vidcapper

It surprised me too! :)

My results : Brexit Brexit Party Crime Conservatives Economy Conservatives Health / NHS Green Party Immigration Conservatives But I'm *still* not voting for the Tories!

All I have is 16k to 13/10/16 Looks like she is #50 this week, but can't confirm that yet. BTW, T40 update will be slightly delayed.

Are you sure that Corbyn's motives for wanting power are so pure?

What happens then?

FFS, you really are getting desperate, trying to blame Boris for the terror attack! :wacko: Are you *still* on that? That was an unconfirmed report from *one* polling company! :rolleyes: :rolleyes: Is there no excuse you won't offer??

So what you are saying is that you'd be happy for Labour to take power with a lower vote share than the Tories - just like Trump did in 2016? :rolleyes:

But they are running out of time to close up...

There's no Brexit - and I'm not anti-labour just anti-Corbyn, therefore I could easily vote for Labour's Lara Chaplin, especially as they don't have a snowball in hell's chance in Tewkesbury See above. I might just choose the NOTA option by spoiling my ballot paper though.

Anyone still undecided on who to vote for? I still haven't made up my mind (not that it'll make a difference here, but still...) No way it will it be the LD's though, too pro-EU, and they've proven incompetent in running Chelt.BC.

But not necessarily from Tory Remainers - perhaps their aversion to Corbyn is stronger than their aversion to Brexit? :unsure:

Do seats with large majorities tend to have lower turnouts? :unsure: Just compared the 50 most marginal seats with the 50 safest - less than 1% difference in average turnout, so that rather throws a spanner in that theory...

Tewkesbury is one of those permanently Tory seats, so it's basically the same thing in reverse. Even in their best years, the LD's can't get to within 10% - only in a by-election might the situation get interesting...

This clearly illustrates the problem with our electoral system... https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/d...econd-world-war

Though this is complicated when there are multiple seats of very different character, where animosity to leaders may be irrelevant on a tactical basis, and in contests where more than 2 parties are in contention.

Plus you can never tell on any individual poll which side of the 3% error margin it is... :unsure:

Not a recent one. :P 21k to 7/1/16

We are starting to get in range of long range weather forecasts for election day. Here is the one I use : https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/exp...;RES=0&WMO= As we get closer to the 12th, the predictions should firm up, of course...

This election seems to be coming down to 'who do you *least* want to see in #10'?

They *are* very different - two polls this morning, one giving the Tories a 6% lead and another a 15% lead... People can vote at any time between 7am & 10pm, you know. ;) To which they should reply 'he's not standing in *my* constituency'... <_<

61.5k, 102.5k

29k, 42k, 33.5k

And if he *hadn't*, you would do doubt accuse him of dodging the cameras... :rolleyes:

Are you assuming that *all* polling companies are using the same methodology? :huh:

I don't really get that, as last time the Tories were only 9 seats short on a lead of under 3%, and it's not like there wasn't tactical voting against them last time, too... :huh: