With the lead single “As it Was” streaming more the than lead Adele single in its first hour on Spotify, expectations are high for the first week sales, and this is definitely the first blockbuster album of 2022. But what will the first week sales be? His last album opened with 49,092 sales, and for context Ed Sheeran, Adele and Abba did 139,107, 261,856 and 203,909 respectively last year.

I put 100-130 based on right now. However, I think it could be more as he’s headlining Coachella and I think he’s gonna drop another song before the album which will help. I’m hoping 150+😏

The highest one-week sale outside of Q4 last year was 74,191 for Dave, so I'm gonna say 71-100k. Definitely expecting more than Fine Line despite not being in Q4 as that was but over 100k might be hard without the gift-buying boost that those mentioned in post 1 had.

Quite torn here! I feel I could be underestimating him but because of how well Fine Line did and how many variants they are I’m gonna go for around 90k maybes just over 100k. I could be underestimating him but after looking at Ed and Adele’s first week sales for Harry I think that feels about right. Can easily see it being the highest debut of the year until Lewis Capaldi drops and should hold up well enough to chart highly on year end too.

 

But yeah gonna say #1 for him and sales between 90-100k. Daves sales last year felt like a good estimate for this but Harry’s appeal is more on a physical level I think isn’t it where as Daves very streaming friendly Harry’s kind of both so I think he’ll likely beat Daves first week sale.

The webstore vinyl went on sale at midnight and was sold out first thing this morning. I think physical sales are going to be massive plus he’s huge on streaming so I’ve gone for 100 - 130k.

But yeah gonna say #1 for him and sales between 90-100k. Daves sales last year felt like a good estimate for this but Harry’s appeal is more on a physical level I think isn’t it where as Daves very streaming friendly Harry’s kind of both so I think he’ll likely beat Daves first week sale.

 

Dave does well both physically and on streaming as well - 'We're All Alone In This Together' had 41.6k pure sales in its first week!

 

I can see Harry beating him but I think doing 100k+ is probably a tall order so have predicted 71-100k.

I think the last album elevated him to an Ed level of success so I’m going for 100 - 130k.

Tricky one as I’d have thought 70-100k but I feel like he might get over the 100k mark. I reckon 125k or something around there.

 

I’d agree though he’s almost on the same level as Ed and has very broad appeal. I really wasn’t a fan of OD but I’ve really grown to like Harry’s solo material, fine line was a good album.

 

 

As It Was is by far his strongest song yet and he seems to be as popular as ever. Will definitely go for over 100k and it will be a big seller in the long run too.

I'd like to think he could go over £100k, but some big albums have under-performed recently so I've gone for £71-100k.

I think he's gone do more than Ed last week and open with >150K

the reason being just the multiformat

 

unlike Ed or Adele, Harry's fans are the kind that multi buy and everyone with end up with 7 vinyls and 5 cassettes and they're all happy about it

Adele had to do a Q4 cos she doesn't have the multi buying fanbase so she relied on Xmas gifts

but Harry doesn't need that, things have changed since the Fine Line release, which did rely on Xmas gifts

but now the market is a totally different thing

so I'm positive he'll do minimum 100K

I think he'll do around 100,500 first week. But I couldn't see an option for that on the poll so I didn't vote. Sorry.

Adele is huge flop thesee days, so probably a bir more than her in singles and albums.

117k

68k

How is the leak in Harry's House going to affect his streams & sales? :unsure:

I can't see it having much impact at all, the GP won't be aware of it/how to access it.

 

 

his big sales will come from fans buying 7 vinyls and 5 cassettes, those fans don't care about leaks

 

and leaks only affected back at the peak of people buying albums on itunes

before multiformatting took aver the album charts

^ Surely his big fans won't rush to stream the album 10 times a day if they will have heard it already...

Went for 50-70k!