Xmas Loves Mr.I

Who said anything about Leona being no.1, lmao! I think she will stay at 3, with Madonna close behind at no.4! Estelle's lead has definitely increased over the competition again, so there aint really a question about no.1. Her and Madonna will now maintain their popularity on iTunes, so the situation won't change much!

i doubt it i'm afraid (top10), cos it's main physical spike will be this week!

I'm gonna put my head on the chopping block and say Madonna will end up at no.4 this week.....she won't get passed Leona!

simply no! the top10 is beyond them! i dont think many people predicted this would be such a tough week!

No.2, I agree she needs to bring the physical forward, cos these downloads are being wasted, cos she hasnt got a real chance of reaching no.1 in the next few weeks.

The above is the 1st true reflection of how Madonna and Estelle, are selling against each other.....as Madonna's popularity bar buzz was gonna keep growing til it got up to the correct level. 2:3= 66.6667% to 100% yesterday Madonna sold 5.7k and Estelle 8K which is like 71.25% to 100% Therefore, this is a more accurate reflection!

to quote myself.... "it will stall at no.2"

oooh i missed counted, stupidly counted lil mama, as going ahead of Leona....when her audience is like 9 mil lmao

Forgive Me...will be the next single!

It means that's how much it is likely to gain if it stays at it's current rate! But, it probably will reduce it's bullet and then start to increase a lil. It will be slightly above 40 million by the time the album comes out....and with the increase again in downloads could push her to no.1 But Mariah and Usher are the dangers, as Usher has even passed Mariah now with 104 million, and there both growing by like 10mil a week (Usher 14million this week). They need to get on Mainstream more, the areas where that Sara Bareillies is doing well, that would help a hell of alot...cos if she could get to 70/80mil she would easily have a few weeks at the top...cos of the three i bet she will be the most consistent seller!

It really amazes me how people honestly believe Madonna will catch Estelle. How is she gonna make up over 14K by Sunday, when Estelle is still creaming her on downloads?...and at the rate Estelle is selling, Madonna would have to sell, like 11.5k downloads per day to overhaul her.....hence NEVER gonna happen! I'm already thinking next tuesday's update: 1) Estelle 20K 2) Madonna 9.5K :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer: :cheer:

It's cool Mikal...hope we didn't get off on the wrong foot earlier in the thread. It was just that I wanted to make sure everyone was aware of the whole picture. But, if we are being honest airplay shouldnt really come into it (but it does unfortunately) cos Leona would definitely get to no.1!

yes she moved from 16 million to nearly 24 million audience impressions (and that explains the huge jump, cos so many songs stay routed to segment)....as i said Chris Brown is at 150 million, puts everything into perspective. 24 mil= 2,400points 120K= 12,000points Rihanna and Ray J will be 7 and 8 i think Rihanna has 85 mil= 8,500 and 80K= 8,000 so she's 2,000 points ahead Ray J and Leona are even tighter so maybe she could be no.8, I couldn't say for certain.....lol!

no.9 this week then! possibly no.1 on the Hot100 next week. if she can sell over 200K now cos Usher is falling slightly!

no.9 for Leona on the Hot100 then!

Whatever, you just sound as tired as her on the song. Someone obviously forgot to turn up her mic, cos you can't even hear what she is saying half time...thank god for Justin, for making it the best it COULD be...must have been hard! The best thing Madonna could have done to guarantee no.1 was not to bring the download out straight away...or bring the physical forward, as in next week or the following one, cos with Estelle and Sam Sparro knocking about it aint gonna be easy w/b 14th april (cos her downloads will be dead and buried ala Dont Stop The Music)!

I have to agree with RabbitFurCoat, Madonna's downloads will peak by the time the single comes out....i doubt she will still be top 5 on iTunes by then :lol:! and the physical is looking like it's going to be about 4 quid, that is a lil pricey! Estelle will be no.1....when we get sales figures, you'll see that Estelle's 11.9k lead over Madonna is now like 15K and that will shut alot of people up. Simple mathematics, Madonna can't catch her! :cheer: :cheer: :cheer:

she's gonna cream it on physicals then...only 1 track on it, lol!

Estelle won't be overtaken...look at the iTunes and the fact she already had an over 11K advantage!

Lol, I thought Madonna was gonna be no.1 in the Midweeks by Thursday, lmao! :lol: (how people have suddenly changed their tune?!?!) She has NO chance, she had a massive deficit and aint selling anything close to Estelle. And Adam, tbh Madonna got passed alot of deadwood and most of the newer ones were hardly setting the world alight (exception Duffy, but she's been out ages; Leona's single was better on physicals). Personally Madonna will enter at no.3 cos with Duffy's physicals, as well as dowloads, she will hold her off also, come on she had 12.5K lead, lol. The problem, with peaking for Madonna is, that her physical release has been stated at 14th/21st april......her downloads will be 'not up to that much' that late on....so methinks they need to seriously reconsider that move and bring it forward, cos if that's the case 1 possible week at no.1 and then ta-ta!

Madonna going past the deadwood, but let's see if she can pass Estelle! :lol:

so happy Estelle will definitely be number 1! :cheer:

Justin won't get to no.1 this week, neither the next cos Estelle is released physically...but it will when it is released physically (well if dont 'waste' all of it's downloads, ala 'Don't Stop The Music')

This week Leona will be at 8/9...cos digital sales for this week (come from up to Sunday...where she was probably no.2 for last week) This week she will be at no.1 on sales, but at the mo..still on about 23 million impressions (for airplay, Chris Brown leads the pack on that score at over 150 million), so she will need probably more than 220k to hit the top spot on Hot100...and after Oprah that is certainly possible!

can't wait to see Madonna (I mean Justin) stall at no.2 haha! :wub: