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> BJSC XLI: Odds
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LexC
post 8th February 2012, 06:05 PM
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QUOTE(Klumzee @ Feb 8 2012, 05:47 PM) *
I was thinking it could do similar to 'Ein' and pick up quite a few 12's. Perhaps not win, but certainly be in the mix right at the top there!

And I've just voted! biggrin.gif Which means there will be some odds from KlumBet arriving soon!


Doing an 'Ein' is essentialy leading for most of the voting and then falling out of the top 3 (oh the memories drama.gif wink.gif )

In terms of dark horses, one that springs to mind for me is possibly Mercedes & I Britt Daley.
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Ryan.
post 8th February 2012, 06:10 PM
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Back on top of the odds with Klumzee cheer.gif

Also, I think Seyetana could manage a top 5, and at the very least a top 10 biggrin.gif
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Oricon
post 8th February 2012, 06:24 PM
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QUOTE(Klumzee @ Feb 8 2012, 05:49 PM) *
Opening (and closing) odds from KlumBet:

4/1 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
4/1 Fljótavík - Foxes - Youth
5/1 Syndare - SoSo - Who's gonna love me
7/1 Séyetana - Nightwish - Turn loose the mermaids
7/1 Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back
---------------------------------------------------------
8/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares
10/1 Unovia - Dia Frampton - Billy the Kid
11/1 Batidas - Studio Killers - Ode to the bouncer
13/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown
15/1 ChrIseland - Donkeyboy - City boy
15/1 FYR Vojvodina-On-The-Wold - Le Kid - Human behaviour
18/1 Mdiče - MNDR - #1 in heaven
19/1 Kopečka - Lena Philipsson - Live tomorrow (Sthlm Mix)
21/1 Kluminican Republic - Paulina Rubio - Heat of the night
22/1 Espen - Moa Lignell - When I held ya
24/1 Caerfyrddia – Marigold – You and I know
25/1 Hendinia - DJ Tatana feat Natalia Kills - You can't get in my head
28/1 Botanikka - Ria Ritchie - Only one
28/1 B.a.N.G - Lydia Caesar - Lottery
30/1 Budtar – Marvin Priest feat. Wynter Gordon – Take me away
32/1 Tinnmark - Andremo feat. Coco - Music is turning me on
35/1 Bignia-Zaragovina - Britt Daley - One and only
35/1 Daehun – moumoon – Sunshine girl
36/1 Allecian - Mercedes and I - Wintersnow
40/1 Scherzland - Vox Halo feat. LaDolla - Criminal
40/1 N-Lazone - Ian Carey & Rosette feat. Timbaland & Brasco - Amnesia
43/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up
44/1 Greenfroze - Belanova - Mariposas
47/1 Lievant - Mollyhaus feat. Little Neve White & The Snoopy Lads - Liar liar
48/1 Sangria - Moonlight Breakfast - Still
55/1 Kylienips - School of Seven Bells - The night


I was quick enough to see the initial odds you posted but I fell on the revised version sad.gif From 22/1 to 35/1 laugh.gif


This post has been edited by Oricon: 8th February 2012, 07:45 PM
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Klumzee
post 8th February 2012, 06:25 PM
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QUOTE(Oricon @ Feb 8 2012, 06:24 PM) *
I was quick enough to see the initial odds you posted but I feel on the revised version sad.gif From 22/1 to 35/1 laugh.gif


The original odds I posted were actually Tom Kay's. I pressed enter too many times and accidently sent them laugh.gif
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Thom Spirit Kay
post 8th February 2012, 06:53 PM
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I wish you had laugh.gif My worst odds so far. I take it you're not a fan sad.gif
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Ghosty.
post 8th February 2012, 06:53 PM
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QUOTE(Addy K!ng @ Feb 8 2012, 05:45 PM) *
but SoSo and Foxes were predicted to do well from the start of the contest.


And have since got a bit lost in the mix. Hardly anyone is talking about both those entries, but I think either one of them could return from nowhere and clinch a victory.
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Liаm
post 8th February 2012, 07:21 PM
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Dia for dark horse pweeeaaasse wink.gif Failing that, Nightwish.

But seriously, I'm begining to think it isn't as certain as we think that Tone will win. I still think she will, but I think's it very possible that SoSo, Foxes or Prance Faris might win rather than the obvious Tone or Carly.


This post has been edited by Liаm: 8th February 2012, 07:22 PM
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Iz 🌟
post 8th February 2012, 07:42 PM
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QUOTE(Liаm @ Feb 8 2012, 07:21 PM) *
Dia for dark horse pweeeaaasse wink.gif Failing that, Nightwish.

But seriously, I'm begining to think it isn't as certain as we think that Tone will win. I still think she will, but I think's it very possible that SoSo, Foxes or Prance Faris might win rather than the obvious Tone or Carly.


Eyes likes this post.

I've been wondering about Tone. I still think she's in with a very good chance, but I'd be surprised if she ran away with it Sober-style, particularly as there ARE so many other contenders. When Loreen won, there were really only two other contenders for the top, Red Hot and Call My Name. It was an excellent contest, but we were so dry of potential winners, at least two of the songs we were predicting to easily come top 10 flopped on their arses majorly because they had no vocal support behind them. I remember, I was one of them cry.gif, the other main one being Love Struck, who everyone was predicting to take up the top 4 with the other 3. I can't see any of this month's contenders flopping in the same way, all of them have some form of support behind them.

Here I can imagine Tone taking it, she's still the favourite, but I can just as easily see 6 or 7 others potentially at the top, SoSo, Foxes, Carly, Prance Faris, Dia, The Storm, even Nightwish. (those 7 are in the order of what I'm expecting)

As an aside, what's happened to Kopecka? I wouldn't mind seeing them dark horse it either, and they're perfectly capable of making it to the top 10 I think.
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Mart!n
post 8th February 2012, 07:45 PM
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I'll take it there isn't much love for School Of Seven Bells sob.gif virtually at the bottom of most odds apart from Pavel's ohmy.gif
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Freeze
post 8th February 2012, 07:53 PM
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QUOTE(Eyes @ Feb 8 2012, 06:54 PM) *
And I'm going to be out when the final results arrive! drama.gif Should be an interesting read when I stumble in at midnight (or later) then.


Oh no, another person who's not going to be here for my fabulous results sad.gif I do hope you read it all when you come back? ohmy.gif


This post has been edited by Freeze: 8th February 2012, 07:53 PM
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Iz 🌟
post 8th February 2012, 07:55 PM
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QUOTE(Freeze @ Feb 8 2012, 07:53 PM) *
Oh no, another person who's not going to be here for my fabulous results sad.gif I do hope you read it all when you come back? ohmy.gif


Of course. I shall read it all, my heart pounding as I get nearer to finding out my result. I would read it all anyway, it's far more exciting that way.

(It's a friend's 18th, hopefully I won't be too wasted when I get back in)
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Oricon
post 8th February 2012, 07:55 PM
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On Sunday I might not be here as well, but I can take slight glimpses of it during work secretly to see how I'm getting on biggrin.gif
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dandy*
post 8th February 2012, 08:04 PM
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I'd love to see a Lievant victory, fingers crossed for them!
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Martyn
post 8th February 2012, 09:36 PM
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Here is how the odds look from Farahtyn's betting company Bet-Far

To Win
2/1 Ashton - Tone Damli - Look back
3/1 Numayania - The Storm - My crown
7/2 Ramrynia - Carly Rae Jepsen - Call me maybe
8/1 FSR Rontvia - Prance Faris - Flares
100000/1 Hogan-Burg Republic - Emily Osment - All the way up
------------------------------------------------------
22/1 Anyone Else

Events

1/25 A country in the final not to vote

2/1 Ashton, Kopecka and FSR Rontvia to all finish in the top 10
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Juranamo
post 8th February 2012, 09:36 PM
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QUOTE(Mart!n @ Feb 8 2012, 07:45 PM) *
I'll take it there isn't much love for School Of Seven Bells sob.gif virtually at the bottom of most odds apart from Pavel's ohmy.gif

I think it definitely stands a bigger chance of winning that some songs... I've listened to most of the songs now, and yours doesn't seem THAT BJSC-unfriendly compared to some other songs. I would do odds, but I can't be bothered to think of how likely EVERY song is to win. laugh.gif
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Oricon
post 8th February 2012, 11:22 PM
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Another interesting note on the BJ Personal Multichart..

52 (**) 186 Carly Rae Jepsen - Call Me Maybe (52)
55 (60) 171 Prance Faris - Flares (73-60-55)
67 (**) 138 Tone Damli - Look Back (67)
71 (**) 130 Foxes - Youth (71)
72 (65) 130 Le Kid - Human Behaviour (65-72)

Dark horse being Le Kid is a possibility.


This post has been edited by Oricon: 8th February 2012, 11:23 PM
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Qassändra
post 9th February 2012, 12:14 AM
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QUOTE(Eyes @ Feb 8 2012, 07:42 PM) *
As an aside, what's happened to Kopecka? I wouldn't mind seeing them dark horse it either, and they're perfectly capable of making it to the top 10 I think.

I've been quietly thinking this for a while now! I think this is another Jody scenario - everyone insists it's a mid-table or low top ten at best, but it goes on to outperform the predictions. I had thought it was a potential winner when I confirmed it, but since the start of the contest it seems to have been written off. I certainly think top five is still possible though!
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gooddelta
post 9th February 2012, 12:23 AM
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I'd like to see you get a comfortable top ten, it's a pretty great remix of a great cover and the odds for it have been a bit underwhelming so far. I've been predicting between 7th-9th in all of my odds and I still think that this is quite possible!

A potential winner might be stretching it though, it's not as 'in your face' as the usual sort of Scandipop that does well here...it didn't even hit me until the second listen and I'm a huge Lena AND Scandipop fan!
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Qassändra
post 9th February 2012, 12:37 AM
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If anything I thought it might have been a little TOO in-your-face! The production's quite similar to Popular in the chorus, I'd thought it would draw the same sorts of haters that that did...
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▲Ɩɘχ
post 9th February 2012, 01:30 AM
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QUOTE(Mart!n @ Feb 8 2012, 08:45 PM) *
I'll take it there isn't much love for School Of Seven Bells sob.gif virtually at the bottom of most odds


welcome in the club kink.gif
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