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Who will you vote for 84 members have voted

  1. 1. Who will you vote for

    • Conservative
      6
    • Labour
      39
    • Lib Dem
      6
    • Brexit
      1
    • Greens
      3
    • SNP
      8
    • DUP
      0
    • Sinn Fein
      0
    • Independents
      0
    • Other
      2

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No government since the 19th century has increased its vote share the fourth time around. Have faith.

 

Any comment, rightwingcapper?

We'll see what tonight's few polls for the Sunday papers say then. Think there's a final one Tuesday then that's it before the exit poll.

Edited by Crazy Chris-tmas

Based on that last poll I posted earlier EC have this as their seat prediction.

 

 

Electoral Calculus seat projection: CON 330, LAB 242, LD 12, SNP 44, GRN 1, PC 3, NI 18.

 

It's a Tory majority of 10 (or 17 if SF hold their 7 seats).

Another one just released.

 

No change in the Opinium figures:

 

Westminster voting intention:

 

CON: 46% (-)

LAB: 31% (-)

LDEM: 13% (-)

GRN: 3% (+1)

BREX: 2% (-)

 

via @OpiniumResearch, 04 - 06 Dec

Chgs. w/ 29 Nov

 

Boris will be live on Sky News tomorrow morning. Assume it's with Sophie-Ridge then.

Via Britain Elects

Westminster voting intention:

 

CON: 44% (-1)

LAB: 33% (+1)

LDEM: 11% (-4)

BREX: 3% (-)

 

via @DeltapollUK

Chgs. w/ 30 Nov

YouGov for Sunday Times

TORIES HOLD 10% LEAD

 

Con 43% (+1)

Lab 33% (-)

LD 13% (+1)

Brexit 3 (-1)

Green 3 (-1)

 

1680 on 5-6 Dec

Changes since YouGov 2-3 Dec

So 11% and 10% leads there folks. Just one more poll I believe tonight then maybe couple of final ones on Mon/Tues.

Edited by Crazy Chris-tmas

Okay Andrew Marr tomorrow, BBC1 9AM, has Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell, Nicola Sturgeon and Brandon Lewis. Seems that Corbyn's having a lie-in tomorrow!

Edited by Crazy Chris-tmas

EXC: Datapraxis MRP model gives Tories a majority of 38

 

Con 344 (+27)

Lab 221 (-41)

LD 14 (+2)

SNP 47 (+12)

PC 4 (-)

Green 1 (-)

 

This is based on a staggering 500,000 YouGov interviews but the model is from Datapraxis. Their last MRP, two weeks ago gave a majority of 48

 

Datapraxis boss Paul Hilder says: "We have never seen as many undecided voters this late in the campaign. As many as 80-90 constituencies are still up for grabs. A much larger Conservative landslide is still possible - but so is a hung Parliament."

 

I'd love to see Berger unseated given that she was admonished in Labour by her constituents for skipping out on her surgeries but still taking a full salary, before she pulled out the handy excuse. Laziness shouldn't be rewarded just because people are afraid not to treat a minority with kid gloves.
I'd love to see Berger unseated given that she was admonished in Labour by her constituents for skipping out on her surgeries but still taking a full salary, before she pulled out the handy excuse. Laziness shouldn't be rewarded just because people are afraid not to treat a minority with kid gloves.

 

 

Predicted Tory hold. She has no chance.

Predicted Tory hold. She has no chance.

 

Another of those 'rosette on a donkey' seats that FPTP always seems to generate. :mellow:

Poll expert John Curtice on with Marr too so let's see what he has to say.

 

 

That Guardian saying it's only a few tens of thousands of votes in the marginals between a comfortable Tory majority, and the Tories only being on around 300 seats, it could still be all to play for.

Edited by Crazy Chris-tmas

Poor IDS has been sent a decomposing dead rat in the post to his home and it's shaken him up. :rolleyes: What a stupid thing to do whatever he did in the past with benefits.

Edited by Crazy Chris-tmas

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