Hello! The in-depth Oscars threads from last year have returned so let's kick things off with Best Picture!

 

BEST PICTURE

 

The nominees are:

CALL ME BY YOUR NAME

DARKEST HOUR

DUNKIRK

GET OUT

LADY BIRD

PHANTOM THREAD

THE POST

THE SHAPE OF WATER

THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI

 

What do you think will win? Who would you like to win? How many of these have you seen so far? What movies are you sad about missing the cut? Discuss anything you like!!

 

Here are the latest odds too (with PaddyPower) just to see how things are likely to pan out:

Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing Missouri 10/11

The Shape of Water 6/5

Lady Bird 10/1

Get Out 20/1

Dunkirk 25/1

The Post 33/1

Call Me By Your Name 40/1

Darkest Hour 66/1

Phantom Thread 80/1

 

Other nominees at major awards shows:

Golden Globes - Drama

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Call Me by Your Name

Dunkirk

The Post

The Shape of Water

 

Golden Globes - Comedy/Musical

Lady Bird

The Disaster Artist

Get Out

The Greatest Showman

I, Tonya

 

BAFTA - Best Film

Call Me By Your Name

Darkest Hour

Dunkirk

The Shape of Water

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

 

SAG Awards - Best Ensemble

Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

The Big Sick

Get Out

Lady Bird

Mudbound

Currently seen 6/9 of these. Very excited to see The Shape of Water and Lady Bird but absolutely dreading Phantom Thread, the trailer just looks so dull to me.

 

Here's how I'd rank them:

1. Call Me By Your Name

2. Get Out

3. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

4. The Post

5. Darkest Hour

6. Dunkirk

 

I think I'm predicting a Shape of Water win now after how beloved it was by the Academy and the fact that Three Billboards got a director snub. It's definitely between these two anyway in my opinion.

1. The shape of water

2. Lady bed

3. Three billboards outside ebbing, Missouri

4. Dunkirk

5. Get out

6. Phantom thread

7. Darkest hour

8. Call me by your name

9. The post

 

Another very strong year, not as strong as last year though! It feels so weird that my favourites all actually align with the academy for once 😂😂 my top 5 are all up there with my favourites of the year, phantom is 10/10, darkest hour is 9.5/10 (both of these were so much stronger than I'd expected), CMBYN is 9/10 and the post is 7.5/10

 

I'm still gutted the post got in, it was really just so meh. I would def replace that with the Florida Project and add a 10th spot for the Big Sick and probably replace call me by your name wth I Tonya. Florida/Big Sick would both be my faves in this line up and I Tonya would be top 3 minimum!

My final ranking of the nominees:

 

01. Get Out

02. Dunkirk

03. The Shape of Water

04. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

05. Lady Bird

06. Phantom Thread

07. Call Me By Your Name

-big gap-

08. Darkest Hour

09. The Post

 

It's a great selection, better than last years definitely. Get Out and Dunkirk were some of my favourites of last year so it's a little hard to unseat them, but Shape... and Billboards... are two very worthy favourites and I'd be happy with either winning, I appreciated all of the others too - Lady Bird was a refreshingly lightweight, amusing addition with a very realistic and fresh take on it's oft told story, Phantom Thread was wayyy better than I expected, elegantly and beautifully crafted and some really unexpected sadistic humour too especially with the final twist and Call Me By Your Name had a fantastic soundtrack, aesthetic and chemistry which made up for the sometimes slow narrative (I would easily give the Best Actor nom to Timothee Chalamet even if there's no chance of that happening).

 

I had reservations about the bottom 2 and they did prove to be right. They just seem like generic, Oscar bait with stories told many times before and better & predictable narratives, Darkest Hour at least had Gary Oldman's performance to help out, but Hanks & Streep have done much better, I literally could not think of anything remarkable about The Post. Hopefully it wins nothing tonight.