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> 2024 Singles Year To Date Estimates, With approximate sales
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Maestro
post 7th May 2024, 01:49 PM
Post #101
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'yes, and?' being out of the weekly top 100 already suggests to me it probably won't even make the top 20 on the YE.

I think you missed 'The Night We Met' from the pre-2023 releases section.
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JulianT
post 14th May 2024, 12:00 PM
Post #102
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Week 19:

1 1 1,130,000 Noah Kahan - Stick Season (1.66m)
2 2 769,000 Teddy Swims - Lose Control (870k)
3 3 713,000 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things
4 4 608,000 Beyoncé - Texas Hold ‘Em
5 5 568,000 Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder On The Dancefloor (1.57m)
6 6 516,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada (1.12m)
7 8 486,000 Tate McRae - Greedy (940k)
8 7 483,000 Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (810k)
9 9 455,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (1.64m)
10 10 439,000 Ariana Grande - Yes, And?

11 11 417,000 Djo - End Of Beginning
12 14 388,000 Hozier - Too Sweet
13 12 352,000 Dua Lipa - Houdini (510k)
14 13 349,000 Natasha Bedingfield - Unwritten (1.54m)
15 15 337,000 Kenya Grace - Strangers (860k)
16 17 335,000 Ella Henderson featuring Rudimental - Alibi
17 18 330,000 Tyler - Water (690k)
18 16 330,000 YG Marley - Praise Jah In The Moonlight
19 20 327,000 Ariana Grande - We Can’t Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)
20 19 323,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire (1.08m)

21 21 311,000 Michael Marcagi - Scared To Start
22 22 289,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.58m)
23 31 286,000 Artemas - I Like The Way You Kiss Me
24 24 282,000 Zach Bryan featuring Kacy Musgraves - I Remember Everything (470k)
25 23 281,000 Billy Gillies featuring Hannah Boleyn - DNA (530k)
26 25 279,000 Dua Lipa - Training Season
27 27 270,000 Sonny Fodera and MK featuring Clementine Douglas - Asking (630k)
28 26 268,000 Fred Again… and Baby Keem - Leavemealone (310k)
29 44 261,000 Dasha - Austin
30 28 259,000 The Weeknd featuring Playboi Carti & Madonna - Popular (650k)

31 30 258,000 Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? (800k)
32 29 257,000 Kanye West & Ty Dolla Sign - Carnival
33 32 256,000 Miley Cyrus - Flowers (1.91m)
34 68 254,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso
35 33 252,000 Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero (1.85m)
36 34 249,000 Noah Kahan and Sam Fender - Homesick (350k)
37 38 247,000 Kygo & Ava Max - Whatever
38 37 246,000 Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved (5.52m)
39 35 246,000 Drake featuring Sexy Redd & Sza - Rich Baby Daddy (410k)
40 36 245,000 Flo Milli - Never Lose Me

53 218,000 Taylor Swift featuring Post Malone - Fortnight
61 201,000 NewEra - Birds In The Sky
67 192,000 Jungle - Back on 74 (320k)

71 186,000 Bryson Tiller - Whatever She Wants
89 166,000 Mark Ambor - Belong Together
93 163,000 The Blessed Madonna featuring Clementine Douglas - Happier
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JulianT
post 14th May 2024, 12:01 PM
Post #103
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Entered the YTD Top 100 this week:
Belong together
Happier
Linger

Left this week:
Can’t catch me now
Nanana
Runaway
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Maestro
post 14th May 2024, 12:19 PM
Post #104
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Linger really living up to its name the past few weeks.

Do you have a sales estimate for Saturn at all and if that’s close to entering?
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JulianT
post 14th May 2024, 12:32 PM
Post #105
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Actually I have Saturn right on the 155k required for #100 so must be just outside.

Like That I have very close too, around 153k.

Hell N Back can’t be far off either, though I haven’t worked out how much it must have done this year before it re-charted.
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JulianT
post 14th May 2024, 12:55 PM
Post #106
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Bad Habits at #98 - we could be on the verge of an Ed-less YTD Top 100 for maybe the first time in a decade plus?!
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WhoOdyssey
post 14th May 2024, 01:21 PM
Post #107
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‘psychedelic pop-infused’? Pull the other one!
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QUOTE(JulianT @ 14th May 2024, 01:55 PM) *
Bad Habits at #98 - we could be on the verge of an Ed-less YTD Top 100 for maybe the first time in a decade plus?!

Quite potentially. Cradle of Filth have said they're not allowed to release their Ed Sheeran collab this year because he's having a "blackout year" with no musical output whatsoever, so there won't be anything new troubling the Top 100.

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jimwatts
post 14th May 2024, 01:35 PM
Post #108
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Don't think he had anything in the 2016 EOY either - other than that it's been every year from 2011 onwards.
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JulianT
post 14th May 2024, 01:57 PM
Post #109
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QUOTE(jimwatts @ 14th May 2024, 02:35 PM) *
Don't think he had anything in the 2016 EOY either - other than that it's been every year from 2011 onwards.

It appears not - I’d assumed Thinking Out Loud would have been lingering enough in 2016 to make it but I guess that’s before streaming really took over.
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JulianT
post Tuesday, 12:08 PM
Post #110
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Week 20:

1 1 1,171,000 Noah Kahan - Stick Season (1.66m)
2 2 810,000 Teddy Swims - Lose Control (910k)
3 3 759,000 Benson Boone - Beautiful Things
4 4 633,000 Beyoncé - Texas Hold ‘Em
5 5 581,000 Sophie Ellis-Bextor - Murder On The Dancefloor (1.58m)
6 6 539,000 Cassö with Raye & D Block Europe - Prada (1.14m)
7 7 503,000 Tate McRae - Greedy (960k)
8 8 496,000 Jack Harlow - Lovin On Me (820k)
9 9 474,000 Taylor Swift - Cruel Summer (1.65m)
10 10 450,000 Ariana Grande - Yes, And?

11 12 446,000 Hozier - Too Sweet
12 11 438,000 Djo - End Of Beginning
13 14 365,000 Natasha Bedingfield - Unwritten (1.55m)
14 13 364,000 Dua Lipa - Houdini (520k)
15 16 353,000 Ella Henderson featuring Rudimental - Alibi
16 19 351,000 Ariana Grande - We Can’t Be Friends (Wait For Your Love)
17 15 348,000 Kenya Grace - Strangers (870k)
18 18 342,000 Tyler - Water (700k)
19 17 341,000 YG Marley - Praise Jah In The Moonlight
20 21 337,000 Michael Marcagi - Scared To Start

21 20 336,000 Olivia Rodrigo - Vampire (1.10m)
22 34 330,000 Sabrina Carpenter - Espresso
23 23 326,000 Artemas - I Like The Way You Kiss Me
24 22 305,000 The Killers - Mr Brightside (5.60m)
25 29 301,000 Dasha - Austin
26 24 295,000 Zach Bryan featuring Kacy Musgraves - I Remember Everything (480k)
27 26 293,000 Dua Lipa - Training Season
28 25 292,000 Billy Gillies featuring Hannah Boleyn - DNA (540k)
29 27 284,000 Sonny Fodera and MK featuring Clementine Douglas - Asking (640k)
30 28 277,000 Fred Again… and Baby Keem - Leavemealone (320k)

31 33 269,000 Miley Cyrus - Flowers (1.92m)
32 30 268,000 The Weeknd featuring Playboi Carti & Madonna - Popular (660k)
33 31 267,000 Billie Eilish - What Was I Made For? (810k)
34 32 265,000 Kanye West & Ty Dolla Sign - Carnival
35 37 262,000 Kygo & Ava Max - Whatever
36 53 261,000 Taylor Swift featuring Post Malone - Fortnight
37 35 261,000 Taylor Swift - Anti-Hero (1.86m)
38 38 258,000 Lewis Capaldi - Someone You Loved (5.53m)
39 36 256,000 Noah Kahan and Sam Fender - Homesick (350k)
40 42 254,000 Vance Joy - Riptide (3.84m)

54 219,000 NewEra - Birds In The Sky
63 207,000 Jungle - Back on 74 (330k)
65 206,000 Good Neighbours - Home
69 201,000 Mark Ambor - Belong Together
70 199,000 Bryson Tiller - Whatever She Wants

78 186,000 Shaboozey - A Bar Song (Tipsy)
82 181,000 The Blessed Madonna featuring Clementine Douglas - Happier
94 170,000 Sza - Saturn
96 169,000 Future and Metro Boomin featuring Kendrick Lamar - Like That
99 168,000 Bakar - Hell N Back (930k)
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JulianT
post Tuesday, 12:10 PM
Post #111
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Entered the Top 100 this week:

A bar song
Saturn
Like that
Hell n back

Left this week:

Northern attitude
Perfect (exceeder)
I’m good
Linger
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Maestro
post Tuesday, 12:22 PM
Post #112
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bad habits survived?
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JulianT
post Tuesday, 12:32 PM
Post #113
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QUOTE(Maestro @ 21st May 2024, 01:22 PM) *
bad habits survived?

#100 this week - Perfect and Northern Attitude were fading faster and it leapfrogged them, but I don’t think it will survive this week with Million Dollar Baby and I Can Do It With A Broken Heart on the way.
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Maestro
post Tuesday, 12:34 PM
Post #114
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QUOTE(JulianT @ 21st May 2024, 01:32 PM) *
#100 this week - Perfect and Northern Attitude were fading faster and it leapfrogged them, but I don’t think it will survive this week with Million Dollar Baby and I Can Do It With A Broken Heart on the way.


Never Be Alone and Angel Numbers / Ten Toes must be close to dropping out as well though? Although maybe not close enough for Bad Habits to jump them next week
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JulianT
post Tuesday, 12:53 PM
Post #115
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QUOTE(Maestro @ 21st May 2024, 01:34 PM) *
Never Be Alone and Angel Numbers / Ten Toes must be close to dropping out as well though? Although maybe not close enough for Bad Habits to jump them next week

Yeah Never Be Alone I think will hold for 1 more week but it’s very much on the way out. Angel Numbers / Ten Toes I’m indeed expecting to be jumped by Bad Habits next week. Expecting at least 2 new entries though.
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