Ok...here's my next set of predictions, after having listened to the songs a lot more, analysing their potential, and actually hearing the final Ukrainian entry. :lol:
Semi Final I Slovakia - I really think this will stand out in this semi final. It's very different and should do well on the 25th, qualifying easily.Belgium - Again, this slow paced song will stand out amongst the dirge. Think this'll get a lot of jury votes in this semi.Albania - I hope I'm not overestimating this, but I do think it's a good song. Fair few neighbours here should see this through.Greece - I'm rapidly going off this, and I've only put it this high because it's Greece and they have a decent diaspora.Moldova - Catchy song, high votes from Portugal and Spain guaranteed amongst others.Latvia - Quite a few of their neighbours in this semi, and it's a reasonably decent song.Iceland - Good draw will see this go through. They're lucky because had this been on at the start I'd be concerned.Serbia - Unlike Tyron, I'm not overly keen on this. It's relatively catchy though and is the most "novelty" song this year.Bosnia-Herzegovina - Scraping through into the top ten methinks...Finland - Likewise with this...Portugal - Can see this getting the unlucky 11th position!Russia - Even their neighbours won't be able to save this I've realised. It really is that bad...Estonia - Boring song, definite non-qualifier in my eyes.Malta - Lost in the crowd...Belarus - Same with this, even if it is on near the end.Poland - Horrendous song.FYR Macedonia - And another awful song. I should probably move this up a bit though as Macedonia coming last would be a major shock.
Semi Final II Azerbaijan - I see the top three being pretty close here. Azerbaijan may nick the title though with Armenia and Georgia voting here. I can't remember what their diaspora is like though!Denmark - Sailing through, amazing song!Croatia - This would walk the first semi, but I feel it may be pegged down slightly on the 27th.Romania - Dead cert for qualification once again.Israel - Being overestimated by the bookmakers I think. That said, I'll be very surprised if it doesn't qualify. Decent song.Sweden - Should make it through relatively easily also...Turkey - As should this, though not one of Turkey's strongest entries.Armenia - Being overestimated by everyone I feel, but like Israel, I'll be surprised if this doesn't make it to the final.Ireland - Should make it quite safely, but I'm not thinking it'll do as well as I did when it was chosen anymore...Ukraine - A bit of a toss up between this and the Swiss, but I think Ukraine's geographical position and singing in English will benefit it.Switzerland - I actually think if this makes the final it could be in contention for last place and nul points... I like the song, and it has a Eurovision feel to it, but it does sound a bit dated.Georgia - Would qualify if it was in the first semi final, but even with guaranteed high votes from Azerbaijan and Armenia, this will struggle to get towards the top ten.Bulgaria - Very forgettable, doesn't stand much of a chance in this semi.Lithuania - Awful.Slovenia - Even worse.Cyprus - A good song, but I really think it'll get lost in this semi final, which is a real shame.Netherlands - I'm going to make this prediction now, eight weeks before the final, but I honestly think this will get nul points in this semi final...
Final Croatia - It's going to be so close, but I think the Croats will triumph on May 29th. And I hope they do!Azerbaijan - Was a bit wary of putting two strong ballads as the top two, but with a bit of a ballad overload this year, it's my no means impossible.Germany - Been listening to this a lot lately, and everyone seems to love it. I just can't see it winning though. I'd love it if it did, but I see it just falling short.Romania - Can't see this finishing out of the top five. Has number four written all over it tbh.Denmark - Not putting this quite as high as I did initially. Can see it getting a Jade Ewen sort of set of votes.Turkey - Still doing well here, and can't see them being too far off the top five.Israel - Can see this getting a steady set of votes from most countries, should allow it to go top ten this year.Sweden - Will be surprised if this doesn't make the top ten, but I can't see it scoring particularly highly either.Armenia - Same with this.Greece - And this.Ukraine - Perhaps I'm putting this a little high...I'm not sure. I think this year the middle section will be very close, so countries like Ukraine will benefit.Slovakia - Same with Slovakia. I think this will win their semi final, but can't see it being able to compete with the likes of Croatia and Azerbaijan in the final.Ireland - Same with Ireland, don't see them doing as well in the final as many people are predicting.Norway - Very poor singing position, and they're going to be the first ballad in the competition, so will be forgotten about come the end.Moldova - A bit of a Waldo's People result maybe here? A little higher though, as it's a better song.Bosnia-Herzegovina - Every year has a mid-table Balkan song that really shouldn't have qualified...France - This song has seriously stumped me. It could surprise us all and go top ten! I'm playing it safe though and going to say 17th.Latvia - This has bottom ten written all over it...Belgium - Gahhhh, I hate doing this to poor Belgium, particularly after I'm predicting they will do so well in the semi final. I just think it may get slightly overlooked. I'd be delighted if I'm wrong though.Serbia - Surely this is the Croatia 2008? Really can't see this picking up many points!Iceland - We all know this sort of song isn't too big in the world of Eurovision now, no matter how anthemic it may be.Albania - Same as the above comment, though I'll be surprised if either fail to qualify.United Kingdom - $h!t song, I think I may be being quite generous in putting us at 23rd. I think it may be the Ireland/Malta/Cyprus vote and a couple of other ones or twos for the Brits again this year.Finland - A decent enough song, but can't see it appealing to the masses, or the juries.Spain - A poor song, coupled with a poor singing position means Spain could well be bringing up the rear again. Aww.
I can see the points in the final being quite different to recent years. I think they may be spread out in the way they were in 2004 myself, with the top few countries flying off ahead leaving those below the top ten with scores that would be almost passable for 2003 and earlier. I'm sure I'll have changed my mind again in a few weeks, but this is what I'm thinking for now!