Dust2

Here's the data from the USA from Billboard editor in chief Bill Werde ‏@bwerde 4m digital tracks down 1.5% year to date. digital albums up 10.1%. vinyl albums up 34% but still <2% total albums. #Billboard Bill Werde ‏@bwerde 3m unless market dynamics change, i think digital track sales will soon start to drop faster amidst transition to subscriptions and streaming. RIAA 2012 #: Streaming: $1,032.8 million USD (up 59%) Singles Download: $1,623.6 million USD (up 6.7%) Album Download: $1,204.8 million USD (up 12.5%) Physical CD Album: $2,532 million USD (down 18.3%)

spotify January, 2010:------------ 250,000 paying subscribers March 17, 2010:----------- 320,000 July 20, 2010: ---------------- 500,000 December 8, 2010: ------ 750,000 March 8, 2011:--------------- 1,000,000 July 14, 2011: -----------------1,600,000 Sept 21, 2011: ---------------- 2,000,000 Nov 23, 2011: ------------------2,500,000 Jan 26, 2012: -------------------3,000,000 July 31, 2012:--------------------4,000,000 Dec 6, 2012: ---------------------5,000,000 March 12, 2013:------------------6,000,000 paying subscribers and in the USA, among the 4 biggest revenue segments http://www.digitalmusicnews.com/permalink/...GVMmoIp2Xklr6mQ Streaming: $1,032.8 million USD (up 59%) Album Download: $1,204.8 million USD (up 12.5%) Singles Download: $1,623.6 million USD (up 6.7%) Physical CD Album: $2,532 million USD (down 18.3%) At this rate, streaming could surpass singles download in about 20 months time.

Here's the current Billboard Hot 100 chart Sales / 12 Airplay / 7500 Overall Streaming / 450 or Sales / 1 Airplay / 625 Streams / 37.5 or 1 Sales = 625 airplay = 37.5 streams

what about delayed release? Song A release on radio and on sales at the same times and got 70,000 sales (On Air On Sales) in week X Song B release on radio for 5 weeks before going on sales and sold 71,000 sales (withhold to boost sales) in week X Is Song B more popular since it sold 1,000 more copies in week X?

Better measure of a song popularity? UK Singles or Hot 100?

http://vidstatsx.com/vevo-most-subscribed http://vidstatsx.com/vevo-most-viewed they update daily....They are kinda like http://kworb.net/pop/ but for youtube instead of Itunes 24 VEVO channels with more than 1 million subscribers 21 VEVO channels with more than 1 billion views Top 200 Most subscribed / Most Viewed Youtube Channels (just to compare VEVO vs. the rest) http://vidstatsx.com/youtube-top-200-most-...cribed-channels http://vidstatsx.com/youtube-top-200-most-viewed VIEWS IN THE LAST 30 DAYS RihannaVEVO 178,188,360 OneDirectionVEVO 159,498,322

according to the IFPI, # of paid subscribers subscription music worldwide 2010: 8.2 mil 2011: 13.4 mil 2012: 20 mil The biggest music subscription service in the world by paying subscribers: Spotify: 5 mil + Deezer: 3 mil + Melon: 3 mil + Mnet: ? Muve Music: 1.5 mil Rhapsody: 1.0 mil + Bugs: ? Soribada: ? Other players are Sony Music Unlimited, XBox Music, Rdio, MOG, and countless others. At the rate that it is growing, subscription music could overtake Itunes in about 2 years. according to IFPI, # of paid subscribers subscription music worldwide 2010: 8.2 mil (actual) 2011: 13.4 mil (actual) 2012: 20 mil (actual) 2013: 27 mil (prediction) 2014: 35 mil (prediction) revenue from 35 million paying subscribers worldwide would be enough to surpass Itunes music revenue worldwide. It's no wonder that Google and Apple is trying to get into the game. Amazon won't be too far behind. http://www.billboard.com/biz/articles/1550...iption-services Warner Music Inks Deal With Google for Music Subscription Services Right now, subscription music mostly relies on word of mouth. When Google/Apple launch their own, there will be a big marketing push for it (in order to gain market share). It will only make subscription music more popular. Both Itunes/AmazonMP3 pays 70% to the right holders. Subscription music also pay 70% to the right holders (per Spotify). As for royalties, http://www.digitalmusicnews.com/permalink/2012/120604youtube I Run an Indie Label. And Here's What Spotify, Rhapsody & Zune Are Paying Us... Zune 15,159 plays Payout = $437.58 $0.028 per song Ratio = 25:1 iTunes Song Download Napster 30,238 plays Payout = $479.07 $0.016 per song Ratio = 43:1 iTunes song download. Rhapsody 50,822 plays Payout = $668.57 $0.013 per song Ratio = 53:1 iTunes song download. Spotify 798,783 plays. Payout = $4,277.39 $0.005 per song. Ratio = 140:1 iTunes Song Download Spotify has both free and paid streaming. Zune/Napster/Rhapsody are all paid streaming, that's why their payout per stream is higher.

Someone fact checked my "prediction" and the top 10 work out perfectly. Quoting MusicTalker on ATRL So, here's how points worked out. My scale is the same, I just multiplied everything by 12 so that download #s were the base. I prefer it that way. 1 Harlem Shake 262000 + 3000 + 2747000 = 3012000 2 Thrift Shop 412000 + 179000 + 269000 = 860000 3 Stay 306000 + 40000 + 104000 = 450000 4 Scream & Shout 158000 + 158000 + 128000 = 444000 5 I Knew You Were Trouble 149000 + 219000 + 75000 = 443000 6 Ho Hey 7 Locked Out of Heaven 8 When I Was Your Man 217000 + 88000 + 69000 = 374000 9 Suit & Tie 201000 + 117000 + 53000 = 371000 10 Started from the Bottom 168000 + 48000 + 147000 = 363000 Works perfectly! Will be fixing my thread soon. :wooparty: The new formula is Sales / 12 Airplay / 7500 Overall Streaming / 450 Which mean 1 sales = 625 radio airplay = 37.5 stream 200,000 sales = 125 million AI = 7,500,000 stream 300,000 sales = 187.5 million AI = 11,250,000 stream #10 in streaming last week was "I Knew You Were Trouble with 2.8 million. 2.8 million streams is the equivalent of 74,666 SALES or 46.7 million AI

Remember this? Sales / 12 Airplay / 7500 On-demand / 150 The new formula is Sales / 12 Airplay / 7500 Overall Streaming / 450 Harlem Shake 262000 / 12 =21,833 2,000,000 / 7,500 = 267 103,000,000 / 450 = 228,888 250,988 total points Thrift Shop 412,000 / 12 =34,333 111,000,000 / 7500 = 14,800 10,100,000 / 450 = 22,444 71,577 total points Billboard mentioned that Harlem Shake got 3.5 more points than Thrift Shop. Let's see if the math is correct. 250,988 / 71,577 = 3.50654 TYPICAL STREAMING ON A WEEKLY BASIS (let's assume that Harlem Shake didn't blow up last week) Top Streaming Songs this week: http://www.billboard.com/biz/articles/news...evamped-hot-100 2. Thrift Shop ----------10.1 million 3. Started from the Bottom ----5.5 millions 4. "Scream & Shout - 4.8 million 7. Stay - 3.9 million 10. "I Knew You Were Trouble - 2.8 million 12. When I Was Your Man - 2.6 million 19. Suit & Tie - 2 million

http://www.billboard.com/biz/articles/news...sic-market-down In France, subscription increased 50.1% from last year compare to 11.8% for digital downloads. Subscription: 33.8 million euro (trade value) ---50.1% increase from 2011 Digital downloads: 63 million euro (trade value) --11.8% increase from 2011 I wouldn't be surprised if in 2-3 years, subscription surpasses Itunes/AmazonMP3 in France.

Record labels want to sign them. They said no. Why settle for 10% of revenue when you can get 70% of revenue?

Itunes/Amazon MP3 pays the right holders 70% of the revenue. They keep 30%. This is very common knowledge for those that follow the music biz. Spotify recently said they pay 70% of their revenue as royalties. As for what an artist get from signing with a major label: http://www.musicbizacademy.com/articles/dl_newmedia.htm Artist iTunes Royalty (with wholesale markup) $0.99 download single song price to the consumer less $0.29 to Apple left $0.70 x 130% (wholesale markup) x 12% (net artist net rate) = $0.1092 cents per download Artist iTunes Royalty (without wholesale markup) $0.99 download single song price to the consumer less $0.29 to Apple left $0.70 x 12% (net artist net rate) = $0.084 cents per download I use 10% since that's about the average

http://www.collegiatetimes.com/stories/212...dustry-standard Advantage of owning your song/your own label: You get 70% of the revenue from Itunes/Amazon/Spotify. If you sign to a major label: You get around 10% of the revenue from Itunes/Amazon/Spotify. The major label gets 60%. If MACKLEMORE & RYAN LEWIS get #1 in the UK Singles Chart, when was the last time that an unsigned artist achieve this? Before 2013, the last time that happened in the USA was in 1994 with this song. ka9mCmx9Jhs

http://www.digitalmusicnews.com/permalink/2012/120604youtube If Spotify doesn't have the "FREE USERS" like Rhapsody, it would pay at around Rhapsody rate. But the free user is Spotify best way to convert more users to paid (1 out of 4 will convert) even though it is losing money on each free user.

Round-up Spotify: 5 million + paying subscribers Deezer: 3 million + Muve Music: 1.1 million + Rhapsody: 1 million + Sweden music market total: $144.8 million (100%) Spotify: $83.4 million (57.6%) Itunes/Amazon/Google download: $9.27 million (6.4%) CD: $52.1 million (36%) Thanks to streaming, Sweden music market is up 13.8% from last year. And the highest revenue generated since 2004. http://www.digitalmusicnews.com/permalink/...cannibalism2012 Growth of Paid Downloads vs. Streaming, 2012 vs. 2011 A. Paid Downloads: 1.336 billion. Up 5%. (iTunes, Amazon, etc.) B. Spotify Subscribers: 5.2 million. Up 86%. C. Spotify Active Users: 20 million. Up 100%. D. Deezer Subscribers: 3 million. Up 114% F. Pandora Listening Hours (per qtr): 3.56 billion. Up 67.9%. http://www.digitalmusicnews.com/research/streaming_v_downloading2012.jpg http://www.digitalmusicnews.com/uploads/53/30/5330492ad7996b4efeb05dda881edee4/Spotify5mmsubs.jpg At the current rate of growth, Spotify should be at around 5.4-5.5 million paying subscribers right now.

If 1D can sell 380,000+, #1 on Hot 100 is in the bag.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142405...1437461236.html 2011 revenue: $150 mil 2012 revenue: $280 mil (projection)

http://kworb.net/pop/ 1 One Direction - Live While We're Young 1.0000 1.0000 0.6167 0.2370 0.1880 0.1178 2 PSY - Gangnam Style (강남스타일) 0.5500 0.8000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 3 Ke$ha - Die Young 0.3667 0.5167 0.5998 0.6167 0.6167 0.6167 8 Rihanna - Diamonds 0.2625 Amazing feat in the USA!

1. One Direction - Live While We're Young 1.0000 0.6167 0.2370 0.1880 0.1178 0.0000 so fast to #1 in the USA and the West Coast hasn't even wake up yet (it's not even 6AM in Los Angeles for example).

So One Direction will have the #1 UK album comes Sunday? I did a little googling, found this: In the United Kingdom, any record with more than four distinct tracks or with a playing time of more than 25 minutes is classified as an album for sales-chart purposes what chart will the EP chart? Single? No Album? No BILL NYNE THE SCIENCE GUY - Gangnam Style Parody (30 seconds) lHOVRhN5yTA

I thought 1D would get #1 by now. How many hours has it been out? more than 8?

for those curious about the USA past week sales: http://www.billboard.com/news/pink-earns-f...007958752.story Hot Digital Songs 1. Psy "Gangnam Style" (301,000) (638,000) 2. Maroon 5 "One More Night" (205,000) (1,629,000) 3. Taylor Swift "We Are Never Ever Getting Back Together" (196,000) (1,889,000) 4. fun. "Some Nights" (159,000) (2,306,000) 5. Alex Clare "Too Close" (131,000) (1,742,000) 6. Flo Rida "Whistle" (123,000) (2,632,000) 7. Kanye West, Jay-Z, Big Sean "Clique" (122,000) (405,000) 8. Owl City & Carly Rae Jepsen "Good Time" (112,000) (tba) 9. P!nk "Blow Me (One Last Kiss)" (105,000) (1,311,000) 10. Christina Aguilera "Your Body" (103,000) (103,000)

is it on Itunes UK yet? it just released in the USA.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SWEswETmCcs

Is Rihanna new single being released this week?