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Qween

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Posts posted by Qween

    He’s already planning for it - rallies in New York and California, states he won’t even come close to winning are designed to rouse as many people as possible in advance of next week.

     

    Every legal case they’ve brought in the last 3/6 months is also part of the plan. With the nakedly partisan Supreme Court in play, who knows what could happen.

     

    My hope is Kamala wins a convincing enough victory in enough states that it’s impossible to concoct any kind of realistic argument election interference “stole it”.

    He def will, hes 76 now like.

     

    He’s 78.

     

    However, aside from his age he is quite evidently and obviously both physically and mentally unwell. The most likely diagnosis being Alzheimer’s. If the media were in any way willing to treat Trump with the same approach as Biden (and Democrats) it would be dominating the dialogue.

     

    Of course the people behind Trump know this, which is why JD Vance is the VP pick.

    The one somewhat hopeful outworking of the last few weeks is that I don’t think Trump will be physically or mentally capable of running again in 2028, so when he loses this will FINALLY, hopefully, be the end of Trump.

     

    I don’t think Trumpism will go anywhere, but as shown with the primaries and many dozens of other elections, few others get the same near total lack of media scrutiny as Trump himself and have rarely proven such an electoral threat.

     

    I’m choosing to be positive and hope that Kamala learns from the mistakes of Biden and goes BIG with the necessary changes (mainly ending the filibuster and expanding the Supreme Court).

    Dems voted by mail/in person early because of the pandemic (and associated messaging), with a lower election day turnout. I think that reverts to a more standard breakdown this time.

     

    On the other hand, the Republicans voting early seemingly are high-propensity voters, but that may well have the impact of reducing their election day turnout.

     

    Essentially, I don’t think basing analysis or making comparisons versus 2020 is going to give a particularly reflective image of the partisan vote/turnout. Will find out in 10 days or so, but that’s my take.

    The closer it gets to E-day, the more convinced I am Kamala has this in the bag. Primarily because I don’t trust the polling at all, especially not the last few weeks. On top of that, I think the early voting and voter registration data isn’t reflecting A) the changes in how people are voting compared to 2020 (Dems less likely to vote early, Republicans earlier) and B) that Kamala is likely to win a higher proportion of Republicans and NPA’s than Trump. I think she wins all 7 swing states, comes within 1/2 points in Florida and 2/3 in Texas.

     

    I’m just hoping against hope that Dan Osborn can pull of a surprise in Nebraska and/or Debbie Mucarsel-Powell or Corin Allred win in Florida/Texas.

     

    That all being said, I have zero confidence in the strength of the US system to stand up to the crazy that’s going to come down the line when he loses. One key point from his Nazi greatest hits playlist from last night is the (implied) suggestion that Mike Johnson has “a little secret” to steal the election for him.

    Mid-Year 2024 Update [Ongoing from 2023]

     

    Streaming

    The Crown (Season 6)

    Doctor Who [2005 - 2020] (Series 1-9) [Ongoing]

    Young Royals (Season 3)

    Lessons in Chemistry

    Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt (Season 1-4)

    Mandy (Season 3)

    Loot (Season 2)

    The Reluctant Traveller with Eugene Levy (Season 2)

    Monarch: Legacy of Monsters (Season 1)

    Slow Horses (Seasons 1-3)

    Mary and George (Season 1)

    Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power (Season 1)

    Palm Royale (Season 1)

    Loot (Season 2)

    Star Trek: Discovery (Season 5)

    The Good Doctor (Season 7)

    Hijack (Season 1)

    Clarkson's Farm (Season 3)

    Sharp Objects

    Julia (Seasons 1-2)

    Baby Reindeer

    Bridgerton (Season 3)

    Heartbreak High (Season 2)

    Sweet Tooth (Season 3)

    Exploding Kittens (Season 1)

    The Completely Made Up Adventures of Dick Turpin (Season 1)

    Heartstopper (Season 3)

    Disclaimer

    Pieces of Her

    30 Rock (Season 1) [Ongoing]

    Ted Lasso (Season 1-3)

    The Perfect Couple

    Kaleidoscope

    Mare of Easttown

    The Undoing

    Kaos

    The New Look (Season 1)

     

    Terrestrial

    Only Connect (Series 19)

    Only Connect (Series 20)

    The Masked Singer (Series 5)

    Killing Sherlock: Lucy Worsley on the Case of Arthur Conan Doyle

    Union with David Olusoga

    The Traitors UK (Series 2)

    The Traitors: Uncloaked

    England's Forgotten Queen: The Life and Death of Lady Jane Grey

    Race Across the World (Season 4)

    Interior Design Masters (Season 5)

    The Great Stand Up To Cancer Bake Off (Season 7)

    Doctor Who [2022-] (Season 1)

    The Great British Sewing Bee (Season 10)

    Douglas Is Cancelled

    The Great British Bake Off (Season 15)