / Lady Bird

Best Actor: Timothée Chalamet / Call Me By Your Name

Best Supporting Actress: Tiffany Haddish / Girls Trip

Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe / The Florida Project

Best Screenplay: Phantom Thread / Paul Thomas Anderson

Best Cinematography: Mudbound / Rachel Morrison

Best Animated Film: Coco (Lee Unkrich, Adrian Molina)

Best Foreign Language Film: BPM (Beats Per Minute) / Robin Campillo

Best Non-Fiction Film: Faces Places (Agnes Varda)

Best First Film: Get Out (Jordan Peele)

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What a set of winners!!! *.* So delighted Sean Baker shockingly won that, adore TFP and any love for that is great, hopefully that'll give it a big boost <3 Saoirse winning as well, so hyped for Lady Bird *.* And yasss Dafoe, such good winners on the whole!

 

Nothing for Shape or Three Billboards AGAIN though. Ik its early on but the start to the season has been dreadful for both of them, especially the former.

 

Also every supporting actor winner at NYFCC has won the actual Oscar since 2013 so hopefully that's a good sign for Dafoe!

I can't believe Tiffany Haddish won for Girls Trip, if she becomes a genuine awards contender then I will be over the moon. She's more deserving that Melissa McCarthy in Bridesmaids for me !! :o

 

I'd like to see a bit more appreciation for Call Me By Your Name though. I'm still holding on to some hype that it could be a contender for Best Picture winner. I'd like to see Stuhlbarg taking home so Supporting Actor accolades too instead of Dafoe steamrolling his way to the Oscar.

What a set of winners!!! *.* So delighted Sean Baker shockingly won that, adore TFP and any love for that is great, hopefully that'll give it a big boost <3 Saoirse winning as well, so hyped for Lady Bird *.* And yasss Dafoe, such good winners on the whole!

 

Nothing for Shape or Three Billboards AGAIN though. Ik its early on but the start to the season has been dreadful for both of them, especially the former.

 

Also every supporting actor winner at NYFCC has won the actual Oscar since 2013 so hopefully that's a good sign for Dafoe!

 

Well, Three Billboards at least got Toronto People's Choice Award and Best Screenplay Award so that's something.

 

But yeah, I need more recognition for Frances...she killed it :wub:

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AFI Top 10 Announced:

Call Be By Your Name

Dunkirk

Get Out

Lady Bird

The Big Sick

The Florida Project

The Post

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Wonder Woman

 

I really think bar Wonder Woman (and if it underperforms at the TV guilds The Big Sick), that's our Best Picture nominations list! And if TBS gets the amount of noms I'm expecting from globes, I think that's our 9 BP line-up, with possibly Darkest Hour/I, Tonya coming back into it.

 

Amount of Oscar nominees appearing on AFI top 10 list this decade:

2010: 9/10 correct (only missing the winner The King's Speech!!!!!!! nominated The Town instead which was v. liekly 11th place in 2010. edit: The King's Speech was ineligible which explains that!)

2011: 7/9 correct (only once again missing the winner messT (The Artist) and the out of nowhere BP nom Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close. They nominated Bridesmaids/Dragon Tattoo/J Edgar instead)

2012: 8/9 correct (Amour missing, nominated Moonrise Kingdom/Dark Knight Rises)

2013: 7/9 correct (missing Dallas Buyers Club and Philomena, nominated Fruitvale Station/Inside Llewyn Davis/Saving Mr Banks) - i've seen a lot of comparisions with DBC/I, Tonya this year so I wonder if the latter will start to really come into the race like DBC eventually did!)

2014: 6/8 correct (missing The Theory of Everything and The Grand Budapest Hotel, nominated Foxcatcher/Interstellar/Into The Woods/Nightcrawler/Unbroken -> seemed to be a top 11 this year). again TTOE missing could mean DH can still get in

2015: 6/8 correct (The Revenant/Brooklyn missed, nominated Carol/Inside Out/Star Wars 7/Straight Outta Compton)

2016: 7/9 correct (Hidden Figures/Hell Or High Water missed, nominated Silence/Sully/Zootopia)

 

I think this year will be on the higher average of the amount correct (there's no animation to get rid of for starters like the past two years). I think there'll be 9 nominations. I can see WW following the same fate as TDKR. If as with the past four years we have two films which missed AFI getting in, I think it'll be two of All The Money In The World/Darkest Hour/I, Tonya/Phantom Thread in place of The Big Sick and a shock snub.

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