Everything posted by Delicate
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Sorry, I forgot to mention the streaming-only part! I'm fairly confident that when all is said and done this will end up among longest-running chart hits. Her current top ten is: #1. Santa Baby: 31 weeks #2. Can't Get You Out of My Head: 30 weeks #3. In Your Eyes: 23 weeks #4. Wow: 21 #5/6. Higher/Kids: 20 weeks #7. All The Lovers: 19 weeks #8. I Should Be So Lucky: 17 weeks #9. 2 Hearts: 16 weeks #10. Slow: 15 weeks Hoping this ends up being true!
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Starting in its 10th week, and if its weekly sales have declined three weeks in a row. Padam Padam was released on 18 May, so its 10th chart week would be the one starting 21 July.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
ACR is gonna take effect starting the week of 21 July, so I don't expect her to be top 40 in August (unless of course she continues to defy expectations as late as then).
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
I am not sure if I read it here or somewhere else, but one of the reasons Kylie is campaigning so hard in America right now for Padam Padam could be the fact that the Grammys have introduced a brand new Best Pop Dance Recording category, and Padam Padam fits the bill for that category to a 't'. I know the chances of them nominating a non-American hit, especially by a 50-something woman, are nil, but in the 2000s Kylie had each of Love at First Sight, Come Into My World, Slow, and I Believe In You get nominated for the Best Dance Recording category even though none besides LAFS were stateside hits, and CIMW even won it. She even got an album nomination for it in 2009 for X, even though that album flopped in the US. I therefore think targeting the US about now is not such a bad idea.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
If that happens, it would probably shoot up to a million streams daily. Even if the UK impact is minimal, the overall streams it has on Spotify would rise greatly.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
I mean to be fair even 3 weeks ago we would've all been accused of dreaming if we expected it to debut in the top 30 and then rise over the successive two weeks, but here we are.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
I am going to go ahead and say this is going to get to number 12 this week, with just under 20,000 units sold. Regardless of where it ends up, this is the best chart run we've had for a Kylie single in a decade and I'm sure this will continue charting for several more weeks, hopefully at least until it's eligible for ACR.
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Friday Chart Predictions
I don't think I've ever seen this many people tune in to a single thread here at once.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
I think that with how effective BMG has been with the promo thus far if there's any chance of going top 10 they will pull every last stop to get it. I can see multiple remixes, acoustic versions, a lyric video, super-fast shipping physicals etc. all being put to use concurrently in that scenario.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Annoyingly with these sales it would've been a top ten hit a month ago when the number 10 songs was selling 18,000 units, and now it's struggling to remain top 20 with these numbers.
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Friday Chart Predictions
Can Tina actually do that? That seems like a really tall order, although I haven't been keeping too much with Lewis's numbers outside his admittedly average first week (average for the expectations placed on him, not in actuality). Would love to see Tina prove me wrong though!
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
That brings it to 220,561 UK Spotify streams for this week. Comparatively she had earned less than 166,000 streams (probably around 158,000) from UK Spotify up until this point last week. That's almost a 40% increase in consumption. That, along with the fact that single is up to number 16 on Apple Music (compared to number 75 until this point last week) makes me optimistic that the streams might help get it to a new peak this week.
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Kylie ● UK Chart Runs & Sales
Looking back at it, does anyone know how Wow managed to chart for so many weeks? 21 weeks and it wasn't even the lead. Was it because it was not hampered by the delayed release like the other Parlo singles were? It makes sense to me, high digital downloads kept it afloat for several weeks before its physical release, and that release helped it gain a high peak too, ultimately resulting in a lengthy run with healthy sales. Should've been the strategy they employed with all singles from X era and onwards. Crazy to me that the Golden era was the first Kylie era where all singles were on sale as soon as they were released to radio.
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Padam Padam: Week 2 Chart Predictions
I don't want to set myself up for disappointment so I'm thinking it will fall considerably, though still remain in the top 50, maybe even top 40.
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Padam Padam ● 1st single
Correct. Disappointingly, the last song by Kylie as a lead to even chart there was Crystallise in June 2014, which peaked at number 88. She had Starstruck in May 2021 which charted at number 55, but she's the featured artist there. No song from the Golden and Disco eras charted in Ireland.
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Kylie ● UK Chart Runs & Sales
Spinning Around, All The Lovers, and maybe even Love At First Sight should all be platinum in the next 3-4 years.
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Kylie ● UK Chart Runs & Sales
I've now recalculated my earlier values to reflect this new proportion. Say Something sold 4,000 vinyls during Disco release week? I thought it was ~2,500-ish based.
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Kylie ● UK Chart Runs & Sales
That makes sense, I realised that based on the gains made by Spinning Around between August 2019 and August 2020 which caused it to go gold it must be selling upwards of 40,000 units a year and that should get it to 150,000 streaming units by now at least, and taking into account the growth in Kylie's streaming it might even be close 180,000 streams. That gave me a ratio of roughly 80% premium to 20% ad-supported.
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Kylie ● UK Chart Runs & Sales
https://www.officialcharts.com/chart-news/k...bdsGwQMngoBtFtY The OCC released an updated list of her most streamed tracks. Good to see that even Kids, her tenth most streamed song these days, has more streams than CGYOOMH did back just 5 years ago. Let's do a quick rundown of her top ten most streamed songs and the amount of units they've earned since June 2014 (when streaming began to be counted). Note that the streaming units are based on the ratio that around 85% of streams are paid streams (based on the information provided by Jay in the next post): #1. Santa Baby: 74M (~647,500 units) #2. Can't Get You Out of My Head: 57M (~498,800 units) #3. Love at First Sight: 22M (~192,500 units) #4. Spinning Around: 21.6M (~189,000 units) #5. Dancing: 21.1M (~184,600 units) #6. All The Lovers: 15M (~131,300 units) #7. Say Something: 13M (~113,800 units) #8. The Loco-Motion: 12.4M (~108,500 units) #9. Better The Devil You Know: 12.1M (~105,900 units) #10. Kids: 11M (~96,300 units) Because we do not have exact proportions for these songs' paid and ad-supported streams, these are just estimates at best and the final figures might be higher or slightly lower.
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Friday Chart Predictions
Hate to take the conversation off-topic again, but it just occurred to me that age-wise, career-wise, and even album numbers-wise Taylor is currently at the same point that Kylie was at when she released Fever (33 years of age, around 15 years since their debut, and around 10 albums in to their career). Anyways, Padam Padam is almost top 50 on Apple Music now, which is crazy considering Kylie's never even cracked the top 100 before. That + the fact the song was discounted today gives me hope that Padam Padam will debut inside the top 40, and become her highest charting single since Dancing. I don't wanna jinx it, but I kind of see it peaking even higher when the album comes out and the physicals are released along with it, though of course that is super premature at this point.
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Friday Chart Predictions
I can't tell if this is a troll post or not.
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Friday Chart Predictions
She's definitely staying top 75, most likely top 50 and perhaps even as high as number 40 depending on her not doing too bad henceforth.
- Friday Chart Predictions
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Kylie ● UK Chart Runs & Sales
Release Kylie Christmas for the third time, this time under Kylie Christmas: Snow Queen Edition: Step Back In Time Collection with another two discs for the SBIT tracks so that we could fit Santa Baby on there too B-)
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Kylie ● UK Chart Runs & Sales
Had Kylie had a Fever-esque era in late 2021 instead of late 2001, CGYOOMH would probably be approaching 2 billion streams and the other Fever era singles would've all been closing in over 500 million, with IYE and LAFS both probably around 700-800 million. Comparatively the album would've probably just gone platinum instead of five-times platinum, so I guess there's that too. I think the BL era singles would've really benefitted from being released in a more singles-oriented time period though.